Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - February 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 1.20
MVR-2   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
MVR-3   Win (2/8/5/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
MVR-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
MVR-5   Win (2/3/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 1.20
MVR-6   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
MVR-7   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
MVR-8   Win (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $42.20  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEBODYLOVESYOU 6 1 2½ 1½   11 1 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 1.40 57% 0.80 1.60 W
SISTER CODE 4 3 3 32   21 2 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00 38.80  
DANZING CHICK 3 2 1½ 2½   3 38 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.50 11% 8.00 3.50 S
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 1 4 57 5   510 4 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 122 15.00 34.30  
HAZANNE 5 5 46 44   4 510 (engler jeff)PAUCAR E 122 1.60 1.00  
SUPER FOLLOW 2 6 6 69   613½ 619 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 10.50  
 
MVR-2   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU ARE AWESOME 6 3 3 3½   2nk 1¼ (morales m)DIAZ I 126 2.00 10% 9.40 1.00 W
HOLY SAINT 5 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 51% 0.90 2.30 P
SEMINOLE JUSTICE 4 1 2nk 2nk   3½ 3 (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 4.10 S
TENTWELVEFOURTEEN 2 5 6 59   4 412¼ (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00 12.60  
NANO 1 6 5 4   5 512½ (langley joshua)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 22.00  
BOO BE RIGHT 3 4 4 613   620¾ 645½ (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 13% 6.90 6.90  
 
MVR-3   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 5 6 5 45   4¼ 1 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 15% 5.80 2.40 W
ORBALINE 8 2 2 22   1nk 2 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 18% 4.60 2.60 P
BEND THE KNEE 3 1 1 12   2nk 3 (fadl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 1.70  
FLYING BUSINESS 7 7 3 3   3.2 4 (hurley l)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 12.80  
LEADING INDICATOR 4 8 810½ 816   713¼ 514¾ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 15.00 39.80  
HER GOLD MINE 1 5 4 59   5 615 (meraz an)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 11% 8.00 29.60  
O K BABY 6 3 6 611   611¼ 718 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 39.10  
CYBERBURG 9 4 7 713   817¼ 824¾ (meeks karl)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 6% 14.60 64.20  
GOLDEN LASSIE 2 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (clouston edward)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 25% 3.00 7.40  
 
MVR-4   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:013     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 3 32 43   44 1hd (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 3.00 29% 2.50 3.40 W
AINT NO BANDLEADER 4 1 2½ 1½   1 2hd (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 116 4.00 0.50 P
MIXTER JENSEN 2 4 42 3   32 3 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 8% 11.50 4.60 S
PRIMITIVO 3 2 1½ 2½   2 45 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 5.00 5.90  
HAPPY TAKEOVER 1 5 5 510   513 518 (campbell antho)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 20.40  
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS               (tooley je)PILARES P 116 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
MVR-5   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN MAMIBELLA 6 5 45 31   1 15 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 4.50 10% 8.90 4.60 W
MYRRH 5 1 31 2½   2 25 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 5.80  
MON PARADIS 3 9 916¼ 811½   6 3 (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 21% 3.80 19.20 S
SABELLE 8 2 1nk 1½   32 4 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 7% 13.10 5.80  
TARA DAWN 7 6 610 611   56 5 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5.50  
DYNA'S HOLIDAY 9 4 710¼ 59   46 6 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 47.10  
CROSSTOWN GIRL 1 8 813¼ 711½   8 711¾ (fiesman rober)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.80  
WILLYMAR 4 7 5 46   7 814 (rangel arnulfo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 5.10  
RAP STAR 2 3 2nk 9100   9100 9100 (winebaug)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 35% 1.90 1.90  
 
MVR-6   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET VALERIA 2 4 32 3   2½ 12 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 119 2.00 48% 1.10 1.20 W
V K STAR 5 6 5 5   44 22 (bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 3.00 5.90 P
1A  DAYS REMEMBERED 3 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 3 (clouston edward)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 1.20  
VOODOOISM 6 5 7 7   712 412 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 6.60  
GREGS POSSE 1 2 1nk 1nk   3 512½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
MARIMBA 4 3 4 4   57 613 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 6.30  
VAVITE 7 7 6 6   612 714 (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 2.10  
SCR  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE               (buttigieg kevin)DIAZ I 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-7   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3C  KADESH 8 4 31 2nk   2½ 1¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.00 10% 9.30 1.20 DQ↓3
1A  UNYIELDING 1 2 2nk 31   1½ 2¼ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 64% 0.60 3.40 W
AGAVE KID 3 3 1nk 1nk   3 3 (meraz an)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 10.00  
BEACH FRONT 5 5 7 53   44 46 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 2.60  
UNION BROTHER 2 1 5 64   54 5 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00 24.50  
AULD LANGE SYNE 6 7 6 87   8 610½ (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 49.70  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 4 8 8 76   7 713½ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 16.60  
2B  BULLION 7 6 4 4   6 815¼ (castillo )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 5% 19.00 12.10  
SCR  ALL STAR JUSTICE               (castillo )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
SCR  OVERBEARING               (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 2.50    
SCR  READY TO MARCH               (poole m)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00    
SCR  STARSHIP TAXI               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
 
MVR-8   02/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:164 1:311   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE MOVES 1 2 1 1 11 2½ 1 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 20.10  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 6 4 5 5 4 1½ 2 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 116 1.60 44% 1.30 0.80 P
SMOOCHER 3 6 6 6 31 32 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00 1.50 S
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 2 3 2 3 5 57 4 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 12.30  
PLAYING BALL 5 1 32 2 21 45 5 (murillo rodriguez)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 14.20  
MUCH TIMES TWO 4 5 4 4 611¾ 622 628¼ (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 8.50  
SCR  RED HEAD KID               (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.