Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-2   EXA (6/9/2)-(6/9/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $21.50 $9.50 79%
HAW-4   WIN (4/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $9.60 $3.60 60%
HAW-6   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $31.20 $25.20 420%
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/2/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7 $135.20 $123.20 1027%
HAW-7   WIN (5/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (5/9/8)-(5/9/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-9 $15.10 $3.10 26%
    TRI (5/9/8)-(5/9/8/7/4)-(5/9/8/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-9-5 $19.80 $1.80 10%
    DD (6/7/1)-(5/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-8 $86.70 $77.70 863%
HAW-8   WIN (11/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    EXA (11/1/3/4)-(11/1/3/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-11 $17.40 $1.40 9%
    TRI (11/1/3/4)-(11/1/3/4/9)-(11/1/3/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-11-4 $29.30 $5.30 22%
    DD (5/9/8)-(11/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-1 $21.90 $9.90 83%
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(5/9/8)-(11/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-8-1/2/5/7/12/14 $199.35 $181.35 1008%
HAW-9   PK3 (5/9/8)-(11/1/3/4)-(7/11/10/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-1/2/5/7/12/14-6/10/11 $56.50 $26.50 88%
    PK4 (6/7/1)-(5/9/8)-(11/1/3/4)-(7/11/10/9/5) 180 $0.50 $90.00  1-8-1/2/5/7/12/14-6/10/11 $882.20 $792.20 880%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   03/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:134 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME WILLY 6 2 1nk 1½ 11 1 1 (becker scott)EMIGH A 124 1.60 49% 1.00 0.50 W
ELECTRIC CHARGE 2 4 32 34 32 2 2 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 16.20  
KITTEN'S CLOWN 3 5 44 69 5 46 3 (thurman rhonda)ORM CORY 124 12.00 5% 18.00 5.70 S
UNCLE DICK 1 1 55 4 4 3 4 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 124 15.00 32.50  
GUS GUS 7 3 2nk 2½ 21 5 512¾ (garcia genaro)COLON H 124 3.50 17% 4.80 4.10  
JACKPOT BOY 5 7 710 716 714½ 610 613½ (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 30.60  
GRAND FESTIVAL 4 6 6 59 613½ 725 752¾ (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 20.00 57.90  
SCR  I'M YOUR VALENTINE               (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 7% 12.50    
 
HAW-2   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:224 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. NUSHI 6 6 3 32   2 11 (garcia ge)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 1.40 50% 1.00 0.70 W
FROST WARRIOR 4 2 1nk 1nk   1 21 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 37.80 P
ARNEIS 8 4 4 44   5 3 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00 6.40  
EVIE 1 3 5 5   45 4 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00 28.20  
BELLS OF JOY 9 8 8 8   8 5 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 14% 6.10 7.90  
NOT TO BE DENIED 7 9 9 9   6 65 (thurman rho)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00 23.60  
HEY MA 2 1 2nk 2nk   34 7 (reyes marti)ORTEGA O 122 6.00 10% 8.90 14.30  
SEQUAYA 3 5 6 77   9 86 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00 16.10  
ROARINGLIKETHUNDER 5 7 7 6   7 9 (brooks ge)BERMUDEZ E 116 15.00 9.90  
 
HAW-3   03/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:113 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RALLY SQUIRREL 2 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 1 13 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 3.60  
ROCKET HOTSHOT 4 7 7 7 5 33 23 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 19.00  
JEALOUS EYES 7 6 1nk 1nk 2nk 2 3 (winebaugh ch)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.60 39% 1.60 1.00 S
GATE CREW 5 4 6 6 4 44 4 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 8% 11.20 18.60  
AHEADOFTHEGAME 3 5 3½ 32 33 57 512½ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 30% 2.30 5.80  
CINDY'S STORM 6 3 4 5 711½ 611 621¼ (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 22.20  
UNCLE NICK 1 1 5 4 6 713½ 725¼ (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00 5.60  
 
HAW-4   03/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:12 1:38   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO WORLDS 6 2 3.2 11 1 11 1 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 21% 3.70 3.80 W
MOMENT 3 1 1nk 3 2 21 2 (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 5.00 9% 10.70 1.00 P
GLOBAL EMPIRE 5 6 5 4 46 34 3 (spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 32.70  
DIAMOND DAVE 1 5 6 611 6 4 4 (childers vance)BAIRD T 122 8.00 11.20  
HE TAKES CHARGE 2 4 2nk 21 3 58 510¾ (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 2.30  
DYNABLUE 4 3 4 59 59 610½ 617¼ (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00 32.00  
SCR  ASTI SKY               (cristel mark )HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
SCR  GIANT CRITIC               (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  PISTOL BOX               (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
 
HAW-5   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:222 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z U SOON 6 4 5 32   1½ 1 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 5.00 8.40  
PACHI 8 10 6 6   2½ 2 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00 31% 2.30 3.10 P
WINGING WAYS 2 1 21 21   4 3 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 8.20 S
OVERBEARING 7 6 76 8   8 45 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 40% 1.50 5.80  
HATCHET CREEK 3 3 8 9   5 5 (dizeo din)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00 30.10  
JETTIN OUT 5 7 109 1010¾   10 6 (brooks ge)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 15.40  
11  IRISH TUFF 10 11 1110½ 1111¼   11 7 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 19.20  
CHOPPER 1 2 11 11   31 8 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
MIND YOUR OWN BIZ 4 5 33 5   6 97 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 18.30  
10  RIPE ATTACK 9 9 97 7   7 10 (lynch e)ORM CORY 122 30.00 ######  
12  SHANGHAI POINT 11 8 4 4   9 1110 (rosin w)EMIGH A 122 10.00 3.70  
SCR  BEL BIMBO               (castro isidro)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 30.00    
SCR  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND               (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  W W TRAFALGAR               (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
HAW-6   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:22 :443       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENDREL 1 1 11 13   18 112 (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60 W
  (by BLAME out of CUSTODY by BROKEN VOW)
MAGIC BEAUTY 7 3 32 34   38 212 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 10.00 17% 4.70 10.70 P
  (by CURLIN out of MAGIC BELLE by GOLD CASE)
BLAZE BEAUTY 4 8 76 6   5 313½ (bentler don)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 15.00 23.10  
  (by TAPITURE out of BRIDAL ARCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
CREME DE CASSIS 2 2 21 23   28 416 (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 111 6.00 7.00  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of CREME DE CACOA by EASYFROMTHEGITGO)
HOP AWAY HOTTIE 9 4 65 7   712¼ 516 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00 29.40  
  (by SOCK HOP out of BLEW ME AWAY by INDY KING)
LUNARCHY 6 5 87 811½   610¼ 616¾ (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 3.00 47% 1.10 1.90  
  (by DIALED IN out of LUNETTE by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
10  POSITIONDUMONI 10 9 911 915½   913¼ 717 (pompell robert)HUGHES CARLY 124 15.00 33.50  
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of WINDUMONI by DUMAANI)
COWGIRL FRANKIE 3 10 1118 1018½   813¼ 817¼ (rednour j)COLON H 124 5.00 6.10  
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
SONG OF AMERICA 5 6 43 45   4 918¼ (campbell michael)EMIGH A 118 6.00 3.10  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SINGAVICTORYSONG by HARD SPUN)
11  RIVER'S DREAMS 11 11 1017 1119½   1118½ 1024 (reed r)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 39.30  
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of ALL ABOUT HER by PURGE)
CHASING GHOST'S 8 7 5 57   1013½ 1124¾ (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 64.60  
  (by THE BOLD BRUISER out of GHOST WHITE by SILVER GHOST)
 
HAW-7   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:444       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TILTED TOWERS 8 3 1nk 1   1 1 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 7% 12.80 4.40 W
LATIN CASINO 9 4 2nk 2   2 2 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 29% 2.40 1.50 P
FENESTRA 5 1 3½ 3   3 3 (garcia genaro)COLON H 122 1.60 40% 1.50 2.40 S
ALPINE GHOST 3 6 7 510   5 47 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 40.30  
STALLONE 4 5 64 710½   4 5 (retana gabe)BAIRD T 122 12.00 11.40  
MEDAL OF FACT 7 9 5 610½   710 6 (rodriguez jose )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00 11.20  
FIRST MASAMUNE 6 8 86 813½   811 78 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 27.90  
THAT KHENNY 1 2 43 49   6 88 (garcia ge)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 20.00 32.70  
MKAR THE FAST 2 7 914 923½   926 926¾ (lynch e)ORM CORY 122 30.00 82.80  
 
HAW-8   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:221 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 1 2 1nk 2½   1nk 1½ (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.00 17% 4.80 3.30 W
11  COMISKEY PARK 8 4 4¼ 1½   2nk 2½ (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 4.50 45% 1.20 4.30 P
BASEBALL POLITICS 3 1 3.2 42   4 3 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.40 S
13  SWISHAWISH 9 6 5 53   33 4 (coontz arthur )COLON H 122 5.00 7.00  
BALADINE 4 5 6 65   5 5 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 52.00  
FORREST CITY 6 9 9 88   8 6 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 9.50  
10  DUST DANCER (GB) 7 8 7 7   7 7 (bentler don)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00 33.30  
LAKE MILLS 5 7 8 98   9 87 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00 11.30  
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND 2 3 2nk 31   6 912½ (brooks gerald)HERNANDEZ K 116 15.00 11% 7.90 5.80  
SCR  ANDREW THE GIANT               (ross bradley )SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 12.00    
SCR  BEEALEA               (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
SCR  SENOR MIKE               (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
SCR  SHIMMER ME TIMBERS               (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
SCR  SIVAKO               (block chris)GILES EMMANUEL 109 8.00    
 
HAW-9   03/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:06
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:124 1:41   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SHE'S A BIG STAR 9 2 1 1 15 13 1 (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.00 16% 5.40 1.00 W
COUGER 2 6 53 43 25 23 2 (perez manny)COLON H 122 4.50 5.40  
12  LINDALOUIMAGE 10 5 6 89 812¼ 57 3 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 11.80  
HER GOLD MINE 4 7 8 6 59 6 46 (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 30.00 45.30  
FANCY EMPRESS 3 1 3 3 35 35 5 (campbell joel)EMIGH A 122 6.00 10.30  
WEEKEND PASS 5 9 1012¼ 1016 1018¾ 911¾ 6 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
AH LEAH 1 10 9 910 913¾ 7 7 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 122 30.00 74.50  
SILVERA 7 4 4 5 6 8 8 (candelas blanca)LOPEZ A 122 20.00 75.50  
WATCHIN THE WHEELS 8 8 7 76 712 47 910 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 9% 10.50 12.80  
AUNT STELLA 6 3 2 2 46 1012¼ 1016¼ (sullivan )BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 38% 1.60 6.90  
SCR  KITTEN ROCKS               (cook brian)BAIRD T 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  PRANCIPANTS               (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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