The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Tuesday - May 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $27.60 $27.60 21.60
    Exacta (4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 4-1 2 0 $98.96 $0.00 -18.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 4-1-2 3 0 $67.46 $0.00 -9.00
CD-2   Win (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.48 $9.48 1.48
    Exacta (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-5 2 1 $28.16 $28.16 4.16
    Trifecta (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-5-2 3 0 $23.63 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-3 2 1 $82.53 $82.53 70.53
CD-3   Win (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $13.18 $13.18 5.18
    Exacta (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-5 2 1 $75.04 $75.04 51.04
    Trifecta (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-5-2 3 0 $129.24 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 3-3 2 1 $41.78 $41.78 25.78
    Pick Three (4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-3-3 3 1 $436.45 $436.45 412.45
CD-4   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $7.14 $7.14 3.14
    Exacta (4/6)-(2/4/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-8 2 1 $55.58 $55.58 43.58
    Trifecta (4/6)-(2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 4-8-6 3 1 $47.19 $47.19 41.19
    Daily Double (3/4/5/6)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 3-4 2 1 $15.07 $15.07 7.07
    Pick Three (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(4/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 3-3-4 3 1 $72.00 $72.00 56.00
CD-5   Win (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
    Exacta (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-2 2 1 $13.36 $13.36 -10.64
    Trifecta (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-2-3 3 1 $8.82 $8.82 -3.18
    Daily Double (4/6)-(2/3/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 4-6 2 1 $13.85 $13.85 5.85
    Pick Three (3/4/5/6)-(4/6)-(2/3/6/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 3-4-6 3 1 $46.03 $46.03 30.03
CD-6   Win (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.34 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-3 2 0 $14.24 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/7/8)-(5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-3-4 3 0 $8.20 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6/7)-(5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $6.50 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/6)-(2/3/6/7)-(5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-6-1 3 0 $13.42 $0.00 -12.00
CD-7   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.58 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-9 2 0 $40.24 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/8/9)-(1/2/5/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 4-9-5 3 0 $54.55 $0.00 -18.00
    Daily Double (5/7/8)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-4 2 0 $17.50 $0.00 -9.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6/7)-(5/7/8)-(1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 6-1-4 3 0 $27.43 $0.00 -18.00
CD-8   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 9 1 0 $20.06 $0.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1)-(1/3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 9-3 2 0 $86.16 $0.00 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 9-3-11 3 0 $500.12 $0.00 0.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 4-9 2 0 $53.49 $0.00 -3.00
    Pick Three (5/7/8)-(1/2/5)-(1) 9 $0.50 $4.50 1-4-9 3 0 $72.33 $0.00 -4.50
CD-9   Win (2/4/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $9.90 $9.90 -0.10
    Exacta (2/4/5/6/9)-(2/4/5/6/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 4-5 2 1 $84.36 $84.36 44.36
    Trifecta (2/4/5/6/9)-(2/4/5/6/9)-(2/4/5/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-5-6 3 1 $92.61 $92.61 62.61
    Daily Double (1)-(2/4/5/6/9) 5 $1.00 $5.00 9-4 2 0 $51.59 $0.00 -5.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(1)-(2/4/5/6/9) 15 $0.50 $7.50 4-9-4 3 0 $207.26 $0.00 -7.50

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/02/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:223 :454 1:114     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 3 6 45 4   21 1(taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 124 12.00 8% 11.70 12.80 W
GORMLEYESQUE 1 1 2 2½   11 2(catalano w)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.60 2.73  
KENTUCKY REIGN 2 2 1 1½   335 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 108 8.00 2.26 S
GIRLS HOUSE 4 4 3 32   44(cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 1.20 60% 0.70 1.11  
RECITE 5 3 57 5   56 516½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.07  
START CLASS 6 5 6 6   610 618 (medley joseph)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 31.16  
SCR  TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS               (sims matthew)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00    
 
CD-2   05/02/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:243 :49 1:141 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA MOTH 3 2 53 54 31 11 12 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 38% 1.70 3.74 W
PARTY AT GRANTS 2 6 6 64 6 322 (forster t)LANERIE J 118 10.00 4.03 DH
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 5 5 21 21 2nk 21 22 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 4.00 16% 5.10 3.65 P
RUDIMENTARY DRINK 4 4 3 4 42 54(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8% 11.50 8.55  
PROMISEMEPARADISE 6 3 11 11 1nk 4512¼ (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 8% 10.90 7.57  
EMBRACEABLE 8 8 74 7 7 711 616¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 12.02  
GOLDEN VIEW 1 1 4 32 5 6725¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 2.89  
PLUS POWER 7 7 8 8 8 815 841 (casse mark)TORRES A 118 12.00 29.31  
 
CD-3   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
:213 :444 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTRIC SENSE 3 2 12 1   12 1(barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 31% 2.20 5.59 W
ACACIAHELPME 5 4 65 5   55 2(o'connor rob)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 12% 7.20 4.08 P
SONADOR 2 6 3 4   22 3(hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 4.00 12.14  
BOURBONWITHGINGER 4 3 22 2   345 (tooley jennifer)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 10% 9.50 12.39  
MUSICMANSANDY 1 7 77 6   66 5(cash l)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 1.69  
JACKIE FLASH 6 5 43 3   468 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50 15% 5.90 3.63  
DOMITIA LUCILLA 7 1 54 78   77(estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 125 5.00 6.94  
 
CD-4   05/02/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:234 :473 1:13 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY 4 2 55 65 31 2nk 1nk (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 36% 1.80 2.57 W
RAMADHAAN (IRE) 8 8 42 32 1nk 1nk 2nk (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 7.10 P
MORE ROMANCE 6 4 7 8 6 33(scherer marianne)LANERIE J 124 6.00 16% 5.40 4.83 S
TAP THE LINE 2 6 6 55 7 4410¾ (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 29.66  
FAST GAL 5 5 21 44 5 67 513¾ (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 11.37  
WILMORE 1 1 8 77 8 8617¾ (begley greg)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00 41.60  
DRE ME LESS 7 3 31 2½ 4 79 721½ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 1.58  
BEACH KITTEN 3 7 11 1½ 2nk 56 822¼ (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 7.85  
SCR  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY               (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
CD-5   05/02/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
:233 :472 1:114 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB) 6 5 4 44 6 3½ 1(walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 7% 12.60 1.90 W
EIDIKOS (GB) 2 2 2nk 2 1nk 1nk 2(motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 14% 6.10 1.61 P
JOYFUL APPLAUSE 3 1 31 32 2nk 2nk 32 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 43% 1.30 4.86 S
MO SHIRO 1 8 7 75 4¾ 42 4(catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 12.96  
BREAKER OF CHAINS 7 7 8 6 7 64 5(weaver george)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
HELENS WELL (IRE) 8 6 1nk 1 3.2 56(reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 19.82  
JE SUIS RAPIDE 4 3 6 8 84 77 711 (king l)MOJICA JR 124 30.00 40.48  
TAKE CHARGE BRIANA 5 4 5 54 5 8100 8100 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 7.95  
SCR  ACADEMIC HONOR               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  SAKE (FR)               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00    
 
CD-6   05/02/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
:243 :483 1:124 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSIC AMORE 1 1 13 1 1nk 11(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 1.17  
WATERS OF MEROM 3 2 23 2 2nk 22(foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 4.74  
SACRED BEAUTY 4 6 33 3 33 33(wong jonatha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 3.81  
NEVERSAYNOLETSGO 6 5 5 6 5 510½ 417¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 29% 2.50 5.61  
SHE'S GONE D'WILD 7 4 4 4 4 410 518½ (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 17% 5.00 9.39  
ADDISON 5 7 6 54 6 613 621 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00 8% 11.60 8.94  
ZAWADI 2 3 7 7 716 719 727¾ (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 42.20  
SCR  PRINCESS NINA               (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00 14% 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:21 :441 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET AZTECA 4 4 1½ 1½   11(mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 4.79  
LITTLE PRANKSTER 9 5 4 31   22(bauer philip)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 2.13 P
GENEROUS LOVER 5 1 3 4   32 3(foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 22% 3.60 5.55 S
MISS ARLINGTON 6 2 2½ 2½   4411½ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 11.30  
PRINCESS POM POM 3 10 8 9   5514¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 118 15.00 37.36  
SACRED CIRCLE 7 8 911 8   711 617 (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 20.00 49.41  
BIRDIE ROSE 1 6 64 56   6717¼ (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 25% 3.00 19.33  
10  MAMBA OUT 10 9 1011¼ 10   812½ 817¼ (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 45.83  
GIADA 2 7 75 77   1014½ 924¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 32% 2.10 2.74  
HAPPY AM I 8 3 5 66   913½ 1024½ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 8.63  
 
CD-8   05/02/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:22 :442 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPOLA 6 3 3 4   2nk 1(romans dale)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00 9.03  
MISTER MMMMM 3 7 7 7   53 2(catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.00 3.47 P
11  DIAMOND CITY 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3(hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00 45.57  
13  WILLTORUN 8 6 6 6   64(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 8.79  
15  CHARCOAL 9 2 2nk 2nk   32 5(wisner j)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 21.19  
THANKS MR. EIDSON 5 5 4 31   46(o'neill do)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 7.22  
AGENT PETER GRAVES 1 4 5 5   74 7(mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 29% 2.50 1.79  
ALL IN SYNC 4 9 8 8   85 810¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 15.14  
CHASING ARTIE 2 8 9 9   911 928¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 4.57  
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (sharp joe)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  IAN GLASS               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 20.00    
SCR  KADRI               (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
SCR  MAMBA ON THREE               (david a)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  ON YOUR MARK               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT               (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
SCR  SUTHERLAND               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/02/2023 6600ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:234 :482 1:13 1:382   2:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVE WORTHY 4 554 6 5 2nk 1(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 16% 5.10 3.95 W
MOUNT CRAIG 5 887 74 41 1nk 2(moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00 16% 5.10 8.48 P
TSHIEBWE 6 2½ 3 31 1½ 3½ 37 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7% 13.80 2.59 S
GAME KEEPER 3 31 21 2½ 2½ 42 4(lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 19.62  
ATLANTIC DANCER 1 999 9 8 5513½ (zito nicholas )GEROUX FLORENT 125 15.00 21.00  
ROUTE RUNNER 2 77 42 6 65 615 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8% 12.10 7.58  
GAME WARDEN 9 42 43 5 7 8719 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 33% 2.10 3.38  
HERO'S MEDAL 8 1½ 11 1½ 31 77 819 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 35.47  
BRAGGADOCIOUS 7 66 8 9 9919¼ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 5.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.