Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6/5)-(4/2/1/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/1/6)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/6)-(6/5/2)-(3/5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(3/5/6/4)-(7/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4/1)-(3/5/6/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/6/4)-(7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(2/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/8)-(7/6/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(2/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(2/7/1/3)-(8/2/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3/6)-(2/7/1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/1/3)-(8/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/3)-(8/2/7/5)-(3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/5)-(3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/5)-(3)-(2/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-7   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/7/5/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3)-(2/3/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/3/5)-(5/7/2/3/10) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
FG-8   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4/1)-(2/3/5/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/7/2/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-9   WIN (5/7/2/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3/10)-(5/7/2/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3/10)-(5/7/2/3/10)-(5/7/2/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINN MURPHY Jan29 Jan06 Dec09 Aug07 Jul10 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 15% 5.50    
2  GLANCE Jan06 Dec09 Aug20 Aug05 Jun18 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  WHATS UP SWEETS Jan29 Jan15 Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 1.80    
4  MARY JACK Jan22         (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  IZEONPOINT Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 ★    
6  HAVINFUNYET Jan29 Dec11 Jul20 Jun18 May27 (ladner chad)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00 14% 6.10    
 
FG-2   02/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ICE VORTEX Sep25 Aug26       (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 8.00    
2  SAILOR'S RETURN Feb03 Aug05 Jul23 Jun18 May30 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 125 5.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  UNCLE JETT         (alonzo howard)CULP BRIANNE 109 10.00 6% 15.20    
4  SUMMER LOVER Jan29 Dec04 Nov19     (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 8.00 ★    
5  SPINSTRAWINTO GOLD Jan29 Jan13       (scherer t)GRAHAM J 125 5.00 31% 2.30    
6  ASTERN BANKER Feb03         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 0.60 34% 2.00    
 
FG-3   02/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY MO Jan26 Jan07 Nov26 Jun18 Mar26 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 ★    
2  OAK HILL SOLUTION Jan26 Jan08 Dec17 Dec09 Nov23 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00    
3  WICKED ROSE Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Nov25 Oct26 (johnson he)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  DREWHUSTLE Jan26 Jan08 Nov03 Aug06 Jul14 (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 121 3.00 9% 10.00    
5  BIND FAITH Jan26 Jan08 Dec09 Nov17 Nov04 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 4.50 17% 4.80    
6  DRILLING REPORT Jan26 Jan08 Dec04 Jun21 May17 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
FG-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE RUNNER Jan19 Dec23 Dec04 Jul28 Jul14 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 12.00    
1A  MY LITTLE JEN Jan12 Dec11 Aug19 Jul20 Jun29 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
SCR  BELLAMY CAY Jan12 Dec11 Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 8% 11.30    
3  FOR REAL ALICE Feb05 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 Nov09 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
4  STORIED TRIP Jan19 Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 Jul31 (hirdes john)MURRAY M 121 12.00 5% 17.60    
5  EXPLOSIVELY HOT Jan12 Dec11 Nov25 Nov02 Oct20 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
6  HEART THAT BINDS Jan12 Nov25 Sep19 Sep06 Jul09 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00 12% 7.50    
7  STRUMMER Nov25 Oct12 Aug06 Mar27 Mar04 (gelner scott)MELANCON G 121 4.00 47% 1.10    
8  POINT OF VICTORY Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 Oct27 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 6.00 ★    
 
FG-5   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL CONNECTION Jan22 Dec01 Aug20 Aug05 Jun23 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
2  NOSILVERSPOONSHERE Jan19 Oct07 Jul09 Jun11 Apr27 (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 0.40 44% 1.30    
3  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Jan16 Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 Jun04 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 5% 17.20    
4  MISS KENNEDY Jan22 Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 Oct13 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
5  VIOLA STAR Feb04 Jan12 Dec18 May14 Mar04 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
6  SHELLI'S ANGEL Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 Mar18 Feb26 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 ★    
7  SPELLBINDING Jan22 Dec11 Nov25 Sep10 Aug05 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 10.00 19% 4.30    
 
FG-6   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS. CAJUN QUEEN Dec17 Oct26 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 (breaux samuel)PARKER L 121 5.00    
2  DEROUTANTE Sep25 Jul24       (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 11% 8.40    
3  STAR MOMENT Dec31 Dec02       (faucheux )HERNANDEZ J 114 5.00    
4  TARGET VISION Jan29 Sep10 Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 121 6.00    
5  TWIRLING CAT Jan27 Dec29       (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 10.00 6% 16.10    
6  CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA Feb05 Jan19 Jan01 Dec08 Nov26 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
7  LEAD ME Jan29 Jan19 Dec08 Nov26 Sep10 (stall m)LANERIE J 121 3.00 8% 11.30    
8  GRACELEADSUSHOME Feb05 Dec26 Nov27 Jun24 May19 (roussel j)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  PSEUDOSCIENCE Jan27 Jan13 Dec23     (jeansonne j)BARANDELA SOFIA 109 6.00    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS Sep25 Sep10 Jul25 Jul11 May11 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 5.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  TRACK QUEEN Dec29 Sep06 Aug25 Jun17 May25 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
 
FG-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY SMILE Sep15         (tomlinson )HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 52% 0.90    
2  RUMBLE READY Jan22 Nov25 Nov01 Sep29 Feb11 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 125 5.00 ★    
3  BOXSTER Jan19 Jan07 Nov13 Oct02 Aug20 (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 8.00 21% 3.80    
4  KISLOVODSK Feb11 Feb02 Jan08 Dec18 Dec04 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 5.00    
5  ROCK WITH YOU Jan08 Dec18 Nov23 Aug31 Aug17 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 125 4.00 ★    
6  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Feb02 Jan22       (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 12.00    
7  GOLDEN FLASH Jul24 Jul08 Jun26 May01 Apr09 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 ★    
8  KNOT THE ONE Jul16 Jun05       (noel dane)VARGAS P 125 12.00    
9  JUSTFORSPEIGHTOFIT Feb02 Jan08 Apr22 Mar19 Feb12 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00    
 
FG-8   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BEEMSTER Jan28 Jan06 Dec19 Nov09 Oct02 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 ★    
2  FROG TOWN Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 Nov03 Oct13 (claire alexis)PARKER L 119 3.50 41% 1.50    
3  COUNTERSPY Dec19 Nov26 Sep16 Aug21 Jul22 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
4  TIZ THE BIG ONE Jan28 Nov22 Nov05 Oct08 Sep08 (alberto anton)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 ★    
5  MONEY RUN Jan28 Jan08 Dec17 Nov21 Oct28 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 7% 13.30    
6  MACHINE GUN MAN Jan28 Dec26 Nov27 Oct21   (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
7  BORN FLAWLESS Jan28 Dec09 Nov19 Oct13 Sep23 (heitzman eric)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
8  ZAICI Jan28 Oct12 Sep17 Aug14 Jul02 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 119 5.00    
 
FG-9   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADISON'S SCREEN Feb04 Jan13 Dec23 Dec02   (ducoing sturge)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.50    
2  WAR TOURIST         (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 117 8.00 6% 15.80    
3  AVIE J Feb04 Jan15 Dec17     (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOT PATOOTIE Jan27 Dec29 Dec15 Nov25 Oct06 (ney john)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 8.00    
5  ISN'T IT TIME Feb04 Dec29 Nov25 Oct13 Aug27 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.50 50% 1.00    
6  SHEEZA PRIORITY Feb01 Dec29 Dec15 Sep25 Aug04 (thompson k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 8.00    
7  BOSTON MILLIE Feb05 May15 Apr16 Jan22 Jan01 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 125 4.50 14% 6.10    
8  SUM CHARM Feb04 Jun24       (peterson j)ALBERT S 120 30.00    
9  BANI Jan25         (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
10  GRACE'S VISION Jan14 Dec21 Dec08 Nov17 Oct19 (senegal dalto)VARGAS P 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.