Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.16 $9.16 3.16
KEE-2   Win (8/1/13/5/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
KEE-3   Win (5/8/2/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $19.68  
KEE-4   Win (7/1/5/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $13.22 $13.22 3.22
KEE-5   Win (11/16/15/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $8.28 $8.28  
KEE-6   Win (3/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $15.08 $15.08 7.08
KEE-7   Win (2/7/16/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $7.66  
KEE-8   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $37.50  
KEE-9   Win (9/10/8/6/16) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $7.40  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY WITH A CAUSE 2 1 31 2nk 1nk 1 1 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 17% 4.80 3.58 W
DIALHERUP 1 3 11 1nk 2nk 2 2 (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 37% 1.70 0.46 P
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 3 6 5 4 4 36 310½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 20.51  
FIRST HILL 6 5 21 3½ 31 410 417¾ (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 26% 2.80 10.27  
HONOR HALLAREN 4 2 4 52 5 516 532½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 126 8.00 6.94  
HIGH END VIXEN 5 4 6 69 622½ 634 655 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 32.35  
 
KEE-2   04/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :45       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN RASCAL 5 2 2     12 110¼ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 25% 3.10 0.50 W
13  PRINTS MONEY 7 1 56     36 210¼ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.93 P
16  PRINCE OF POWER 9 6 4     4 312½ (vosler eugene )WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 30.00 49.12  
FROSTY THE GIANT 3 9 89     79 412¾ (farrior anthony)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6.53  
15  LOUDERMILK 8 4 1     22 513¼ (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.48  
INNOCENT MAN 2 8 67     67 613¼ (navarrete anna)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 26.30  
WOODCOURT 4 3 35     5 714 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 54.30  
FAMILY FACTOR 1 7 912½     913 817 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 24.66  
11  LEGAL TITAN 6 5 7     810½ 917¼ (ewing an)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00 31.30  
SCR  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  CHISPARRAJOS               (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  COMMISSIONER DAN               (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COWES               (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  KORE KINETIC               (mendez luis)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO WAY CARL               (hancock a)STEVENS C 119 30.00    
SCR  WILSON Q               (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN CITY 3 2 1½ 11 12 12 1 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 8.84  
CAMILO 8 5 52 4 22 22 2 (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.40 2.23 P
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 1 1 3 6 66 46 3 (michael brian)ORM CORY 120 10.00 17.46  
10  QUIET RIDE 10 7 7 7 8 68 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 25.44  
11  BERRETTINI 11 8 8 9 7 57 5 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 15.00 5% 17.50 6.00  
WRITE OFF JERRY 5 11 10 8 5 36 6 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 46% 1.20 3.70  
HIGHEST RATED (IRE) 7 10 11 11 1110¼ 812½ 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 7.67  
12  AMERICAN ONLY 12 12 12 1210¼ 1010¼ 913½ 814¼ (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 40.01  
DUBAI AND BACK (IRE) 6 4 42 3 35 7 915¼ (ewing ann)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 61.34  
RIVER IN EGYPT 9 6 6 5 9 1119 1029 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 19.28  
TIGER'S LEGACY 4 3 2½ 21 4 1018 1129¾ (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 22.83  
PEARSE 2 9 9 10 1220¼ 12100 12100 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 6% 16.30 10.73  
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY               (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PRANKS               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
SCR  MOESAHANDFUL               (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
SCR  SAVAGE KISS               (heitzman eric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00    
 
KEE-4   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:132 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTERIAL 5 6 3.2 3.2 1½ 2nk 1nk (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 6% 15.40 5.61 W
JEEPER 8 2 4 4 52 1nk 2nk (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 6% 17.00 1.74 P
HOKU 6 3 5 5 3½ 32 37 (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 51% 1.00 1.58 S
COALMINER'S KITTEN 2 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 44 4 (demeritte larry)MCENTEE GRACE 118 15.00 33.74  
SAILOR'S RETURN 7 8 8 6 6 5 59 (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 126 15.00 10.35  
YONO 4 7 7 8 7 68 611 (estvanko r)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00 15.75  
MONKEY ZONE 3 4 6 7 811 816 725¼ (curtsinger ma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 66.76  
TAP THE CANDY 1 5 2nk 2nk 41 711 826 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 6.00 12% 7.50 9.31  
SCR  HAROLD'S CLOUD               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 5% 17.50    
 
KEE-5   04/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:224 :46 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DARING DO 9 7 5 4¾   1nk 1nk (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 28% 2.50 3.14 W
HIDEKI 4 6 62 6   4 2nk (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 8% 10.90 5.89 P
15  ONLY KIDDING 11 1 31 3½   2nk 3½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 18% 4.50 4.16 S
LOST MY SOCK 1 5 7 7   8 4 (ryan s)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 3.27  
MASSARD 6 4 4 5   5 52 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 46.20  
RETAIL THERAPIST 5 8 9 9   94 62 (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00 26.90  
10  CODE FOR SUCCESS 8 9 8 8   10 7 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 31.11  
MORNIN' BOSS 3 10 10 116   6 8 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 39.83  
PEACH COBBLER 7 2 1½ 1nk   31 95 (winebaugh ch)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 11.13  
CUZZYWUZZY 2 11 11 10   11 10 (guerrero sal)GILLIGAN JACK 124 8.00 22.67  
12  FUNNY MONEY HONEY (IRE) 10 3 2½ 2nk   7 1113 (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 6% 16.40 6.18  
SCR  GEORGEES SPIRIT               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  MANORELLI               (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00    
SCR  STELLA TERESA               (wojczynski just)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 124 50.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL               (delgado h)MOJICA O 118 6.00    
 
KEE-6   04/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIFTY 3 5 5 3   2½ 1 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 26% 2.80 6.54 W
BLUE KENTUCKY 1 7 86 8   44 2 (sims p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 13% 6.70 2.11 P
MY MAN FLINTSTONE 5 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 3 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 23.36  
TILTED TOWERS 8 6 4¼ 2nk   32 4 (vanden brit)ROCCO S 118 4.50 8% 12.00 5.64  
DEVIL'S TOWER 4 3 6 42   56 5 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 1.56  
SUMMER SPLASH 2 8 7 7   6 613 (mckeever andrew)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 22% 3.50 9.48  
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 6 4 1nk 5   710 719 (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 27.27  
ONE LAST HAND 7 2 3.2 63   813 825¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 30.00 40.19  
 
KEE-7   04/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:111 1:343   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) 9 7 5 53 5 31 1¼ (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 2.83  
COMMANDEER 7 9 96 96 9 52 2¼ (toner james)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 31.56  
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 4 2 4 42 3 2½ 3 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 7.61  
KUPUNA 2 3 2 21 2nk 1½ 4 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 19% 4.10 5.64  
READY TO PURRFORM 5 8 74 74 8 75 56 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5.20  
HOT BLOODED 3 4 6 6 6 6 67 (david a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 7% 12.70 37.98  
13  JUNGLE WARFARE 11 10 108 108 10 98 77 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 49.25  
DOMINICAN PIONEER 1 1 1 11 1nk 41 8 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 3.75  
12  TWO BIRDS 10 5 85 8 7 86 9 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 34.32  
KITTANSETT 6 11 1111½ 1111 1110¼ 1110 1010 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00 9.74  
10  FENWICK STATION 8 6 32 3 4 109 1113¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 9.63  
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE               (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 118 2.50 10% 8.50    
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT               (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
SCR  EL KABONG               (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 15.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB)               (meah m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
 
KEE-8   04/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:373   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME FOR TROUBLE 2 1 31 31 4 4¾ 1nk (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 17.75  
CREATIVE MINISTER 6 5 42 4 31 1nk 2nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 21% 3.80 4.16 P
COOKE CREEK 5 4 5 5 5 5 3.2 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 3.80  
SPA CITY 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 4¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 10.48  
VITTORIO 1 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 3.2 5¾ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 26% 2.80 0.92  
WAR CAMPAIGN 3 6 65 64 6 6 68 (sims a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 21% 3.80 6.71  
SCR  COASTAL DEFENSE               (romans dale)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SCR  CURBSTONE               (morley thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
 
KEE-9   04/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:152 1:264   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERLOCK'S JEWEL 5 2 21 21 2½ 1 1nk (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 2.70  
BALTHAZAR 7 7 5 42 3 42 2nk (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 62% 0.60 5.44 P
10  CYBER NINJA 8 10 9 10 95 5 3.15 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 6% 16.30 4.74 S
ANCHOR MANNE 2 5 32 3 4 2 4 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 48.13  
ST. NEOTS 4 4 7 84 8 7 5 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 6.48  
JUST SO 6 6 4 5 53 6 6 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 5% 18.70 3.58  
SIG 1 1 11 11 1½ 3 7 (rivera justin)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 58.65  
11  GOLD FRANC (IRE) 9 8 85 6 6 8 8 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 21.04  
FORGE IN FIRE 3 3 6 74 7 9 9 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 8.23  
13  QUALITY ART 11 11 119 11 10 10 10 (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 28.41  
12  JOINT VENTURE 10 9 106 9 118 1121¼ 1132½ (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 30.00 66.77  
SCR  CHLOE'S DREAM               (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COMPOSER'S DREAM               (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
SCR  ROENICK               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
SCR  ROYAL SANDRIN               (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAMANIC               (sharp joe)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.