Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Tuesday - May 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $27.60 $21.60 360%
CD-2   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.48 $1.48 19%
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $28.16 $4.16 17%
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $82.53 $70.53 588%
CD-3   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $13.18 $5.18 65%
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $75.04 $51.04 213%
    DD (3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-3 $41.78 $25.78 161%
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-3-3 $436.45 $412.45 1719%
CD-4   WIN (4/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.14 $1.14 19%
    EXA (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-8 $55.58 $31.58 132%
    TRI (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/8/2)-(4/9/6/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-8-6 $47.19 $29.19 162%
    SFT (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/8/2)-(4/9/6/8/2)-(4/9/6/8/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-8-6-2 $98.99 $91.79 1275%
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $15.07 $3.07 26%
    PK3 (3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-3-4 $72.00 $48.00 200%
CD-5   PK3 (3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6)-(3/2/10/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-4-6 $46.03 $16.03 53%
    PK4 (3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6)-(3/2/10/6/7) 240 $0.50 $120  3-3-4-6 $219.05 $99.05 83%
    PK5 (5/4/6)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6)-(3/2/10/6/7) 720 $0.50 $360  4-3-3-4-6 $3943 $3583 995%
CD-9   EXA (9/4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-5 $84.36 $44.36 111%
    TRI (9/4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-5-6 $92.61 $62.61 209%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:114     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 3 6 45 42½   21 11¾ (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 124 12.00 8% 11.70 12.80 W
1  GORMLEYESQUE 1 1 21½ 2½   11 21¾ (catalano)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.60 2.73  
2  KENTUCKY REIGN 2 2 11½ 1½   31½ 35 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 108 8.00 ★ 2.26 S
5  GIRLS HOUSE 4 4 33½ 32   42½ 45½ (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 1.20 60% 0.70 1.11  
6  RECITE 5 3 57 54½   56 516½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.07  
7  START CLASS 6 5 68½ 68½   610 618 (medley jose)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 31.16  
SCR  TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS               (sims matth)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00    
 
CD-2   05/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:141 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUNA MOTH 3 2 53 54 31 11 12 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 38% 1.70 3.74 W
2  PARTY AT GRANTS 2 6 63½ 64 63¼ 32½ 22 (forster t)LANERIE J 118 10.00 4.03 DH
5  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 5 5 21 21 2nk 21 22 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 4.00 16% 5.10 3.65 P
4  RUDIMENTARY DRINK 4 4 31½ 42½ 42 54½ 48¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8% 11.50 8.55  
6  PROMISEMEPARADISE 6 3 11 11 1nk 44½ 512¼ (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 8% 10.90 7.57  
8  EMBRACEABLE 8 8 74 75½ 75¾ 711 616¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 12.02  
1  GOLDEN VIEW 1 1 41½ 32 52¼ 69½ 725¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 2.89  
7  PLUS POWER 7 7 84½ 85¾ 88¾ 815 841 (casse mar)TORRES A 118 12.00 29.31  
 
CD-3   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:213 :444 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ELECTRIC SENSE 3 2 12 11½   12 11¾ (barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 31% 2.20 5.59 W
5  ACACIAHELPME 5 4 65 55½   55 21¾ (o'connor r)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 12% 7.20 4.08 P
2  SONADOR 2 6 32½ 43½   22 31¾ (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 4.00 12.14  
4  BOURBONWITHGINGER 4 3 22 21½   32½ 45 (tooley jennife)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 10% 9.50 12.39  
1  MUSICMANSANDY 1 7 77 67½   66 56¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 1.69  
6  JACKIE FLASH 6 5 43 32½   43½ 68 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50 15% 5.90 3.63  
7  DOMITIA LUCILLA 7 1 54 78   78½ 79¾ (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 125 5.00 6.94  
 
CD-4   05/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:13 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY 4 2 55 65 31 2nk 1nk (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 36% 1.80 2.57 W
8  RAMADHAAN (IRE) 8 8 42 32 1nk 1nk 2nk (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 ★ 7.10 P
6  MORE ROMANCE 6 4 78¼ 87½ 63¼ 33½ 38¼ (scherer mariann)LANERIE J 124 6.00 16% 5.40 4.83 S
2  TAP THE LINE 2 6 65¼ 55 75¼ 45½ 410¾ (lauer mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 ★ 29.66  
5  FAST GAL 5 5 21 44 51¼ 67 513¾ (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 11.37  
1  WILMORE 1 1 88¼ 77 88¼ 89½ 617¾ (begley greg)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00 41.60  
7  DRE ME LESS 7 3 31 2½ 41¼ 79 721½ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 1.58  
3  BEACH KITTEN 3 7 11 1½ 2nk 56 822¼ (miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 7.85  
SCR  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY               (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
CD-5   05/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:114 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB) 6 5 42½ 44 61¼ 3½ 11¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 7% 12.60 1.90 W
2  EIDIKOS (GB) 2 2 2nk 21½ 1nk 1nk 21¾ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 14% 6.10 1.61 P
3  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 3 1 31 32 2nk 2nk 32 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 43% 1.30 4.86 S
1  MO SHIRO 1 8 75¼ 75 4¾ 42 43¼ (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 12.96  
7  BREAKER OF CHAINS 7 7 86¼ 64½ 71½ 64 53¾ (weaver geor)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
9  HELENS WELL (IRE) 8 6 1nk 11½ 3.2 53½ 69¼ (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 19.82  
4  JE SUIS RAPIDE 4 3 63¼ 85¼ 84 77 711 (king l)MOJICA JR 124 30.00 40.48  
5  TAKE CHARGE BRIANA 5 4 52¾ 54 51¼ 8100 8100 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 7.95  
SCR  ACADEMIC HONOR               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  SAKE (FR)               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00    
 
CD-6   05/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:124 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSIC AMORE 1 1 13 11½ 1nk 12½ 13½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 1.17  
3  WATERS OF MEROM 3 2 23 21½ 2nk 22½ 23½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 4.74  
4  SACRED BEAUTY 4 6 33 31½ 33 35½ 36¼ (wong jonat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 3.81  
7  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO 6 5 55½ 64¼ 57½ 510½ 417¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 29% 2.50 5.61  
8  SHE'S GONE D'WILD 7 4 44½ 43½ 45½ 410 518½ (barkley )SANTANA JR 118 6.00 17% 5.00 9.39  
5  ADDISON 5 7 65¾ 54 69½ 613 621 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00 8% 11.60 8.94  
2  ZAWADI 2 3 78¼ 79¼ 716 719 727¾ (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 42.20  
SCR  PRINCESS NINA               (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00 14% 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:21 :441 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWEET AZTECA 4 4 1½ 1½   11½ 12¼ (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 4.79  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SO SWEETITIZ by GRAND SLAM)
9  LITTLE PRANKSTER 9 5 42½ 31   21½ 22¼ (bauer phil)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★ 2.13 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOOD GRAMMAR by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  GENEROUS LOVER 5 1 32½ 41½   32 33½ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 22% 3.60 5.55 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
6  MISS ARLINGTON 6 2 2½ 2½   44½ 411½ (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 11.30  
  (by MARK VALESKI out of LUVNOTIONUMBERNINE by NOTIONAL)
3  PRINCESS POM POM 3 10 89½ 98½   59½ 514¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 118 15.00 37.36  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CECILEABRATION by GRAEME HALL)
7  SACRED CIRCLE 7 8 911 87½   711 617 (beckman )SANTANA JR 118 20.00 49.41  
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of TAR HEEL MOM by FLATTER)
1  BIRDIE ROSE 1 6 64 56   69½ 717¼ (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 25% 3.00 19.33  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HOMEMADE SALSA by TWO STEP SALSA)
10  MAMBA OUT 10 9 1011¼ 109½   812½ 817¼ (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 45.83  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of INNYMINNIEMINEYMOE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  GIADA 2 7 75 77   1014½ 924¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 32% 2.10 2.74  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TASTEFUL by STREET CRY)
8  HAPPY AM I 8 3 53½ 66   913½ 1024½ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★ 8.63  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CAT DANCE by TOM CAT)
 
CD-8   05/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :442 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  COPPOLA 6 3 31½ 41¼   2nk 14½ (romans dale)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00 9.03  
3  MISTER MMMMM 3 7 74¼ 73¼   53 24½ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.00 ★ 3.47 P
11  DIAMOND CITY 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 34½ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00 45.57  
13  WILLTORUN 8 6 63¾ 62¾   63½ 46¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 8.79  
15  CHARCOAL 9 2 2nk 2nk   32 57½ (wisner tracey)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 21.19  
8  THANKS MR. EIDSON 5 5 41¾ 31   42½ 67¾ (o'neill )SANTANA JR 121 10.00 7.22  
1  AGENT PETER GRAVES 1 4 53¼ 52¾   74 78¼ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 29% 2.50 1.79  
4  ALL IN SYNC 4 9 86¼ 84¾   85 810¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 15.14  
2  CHASING ARTIE 2 8 96¾ 97¾   911 928¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 4.57  
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (sharp joe)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  IAN GLASS               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 20.00    
SCR  KADRI               (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 ★    
SCR  MAMBA ON THREE               (david a)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  ON YOUR MARK               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT               (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  SUTHERLAND               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/02/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:13 1:382   2:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PROVE WORTHY 4 52½ 54 62½ 51¼ 2nk 14¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 16% 5.10 3.95 W
  (by CURLIN out of ENDLESS CHATTER by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  MOUNT CRAIG 5 85½ 87 74 41 1nk 24¼ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00 16% 5.10 8.48 P
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
6  TSHIEBWE 6 2½ 31½ 31 1½ 3½ 37 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7% 13.80 2.59 S
  (by RACE DAY out of DIVINE FRIENDS by DIVINE PARK)
3  GAME KEEPER 3 31 21 2½ 2½ 42 49½ (lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 19.62  
  (by HONOR CODE out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  ATLANTIC DANCER 1 97½ 99 95½ 83¾ 54½ 513½ (zito nichola)GEROUX FLORENT 125 15.00 21.00  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
2  ROUTE RUNNER 2 73½ 75½ 42 61¾ 65 615 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8% 12.10 7.58  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PURE CLAN by PURE PRIZE)
9  GAME WARDEN 9 42 43 52½ 72¾ 88½ 719 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 33% 2.10 3.38  
  (by TAPIT out of GLORY AND POWER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  HERO'S MEDAL 8 1½ 11 1½ 31 77 819 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 35.47  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7  BRAGGADOCIOUS 7 63½ 65½ 84½ 96¼ 99½ 919¼ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 5.20  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIZ O' GOLD by CEE'S TIZZY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.