The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Thursday - January 19, 2023

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PEN-1   01/19/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
:23 :47 1:122 1:392   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ MUNNINGS 5 3 2nk 1 1 11(synnefias dimitrios)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 44% 1.30 0.70 W
SKIMBLE SHANKS 1 2 42 43 2 22(beattie d)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 4.00 P
LA PAZ 3 4 3 3 4 310½ 313½ (smith r)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 21% 3.70 2.70 S
SUMMER MIST 2 5 56 57 510½ 413½ 418¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 7.30  
SONIC BLOOM 4 1 1nk 2 3 517½ 537½ (hendriks mclane)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 18.90  
SCR  JACK SLYE               (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  WICKOSITY               (hillegass alexandra)INIRIO J 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
PEN-2   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
:222 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 5 1 2½ 2   31 1½ (beattie m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 4.50  
QUEEN'S DREAM 2 6 6 4   21 2½ (beattie cody)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 8% 10.90 25.80 P
LANFRANKOPHILE 4 2 42 3   43¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 23% 3.40 3.90 S
KNICKERSINATWIST 1 3 1½ 1   11 43 (stites w)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 7.10  
NAIL POLISH 3 7 7 7   55(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 16% 5.20 8.50  
QUEEN ROSEMARY 7 8 8 8   66(salvaggio v)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 2.60  
MIZ CHAPLIN 8 5 53 5   77(johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 18% 4.60 5.90  
POSITIVE FORCE 6 4 31 6   8811½ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 8.00 7% 12.60 6.60  
AMEN SYLVIA 9 9 98 9   912¼ 911¾ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 15.00 90.60  
 
PEN-3   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S GET CRAZY 2 2 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00 11% 8.20 9.60 W
ALL TIME CLASSIC 6 6 32 2½   2½ 2¾ (chircop steven)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 31% 2.30 1.40 P
ASK THE UMPIRE 1 1 2½ 31   33(graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 1.80 33% 2.00 1.00 S
11  SALTY HEIR 8 7 5 4   44(allen ferris)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00 5.90  
FIFTH ELEMENT 4 5 7 69   610 5(kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 30.00 41.40  
MISTER ARANGUIZ 3 8 65 5   56(bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 92.60  
TIKI TOO 5 4 8 819   825½ 731½ (sarson b)VARGAS L 124 30.00 45.10  
10  JEALOUS RED 7 3 4 715   722 832 (cifarelli frank)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 30.00 78.20  
SCR  CUP MATCH               (allen ferris)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00    
SCR  D'LUCCI BOY               (dunham g)FLORES JR 124 8.00    
SCR  REIGNING CHAMPION               (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS               (zerpa gilberto)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
:244 :484 1:131 1:26   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBMAN 1 6 32 3 33 21¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 1.40  
A T M AWESOME 2 3 1½ 1½ 1 12¾ (zalalas michael)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 16.60  
UNCLE YUDI 4 4 42 4 43 33 3(kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 30.00 58.90  
COLONEL MOORHEAD 6 1 2½ 2½ 2 446 (rathman elisha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 10.30  
10  EVENT PARTY 7 2 53 5 5 5511 (mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00 2.60  
HOLD THE IRISH 3 7 64 6 613¼ 617½ 623¼ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 30.00 31.50  
LORD WINSALOT 5 5 76 711½ 728¼ 744½ 773 (kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 40% 1.50 2.00  
SCR  COUSTEAU               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU               (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW               (albright amy)FLORES E 120 15.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  MY MAN POTS N PANS               (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
:223 :454 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DEVIOUS MO 7 1 2½ 1nk   11(lucas bonnie)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 10% 9.10 2.40 W
DROSSELMOON 5 4 1½ 2nk   22(rathman elisha)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 7.60  
KEEPING THE PEACE 6 5 32 4   33(velazquez daniel)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 3.50 4.10  
MY DEVILS CHILD 1 6 65 5   55 4(moreno-barban leandro)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00 23% 3.40 5.80  
WOLFINBARGER 3 3 4 32   457 (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 23% 3.30 5.30  
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY 4 7 89 8   76(pessanha ney)INIRIO J 124 15.00 35.10  
11  TOWN JAK 8 2 5 6   69 7(albright amy)FLORES E 124 4.50 11% 7.80 2.90  
TORAZO 2 8 76 7   810¼ 8(martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00 8% 12.20 47.20  
SCR  I'M BLAMING YOU               (castillo angel)MILAN GERARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni p)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
SCR  POCOPSON STATION               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
 
PEN-6   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
:222 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILTONYTWOPHONES 5 3 1½ 12   11(simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 124 2.00 39% 1.60 1.30 W
ROCKIN THE PALACE 2 1 42 34   22(stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 5.90  
RISEN SAVIOR 3 5 54 57   311 314¼ (kulp l)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 29% 2.40 4.50 S
ON THE RIM 4 4 32 4   411½ 418¾ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 5.00 4.00  
SHARDIAL 1 2 2½ 22   513 530½ (geist w)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 2.90  
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS               (houghton thomas)INIRIO J 122 2.50    
 
PEN-7   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
:232 :473 1:141 1:282   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN SPRINGS 6 1 2nk 22 2 2½ 1(bentley fenneka)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 2.90  
BOHEMIA BABE 5 2 1nk 12 1 1½ 2(mercedes pedro)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 15.00 14.20  
FUELED UP 3 4 43 34 34 33(moreno-barban leandro)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 8.20  
FULL OF ATTITUDE 4 5 6 7 5 48 4(zerpa gilberto)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 71% 0.40 0.90  
MEEMOO 2 6 7 5 47 510 513 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 6.80  
PARABLE 1 7 5 6 610½ 618 627½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 68.90  
10  DAYS REMEMBERED 7 3 31 4 714½ 727 739 (salvaggio v)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
SCR  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY               (ferreira fernando)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 30.00    
SCR  DARE TO BE GREAT               (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 122 3.50    
SCR  SIMPLE JUSTICE               (mick r)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.