Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-3   TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4/1)-(3/5/6/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-6-4 $25.75 $1.75 7%
    SFT (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4/1)-(3/5/6/4/1)-(3/5/6/4/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-6-4-5 $12.07 $2.47 26%
FG-4   DD (3/5/6/4)-(7/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-7 $17.00 $1.00 6%
FG-6   WIN (8/2/10/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $13.20 $3.20 32%
FG-8   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $13.00 $7.00 117%
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3 $26.50 $14.50 121%
FG-9   DD (2/3/5)-(5/7/2/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-2 $22.70 $7.70 51%
    PK4 (8/2/10/7/5)-(1/3)-(2/3/5)-(5/7/2/3/10) 150 $0.50 $75.00  8-1/2-2-2 $746.70 $671.70 896%
    PK5 (2/7/1/3)-(8/2/10/7/5)-(1/3)-(2/3/5)-(5/7/2/3/10) 600 $0.50 $300  2-8-1/2-2-2 $911.10 $611.10 204%
    PK6 (7/6/2/4)-(2/7/1/3)-(8/2/10/7/5)-(1/3)-(2/3/5)-(5/7/2/3/10) 2400 $1.00 $2400  7-2-8-1/2-2-2 $4440 $2040 85%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   02/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14 1:41   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATS UP SWEETS 3 4 12 13 1 17 1 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 1.80 0.90  
IZEONPOINT 5 6 4 46 46 27 2 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 8.10 P
QUINN MURPHY 1 2 5 510 514 511½ 3 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 15% 5.50 8.60 S
MARY JACK 4 3 22 23 2 49 414¾ (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 3.00 27% 2.70 1.70  
GLANCE 2 1 3 35 3 3 520½ (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 17% 5.00 9.00  
HAVINFUNYET 6 5 613½ 620 630 636½ 656¼ (ladner chad)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00 14% 6.10 50.60  
 
FG-2   02/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:144 1:423   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER LOVER 2 1 2½ 1nk 22 1½ 11 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 8.00 8.00  
SAILOR'S RETURN 1 4 3½ 2nk 12 2½ 21 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 125 5.00 8% 11.70 2.10 P
ASTERN BANKER 4 2 43 4 3 3 310¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 0.60 34% 2.00 0.70 S
SPINSTRAWINTO GOLD 3 3 1½ 3.2 415½ 4100 4100 (scherer t)GRAHAM J 125 5.00 31% 2.30 3.60  
SCR  ICE VORTEX               (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE JETT               (alonzo howard)CULP BRIANNE 109 10.00 6% 15.20    
 
FG-3   02/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:14 1:412   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED ROSE 3 6 68 67 67 4 11 (johnson he)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 38% 1.60 2.50 W
DRILLING REPORT 6 4 2 21 1½ 11 21 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 14% 6.10 3.90 P
DREWHUSTLE 4 3 1 11 2½ 21 32 (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 121 3.00 9% 10.00 2.30 S
BIND FAITH 5 5 54 5 3 33 42 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 4.50 17% 4.80 6.80  
OAK HILL SOLUTION 2 1 3 32 5 6 58 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 25.00  
PLAY MO 1 2 4 4 4 57 6 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 2.90  
 
FG-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:242 :501 1:164 1:294   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRUMMER 7 7 68 64 4 2 1¾ (gelner scott)MELANCON G 121 4.00 47% 1.10 2.50 W
FOR REAL ALICE 3 1 21 1nk 11 1 2¾ (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 4.30  
HEART THAT BINDS 6 5 57 52 3 3 3¾ (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00 12% 7.50 1.80 S
1A  MY LITTLE JEN 2 4 4 3½ 52 45 4 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 9.10  
POINT OF VICTORY 8 6 813½ 812 8 7 5 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 6.00 17.80  
STORIED TRIP 4 8 711 75 73 6 6 (hirdes john)MURRAY M 121 12.00 5% 17.60 23.80  
LAKE RUNNER 1 2 11 2nk 21 5 7 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 12.00 9.10  
EXPLOSIVELY HOT 5 3 3 4 6 8 817½ (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 4.00  
SCR  BELLAMY CAY               (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 8% 11.30    
 
FG-5   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:141 1:261   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSILVERSPOONSHERE 2 3 4 31 1½ 1 1 (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 0.40 44% 1.30 0.10 W
SHE'S GONE D'WILD 3 1 1½ 11 2½ 2 2 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 5% 17.20 15.60 P
SPECIAL CONNECTION 1 4 6 6 3 3 3 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 8% 11.30 24.20 S
SHELLI'S ANGEL 6 6 5 56 6 4 412¼ (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 9.60  
VIOLA STAR 5 7 79 7 7 511 517 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 24.50  
SPELLBINDING 7 2 2½ 21 4 614½ 628 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 10.00 19% 4.30 21.50  
MISS KENNEDY 4 5 31 4 55 716½ 728¾ (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 40.40  
 
FG-6   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:261 :54 1:33     1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACELEADSUSHOME 8 3 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 1 (roussel j)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 41% 1.50 5.60 W
CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5.00  
LEAD ME 7 6 64 5 5 53 3 (stall m)LANERIE J 121 3.00 8% 11.30 2.10 S
TWIRLING CAT 5 5 4 3 42 4 4 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 10.00 6% 16.10 6.90  
STAR MOMENT 3 2 3 4 32 32 5 (faucheux )HERNANDEZ J 114 5.00 6.40  
MS. CAJUN QUEEN 1 7 8 8 64 6 6 (breaux samuel)PARKER L 121 5.00 8.50  
DEROUTANTE 2 8 7 7 7 7 7 (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 11% 8.40 4.40  
TARGET VISION 4 4 53 65 8 8 812¾ (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 121 6.00 35.20  
SCR  PSEUDOSCIENCE               (jeansonne j)BARANDELA SOFIA 109 6.00    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS               (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 5.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  TRACK QUEEN               (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
 
FG-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:223 :471 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMBLE READY 1 8 3 11   1 1 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 125 5.00 2.90  
KISLOVODSK 3 2 8 7   46 2 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 5.00 6.70  
JUSTFORSPEIGHTOFIT 8 1 4 43   35 3 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00 13.80  
BOXSTER 2 3 21 3   2 4 (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 8.00 21% 3.80 5.30  
KNOT THE ONE 7 6 52 5   69 513¼ (noel dane)VARGAS P 125 12.00 27.70  
ROCK WITH YOU 4 4 11 21   5 613¼ (lovell michelle)PARKER L 125 4.00 3.50  
GOLDEN FLASH 6 5 7 6   79 715¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 3.20  
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 5 7 6 87   814½ 825¾ (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 12.00 8.50  
SCR  LUCKY SMILE               (tomlinson )HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 52% 0.90    
 
FG-8   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROG TOWN 2 8 75 6   42 1 (claire alexis)PARKER L 119 3.50 41% 1.50 5.50 W
COUNTERSPY 3 6 5 5   53 2 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 31% 2.30 2.60 P
MACHINE GUN MAN 6 1 2½ 2½   2nk 3 (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 24.60  
MONEY RUN 5 2 1½ 1½   1nk 4 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 7% 13.30 0.80  
ZAICI 8 5 3½ 31   3½ 5 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 119 5.00 19.00  
BIG BEEMSTER 1 7 6 7   7 65 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 11.50  
TIZ THE BIG ONE 4 3 4 4   64 710 (alberto anton)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 49.90  
BORN FLAWLESS 7 4 8 814½   819½ 835 (heitzman eric)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 20.40  
 
FG-9   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:003     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR TOURIST 2 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 1 (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 117 8.00 6% 15.80 2.60 W
MADISON'S SCREEN 1 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 2 (ducoing sturge)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.50 2.60  
BOSTON MILLIE 7 4 3 3½   3 3 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 125 4.50 14% 6.10 7.80 S
HOT PATOOTIE 4 6 6 5   6 4 (ney john)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 8.00 24.70  
SHEEZA PRIORITY 6 5 8 85   7 5 (thompson k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 8.00 15.10  
ISN'T IT TIME 5 7 7 74   55 66 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.50 50% 1.00 2.90  
AVIE J 3 9 42 42   4 7 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 5.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
BANI 9 10 9 9   1011¼ 810¾ (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 13.00  
10  GRACE'S VISION 10 8 1010¾ 1011½   810¼ 910¾ (senegal dalto)VARGAS P 125 20.00 5% 19.00 70.20  
SUM CHARM 8 3 5 63   910¾ 1014½ (peterson j)ALBERT S 120 30.00 74.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.