Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $17.40  
TAM-2   Win (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TAM-3   Win (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  
TAM-4   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $10.80  
TAM-5   Win (8/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TAM-6   Win (2/5/13/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
TAM-7   Win (5/6/8/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
TAM-8   Win (1/11/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TAM-9   Win (13/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $6.80  
TAM-10   Win (1/4/13/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $15.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   02/18/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:46
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133 1:39   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODDS ON 5 2 32 3½ 1½ 12 1 (arriagada juan)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 4.00 7.70  
PHARAOH FANCY PANT 4 6 43 61 3 32 2 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 8.00 5.50  
IT'S FATE 6 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 22 3 (werneth a)CENTENO E 119 6.00 15% 5.60 9.90 S
CHUCKY 2 7 75 72 54 44 4 (smith rob)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 3.40  
EXCHEQUER 1 5 64 5¾ 64 67 510 (robillard julie)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 41% 1.50 1.80  
I AM THAT I AM 3 4 5 4¾ 75 7 610 (williams abd)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 4.50 3.60  
PRIVATE LAKE 7 1 2½ 2½ 4 56 713 (davis richard)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 13% 6.80 16.20  
 
TAM-2   02/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:131     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRINGS 1 8 87 8   3.2 1 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00 6% 14.50 1.30 W
HEAVY WEIGHT 8 5 2nk 2nk   1nk 2 (negrete javier)BATISTA A 122 10.00 16.40  
NOT A DANCE 6 4 4¼ 5   5¾ 3 (smith g)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.00 52% 0.90 3.70 S
CALLE DE BOYD 7 1 3.2 1nk   2nk 44 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 15% 5.80 3.30  
WARP SPEED BEAST 3 2 1nk 4¾   4¾ 56 (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 13.60  
DORSODURO 2 3 5½ 7   6 68 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 8.20  
ANDY WALKS WITH ME 4 7 6 6   8 710¼ (vinson g)SOSA LAUREANO 115 5.00 12.00  
MARSICO 5 6 73 3.2   7 815¼ (parra h)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 15.00 26.30  
 
TAM-3   02/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:114 1:233   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATHER AS YOU GO 4 2 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk (proctor thomas )MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 12% 7.60 2.10 W
COVENANT LADY 1 1 42 31 31 3½ 2nk (granitz )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 3.50 12% 7.30 7.30 P
MY LIPS ARE SEALED 6 4 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 3 (gulick m)REYES LEONEL 119 6.00 3.70 S
SLOT QUEEN 3 3 32 42 42 42 4 (proctor thoma)QUINONEZ ALONSO 112 10.00 4.90  
ANADOR (FR) 5 6 54 5 53 5 56 (dini mike)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 12% 7.30 2.80  
STRIKING CHROME 2 5 6 6 6 6 6 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 38% 1.60 6.60  
SCR  STIR CRAZY               (perkins jr)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
 
TAM-4   02/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:11     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN OF STORMS 7 5 5 5   21 1¾ (arnett g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 4.40  
THIS RUN'S FOR YOU 6 1 31 3.2   11 2¾ (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 34% 2.00 3.80 P
CALL ME ICE MAN 3 4 42 4¾   4 36 (campbell michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 7.10 S
BRIGHT FORECAST 5 6 74 7   6 4 (rigattieri jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 8.10  
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND 2 3 2½ 2nk   31 5 (brooks ger)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 38% 1.60 1.50  
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 4 7 6 6   7 610 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 12.00 26.80  
DROPKICK MURPHY 1 2 1½ 1nk   5 714 (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 5.40  
SCR  BIG JOHN               (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
 
TAM-5   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS NEW YORK 2 4 3 5   2nk 1 (delgado jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 12% 7.00 1.50 W
FROSHADO 7 7 54 2nk   1nk 2 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 2.50 46% 1.20 2.10 P
HEAVENS EXPRESS 3 6 7 7   4 3 (guciardo kathy)BATISTA A 118 8.00 11.20  
DAMASO 6 1 43 1nk   3 48 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 6.00  
R TOOTSIE GLITTER 5 2 22 4   5 514 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 12.90  
SUSIE'S SAVER 4 5 6 6   79 614 (paragallo jenni)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00 31.60  
PACHANGA LOCA 1 3 12 31   67 721½ (gutierrez fausti)REYES LEONEL 118 3.50 11% 8.20 4.80  
SCR  GRAND OAK (IRE)               (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
 
TAM-6   02/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:122 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOS PASSOS 5 9 9 8 8 84 1nk (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00 20% 3.90 2.30 W
OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) 9 7 31 4 41 3.2 2nk (clement christop)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 5% 19.00 2.80 P
GIOVANNINO 1 1 6 6 6 6 3.2 (davis christophe)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 6.50 DH
HEATHGUARD 3 6 8 7 3½ 1nk 3.2 (lerman s)JARAMILLO E 120 15.00 19.90 DH
TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE) 2 2 21 2nk 2nk 2nk 5 (delacour arnau)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.40  
BOLD MAJESTIC 7 4 42 31 5 5¾ 6 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00 81.00  
FIRE BARON 6 5 53 5 7 7 7 (paragallo jenni)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00 23.70  
SIR LANCE 8 3 11 1nk 1nk 4¼ 8 (sillaman richard )CENTENO E 120 20.00 14.00  
EVEN THE WIND 4 10 1010¾ 9 9 98 911 (gulick jam)GALLARDO A 120 20.00 35.50  
10  GRAPHENE CASSOCK 10 8 7 10 1017¼ 1028 1039½ (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 27.10  
SCR  DREAMING OF TOGA               (sacco gregory)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
SCR  MICROFIBER               (motion graham)JARAMILLO E 120 10.00    
SCR  OH CHIC               (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
SCR  SILVER PEAK               (carroll jo)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
TAM-7   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY CAJUN 6 1 2nk 1½   2nk 1½ (ubide max)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 16% 5.10 2.00 W
STRAIGHT SHOT 3 6 4¾ 2½   1nk 2½ (delgado jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 24% 3.20 0.80 P
BLAKENSTEIN 5 2 5 4   3½ 3 (guciardo kathy)JARAMILLO E 122 12.00 18.40  
SCRUTINIZER 4 4 6 5   4 4 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 18% 4.60 6.30  
AERONAUT 1 5 1nk 31   5 511½ (danner kelsey)REYES LEONEL 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.60  
BRUCE BANNER 2 3 3.2 6   6 612½ (campbell mich)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 33.00  
SCR  CHARGING AERO               (rodriguez darien)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
SCR  MR. CASH               (barboza jr)CENTENO E 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
TAM-8   02/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:211 :441       :553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 1 7 41 4   11 12 (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 41% 1.40 0.90 W
TRACY ANN'S LEGACY 4 6 6 6   6 22 (orseno jose)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00 19.30  
SASSY BEAST 3 2 1½ 1nk   21 3 (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00 63.40  
THE ELLE TRAIN (IRE) 7 9 8 105   7 4 (beckman whi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 8% 11.70 8.80  
SPUN GLASS 9 4 5 5   5 5 (trombetta michae)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 6.30  
BAHAMIAN MOON 5 3 31 31   4 6 (david carlos)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 12.00 21.40  
TACTICAL PAJAMAS 6 8 9 7   94 7 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00 13% 7.00 33.30  
10  POSEIDON'S PASSION 10 10 104 83   8 84 (gulick jam)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 5.00  
12  MADAM MACLEAN 12 1 2½ 2nk   3 9 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 20.00 73.80  
TREVESS 2 11 114 12   116 10 (cazares laura)JARAMILLO E 118 10.00 17.10  
NIKEE KAN 8 12 12 115   106 11 (d'angel)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00 30.50  
11  NIGHT CAP 11 5 7 93   127 128 (bennett s)CENTENO E 118 15.00 16% 5.20 23.50  
 
TAM-9   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAW HONEY 6 5 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (roque elis)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 2.40  
WIN OR CELLAR 5 11 1110¼ 97   4 2 (richards renald)IORIO MELISSA 108 8.00 8.60 P
11  CHICAGO RIVER 10 7 5 33   3 3 (rhone bernell)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 19.20  
SASSY CHARLEE 2 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 4 (o'connell kath)BATISTA A 118 5.00 4.60  
BELLA ROMANCE 3 10 10 87   8 5 (mcgoey monic)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 10.00 14.30  
I SAID HEY 8 2 7 7   7 6 (house gary)ALLEN M 118 5.00 12% 7.30 3.40  
10  CANT BEAT THE KATZ 9 3 43 4   5 79 (robillard ju)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 12.00 24.30  
12  MORE MUCHO 11 1 6 6   6 811 (smith g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50 3.80  
TRULY AMBITIOUS 4 6 3½ 5   9 917½ (husted rachel)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00 54.10  
RAHTID 1 9 9 1012   1011¾ 1020½ (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 111 30.00 66.30  
PRETTY DEVIL 7 8 8 1112   1112¾ 1122¼ (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 75.80  
SCR  DURA THE EXPLORER               (carmichael mikha)CAMACHO SAMY 118 20.00    
SCR  GLEAMING BRUTALITY               (klesaris steve)JARAMILLO E 118 3.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  SO SOFTLY               (sanchez mer)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00    
 
TAM-10   02/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:211 :43       :544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHESS MASTER 4 4 1½ 12   14 1 (raven kerr)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 6.90  
FULL DISCLOSURE 5 3 2½ 22   24 2 (dobles elizabeth)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70 P
FLUID SITUATION 2 7 4 3   45 35 (terranova p)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 2.40  
14  SIGILOSO 11 10 11 9   7 4 (sanchez mer)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 11.00  
10  OMAHA CITY 9 2 8 8   5 5 (jehaludi moham)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00 76.70  
PANTHER ISLAND 1 8 5 5   6 66 (cazares laura)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 61% 0.60 2.40  
THE CRITICAL WAY 3 6 3½ 4   34 7 (delgado h)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00 8% 11.40 9.80  
SURLY FURIOUS 6 11 10 10   8 8 (wismer s)ALLEN D 120 15.00 40.10  
COUNTY FINAL 7 9 9 11   9 9 (joseph a)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 7.00  
FEAST 8 5 6 64   10 10 (bennett s)CENTENO E 118 12.00 35.60  
12  ROCKCREST 10 1 7 7   1110¼ 1111 (burke r)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 8.00 22.60  
SCR  CLASSICSTATEOFMIND               (d'angelo fra)JARAMILLO E 118 12.00    
SCR  OIL MONEY               (arnett )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  WARP RIDE               (drexler)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.