Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAEME'S DEAL Dec19 Jun25       (johnson henry )COTTO L 116 12.00    
2  RAISE THE PRAISE Dec08 Aug29 Jul07 Jun25 May24 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 114 8.00 ★    
3  WOMANONTHEWARPATH Oct24 Sep26 Aug15 Jul17   (tracy greg)BIRZER E 119 6.00 ★    
4  GRACIE DIAMOND Oct29         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 4.50 12% 7.50    
5  KISS ME ON OCONEE Nov15 Oct24 Sep17 Aug14 Jun17 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 ★    
6  IT TAKES HEART Dec04 Nov03 Jul08 May19   (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 119 1.60 63% 0.60    
7  GRAND EXPECTATIONS Dec08 Oct04 Sep11 Jul24   (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
 
DED-2   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOANIE GAL Aug21 Jul24 Jul05 May28 Mar24 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 14% 5.90    
2  I'M ALL MIXED UP Dec16 Oct06       (nelson eric )BARRERA J 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Dec16 Nov18 Nov02 Oct06 Aug26 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
SCR  MYFRIENDSAWINNER Nov22 Nov04 Oct20 Aug28 Aug07 (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 ★    
5  COLD AS YOU Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 Aug29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 10.00    
6  STOP THE FRIEND Dec02 Nov18 Aug19 Jul22 Feb25 (constantine )EDISON JOCELYN 112 20.00    
7  MOLLYS FLYIN HIGH Dec16 Nov02 Oct20 Aug08 May17 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 20.00    
8  GIRL IN BLACK Dec16 Dec02 Nov02 Apr02 Mar13 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 10.00    
9  CUSTOM GUITAR Dec07 Oct29 Oct14 Aug10 Jul20 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 13% 6.70    
10  TENSAS VIRGINIA Dec02 Nov18 Nov10 Oct12 Jul22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
DED-3   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS YELLOW MEADOW Dec02 Nov11       (averett ronnie)STOKES A 122 12.00    
2  LUCKY DEAL Dec19 Nov11 Oct19 Aug30 Jul26 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 117 2.50 ★    
SCR  BAILEY'S CHARM Dec02 Nov18 Oct27     (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50 ★    
4  SABERFIGHT Dec02 Nov18 Oct19 Aug27 Aug06 (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
5  ZONG WAVE Dec19         (dison philli)BARRERA J 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
6  ASHLEY'S GIRL Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Sep19 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  GALAXY AFFAIR Dec02 Nov18 Oct13 Jul16 Jun04 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 5.00    
 
DED-4   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNTHETIC JOE Apr19         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 12% 7.50    
2  SMOKING GUN (GB) Nov30 Sep29 Sep11 Jul31   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  TARGET PRACTICE Nov30 Nov04 Aug20 Aug10 Jul15 (pomier)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 116 3.50 ★    
4  ESCROW STYLE Dec08 Nov11 Oct14 Sep05 Jul02 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
5  SPEEDY G Dec08 Oct29 Oct06 Sep20 Sep03 (mojica a)THORNTON G 119 5.00 14% 6.20    
6  CLERIC Dec08 Nov26 Sep19 Jul09 May31 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 6.00    
7  FLASHY PREMO Dec08 Nov17 Oct20 Aug24 Aug05 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 6.00    
 
DED-5   12/29/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR FASHION Nov26 Nov18       (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  START WELL Dec20 Dec08 Nov26 Oct14 Aug01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 2.50 ★    
2  TAP YOUR FRONT Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 Aug27 Aug18 (cezar )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 6% 14.90    
3  VANCOUVER SNOW Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 Aug24 Jul28 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 114 8.00    
4  TABLE ONE Dec01 Nov09 Sep03 Aug18 Jun09 (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 120 3.50    
5  I LOVE YOU MORE Dec09 Nov19 Oct26 Oct15 Sep24 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
6  MISS WOW WOW Dec16 Nov23 Sep17 Jul24 Jun26 (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 114 15.00 6% 15.40    
7  T R'S FIRST Dec15 Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 Aug27 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUGAR STAR Dec15 Nov16 Oct29 Oct14 Sep26 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 116 4.00 ★    
9  TALE OF TENSAS Dec16 Nov23 Nov03 Oct14 Jun28 (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 10.00    
 
DED-6   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIES IRISHDREAM Dec14 Nov12 Oct28 Aug14 Jul28 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 5.00 ★    
2  ROLL BABY Nov16 Mar23 Feb25 Jan20   (asmussen steven)MCMAHON J 116 8.00    
3  FLASHY MEG Oct20 Aug10 Jul13 Jun16 May27 (segura kearney)STOKES J 113 4.00 34% 2.00    
4  SHELLEY'S MONEY Dec07 Jul11 Jun14 May28 May16 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  MISS JAMIE Dec03 Oct28 Oct13 Jul08 May27 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00    
6  LA TRESS GRAY Sep06 Jul22 Jun16 Mar04 Jan29 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 112 8.00 5% 18.50    
7  MISCHIEVOUS DIANE Dec17 Nov20 Sep02 Jul20 Jun10 (bryant george )COTTO L 116 2.50 7% 14.20    
 
DED-7   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMEO DANCER Aug16 Jul03 Jun04 May17 Apr21 (gomez c)BACA L 117 10.00    
2  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Aug30 Aug15 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 4.50 17% 4.80    
3  AZTAR Dec02 Sep26       (nixon thomas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 ★    
4  IRON IN THE FIRE Nov17 Oct19 May19 Apr21 Mar27 (landry ray)STOKES J 116 6.00 38% 1.70    
5  FIESTY FIST Dec10 Dec01 Nov16 Jul28 Jul09 (flint steve)MAGNON H 116 1.80 ★    
6  WICKED ROSE Nov25 Oct26 Mar16 Feb26 Feb05 (johnson henry )COTTO L 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
7  DONNIE BOY Nov16 Sep12 Aug16 Jul03 Jun04 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 116 8.00    
 
DED-8   12/29/2022 4950ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUTIE MO Dec10 Nov04 Oct14 Aug25 Jul29 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 8.00    
2  COURTLY DOC Dec09 Nov04 Oct13 Jun04 May17 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 10.00 ★    
3  UNIFIED LOVE Dec17 Dec08 Nov26 Nov05 Oct12 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 10.00    
4  MISHPACHAH Dec03 Oct26 Mar26 Mar10 Feb03 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
5  FINAL QUEST Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 Aug26   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
6  EILEEN ALEXANDRA Dec09 Nov26 May28 May06 Mar27 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 6.00 ★    
7  OUR LITTLE GIRL Dec16 Nov22 Nov04 Oct22 Oct05 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00    
8  SPIRITED BEAUTY Dec10 Nov18 Oct05 Aug06 Jun04 (camejo m)COTTO L 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
9  MISS CHARLIE SIOUX Dec09 Mar02 Jan26     (larrosa a)THORNTON G 118 12.00    
 
DED-9   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY BOY GOES         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 8% 10.90    
2  TALK TO TOKEY Dec11 Oct27 Sep24     (pomier chase)BARRERA J 117 4.00    
SCR  ROLL ON OUT Dec01 Jul31 Jun26     (tracy greg)BIRZER E 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
4  CALL ME FIREY Dec07         (dison m)BOURQUE J 122 20.00    
5  MORO OUTLAW Nov16 Oct21 Sep13 Aug27 Jul31 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
6  THE FIVE B'S Dec01 Nov16 Oct21     (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
7  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Dec01 Nov19 Oct22 Oct07   (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 10.00 ★    
8  ALWAYS LOGAN Nov16         (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.