Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/5/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/5/2/1)-(6/3/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(5/3/6)-(2/8/5/1/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/4/1)-(5/3/6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/8/5/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/8/5/1/9)-(6/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/8/5/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/1/9)-(2/8/5/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/1/9)-(2/8/5/1/9)-(2/8/5/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/5/1/9)-(6/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/1/9)-(6/2)-(2/3/6/8/1) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/2)-(2/3/6/8/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(2/3/6/8/1)-(1/2) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/3/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8/1)-(2/3/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8/1)-(2/3/6/8/1)-(2/3/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/6/8/1)-(1/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/8/1)-(1/2)-(1/3/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/3/2)-(7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(3/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/3/2/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Feb09 Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 122 15.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
2  SUPER FOLLOW Oct11 Sep20 Sep06     (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of FOLLOW by SEEKING THE GOLD)
3  DANZING CHICK Feb09 Jan24 Jan09     (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  SISTER CODE Feb09 Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
5  HAZANNE Jan13 Dec29 Nov24     (engler jeff)PAUCAR E 122 1.60 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  SOMEBODYLOVESYOU Apr21         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 1.40 57% 0.80    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GOLDLEAFED MIRROR by GOLD ALERT)
 
MVR-2   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANO Feb09 Jan16 Dec12 Nov16 Oct16 (langley josh)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 ★    
2  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN Jan16 Dec14 Nov08 Oct31 Oct04 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00    
3  BOO BE RIGHT Feb09 Jan16 Dec12 Nov29 Nov16 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 13% 6.90    
4  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Jan30 Jan18 Jan03 Dec15 Oct26 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 ★    
5  HOLY SAINT Feb09 Nov16 Oct30 Sep12 Aug08 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 51% 0.90    
6  YOU ARE AWESOME Sep13 Sep05 Aug18 Aug10 Jul28 (morales m)DIAZ I 126 2.00 10% 9.40    
 
MVR-3   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HER GOLD MINE Feb07 Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov20 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
2  GOLDEN LASSIE Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov21 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  BEND THE KNEE Feb01 Dec13 Nov30 Jun21 May30 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00    
4  LEADING INDICATOR Feb07 Jan19 Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
5  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Feb06 Jan19 Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  O K BABY Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
7  FLYING BUSINESS Feb07 Jan19 Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
8  ORBALINE Feb07 Dec30 Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
9  CYBERBURG Feb07 Dec14 Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 (meeks karl)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 6% 14.60    
 
MVR-4   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY TAKEOVER Jan26 Jun14 May26 May11 Apr26 (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
2  MIXTER JENSEN Jan26 Dec19 Dec07 Nov09 Oct10 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS Feb16 Dec30 Dec14 Nov30   (tooley )PILARES P 116 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  PRIMITIVO Feb16 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Aug02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 5.00 ★    
5  AINT NO BANDLEADER Feb16 Dec30 Nov30 Sep23 Sep05 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 116 4.00 ★    
6  TWINSPIREDJOEY Jan26 Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Oct31 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-5   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSTOWN GIRL Nov30 Oct23 Sep29 Aug31 Aug17 (fiesman rob)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RAP STAR Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 (wineba)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
3  MON PARADIS Feb09 Jan30 Jan18 Jan05 Dec15 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 21% 3.80    
4  WILLYMAR Feb14 Jan19 Jan11 Dec22 Dec14 (rangel arnulf)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
5  MYRRH Jan31 Jan18 Jan02 Nov30 Nov06 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00    
6  GRAN MAMIBELLA Feb14 Jan19 Jan05 Dec05 Nov22 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
7  TARA DAWN Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 Nov28 Nov06 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
8  SABELLE Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 Dec07 Nov22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 7% 13.10    
9  DYNA'S HOLIDAY Jan16 Apr05 Feb16 Jan24   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET VALERIA Feb01 Jan21 Dec02 Nov17 Nov03 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
1A  DAYS REMEMBERED Feb01 Jan19 Dec31 Nov23 Nov15 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00    
2  GREGS POSSE Feb01 Jan02 Nov28 Nov18 Nov06 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARIMBA Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec28 Nov16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE Feb01 Jan12 Dec28 Dec05 Oct04 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
5  V K STAR Jan24 Jan02 Sep22 Aug15 Aug02 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 3.00 ★    
6  VOODOOISM Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 Jun20 May04 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★    
7  VAVITE Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov28 Nov11 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-7   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UNYIELDING Dec27 Jun25 May16 Apr16 Mar31 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  OVERBEARING Feb09 Jan05 Nov17 Oct04 Sep06 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 ★    
2B  BULLION Jan02 Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALL STAR JUSTICE Feb07 Jan23 Dec29 Dec01 Nov14 (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
3C  KADESH Jan31 Jul19 Jun20 May31 May10 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  STARSHIP TAXI Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 Nov13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
SCR  READY TO MARCH Feb07 Jan28 Dec28 Dec10 Nov20 (poole m)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 ★    
5  UNION BROTHER Dec12 Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 Oct09 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00    
6  AGAVE KID Feb02 Jan05 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
7  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Feb01 Jan17 Dec29 Dec21 Nov15 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
8  BEACH FRONT Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 ★    
9  AULD LANGE SYNE Dec30 Nov29 Oct28 Oct13 Sep20 (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   02/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE MOVES Dec19 Sep20 Sep08 Aug24 Jul27 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
2  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Jan31 Jan12 Dec14 Nov14 Oct31 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 ★    
3  SMOOCHER Jan12 Nov30 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00 ★    
SCR  RED HEAD KID Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Dec07   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  MUCH TIMES TWO Jan26 Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Sep12 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00    
6  PLAYING BALL Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 Dec22 Dec07 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 ★    
7  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jan12 Dec30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 116 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.