Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.40 $4.40 73%
    EXA (3/1/5)-(1/3/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $30.80 $18.80 157%
    TRI (3/1/5)-(1/3/5/6/2)-(1/3/5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-6-1 $42.40 $24.40 136%
    SFT (3/1/5)-(1/3/5/6/2)-(1/3/5/6/2)-(1/3/5/6/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-6-1-2 $17.11 $9.91 138%
DED-5   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/2/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-6 $9.30 $1.30 16%
DED-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    DD (7/6)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  7-4 $8.60 $4.60 115%
    PK3 (8/5/6/1)-(7/6)-(2/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00  6-7-4 $9.65 $1.65 21%
DED-7   PK3 (7/6)-(2/4)-(5/1/2/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00  7-4-1 $8.85 $0.85 11%
DED-8   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $19.00 $15.00 375%
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-5 $18.20 $10.20 128%
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/1/2/6)-(6/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00  4-1-5 $27.80 $19.80 248%
DED-9   DD (6/5)-(6/8/10/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-6 $19.70 $11.70 146%
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(6/5)-(6/8/10/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00  1-5-6 $19.65 $3.65 23%
    PK4 (2/4)-(5/1/2/6)-(6/5)-(6/8/10/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00  4-1-5-6/7/11 $63.70 $31.70 99%
    PK5 (7/6)-(2/4)-(5/1/2/6)-(6/5)-(6/8/10/1) 128 $0.50 $64.00  1/7/9-4-1-5-6/7/11 $219.80 $155.80 243%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :46       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURTIN'S UP 2 5 11 1   11 11 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 34% 2.00 4.20 W
WONDER RUN 6 4 4 3   21 21 (turner patti)BACA L 117 2.00 4.80 P
1A  LUKE'S CAJUN STAR 5 2 5 5   64 3 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 3.00 34% 2.00 1.20  
JONATHAN WHO 1 7 7 66   5 4 (rubin donald)MELANCON G 120 6.00 4.30  
DAAHERS BULLY 3 1 21 4   4 5 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 1.20  
HOLDING FAST 4 6 68 78   78 6 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 5.00 4.90  
KENSLEY'S HIPPIE 7 3 31 2   3 7 (segura kearney)BOURQUE J 117 15.00 26.20  
SCR  LEMNISCATE               (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 12% 7.40    
 
DED-2   01/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:143     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEALIN' STELEN 7 6 49 5   4 1¼ (toups brent)STOKES A 120 4.50 3.50  
APPLEWOOD 1 1 36 3   2nk 2¼ (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 120 5.00 21.50 P
SUMMER APPEAL 2 5 5 4   31 3 (bernard john)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 3.50 29% 2.40 4.60 S
CORVETTE SPIRIT 5 2 2nk 1½   1nk 43 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 2.00  
SOUTHPINE GIFT 6 4 6 617½   610½ 510 (west henry)BOURQUE J 117 10.00 48.00  
IRISH EXPECTATIONS 4 3 1nk 2½   5 610 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 25% 3.10 2.00  
OFF SIXES 3 7 714¼ 720½   715½ 720½ (jackson da)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00 23% 3.40 10.40  
 
DED-3   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE FARMER 5 5 42 2½   2½ 1hd (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.50 12% 7.30 0.70 W
  (by MO TOM out of EXCEEDEXPECTATIONS by TALE OF THE CAT)
RUN AWAY SAMARI 6 3 3 1½   1½ 2hd (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 2.50 32% 2.10 3.10 P
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of TSUBA by FIRST SAMURAI)
TDZ WHAT A DEAL 2 1 1½ 3½   32 3 (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 8% 11.70 4.10 S
  (by EL DEAL out of STAR DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
DREAMED I AM FAST 4 2 6 68   6 4 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 6.00 18.60  
  (by ASTROLOGY out of DREAMED A DREAM by AGNES GOLD (JPN))
SARA'S SAPPHIRE 1 4 2½ 4   5 511¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 8.30  
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of OUR EPONENE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LONG SHOT LOUISE 3 6 55 55   48 612¾ (dodson clif)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 18.50  
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
SCR  AMYS CANDY               (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 7% 14.10    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TIGHT PRECISION by PURE PRECISION)
SCR  ARTIE'S DEAL               (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 12.00 7% 14.10    
  (by EL DEAL out of ARTIE'S DOLL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
DED-4   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:154     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE HAPPY 6 7 4 4   31 1¾ (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 17% 4.80 1.20 W
MILA'S KAT 8 2 32 31   1nk 2¾ (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 6.00 34% 1.90 6.00 P
THURSDAY MORNING 4 3 68 5   5 3 (espino)RUIZ GARCIA 123 10.00 42.90  
SWEET STORMY ELLE 2 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 45 (dixon tim)VARGAS P 120 5.00 11.70  
ARCTIC GUITAR 1 5 815½ 814¾   7 5 (bernard john)BACA L 120 8.00 5% 18.50 29.10  
ST MARIA 3 6 7 711¾   65 6 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00 19.80  
ANIME DAY 5 4 2nk 2nk   43 711 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.00 17% 4.70 2.60  
SARATOGA KAREN 7 8 5 6   810½ 821 (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 4.50 5.60  
 
DED-5   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:222 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS GIANT 6 1 1½ 1   12 1 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 54% 0.90 1.50 W
FEARLESS WILL 5 6 4 3   22 2 (gustafson aust)BACA L 123 3.00 21% 3.90 3.00 P
CREATIVE LETTERS 3 7 5 44   45 3 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 5.00 4.00 DQ↓8
I'M A SPECIAL STAR 4 2 2½ 2   34 410 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 16.40  
BUNKIE'S SONG 2 5 6 67   5 511 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 8.00 11.70  
10  I'M LOOKING UP 8 3 3 54   68 612¼ (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 118 20.00 34.00  
MONZZA 7 4 7 711   79 714 (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 6.00 18.50  
LAUGHINGSAINTSSONG 1 8 812¾ 819   821 837¾ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 5.70  
SCR  BALKY               (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00    
SCR  BOLD MINISTER               (richard chris)THORNTON G 123 8.00    
 
DED-6   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:152     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEATRICAL 2 1 2½ 2½   13 15 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 4.00 13% 6.50 1.50 W
MY SWEET SOPHIA 1 3 1½ 1½   23 25 (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 12.00 6.10  
MISSGREELEY'SSONG 4 2 3 4   45 37 (west henry)VARGAS P 123 8.00 9.20 S
FINNLEYS ENCORE 3 4 4 3   35 4 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 2.50 0.70  
SCR  AMERICAN REBEL               (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
SCR  JERSEY HOTTIE               (delany sarah)ROMAN KEVIN 123 1.80    
SCR  PHILLY WINS               (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 60% 0.70    
 
DED-7   01/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:153     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORY TO ME 4 4 54 5   4 1 (broberg karl)COLON H 117 4.00 18% 4.50 0.60 W
CRIDER CHASE 7 1 31 4   3.2 2 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 6.00 10% 9.20 8.50 P
GIFTED TALENT 1 6 67 6   2nk 33 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 18% 4.60 36.90 S
MSCHITCHATTOUR 2 7 7 7   5 4 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 9.70  
1A  SHE'S MY PRIORITY 5 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 57 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 4.00 0.60  
MONGOLIAN DIAMOND 3 2 4 32   6 611 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 2.50  
DAVE'S RONDA 6 5 1½ 2nk   7 723 (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 33% 2.00 9.30  
 
DED-8   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:11
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW THE SAINT 5 4 4 4   3.2 11 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 117 4.50 8% 10.90 8.50 W
LITTLE E 3 1 2nk 3.2   1nk 21 (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00 7.10  
RUN NATALIE RUN 1 8 6 6   4¾ 3 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 15.00 3.90  
CUSTOM FOR TINA 6 5 5 5   7 4 (johnson henry )COTTO L 117 3.00 64% 0.60 1.80  
MOLLI WAY 2 3 810¾ 8   5 53 (romero john )BARRERA J 112 15.00 34.00  
EAGLEOVERTHEMOON 7 7 7 7   8 6 (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 18.40  
MY LITTLE MIA 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 75 (perron gerard)STOKES A 123 8.00 11.20  
MISS PRIORITY 8 6 3.2 2nk   6 8 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 117 2.50 2.70  
 
DED-9   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:41
See original race card.
:223 :474       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETBAUER'S SECRET 6 2 5 23   11 1 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 46% 1.20 0.90 W
ISLE CALL U LATER 2 6 32 33   3 2 (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 6.00 34.10  
10  WEST TEXAS BOB 9 5 6 5   42 3 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 118 5.00 7% 12.60 4.20 S
OAK HILL MO 7 4 810¾ 812¾   8 4 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 4.50 20% 4.00 7.70  
SABERMAN 3 8 7 7   54 5 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 19.60  
NAUTICAL CRUISE 8 7 4 6   7 6 (savoy aaron)BOURQUE J 120 20.00 36.90  
EXOTIC GENTLEMAN 4 3 1 13   21 7 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 7.00  
BLONDIE FIX IT 5 1 2 4   6 813¼ (gonzalez j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00 61.30  
STORMIN SUNDAY 1 9 930¾ 927¾   917¾ 916 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 5% 18.80 5.80  
SCR  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER               (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
SCR  GENES FEATHER               (zenon shelton)BACA L 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.