Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(1/3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/4/3)-(8/7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/6/1)-(2/4/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(8/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(8/7/4)-(8/5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-3   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/4)-(8/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4)-(8/5/6/1)-(7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-4   WIN (8/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1/7)-(8/5/6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/6/1)-(7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/1)-(7/6)-(4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-5   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/2/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/2/8/4)-(7/6/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(4)-(5/1/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-6   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(5/1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(5/1/2/6)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(1/5/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(1/5/2/6/4)-(1/5/2/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(6/5)-(6/8/10/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/8/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/8/4/7)-(6/5/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5)-(6/8/10/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/8/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/1)-(6/8/10/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/1)-(6/8/10/1/4)-(6/8/10/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAAHERS BULLY Nov19 Oct28 Oct02 Sep18 Aug20 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 ★    
1A  LUKE'S CAJUN STAR Dec17 Dec02 Jul08 Jun29 Jun03 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  JONATHAN WHO Nov12 Jun23 Jun09 May12 Apr16 (rubin donald)MELANCON G 120 6.00 ★    
3  CURTIN'S UP Dec02 Nov12 Aug17 Jul30 Jul06 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
4  HOLDING FAST Nov23 Sep25 Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
SCR  LEMNISCATE Jun09 May20 May07     (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 12% 7.40    
6  WONDER RUN Nov22 Oct26 Oct14 Jul24 Feb24 (turner patti)BACA L 117 2.00 ★    
7  KENSLEY'S HIPPIE Dec07 Apr21 Feb24 Jan29 Jan06 (segura kearney)BOURQUE J 117 15.00    
 
DED-2   01/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPLEWOOD Oct19 Oct05 Aug25 Apr29 Apr20 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 120 5.00 ★    
2  SUMMER APPEAL Dec09 Nov23 Oct28 Apr07 Mar05 (bernard john)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  OFF SIXES Dec09 Nov03 Jun30 Jun11 May18 (jackson da)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
4  IRISH EXPECTATIONS Dec09 Nov04 Aug17 Jul24 Jul09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 25% 3.10    
5  CORVETTE SPIRIT Dec19 Nov25 Oct27 Oct14   (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
6  SOUTHPINE GIFT Nov09 Oct14 Aug24 Aug05 Jul08 (west henry)BOURQUE J 117 10.00 ★    
7  DEALIN' STELEN Dec19 Nov04 Oct14 Jun10 May21 (toups brent)STOKES A 120 4.50    
 
DED-3   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMYS CANDY         (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 7% 14.10    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TIGHT PRECISION by PURE PRECISION)
2  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Dec16         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of OUR EPONENE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  ARTIE'S DEAL         (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 12.00 7% 14.10    
  (by EL DEAL out of ARTIE'S DOLL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
4  TDZ WHAT A DEAL Dec16         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 8% 11.70    
  (by EL DEAL out of STAR DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
5  LONG SHOT LOUISE         (dodson clif)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
6  DREAMED I AM FAST Dec10 Nov30 Oct21 Aug10 Jul15 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of DREAMED A DREAM by AGNES GOLD (JPN))
7  DIXIE FARMER         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
  (by MO TOM out of EXCEEDEXPECTATIONS by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  RUN AWAY SAMARI Dec16 Nov05 Oct21 Jul23   (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of TSUBA by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
DED-4   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCTIC GUITAR Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 Aug24 Jul06 (bernard john)BACA L 120 8.00 5% 18.50    
2  SWEET STORMY ELLE Dec15 Nov16 Oct29 Jul11 Jun27 (dixon tim)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
3  ST MARIA Dec19 Dec09 Nov26 Nov18 Oct27 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00    
4  THURSDAY MORNING Dec01 Nov09 Oct26 Oct07   (espino)RUIZ GARCIA 123 10.00    
5  ANIME DAY Dec09 Oct26 Oct12 Aug26 Aug06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.00 17% 4.70    
6  SUE HAPPY Dec21 Nov25 Oct13 Aug26 Aug14 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  SARATOGA KAREN Dec19 Oct26 Sep07 Aug21 Jul08 (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 4.50 ★    
8  MILA'S KAT Dec15 Oct29 Apr08 Feb04 Jan06 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
 
DED-5   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLD MINISTER Dec14 Nov23 Oct26 Sep07 Jul27 (richard chris)THORNTON G 123 8.00    
2  LAUGHINGSAINTSSONG Dec21 Oct26 Aug10 Jun25 May04 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 ★    
3  BUNKIE'S SONG Dec10 Oct29 Aug18 Jul07 Jun02 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 8.00    
4  CREATIVE LETTERS Nov18 Oct22 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 5.00 ★    
5  I'M A SPECIAL STAR Dec17 Oct29 Jun23 Apr16 Feb10 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
6  FEARLESS WILL Dec21 Nov22 Nov02 Oct06 Aug27 (gustafson aust)BACA L 123 3.00 21% 3.90    
7  HIS GIANT Nov19 Oct22 Sep11 Aug27 Jul31 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 54% 0.90    
8  MONZZA Nov05 Oct22 Aug11 Jul01 Jun16 (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  BALKY Dec21 Dec09 Nov19 Nov10 Jun24 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00    
10  I'M LOOKING UP Dec21 Nov22 Nov12 Jun09 May28 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
 
DED-6   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SWEET SOPHIA Dec10 Nov18 Oct12 Jul01 Jun15 (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 12.00    
SCR  PHILLY WINS Dec14 Nov22 Oct13 Sep13 Jul03 (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  AMERICAN REBEL Dec17 Nov16 Oct21 Aug11 Jul13 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
4  ZEATRICAL Dec10 Nov22 Oct29 May17 May08 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 4.00 13% 6.50    
5  FINNLEYS ENCORE Dec17 Nov30 Oct22 Apr28 Feb12 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 2.50 ★    
6  MISSGREELEY'SSONG Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 Nov05 Oct21 (west henry)VARGAS P 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  JERSEY HOTTIE Dec22 Dec08 Oct26 Sep25 Aug01 (delany sarah)ROMAN KEVIN 123 1.80 ★    
 
DED-7   01/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORY TO ME Dec16 Nov30 Oct27 Oct12 Aug24 (broberg karl)COLON H 117 4.00 18% 4.50    
1A  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Dec16 Nov26 Nov05 Oct19 Aug26 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 4.00 ★    
2  GIFTED TALENT Nov30 Nov03 Oct21 Aug07 Jul25 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 18% 4.60    
3  MSCHITCHATTOUR Nov30 Nov05 Oct05 Aug11 Jul30 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
4  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Dec01 Nov09 Oct13 Sep17 Sep04 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 ★    
5  DAVE'S RONDA Nov18 Aug24 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 117 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  CRIDER CHASE Dec20 Nov22 Nov03 Oct05 Aug18 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 6.00 10% 9.20    
 
DED-8   01/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN NATALIE RUN Dec19 Nov10 Jul11 Jun03 Apr15 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 15.00    
2  MOLLI WAY Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 Feb10 Jan28 (romero john )BARRERA J 112 15.00    
3  LITTLE E Dec20 Nov26 Nov05 Oct13 Sep19 (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
4  MY LITTLE MIA Dec22 Nov26 Oct27 Jul23 Jun24 (perron gerard)STOKES A 123 8.00 ★    
5  FOLLOW THE SAINT Dec08 Nov10 Sep25 Sep13 Aug28 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 117 4.50 8% 10.90    
6  CUSTOM FOR TINA Dec17 Nov26 Oct26 Oct05 Jul11 (johnson henry )COTTO L 117 3.00 64% 0.60    
7  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Dec08 Oct26 Sep19 Aug30 Jul24 (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 ★    
8  MISS PRIORITY Dec22 Nov10 Oct13     (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 117 2.50 ★    
 
DED-9   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIN SUNDAY         (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 5% 18.80    
2  ISLE CALL U LATER Dec15 Dec01 Nov18 Oct19 Oct07 (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 6.00    
3  SABERMAN Dec20 Nov10 Oct12     (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
4  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN Dec15 Dec01 Oct07 Aug26 Aug12 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 ★    
5  BLONDIE FIX IT Apr30         (gonzalez j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
6  ETBAUER'S SECRET Dec07 Oct12 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  GENES FEATHER Dec20 Oct27 Oct07 Aug25 Aug13 (zenon shelton)BACA L 120 10.00    
8  OAK HILL MO Oct28 Oct19       (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
9  NAUTICAL CRUISE Dec08 Nov23       (savoy aaron)BOURQUE J 120 20.00    
10  WEST TEXAS BOB Dec20 Dec08 Nov23 Oct07   (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 118 5.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Dec20 Nov17 Oct29 Oct19 Oct05 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.