Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2/5)-(3/4/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/1/2)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2)-(4/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2/1)-(4/5/3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(4/1/5/3)-(7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3/7)-(4/1/5/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/5/3)-(7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/3)-(7/2)-(7/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-4   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/6/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/6/5/3)-(7/2/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2)-(7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(7/3)-(5/3/6/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/5/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/5/6/1)-(7/3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3)-(5/3/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(5/3/6/1)-(10/4/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1/4)-(5/3/6/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/6/1)-(10/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/1)-(10/4/12)-(1/5/3/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (10/4/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/12)-(10/4/12/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/4/12)-(10/4/12/8)-(10/4/12/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/4/12)-(1/5/3/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/5/3/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/10/4)-(1/5/3/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/10/4)-(1/5/3/10/4)-(1/5/3/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUSADER EXPRESS Jan29 Jan12 Dec23 Dec03 Nov16 (landry jacob)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
2  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Jan20 Dec29 Dec02 Oct20 Sep16 (silva miguel)PARKER L 121 2.50 6% 16.00    
3  CREME DE BALI Dec01 Sep26 Aug25 Jul09 Jun13 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 Oct15 Aug25 (casse w)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
5  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Jan29 Jan20 Dec29 Nov25 Oct07 (besancon d)ALBERT S 113 6.00 ★    
6  SIXTO Dec29 Nov26       (magnon jason)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
 
FG-2   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Jan28 Jan16 Dec31 Dec15 Nov25 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 4.00 ★    
2  TATTERED HEART Jan15 Dec19 Dec02 Oct13 Sep22 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.50 ★    
3  MYSTIC STORM Jan28 Oct14 Sep23     (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 10% 9.40    
4  ELECTRIC SENSE Dec23 Nov20 Oct26 Sep14 Aug07 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 1.80 49% 1.10    
5  DESSERT FIRST Jan22 Nov26 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
FG-3   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT CAN I SAY Dec22 Oct06 Aug06 Jul04   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Dec08 Aug26 Aug10     (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00    
3  COUNTRY LADY Jan13 Dec23 Nov16 Oct08 Aug20 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 117 3.50 9% 10.20    
4  WHERE'S THE PUMPS Dec23 Oct29       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
5  CCED FOR STEPH Dec22 Nov18 Aug20     (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
6  DOLLY'S GUITAR Jan13 Dec22 Nov18 Sep17 Aug10 (schwandt emi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50    
7  COPPER MOON Jan14 Dec22 Aug26 Aug10   (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00 ★    
 
FG-4   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLE STUD MUFFIN Jan08 Dec01 Jun08 May06 Mar24 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
2  OLDER AND WISER Jan08 Nov26 Sep05 Aug24 Jul22 (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 6% 17.20    
3  CHROMPTON Jan27 Jan08 Dec15 Jan20 Jan08 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 6.00 ★    
4  CIGAR VAN Jan27 Jan08 Dec11 Oct19 Aug06 (pitzer flo)ALBERT S 117 12.00    
5  CHIEF KIMOSABI Jan08 Dec09 Oct28 Aug26 Aug03 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 ★    
6  DUDE DROP KID Jan08 Dec17 Sep24 Aug20 Jul26 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 ★    
7  BOULDERING Jan05 Mar19 Mar03 Jan30   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
FG-5   02/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OWEN THE ICE MAN Feb02 Jan07 Dec22 Dec01 Sep17 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00 ★    
2  HINDOSTAIN FALLS Nov09 Oct20 Sep22     (perez nata)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
3  GEM COLLECTION Jan20 Jan05 Dec26 Dec03 Nov24 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  LA BOUCANE Jan20 Jan07 Dec11 Nov18 Sep27 (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 5.00    
5  GLUCKSTADT Jan07 Dec11 Oct28     (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
6  SIMPLY WOW Jan06 Dec11       (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.60 ★    
7  G'S LAW Jan20 Sep17 Sep03 Jul31   (west g)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 58% 0.70    
 
FG-6   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Dec10 Aug20       (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CHERUB HEART by DEHERE)
2  CALIBRACHOA KID Sep27         (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 10.00    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of INDICATION by QUEEN'S GRAY BEE)
3  CREEKSIDE Jan05         (klanfer al)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 26% 2.80    
  (by CONGRATS out of SUNNY ISLES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  PESO PESADO Dec10         (calhoun william)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 ★    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of WICKED PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  CUSTOM CADILLAC Jan20 Dec26       (cuccia j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LIBERINA by FORESTRY)
6  BOSTON BLITZ Jan20         (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
  (by POWER JAM out of GODDESS OF LOVE by LORD CARSON)
7  CLEAR AS A BELE         (dandridge c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MY FRIEND BELE by MY FRIEND MAX)
8  OURPERFECTPRINCE         (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of LADYZARBRIDGE by ZARBYEV)
9  MACHO BEANIE         (gelner scott)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of MY PAL BEANIE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
10  SPIRIT OF DREAMS         (faucheux )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FG-7   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEER CROSSING Aug16 Jul16 Jun18 May11 Mar06 (delhomme jeff)LANERIE J 120 4.50    
2  COFFEE COUNTY Jan26 Dec15 Nov24 Aug09 Jul16 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
SCR  MR. FOUR SEVENS Jan20 Dec09 Nov19 Jun21 May10 (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 115 5.00    
4  REAL CITY SPEED Jan20 Sep12 Jun15 Jan20   (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
5  WISE ANCHOR Jan15 Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 Nov11 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  OH MY ACHING ARCH Jan20 Sep20 Jul31 Jun25 Jun14 (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 5.00    
SCR  HUDSON'S TURN Jan20 Sep12 Aug15 Jul26 Jul02 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
8  MAGA MAN Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Jun04 May07 (miller norman )GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  AFLEET ASCENT Jan13 Dec02 Sep20 Jul27 Jun29 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
10  SILVER GALAXY Jan20 Nov19 Jun17 May27 May08 (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MANGELSEN Jan20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun04 Mar05 (faucheux ron)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
12  EVERLOVINGHAND Jan08 Dec09 Nov19 Jul14 Jun22 (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 6.00 10% 8.90    
13  UNANIMOUSLY Jan29 Dec17 Oct27 Aug17 Jul13 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00    
 
FG-8   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAINTAINANCE MATT Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Jul22 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 5.00 35% 1.80    
2  OVERTHOUGHT Jan05 Dec19 Dec11 Nov03 Oct19 (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
3  TWO DOT Jan20 Dec02 Sep27 Sep17 Aug15 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 6% 15.60    
4  DREWZANO Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 Sep23 Aug24 (camejo jos)ALBERT S 116 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  JUST BLAZE Mar27 Mar03 Feb10 Jan03   (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 6.00 27% 2.80    
6  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jan20 Jan07 Dec09 Aug17 Jun02 (romero alv)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
7  DEUTERONOMYSTRONG Jan15 Nov02 Oct20 Sep27 Sep15 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 12.00    
8  UNDERDOG Jan20 Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 Oct26 (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
9  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Jan20 Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 Oct12 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00    
10  ALL THE DIAMONDS Aug04 Jul06 Jun21 May01 Mar26 (leonard i)MURRAY M 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.