Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.16 $3.16 53%
KEE-4   WIN (7/1/5/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $13.22 $3.22 32%
KEE-5   EXA (11/16/15/5/12)-(11/16/15/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-5 $31.78 $11.78 59%
    DD (7/1/5/9/6)-(11/16/15/5/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  5-11 $27.40 $2.40 10%
KEE-6   WIN (3/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $15.08 $7.08 89%
    EXA (3/2/1/8)-(3/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $28.12 $16.12 134%
    PK3 (7/1/5/9/6)-(11/16/15/5/12)-(3/2/1/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00  5-11-3 $117.17 $67.17 134%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY WITH A CAUSE 2 1 31 2nk 1nk 1 1 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 17% 4.80 3.58 W
DIALHERUP 1 3 11 1nk 2nk 2 2 (stidham micha)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 37% 1.70 0.46 P
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 3 6 5 4 4 36 310½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 20.51  
FIRST HILL 6 5 21 3½ 31 410 417¾ (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 26% 2.80 10.27  
HONOR HALLAREN 4 2 4 52 5 516 532½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 126 8.00 6.94  
HIGH END VIXEN 5 4 6 69 622½ 634 655 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 32.35  
 
KEE-2   04/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :45       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN RASCAL 5 2 2     12 110¼ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 25% 3.10 0.50 W
  (by CURLIN out of LADY AURELIA by SCAT DADDY)
13  PRINTS MONEY 7 1 56     36 210¼ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.93 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPERNATURAL by GHOSTZAPPER)
16  PRINCE OF POWER 9 6 4     4 312½ (vosler eugen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 30.00 49.12  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)
FROSTY THE GIANT 3 9 89     79 412¾ (farrior antho)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6.53  
  (by FROSTED out of FIELD OF FLOWERS by CITY ZIP)
15  LOUDERMILK 8 4 1     22 513¼ (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.48  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ASCOT DAY by STREET SENSE)
INNOCENT MAN 2 8 67     67 613¼ (navarrete anna)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 26.30  
  (by HONOR CODE out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
WOODCOURT 4 3 35     5 714 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 54.30  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WARRIORESS by POWERFUL VENUE)
FAMILY FACTOR 1 7 912½     913 817 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 24.66  
  (by THE FACTOR out of USHUAIA by CAPE CANAVERAL)
11  LEGAL TITAN 6 5 7     810½ 917¼ (ewing michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00 31.30  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of TAYLOR LANE by PARADING)
SCR  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ENDLESS CHATTER by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  CHISPARRAJOS               (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of AMAZING SHOES by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  COMMISSIONER DAN               (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS LIVONA by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  COWES               (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of SAILING SHIKSA by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  KORE KINETIC               (mendez luis)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CONNECTED FITNESS by CONGRATS)
SCR  NO WAY CARL               (hancock john)STEVENS C 119 30.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of LILAC LILLY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  WILSON Q               (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MARGATE GARDENS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
KEE-3   04/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN CITY 3 2 1½ 11 12 12 1 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 8.84  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNICORN GIRL by A. P. FIVE HUNDRED)
CAMILO 8 5 52 4 22 22 2 (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.40 2.23 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MANGO DIVA by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR)
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 1 1 3 6 66 46 3 (michael brian)ORM CORY 120 10.00 17.46  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
10  QUIET RIDE 10 7 7 7 8 68 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 25.44  
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SOFT WHISPER (IRE) by DUBAWI (IRE))
11  BERRETTINI 11 8 8 9 7 57 5 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 15.00 5% 17.50 6.00  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WRITE OFF JERRY 5 11 10 8 5 36 6 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 46% 1.20 3.70  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIMELY by VERRAZANO)
HIGHEST RATED (IRE) 7 10 11 11 1110¼ 812½ 7 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 7.67  
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of BELESTA by XAAR (GB))
12  AMERICAN ONLY 12 12 12 1210¼ 1010¼ 913½ 814¼ (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 40.01  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
DUBAI AND BACK (IRE) 6 4 42 3 35 7 915¼ (ewing a)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 61.34  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STUBBINS by MORNING LINE)
RIVER IN EGYPT 9 6 6 5 9 1119 1029 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 19.28  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
TIGER'S LEGACY 4 3 2½ 21 4 1018 1129¾ (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 22.83  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MY LADY LUCK by HARD SPUN)
PEARSE 2 9 9 10 1220¼ 12100 12100 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 6% 16.30 10.73  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY               (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DESERT GAZELLE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MIDNIGHT PRANKS               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MIDNIGHT GIRL by DROSSELMEYER)
SCR  MOESAHANDFUL               (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of TIZAHANDFUL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  SAVAGE KISS               (heitzman er)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of KISSIN KIM by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
KEE-4   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:132 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTERIAL 5 6 3.2 3.2 1½ 2nk 1nk (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 6% 15.40 5.61 W
JEEPER 8 2 4 4 52 1nk 2nk (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 6% 17.00 1.74 P
HOKU 6 3 5 5 3½ 32 37 (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 51% 1.00 1.58 S
COALMINER'S KITTEN 2 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 44 4 (demeritte lar)MCENTEE GRACE 118 15.00 33.74  
SAILOR'S RETURN 7 8 8 6 6 5 59 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 126 15.00 10.35  
YONO 4 7 7 8 7 68 611 (estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00 15.75  
MONKEY ZONE 3 4 6 7 811 816 725¼ (curtsinger )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00 66.76  
TAP THE CANDY 1 5 2nk 2nk 41 711 826 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 6.00 12% 7.50 9.31  
SCR  HAROLD'S CLOUD               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 5% 17.50    
 
KEE-5   04/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:224 :46 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DARING DO 9 7 5 4¾   1nk 1nk (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 28% 2.50 3.14 W
HIDEKI 4 6 62 6   4 2nk (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 8% 10.90 5.89 P
15  ONLY KIDDING 11 1 31 3½   2nk 3½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 18% 4.50 4.16 S
LOST MY SOCK 1 5 7 7   8 4 (ryan s)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 3.27  
MASSARD 6 4 4 5   5 52 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 46.20  
RETAIL THERAPIST 5 8 9 9   94 62 (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00 26.90  
10  CODE FOR SUCCESS 8 9 8 8   10 7 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 31.11  
MORNIN' BOSS 3 10 10 116   6 8 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 39.83  
PEACH COBBLER 7 2 1½ 1nk   31 95 (winebaugh )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 11.13  
CUZZYWUZZY 2 11 11 10   11 10 (guerrero sal)GILLIGAN JACK 124 8.00 22.67  
12  FUNNY MONEY HONEY (IRE) 10 3 2½ 2nk   7 1113 (lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 6% 16.40 6.18  
SCR  GEORGEES SPIRIT               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  MANORELLI               (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00    
SCR  STELLA TERESA               (wojczynski ju)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 124 50.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL               (delgado h)MOJICA O 118 6.00    
 
KEE-6   04/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIFTY 3 5 5 3   2½ 1 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 26% 2.80 6.54 W
BLUE KENTUCKY 1 7 86 8   44 2 (sims p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 13% 6.70 2.11 P
MY MAN FLINTSTONE 5 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 3 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 23.36  
TILTED TOWERS 8 6 4¼ 2nk   32 4 (vanden br)ROCCO S 118 4.50 8% 12.00 5.64  
DEVIL'S TOWER 4 3 6 42   56 5 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 1.56  
SUMMER SPLASH 2 8 7 7   6 613 (mckeever andrew)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 22% 3.50 9.48  
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 6 4 1nk 5   710 719 (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 27.27  
ONE LAST HAND 7 2 3.2 63   813 825¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 30.00 40.19  
 
KEE-7   04/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:111 1:343   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) 9 7 5 53 5 31 1¼ (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 2.83  
COMMANDEER 7 9 96 96 9 52 2¼ (toner jam)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 31.56  
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 4 2 4 42 3 2½ 3 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 7.61  
KUPUNA 2 3 2 21 2nk 1½ 4 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 19% 4.10 5.64  
READY TO PURRFORM 5 8 74 74 8 75 56 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5.20  
HOT BLOODED 3 4 6 6 6 6 67 (david carlos )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 7% 12.70 37.98  
13  JUNGLE WARFARE 11 10 108 108 10 98 77 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 49.25  
DOMINICAN PIONEER 1 1 1 11 1nk 41 8 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 3.75  
12  TWO BIRDS 10 5 85 8 7 86 9 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 34.32  
KITTANSETT 6 11 1111½ 1111 1110¼ 1110 1010 (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00 9.74  
10  FENWICK STATION 8 6 32 3 4 109 1113¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 9.63  
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE               (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 118 2.50 10% 8.50    
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT               (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
SCR  EL KABONG               (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 15.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB)               (meah m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
 
KEE-8   04/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:373   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME FOR TROUBLE 2 1 31 31 4 4¾ 1nk (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 17.75  
CREATIVE MINISTER 6 5 42 4 31 1nk 2nk (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 21% 3.80 4.16 P
COOKE CREEK 5 4 5 5 5 5 3.2 (o'dwyer jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 3.80  
SPA CITY 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 4¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 10.48  
VITTORIO 1 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 3.2 5¾ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 26% 2.80 0.92  
WAR CAMPAIGN 3 6 65 64 6 6 68 (sims a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 21% 3.80 6.71  
SCR  COASTAL DEFENSE               (romans dale)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SCR  CURBSTONE               (morley thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
 
KEE-9   04/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:152 1:264   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERLOCK'S JEWEL 5 2 21 21 2½ 1 1nk (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 2.70  
  (by LEA out of JEWEL KAT by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BALTHAZAR 7 7 5 42 3 42 2nk (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 62% 0.60 5.44 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  CYBER NINJA 8 10 9 10 95 5 3.15 (mott william )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 6% 16.30 4.74 S
  (by ARROGATE out of FAMOUS ALICE by KITTEN'S JOY)
ANCHOR MANNE 2 5 32 3 4 2 4 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 48.13  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of MYRNA ANNE by MOMENT OF HOPE)
ST. NEOTS 4 4 7 84 8 7 5 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 6.48  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALLIE by BAYOU HEBERT)
JUST SO 6 6 4 5 53 6 6 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 5% 18.70 3.58  
  (by JUSTIFY out of TURBULENT DESCENT by CONGRATS)
SIG 1 1 11 11 1½ 3 7 (rivera justin)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 58.65  
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of SUEDE SHOE by PULPIT)
11  GOLD FRANC (IRE) 9 8 85 6 6 8 8 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 21.04  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ARMURE BLEUE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
FORGE IN FIRE 3 3 6 74 7 9 9 (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 8.23  
  (by KANTHAROS out of CHOIR by COX'S RIDGE)
13  QUALITY ART 11 11 119 11 10 10 10 (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 28.41  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of NEREID by ROCK HARD TEN)
12  JOINT VENTURE 10 9 106 9 118 1121¼ 1132½ (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 30.00 66.77  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ABBEYVILLE MISS by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  CHLOE'S DREAM               (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STRUCK IT LUCKY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  COMPOSER'S DREAM               (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CIRCLE OF ROSSETTI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  ROENICK               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SEE ROCK CITY by TAPIT)
SCR  ROYAL SANDRIN               (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GENEROSIDADE by NEDAWI)
SCR  SHAMANIC               (sharp joe)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of TIZZY FEVER by TIZNOW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.