Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
PEN-2   Win (4/8/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $11.00  
PEN-3   Win (2/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $21.20 $21.20 15.20
PEN-4   Win (7/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $4.80  
PEN-5   Win (4/1/11/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
PEN-6   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
PEN-7   Win (6/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 0 $7.80  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:122 1:392   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ MUNNINGS 5 3 2nk 1 1 1 1 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 44% 1.30 0.70 W
SKIMBLE SHANKS 1 2 42 43 2 2 2 (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 4.00 P
LA PAZ 3 4 3 3 4 310½ 313½ (smith thomas )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 21% 3.70 2.70 S
SUMMER MIST 2 5 56 57 510½ 413½ 418¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 7.30  
SONIC BLOOM 4 1 1nk 2 3 517½ 537½ (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 18.90  
SCR  JACK SLYE               (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  WICKOSITY               (hillegass ale)INIRIO J 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
PEN-2   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 5 1 2½ 2   31 1½ (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 4.50  
QUEEN'S DREAM 2 6 6 4   21 2½ (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 8% 10.90 25.80 P
LANFRANKOPHILE 4 2 42 3   4 3¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 23% 3.40 3.90 S
KNICKERSINATWIST 1 3 1½ 1   11 43 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 7.10  
NAIL POLISH 3 7 7 7   5 5 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 16% 5.20 8.50  
QUEEN ROSEMARY 7 8 8 8   6 6 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 2.60  
MIZ CHAPLIN 8 5 53 5   7 7 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 18% 4.60 5.90  
POSITIVE FORCE 6 4 31 6   8 811½ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 8.00 7% 12.60 6.60  
AMEN SYLVIA 9 9 98 9   912¼ 911¾ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 15.00 90.60  
 
PEN-3   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S GET CRAZY 2 2 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00 11% 8.20 9.60 W
ALL TIME CLASSIC 6 6 32 2½   2½ 2¾ (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 31% 2.30 1.40 P
ASK THE UMPIRE 1 1 2½ 31   3 3 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 1.80 33% 2.00 1.00 S
11  SALTY HEIR 8 7 5 4   4 4 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00 5.90  
FIFTH ELEMENT 4 5 7 69   610 5 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 30.00 41.40  
MISTER ARANGUIZ 3 8 65 5   5 6 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 92.60  
TIKI TOO 5 4 8 819   825½ 731½ (sarson alis)VARGAS L 124 30.00 45.10  
10  JEALOUS RED 7 3 4 715   722 832 (cifarelli fra)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 30.00 78.20  
SCR  CUP MATCH               (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00    
SCR  D'LUCCI BOY               (dunham ber)FLORES JR 124 8.00    
SCR  REIGNING CHAMPION               (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS               (zerpa gilberto)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:131 1:26   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBMAN 1 6 32 3 33 2 1¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 1.40  
A T M AWESOME 2 3 1½ 1½ 1 1 2¾ (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 16.60  
UNCLE YUDI 4 4 42 4 43 33 3 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 30.00 58.90  
COLONEL MOORHEAD 6 1 2½ 2½ 2 4 46 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 10.30  
10  EVENT PARTY 7 2 53 5 5 5 511 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00 2.60  
HOLD THE IRISH 3 7 64 6 613¼ 617½ 623¼ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 30.00 31.50  
LORD WINSALOT 5 5 76 711½ 728¼ 744½ 773 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 40% 1.50 2.00  
SCR  COUSTEAU               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU               (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW               (albright amy)FLORES E 120 15.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  MY MAN POTS N PANS               (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:223 :454 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DEVIOUS MO 7 1 2½ 1nk   1 1 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 10% 9.10 2.40 W
DROSSELMOON 5 4 1½ 2nk   2 2 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 7.60  
KEEPING THE PEACE 6 5 32 4   3 3 (velazquez dan)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 3.50 4.10  
MY DEVILS CHILD 1 6 65 5   55 4 (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00 23% 3.40 5.80  
WOLFINBARGER 3 3 4 32   4 57 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 23% 3.30 5.30  
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY 4 7 89 8   7 6 (pessanha ney)INIRIO J 124 15.00 35.10  
11  TOWN JAK 8 2 5 6   69 7 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 4.50 11% 7.80 2.90  
TORAZO 2 8 76 7   810¼ 8 (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00 8% 12.20 47.20  
SCR  I'M BLAMING YOU               (castillo sanche)MILAN GERARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni wayne )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
SCR  POCOPSON STATION               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
 
PEN-6   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILTONYTWOPHONES 5 3 1½ 12   1 1 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 124 2.00 39% 1.60 1.30 W
ROCKIN THE PALACE 2 1 42 34   2 2 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 5.90  
RISEN SAVIOR 3 5 54 57   311 314¼ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 29% 2.40 4.50 S
ON THE RIM 4 4 32 4   411½ 418¾ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 5.00 4.00  
SHARDIAL 1 2 2½ 22   513 530½ (geist david)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 2.90  
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 2.50    
 
PEN-7   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:141 1:282   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN SPRINGS 6 1 2nk 22 2 2½ 1 (bentley fenneka)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 2.90  
BOHEMIA BABE 5 2 1nk 12 1 1½ 2 (mercedes pedr)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 15.00 14.20  
FUELED UP 3 4 43 34 34 3 3 (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 8.20  
FULL OF ATTITUDE 4 5 6 7 5 48 4 (zerpa gilbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 71% 0.40 0.90  
MEEMOO 2 6 7 5 47 510 513 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 6.80  
PARABLE 1 7 5 6 610½ 618 627½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 68.90  
10  DAYS REMEMBERED 7 3 31 4 714½ 727 739 (salvaggio mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
SCR  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY               (ferreira fer)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 30.00    
SCR  DARE TO BE GREAT               (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 122 3.50    
SCR  SIMPLE JUSTICE               (mick r)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.