Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.20 $1.20 30%
MVR-4   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    DD (2/8/5/1/9)-(6/3/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  5-6 $32.60 $2.60 9%
MVR-5   WIN (2/3/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $11.20 $1.20 12%
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/3/6/8/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00  6-6 $43.80 $13.80 46%
    PK3 (2/8/5/1/9)-(6/3/2)-(2/3/6/8/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50  5-6-6 $51.25 $13.75 37%
    PK5 (6/3)-(5/3/6)-(2/8/5/1/9)-(6/3/2)-(2/3/6/8/1) 450 $0.50 $225  6-6-5-6-6 $376.55 $151.55 67%
MVR-6   TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/6/5)-(1/4/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-5-6 $22.95 $4.95 28%
    SFT (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/6/5)-(1/4/2/6/5)-(1/4/2/6/5) 72 $0.10 $7.20  1-5-6-2 $19.29 $12.09 168%
    DD (2/3/6/8/1)-(1/4/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  6-1 $52.20 $22.20 74%
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/3/6/8/1)-(1/4/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50  6-6-1 $36.80 $14.30 64%
MVR-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    PK3 (2/3/6/8/1)-(1/4/2)-(1/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50  6-1-1 $51.60 $29.10 129%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOMEBODYLOVESYOU 6 1 2½ 1½   11 15¾ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 1.40 57% 0.80 1.60 W
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GOLDLEAFED MIRROR by GOLD ALERT)
4  SISTER CODE 4 3 33½ 32   21 25¾ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00 38.80  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
3  DANZING CHICK 3 2 1½ 2½   32½ 38 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.50 11% 8.00 3.50 S
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
1  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 1 4 57 56½   510 49¼ (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 122 15.00 ★ 34.30  
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
5  HAZANNE 5 5 46 44   44½ 510 (engler jeff)PAUCAR E 122 1.60 ★ 1.00  
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  SUPER FOLLOW 2 6 68½ 69   613½ 619 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 ★ 10.50  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of FOLLOW by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
MVR-2   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YOU ARE AWESOME 6 3 33½ 3½   2nk 1¼ (morales m)DIAZ I 126 2.00 10% 9.40 1.00 W
5  HOLY SAINT 5 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 51% 0.90 2.30 P
4  SEMINOLE JUSTICE 4 1 2nk 2nk   3½ 34¼ (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 ★ 4.10 S
2  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN 2 5 68¼ 59   48½ 412¼ (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00 12.60  
1  NANO 1 6 57¾ 48½   58¾ 512½ (langley josh)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 ★ 22.00  
3  BOO BE RIGHT 3 4 43¾ 613   620¾ 645½ (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 13% 6.90 6.90  
 
MVR-3   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 5 6 55½ 45   4¼ 11¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 15% 5.80 2.40 W
8  ORBALINE 8 2 21½ 22   1nk 21¾ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 18% 4.60 2.60 P
3  BEND THE KNEE 3 1 11½ 12   2nk 32¾ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 1.70  
7  FLYING BUSINESS 7 7 33½ 32½   3.2 43½ (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 12.80  
4  LEADING INDICATOR 4 8 810½ 816   713¼ 514¾ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 15.00 39.80  
1  HER GOLD MINE 1 5 44½ 59   59¼ 615 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 11% 8.00 29.60  
6  O K BABY 6 3 66½ 611   611¼ 718 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 39.10  
9  CYBERBURG 9 4 77½ 713   817¼ 824¾ (meeks karl)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 6% 14.60 64.20  
2  GOLDEN LASSIE 2 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 25% 3.00 7.40  
 
MVR-4   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:013     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 3 32 43   44 1hd (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 3.00 29% 2.50 3.40 W
5  AINT NO BANDLEADER 4 1 2½ 1½   11½ 2hd (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 116 4.00 ★ 0.50 P
2  MIXTER JENSEN 2 4 42 31½   32 31¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 8% 11.50 4.60 S
4  PRIMITIVO 3 2 1½ 2½   21½ 45 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 5.00 ★ 5.90  
1  HAPPY TAKEOVER 1 5 56½ 510   513 518 (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 20.40  
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS               (tooley )PILARES P 116 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
MVR-5   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GRAN MAMIBELLA 6 5 45 31   11½ 15 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 4.50 10% 8.90 4.60 W
5  MYRRH 5 1 31 2½   21½ 25 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 5.80  
3  MON PARADIS 3 9 916¼ 811½   66¼ 37¼ (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 21% 3.80 19.20 S
8  SABELLE 8 2 1nk 1½   32 48¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 7% 13.10 5.80  
7  TARA DAWN 7 6 610 611   56 58¾ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5.50  
9  DYNA'S HOLIDAY 9 4 710¼ 59   46 69¾ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 47.10  
1  CROSSTOWN GIRL 1 8 813¼ 711½   88¾ 711¾ (fiesman rob)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.80  
4  WILLYMAR 4 7 57½ 46   76¾ 814 (rangel arnulf)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 5.10  
2  RAP STAR 2 3 2nk 9100   9100 9100 (wineba)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 35% 1.90 1.90  
 
MVR-6   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET VALERIA 2 4 32 31½   2½ 12 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 119 2.00 48% 1.10 1.20 W
5  V K STAR 5 6 57¼ 55¾   44 22 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 3.00 ★ 5.90 P
1A  DAYS REMEMBERED 3 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 32¼ (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 1.20  
6  VOODOOISM 6 5 79¼ 78¾   712 412 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★ 6.60  
2  GREGS POSSE 1 2 1nk 1nk   33½ 512½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
3  MARIMBA 4 3 42¼ 41¾   57 613 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 6.30  
7  VAVITE 7 7 67¼ 66¾   612 714 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 2.10  
SCR  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE               (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-7   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3C  KADESH 8 4 31 2nk   2½ 1¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.00 10% 9.30 1.20 DQ↓3
1A  UNYIELDING 1 2 2nk 31   1½ 2¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 64% 0.60 3.40 W
6  AGAVE KID 3 3 1nk 1nk   33½ 34¾ (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 10.00  
8  BEACH FRONT 5 5 73¼ 53   44 46 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 ★ 2.60  
5  UNION BROTHER 2 1 52½ 64   54 56¼ (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00 24.50  
9  AULD LANGE SYNE 6 7 62¾ 87   88¼ 610½ (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 49.70  
7  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 4 8 83¾ 76   77¾ 713½ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 16.60  
2B  BULLION 7 6 41½ 42½   67½ 815¼ (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 5% 19.00 12.10  
SCR  ALL STAR JUSTICE               (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
SCR  OVERBEARING               (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  READY TO MARCH               (poole m)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  STARSHIP TAXI               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
 
MVR-8   02/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:164 1:311   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE MOVES 1 2 11½ 11½ 11 2½ 11½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 20.10  
7  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 6 4 53½ 52¾ 41¼ 1½ 21½ (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 116 1.60 44% 1.30 0.80 P
3  SMOOCHER 3 6 66½ 63¼ 31 32 32¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00 ★ 1.50 S
2  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 2 3 21½ 31½ 53¾ 57 44¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 ★ 12.30  
6  PLAYING BALL 5 1 32 21½ 21 45 58¾ (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 ★ 14.20  
5  MUCH TIMES TWO 4 5 42½ 42½ 611¾ 622 628¼ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 8.50  
SCR  RED HEAD KID               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.