Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (8/13) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-3   Win (5/8/2/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-4   Win (7/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (11/15/5/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (3/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-8   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-9   Win (9/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIALHERUP Mar25 Feb23       (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 37% 1.70    
LADY WITH A CAUSE Mar16 Feb16 Jan20 Dec31 Nov24 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 17% 4.80    
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Mar25 Feb23       (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
HONOR HALLAREN Mar11         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 126 8.00    
HIGH END VIXEN Nov18         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
FIRST HILL Mar09 Feb16 Jan13 Oct30   (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
KEE-2   04/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COWES         (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
FAMILY FACTOR         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
INNOCENT MAN         (navarrete anna)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
FROSTY THE GIANT         (farrior anthony)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  KORE KINETIC         (mendez luis)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
WOODCOURT         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 20.00    
AMERICAN RASCAL         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 25% 3.10    
SCR  WILSON Q         (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
SCR  NO WAY CARL         (hancock a)STEVENS C 119 30.00    
11  LEGAL TITAN         (ewing an)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 20.00    
SCR  CHISPARRAJOS         (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
13  PRINTS MONEY         (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COMMISSIONER DAN         (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
15  LOUDERMILK         (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
16  PRINCE OF POWER Apr07         (vosler eugene )WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 30.00    
 
KEE-3   04/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK Mar25 Feb17       (michael brian)ORM CORY 120 10.00    
PEARSE Mar11         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 6% 16.30    
OCEAN CITY Mar26 Feb18       (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
TIGER'S LEGACY Mar12 Feb01       (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
WRITE OFF JERRY Mar25 Feb10 Jan06     (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
DUBAI AND BACK (IRE) Feb24         (ewing ann)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
HIGHEST RATED (IRE)         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
CAMILO Mar18         (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
RIVER IN EGYPT Mar25 Feb10 Jan27     (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
10  QUIET RIDE Jan20 Dec29       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  BERRETTINI Sep03         (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 15.00 5% 17.50    
12  AMERICAN ONLY         (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
SCR  MOESAHANDFUL Mar19 Feb18       (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
SCR  SAVAGE KISS Mar24         (heitzman eric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00    
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY Apr01         (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PRANKS Jan21 Dec16 Nov26 Oct30   (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
 
KEE-4   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE CANDY Mar24 Feb10 Jan04 Dec09 Nov23 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
COALMINER'S KITTEN Apr01 Feb08 Jan12 Nov11 Sep25 (demeritte larry)MCENTEE GRACE 118 15.00    
MONKEY ZONE Mar15 Mar04 Sep09 Aug12 Jul26 (curtsinger ma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
YONO Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 Dec29 Oct09 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 124 20.00    
MINISTERIAL Feb24 Dec30 Oct13 Aug19 Jun30 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 6% 15.40    
SCR  HAROLD'S CLOUD Mar18 Jan29 Dec23 Nov23 Oct23 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 5% 17.50    
HOKU Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 Dec28   (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
SAILOR'S RETURN Mar22 Feb20 Feb03 Aug05 Jul23 (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 126 15.00    
JEEPER Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 Jan01 Dec09 (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 6% 17.00    
 
KEE-5   04/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST MY SOCK Jun19 May28 Apr15 Feb23   (ryan s)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00    
CUZZYWUZZY Oct13 Sep01 Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 (guerrero sal)GILLIGAN JACK 124 8.00    
MORNIN' BOSS Jan04 Sep15 Aug18 Jul19 Jun28 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  STELLA TERESA Oct25 Oct03 Aug19 Jul16 Jun22 (wojczynski just)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00    
HIDEKI Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Dec14 Oct17 (walsh d)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
RETAIL THERAPIST Dec04 Oct29 Sep24 Sep01 Aug06 (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00    
MASSARD Nov07 Oct06 Aug08 May28 Apr07 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES Mar30 Feb08 Jun15 May26 May06 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 124 50.00    
PEACH COBBLER Mar15 Feb09 Nov18 Oct27 Oct03 (winebaugh ch)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50    
10  CODE FOR SUCCESS Jan25 Dec14 Nov06 Oct07 Sep01 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
11  DARING DO Mar02 Jan18       (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 28% 2.50    
12  FUNNY MONEY HONEY (IRE) Mar10         (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  MANORELLI Feb18 Jan22 Dec31 Nov20 Mar27 (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL Mar01 Feb02 Dec08 Sep23 Aug21 (delgado h)MOJICA O 118 6.00    
15  ONLY KIDDING Mar30 Feb08 Jan11 Dec14 Oct19 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  GEORGEES SPIRIT Nov05 Oct01 Sep01 Jul21   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
KEE-6   04/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE KENTUCKY Feb17 Jan18 Jan01 Nov19 Oct14 (sims p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
SUMMER SPLASH Feb21 Jan28 Jan05 Nov23 Nov16 (mckeever andrew)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
NIFTY Mar24 Feb18       (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
DEVIL'S TOWER Mar24 Mar12 Feb10 Jan12 Aug02 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40    
MY MAN FLINTSTONE Feb17 Jan27 Jan01 Dec03 Nov11 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Mar18 Feb17 Nov17 Oct15 Sep01 (gowan william)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
ONE LAST HAND Mar10 Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 30.00    
TILTED TOWERS Mar16 Feb25 Jan27 Dec30 Mar18 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 4.50 8% 12.00    
 
KEE-7   04/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINICAN PIONEER Oct21 Sep03 Aug05 Jun03 Apr29 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
KUPUNA Mar18 Jan29 Dec31 Nov25 Mar26 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 19% 4.10    
HOT BLOODED Mar10 Feb10 Jan21 Dec15 Nov06 (david a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 7% 12.70    
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Mar11 Feb04 Jan20 Dec11 Aug21 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
READY TO PURRFORM Jan21 Oct29 Sep05 Aug05 Jul04 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
KITTANSETT Nov13 Sep28 Aug07 Jun18 May07 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 Sep29 Sep05 (meah m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 11% 8.40    
COMMANDEER Jul30 Apr02 Jan29     (toner james)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  EL KABONG Jan04 Dec01 Jul09 May20 Apr13 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 15.00 9% 10.40    
10  FENWICK STATION Mar24 Apr22 Mar19 Feb10 Jan13 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
11  ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) Sep06 Aug06 Jul09     (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
12  TWO BIRDS Mar25 Feb22 Feb03 Jan20 Dec15 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
13  JUNGLE WARFARE Jan27 Jan07 Nov04 Oct03 May10 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT Oct23 Sep28 Aug26 Jul15   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT Feb12 Nov24 Oct20 Oct01 Aug14 (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE Mar24 Feb18 Jan14 Nov27 Oct20 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 118 2.50 10% 8.50    
 
KEE-8   04/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITTORIO Mar18 Feb05 Apr02 Feb04 Jan14 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 26% 2.80    
TIME FOR TROUBLE Mar04 Jan28 Nov12 Oct27 Sep28 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  COASTAL DEFENSE Mar04 Nov23       (romans dale)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
WAR CAMPAIGN Mar16 Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 Aug20 (sims a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
SPA CITY Mar18 Feb11 Jan21 Dec26 Nov25 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
COOKE CREEK Mar12 Jan28 Dec31 Jun18 May14 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
CREATIVE MINISTER Mar16 Oct20 Sep24 Aug23 Jul29 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  CURBSTONE Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 Dec09 Nov19 (morley thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
 
KEE-9   04/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIG         (rivera justin)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
SCR  SHAMANIC         (sharp joe)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
ANCHOR MANNE Feb10 Jan13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct10 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
FORGE IN FIRE Mar17         (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
ST. NEOTS Mar15 Aug27 Jul16     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL SANDRIN Mar10 Feb24 Jan20     (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHERLOCK'S JEWEL Sep14 Aug12       (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
JUST SO Feb04         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 5% 18.70    
BALTHAZAR Mar25 Mar04 Jan21     (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 62% 0.60    
10  CYBER NINJA Mar11         (mott i)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 6% 16.30    
11  GOLD FRANC (IRE)         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
12  JOINT VENTURE Feb25 Dec26 Oct15 Sep24   (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 30.00    
13  QUALITY ART         (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
SCR  ROENICK Apr01 Mar11 Aug26 Jul31   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
SCR  COMPOSER'S DREAM Feb18 Jan07       (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
SCR  CHLOE'S DREAM Mar24         (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.