Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(6/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4)-(6/9/2)-(7/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (6/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/2)-(6/9/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/2)-(6/9/2/3/4)-(6/9/2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/9/2)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2)-(7/3/5)-(9/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/2/6)-(7/3/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(9/5)-(8/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (9/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/5)-(9/5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5)-(9/5/3/2)-(9/5/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/5)-(8/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/5)-(8/9/1)-(6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-5   WIN (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/1)-(8/9/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/9/1)-(8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/9/1)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1)-(6/7/1)-(5/9/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-6   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/2/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/2/1/11)-(6/7/2/1/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(5/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(5/9/8)-(11/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/8)-(5/9/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/8)-(5/9/8/7/4)-(5/9/8/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/9/8)-(11/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/8)-(11/1/3/4)-(7/11/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (11/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/1/3/4)-(11/1/3/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/1/3/4)-(11/1/3/4/9)-(11/1/3/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/1/3/4)-(7/11/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-9   WIN (7/11/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/11/9/5)-(7/11/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/11/9/5)-(7/11/9/5)-(7/11/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Feb08 Jan28 Jan12 Dec31 Nov27 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 7% 12.50    
2  UNCLE DICK Feb16 Dec31 Dec16 Dec04 Nov20 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 124 15.00    
3  ELECTRIC CHARGE Dec31 Dec16       (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
4  KITTEN'S CLOWN         (thurman rhonda)ORM CORY 124 12.00 5% 18.00    
5  GRAND FESTIVAL Nov19 Oct28 Mar19 Feb26   (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 20.00    
6  JACKPOT BOY Mar05 Nov19 Oct22 Mar17 Feb26 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 ★    
7  AWESOME WILLY Dec31 Nov19 Oct28 Aug30   (becker scott)EMIGH A 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
8  GUS GUS Feb22 Feb08 Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 (garcia genaro)COLON H 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
HAW-2   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVIE Feb08 Jan25 Jan06 Feb16 Jan02 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
2  HEY MA Dec09 Oct23 Oct08 Sep24 Jul16 (reyes marti)ORTEGA O 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
3  SEQUAYA Dec18 Dec04 Nov11 Oct06 Sep22 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00 ★    
4  FROST WARRIOR Mar09 Dec18 Dec09 Nov25 Oct16 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 ★    
5  ROARINGLIKETHUNDER Sep03 Aug27 Aug07 Jul26 Jul08 (brooks gerald )COLON H 116 15.00    
6  MRS. NUSHI Feb20 Jan29 Jan05 Nov27 Nov18 (garcia ge)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 1.40 50% 1.00    
7  NOT TO BE DENIED Dec30 Nov11 Oct08 Sep20 Aug06 (thurman rho)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00    
8  ARNEIS Mar05 Jan13 Dec30 Dec01 Nov03 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00    
9  BELLS OF JOY Dec30 Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 Oct08 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
HAW-3   03/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE NICK Feb23 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Oct21 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00    
2  RALLY SQUIRREL Jan19 Dec08 Oct07 Jul16 Jun24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 ★    
3  AHEADOFTHEGAME Dec30 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 Sep24 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  ROCKET HOTSHOT Dec30 Dec17 Dec10 Nov13 Sep23 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
5  GATE CREW Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 Sep24 Apr15 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
6  CINDY'S STORM Feb08 Jan17 Dec31 Dec10 Nov12 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 ★    
7  JEALOUS EYES Feb17 Jan28 Dec31 Nov22 Oct22 (winebaugh ch)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
HAW-4   03/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PISTOL BOX Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 Oct14 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
2  DIAMOND DAVE Nov18 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Jun10 (childers vance)BAIRD T 122 8.00 ★    
3  HE TAKES CHARGE Feb23 Feb01 Dec03 Nov16 Oct27 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  GIANT CRITIC Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 Jan05 Dec15 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
5  MOMENT Feb25 Feb11 Jan11 Dec17 Nov12 (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 5.00 9% 10.70    
6  DYNABLUE Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 Nov04 Oct21 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00    
SCR  ASTI SKY Dec30 Dec17 Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 (cristel mark )HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
8  GLOBAL EMPIRE Mar05 Dec10 Nov20 Oct28 Sep20 (spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
9  TWO WORLDS Feb03 Jan07 Dec17 Oct28 Sep20 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
HAW-5   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOPPER Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 Dec03 Nov18 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Mar02 Feb22 Dec18 Nov18 Oct21 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  WINGING WAYS Oct30 Oct02 Sep23 Sep09 Sep01 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 ★    
4  HATCHET CREEK Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 Nov19 Nov04 (dizeo din)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
5  MIND YOUR OWN BIZ Dec11 Nov18 Oct02 Sep13 Sep02 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
6  JETTIN OUT Dec02 Nov11 Oct26 Oct07 Sep03 (brooks gerald )COLON H 122 6.00    
7  Z U SOON Mar05 Feb09 Jan23 Dec30 Dec09 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 5.00    
8  OVERBEARING Feb09 Jan05 Nov17 Oct04 Sep06 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
9  PACHI Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 Sep20 Sep02 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
10  RIPE ATTACK Oct09 Sep23 Sep09 Aug30 Jul30 (lynch e)ORM CORY 122 30.00    
11  IRISH TUFF Dec17 Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 Sep25 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00    
12  SHANGHAI POINT Jan29 Jan06 Dec09 Nov26 Sep20 (rosin w)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
SCR  W W TRAFALGAR May27 Apr26       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
SCR  BEL BIMBO Mar05 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 (castro isidro)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 30.00    
 
HAW-6   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENDREL         (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of CUSTODY by BROKEN VOW)
2  CREME DE CASSIS         (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 111 6.00 ★    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of CREME DE CACOA by EASYFROMTHEGITGO)
3  COWGIRL FRANKIE Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 Nov19 Sep09 (rednour j)COLON H 124 5.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
4  BLAZE BEAUTY Nov12 Sep24       (bentler don)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BRIDAL ARCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
5  SONG OF AMERICA Jan18 Dec23 Dec03 Oct14 Sep06 (campbell michael)EMIGH A 118 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SINGAVICTORYSONG by HARD SPUN)
6  LUNARCHY         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of LUNETTE by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
7  MAGIC BEAUTY Aug10 Aug02 Jul16 Jun09 May31 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 10.00 17% 4.70    
  (by CURLIN out of MAGIC BELLE by GOLD CASE)
8  CHASING GHOST'S Dec11         (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
  (by THE BOLD BRUISER out of GHOST WHITE by SILVER GHOST)
9  HOP AWAY HOTTIE         (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00    
  (by SOCK HOP out of BLEW ME AWAY by INDY KING)
10  POSITIONDUMONI Oct23 Oct01 Sep08     (pompell robert)HUGHES CARLY 124 15.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of WINDUMONI by DUMAANI)
11  RIVER'S DREAMS         (reed r)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 ★    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of ALL ABOUT HER by PURGE)
 
HAW-7   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT KHENNY Feb17 Jan14 Dec18 Nov16 Sep20 (garcia ge)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 20.00    
2  MKAR THE FAST Dec11 Nov06 Oct09 Sep06 Aug26 (lynch e)ORM CORY 122 30.00    
3  ALPINE GHOST Feb17 Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 Oct30 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
4  STALLONE Dec31 Dec18 Nov18 Oct22 Oct02 (retana gabe)BAIRD T 122 12.00 ★    
5  FENESTRA Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Sep23 Sep02 (garcia genaro)COLON H 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  FIRST MASAMUNE Dec18 Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 Oct16 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00    
7  MEDAL OF FACT Dec31 Nov18 Oct16 Sep25 Sep03 (rodriguez jose )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00 ★    
8  TILTED TOWERS Feb25 Jan27 Dec30 Mar18 Feb24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 7% 12.80    
9  LATIN CASINO Dec11 Nov06 Oct15 Sep25 Jul09 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
HAW-8   03/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Feb22 Feb04 Jan26 Dec28 Dec11 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  SIVAKO Dec30 Sep30 Sep01 Jul16 Jun23 (block chris)GILES EMMANUEL 109 8.00    
3  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Mar04 Feb18 Jan21 Jun09 May01 (brooks gerald )COLON H 116 15.00 11% 7.90    
4  BASEBALL POLITICS Jan27 Dec30 Dec10 Nov25 Jul08 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHIMMER ME TIMBERS         (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
6  BALADINE Dec30 Dec11 Nov19 Oct28 Oct09 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
SCR  SENOR MIKE Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct28 Oct09 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
8  LAKE MILLS Dec30 Dec04 Nov25 Oct30 Oct22 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
9  FORREST CITY Feb03 Dec21 Dec08     (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 ★    
10  DUST DANCER (GB) Dec30 Dec02 Nov06 Jun18 May27 (bentler don)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
11  COMISKEY PARK Dec30 Nov25 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  BEEALEA Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 Aug25 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
13  SWISHAWISH Dec04 Nov06 Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 (coontz arthur )COLON H 122 5.00    
SCR  ANDREW THE GIANT Dec31 Dec18 Nov13 Oct21 Oct01 (ross bradley )SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 12.00    
 
HAW-9   03/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AH LEAH Dec17 Dec03 Oct15 Sep25 Aug13 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 122 30.00    
2  COUGER Dec18 Nov25 Nov13 Oct29 Oct07 (perez manny)COLON H 122 4.50    
3  FANCY EMPRESS Feb06 Jan19 Dec28 Dec16 Nov25 (campbell joel)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
4  HER GOLD MINE Feb27 Feb07 Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 30.00    
5  WEEKEND PASS Dec31 Dec11 Dec04 Nov25 Nov12 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRANCIPANTS Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec31 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
7  AUNT STELLA Mar07 Feb09 Jan28 Jan04 Dec04 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 38% 1.60    
8  SILVERA Dec31 Dec16 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 (candelas blanca)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
9  WATCHIN THE WHEELS Dec18 Dec04 Nov12 Sep17 Aug20 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  KITTEN ROCKS Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 (cook brian)BAIRD T 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
11  SHE'S A BIG STAR Dec31 Dec04 Nov04 Oct16 Sep03 (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.00 16% 5.40    
12  LINDALOUIMAGE Dec18 Dec04 Nov06 Oct23 Sep30 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.