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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Tuesday - May 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			WIN	(5/4/6)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$27.60			$21.60				360%
CD-2			WIN	(3/5/6/4)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$9.48			$1.48				19%
			EXA	(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-5		$28.16			$4.16				17%
			DD	(5/4/6)-(3/5/6/4)						12	$1.00	$12.00	4-3		$82.53			$70.53				588%
CD-3			WIN	(3/6/5/4)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$13.18			$5.18				65%
			EXA	(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-5		$75.04			$51.04				213%
			DD	(3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4)						16	$1.00	$16.00	3-3		$41.78			$25.78				161%
			PK3	(5/4/6)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4)						48	$0.50	$24.00	4-3-3		$436.45			$412.45				1719%
CD-4			WIN	(4/9/6)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$7.14			$1.14				19%
			EXA	(4/9/6)-(4/9/6/8/2)						12	$2.00	$24.00	4-8		$55.58			$31.58				132%
			TRI	(4/9/6)-(4/9/6/8/2)-(4/9/6/8/2)						36	$0.50	$18.00	4-8-6		$47.19			$29.19				162%
			SFT	(4/9/6)-(4/9/6/8/2)-(4/9/6/8/2)-(4/9/6/8/2)						72	$0.10	$7.20	4-8-6-2		$98.99			$91.79				1275%
			DD	(3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6)						12	$1.00	$12.00	3-4		$15.07			$3.07				26%
			PK3	(3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6)						48	$0.50	$24.00	3-3-4		$72.00			$48.00				200%
CD-5			PK3	(3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6)-(3/2/10/6/7)						60	$0.50	$30.00	3-4-6		$46.03			$16.03				53%
			PK4	(3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6)-(3/2/10/6/7)						240	$0.50	$120	3-3-4-6		$219.05			$99.05				83%
			PK5	(5/4/6)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(4/9/6)-(3/2/10/6/7)						720	$0.50	$360	4-3-3-4-6		$3943			$3583				995%
CD-9			EXA	(9/4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/2/6)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-5		$84.36			$44.36				111%
			TRI	(9/4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/2/6)-(9/4/5/2/6)						60	$0.50	$30.00	4-5-6		$92.61			$62.61				209%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/02/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($10K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE									(taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 124						12.00		8%		11.70		12.80	W
1	GORMLEYESQUE									(catalano)RODRIGUEZ A 113						1.60						2.73
2	KENTUCKY REIGN									(colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 108						8.00		★				2.26	S
5	GIRLS HOUSE									(cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 124						1.20		60%		0.70		1.11
6	RECITE									(pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00		5%		19.00		15.07
7	START CLASS									(medley jose)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124						30.00						31.16
SCR	TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS									(sims matth)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						6.00

CD-2			05/02/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LUNA MOTH									(simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 118						3.50		38%		1.70		3.74	W
2	PARTY AT GRANTS									(forster t)LANERIE J 118						10.00						4.03	DH
5	LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD									(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125						4.00		16%		5.10		3.65	P
4	RUDIMENTARY DRINK									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.00		8%		11.50		8.55
6	PROMISEMEPARADISE									(romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						5.00		8%		10.90		7.57
8	EMBRACEABLE									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118						12.00						12.02
1	GOLDEN VIEW									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00						2.89
7	PLUS POWER									(casse mar)TORRES A 118						12.00						29.31

CD-3			05/02/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	ELECTRIC SENSE									(barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 118						3.50		31%		2.20		5.59	W
5	ACACIAHELPME									(o'connor r)HERNANDEZ J 123						6.00		12%		7.20		4.08	P
2	SONADOR									(hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123						4.00						12.14
4	BOURBONWITHGINGER									(tooley jennife)MACHADO LUAN 123						15.00		10%		9.50		12.39
1	MUSICMANSANDY									(cash l)BEJARANO R 118						2.50						1.69
6	JACKIE FLASH									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125						4.50		15%		5.90		3.63
7	DOMITIA LUCILLA									(estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 125						5.00						6.94

CD-4			05/02/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50		36%		1.80		2.57	W
8	RAMADHAAN (IRE)									(meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124						8.00		★				7.10	P
6	MORE ROMANCE									(scherer mariann)LANERIE J 124						6.00		16%		5.40		4.83	S
2	TAP THE LINE									(lauer mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						15.00		★				29.66
5	FAST GAL									(romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 118						8.00						11.37
1	WILMORE									(begley greg)NAVAS YOEL 114						20.00						41.60
7	DRE ME LESS									(arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.00						1.58
3	BEACH KITTEN									(miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 124						15.00						7.85
SCR	A LITTLE BIT CRAZY									(wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124						3.00		26%		2.80

CD-5			05/02/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB)									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						3.50		7%		12.60		1.90	W
2	EIDIKOS (GB)									(motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124						3.00		14%		6.10		1.61	P
3	JOYFUL APPLAUSE									(pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124						3.50		43%		1.30		4.86	S
1	MO SHIRO									(catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118						15.00						12.96
7	BREAKER OF CHAINS									(weaver geor)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124						10.00		5%		19.00		15.60
9	HELENS WELL (IRE)									(reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 124						12.00						19.82
4	JE SUIS RAPIDE									(king l)MOJICA JR 124						30.00						40.48
5	TAKE CHARGE BRIANA									(lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118						5.00						7.95
SCR	ACADEMIC HONOR									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124						3.00		12%		7.70
SCR	SAKE (FR)									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124						6.00

CD-6			05/02/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($48K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	MUSIC AMORE									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						1.80						1.17
3	WATERS OF MEROM									(foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118						12.00						4.74
4	SACRED BEAUTY									(wong jonat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						2.00						3.81
7	NEVERSAYNOLETSGO									(reed r)BEJARANO R 118						5.00		29%		2.50		5.61
8	SHE'S GONE D'WILD									(barkley )SANTANA JR 118						6.00		17%		5.00		9.39
5	ADDISON									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118						15.00		8%		11.60		8.94
2	ZAWADI									(hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118						20.00						42.20
SCR	PRINCESS NINA									(cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113						12.00		14%		6.00

CD-7			05/02/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	SWEET AZTECA									(mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 118						8.00						4.79
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of SO SWEETITIZ by GRAND SLAM)
9	LITTLE PRANKSTER									(bauer phil)HERNANDEZ J 118						6.00		★				2.13	P
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOOD GRAMMAR by EXCHANGE RATE)
5	GENEROUS LOVER									(foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118						4.00		22%		3.60		5.55	S
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
6	MISS ARLINGTON									(williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						10.00						11.30
		(by MARK VALESKI out of LUVNOTIONUMBERNINE by NOTIONAL)
3	PRINCESS POM POM									(forster t)LANERIE J 118						15.00						37.36
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of CECILEABRATION by GRAEME HALL)
7	SACRED CIRCLE									(beckman )SANTANA JR 118						20.00						49.41
		(by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of TAR HEEL MOM by FLATTER)
1	BIRDIE ROSE									(blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						6.00		25%		3.00		19.33
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of HOMEMADE SALSA by TWO STEP SALSA)
10	MAMBA OUT									(hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118						15.00						45.83
		(by MOR SPIRIT out of INNYMINNIEMINEYMOE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2	GIADA									(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50		32%		2.10		2.74
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of TASTEFUL by STREET CRY)
8	HAPPY AM I									(stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						6.00		★				8.63
		(by RUNHAPPY out of CAT DANCE by TOM CAT)

CD-8			05/02/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	COPPOLA									(romans dale)VELAZQUEZ R 121						10.00						9.03
3	MISTER MMMMM									(catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123						4.00		★				3.47	P
11	DIAMOND CITY									(hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 121						30.00						45.57
13	WILLTORUN									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121						10.00						8.79
15	CHARCOAL									(wisner tracey)TALAMO JOSEPH 121						15.00						21.19
8	THANKS MR. EIDSON									(o'neill )SANTANA JR 121						10.00						7.22
1	AGENT PETER GRAVES									(mott william )ORTIZ JR 121						3.00		29%		2.50		1.79
4	ALL IN SYNC									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						12.00						15.14
2	CHASING ARTIE									(joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.50						4.57
SCR	HE'SMYHONEYBADGER									(sharp joe)GEROUX FLORENT 121						12.00
SCR	IAN GLASS									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 121						20.00
SCR	KADRI									(cash l)BEJARANO R 121						12.00		★
SCR	MAMBA ON THREE									(david a)SAEZ LUIS 121						5.00		48%		1.10
SCR	ON YOUR MARK									(foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121						15.00
SCR	SANTOS DUMONT									(hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 121						10.00		★
SCR	SUTHERLAND									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						15.00

CD-9			05/02/2023		6600ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	PROVE WORTHY									(pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118						4.00		16%		5.10		3.95	W
		(by CURLIN out of ENDLESS CHATTER by FIRST SAMURAI)
5	MOUNT CRAIG									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125						8.00		16%		5.10		8.48	P
		(by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
6	TSHIEBWE									(pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118						3.50		7%		13.80		2.59	S
		(by RACE DAY out of DIVINE FRIENDS by DIVINE PARK)
3	GAME KEEPER									(lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 118						15.00						19.62
		(by HONOR CODE out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1	ATLANTIC DANCER									(zito nichola)GEROUX FLORENT 125						15.00						21.00
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
2	ROUTE RUNNER									(asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118						6.00		8%		12.10		7.58
		(by GUN RUNNER out of PURE CLAN by PURE PRIZE)
9	GAME WARDEN									(mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118						3.00		33%		2.10		3.38
		(by TAPIT out of GLORY AND POWER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8	HERO'S MEDAL									(stall m)LANERIE J 118						20.00						35.47
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7	BRAGGADOCIOUS									(arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 125						4.50						5.20
		(by GUN RUNNER out of TIZ O' GOLD by CEE'S TIZZY)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.