The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fair Grounds
Friday - February 10, 2023

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FG-1   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
:223 :463 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUSADER EXPRESS 1 5 3 3   32 1hd (landry jacoby)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 17% 4.80 2.70 W
COURAGEOUS TIMMY 2 6 42 4   42hd (silva miguel)PARKER L 121 2.50 6% 16.00 2.10 P
BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL 4 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3½ (casse w)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 19% 4.30 2.10 S
CREME DE BALI 3 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 4½ (wilson shane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.00 37% 1.70 3.50  
SEMI CHARMED LIFE 5 1 5 5   55 55 (besancon dan)ALBERT S 113 6.00 15.80  
SIXTO 6 3 6 69   68 69 (magnon jason)MURRAY M 121 15.00 40.30  
 
FG-2   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:45
:23 :463 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTRIC SENSE 4 1 12 1   15 1(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 1.80 49% 1.10 1.40 W
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 1 2 4 56   32(govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 4.00 3.30 P
MYSTIC STORM 3 5 32 2   25 33 (robertson hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 10% 9.40 4.40 S
TATTERED HEART 2 4 22 35   47 4(barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.50 3.10  
DESSERT FIRST 5 3 5 46   59 5(lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 16% 5.40 6.10  
 
FG-3   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:15
:222 :462 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT CAN I SAY 1 3 42 2   22 1(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 18% 4.50 2.70 W
COUNTRY LADY 3 7 1½ 1   12 2(thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 117 3.50 9% 10.20 3.00 P
CCED FOR STEPH 5 1 75 5   33(wilson shane)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 18% 4.60 3.40 S
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE 2 2 2½ 44   44(delahoussaye gle)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00 45.20  
WHERE'S THE PUMPS 4 6 5 67   5512¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 33% 2.10 2.20  
COPPER MOON 7 5 6 710   712½ 616¾ (richards coral)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00 31.50  
DOLLY'S GUITAR 6 4 3 34   610 717½ (schwandt emile)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 8.30  
 
FG-4   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
:24 :48 1:134 1:28   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOULDERING 7 6 6 6 4 21(sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 2.00 64% 0.60 0.80 W
DUDE DROP KID 6 7 7 710 59 32(foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 2.60 P
CIGAR VAN 4 2 11 1½ 13 13(pitzer floyd)ALBERT S 117 12.00 33.90  
CHROMPTON 3 1 3 2½ 23 45 410¾ (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 6.00 7.40  
CHIEF KIMOSABI 5 5 4 58 69 610½ 517 (flint steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 8.60  
OLDER AND WISER 2 4 21 32 34 58 619¼ (woodley car)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 6% 17.20 6.60  
OLE STUD MUFFIN 1 3 54 46 711 714½ 730 (ladner herman)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 38.00  
 
FG-5   02/10/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
:244 :49 1:143 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLUCKSTADT 5 6 21 3 3 211 (alonzo howard)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 5.20  
LA BOUCANE 4 1 11 11 1 121 (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 5.00 9.70  
GEM COLLECTION 3 3 42 21 2 33(dorochenko genna)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 4.00 18% 4.70 1.90 S
OWEN THE ICE MAN 1 4 76 67 59 4412¼ (hatcher d)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00 27.40  
G'S LAW 7 5 6 7 6 59 512¾ (west g)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 58% 0.70 11.20  
SIMPLY WOW 6 7 5 5 47 612 619¼ (casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.60 1.10  
HINDOSTAIN FALLS 2 2 32 4 713½ 722 746 (perez natash)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 30.80  
 
FG-6   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
:22 :46 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR AS A BELE 7 10 7 12   14 1(dandridge cou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 11.90  
MACHO BEANIE 9 1 42 4   45 2(gelner scott)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 12.30  
PESO PESADO 4 5 8 5   57 3(calhoun b)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 6.30 S
CUSTOM CADILLAC 5 3 3½ 32   24 4(cuccia j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 29% 2.50 3.10  
CALIBRACHOA KID 2 7 2½ 66   68 5(wilson shane)PARKER L 120 10.00 7.40  
BOSTON BLITZ 6 6 10 1010¼   86(ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 14% 6.20 10.70  
RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM 1 4 1½ 22   34 7(roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 9% 10.30 3.70  
OURPERFECTPRINCE 8 9 9 8   7814¾ (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 37.60  
CREEKSIDE 3 8 6 9   910¼ 915½ (klanfer alan)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 26% 2.80 4.80  
10  SPIRIT OF DREAMS 10 2 5 7   1013¼ 1022¼ (faucheux ro)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 14.40  
 
FG-7   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
:24 :482 1:141 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SILVER GALAXY 6 7 67 5 2nk 3.2 1¼ (asmussen stev)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 20% 3.90 2.90 W
COFFEE COUNTY 2 4 42 42 4 2nk 2¼ (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 4.60  
13  UNANIMOUSLY 8 8 8 8 7 53(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 2.10  
WISE ANCHOR 4 2 2nk 11 1nk 1nk 4(govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 18.40  
MAGA MAN 5 6 7 7 6 45(miller c)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50 3.60  
DEER CROSSING 1 3 5 6 5 6619½ (delhomme jef)ALBERT S 120 4.50 17.70  
12  EVERLOVINGHAND 7 1 3 21 31 710¾ 728¾ (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 6.00 10% 8.90 11.50  
REAL CITY SPEED 3 5 1nk 3 8 812¾ 834 (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 120 4.50 15% 5.80 18.70  
SCR  AFLEET ASCENT               (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
SCR  HUDSON'S TURN               (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
SCR  MANGELSEN               (faucheux ron)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MR. FOUR SEVENS               (dandridge courtn)CULP BRIANNE 115 5.00    
SCR  OH MY ACHING ARCH               (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 5.00    
 
FG-8   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
:221 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO DOT 3 5 32 3   2½ 12 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 6% 15.60 8.10 W
TAPPIN FORA DANCE 6 7 56 56   422 (romero alvin)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 28.10  
DREWZANO 4 3 12 11   1½ 3(camejo jose )ALBERT S 116 4.50 5% 19.00 1.50 S
10  ALL THE DIAMONDS 10 4 22 21   3½ 4(leonard iii)MURRAY M 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
UNDERDOG 8 2 45 4   53 5(gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 7.40  
FIFTEEN LOVE BACK 9 1 78 68   66(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 11.40  
MAINTAINANCE MATT 1 8 810 7   76 7(alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 5.00 35% 1.80 4.30  
OVERTHOUGHT 2 9 911 1014½   811 812 (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 16.10  
DEUTERONOMYSTRONG 7 10 1012½ 914   911¼ 912½ (leonard iii)PARKER L 121 12.00 25.50  
JUST BLAZE 5 6 67 811½   1011¼ 1018 (scherer gary)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 6.00 27% 2.80 14.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.