Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/3)-(4/8/3/2/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(4/8/3/2/6)-(2/9/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/8/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/2/6)-(4/8/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/2/6)-(4/8/3/2/6)-(4/8/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/3/2/6)-(2/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/2/6)-(2/9/4)-(7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/4)-(2/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9/4)-(2/9/4)-(2/9/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/9/4)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4)-(7)-(4/1/11/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7)-(4/1/11/10/2) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (7)-(4/1/11/10/2)-(6/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/1/11/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/11/10/2)-(4/1/11/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/11/10/2)-(4/1/11/10/2)-(4/1/11/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/11/10/2)-(6/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/1/11/10/2)-(6/4)-(6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/10)-(6/10/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/10)-(6/10/9/2)-(6/10/9/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIMBLE SHANKS Dec09 Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 ★    
2  SUMMER MIST Dec06         (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00    
3  LA PAZ Dec06 Nov15 Oct05 Sep08 Aug18 (smith thoma)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  SONIC BLOOM Dec09 Nov08 Oct17 Sep24   (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
SCR  JACK SLYE Dec28 Oct23 Sep30     (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  WICKOSITY Nov22 Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 (hillegass a)INIRIO J 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
7  KAZ MUNNINGS Dec21 Oct18 Jun01     (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-2   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNICKERSINATWIST Dec02 Nov18 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00    
2  QUEEN'S DREAM Dec02 Oct14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul08 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
3  NAIL POLISH Oct14 Sep01 Jul18 Jun16 Jun01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
4  LANFRANKOPHILE Dec02 Oct29 Oct21 Oct05 Aug14 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Nov01 Oct13 Aug29 Jul08 May26 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
6  POSITIVE FORCE Dec28 Nov29 Oct14 Sep21 Sep01 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 8.00 7% 12.60    
7  QUEEN ROSEMARY Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50    
8  MIZ CHAPLIN Jul08 Jun17 May05     (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
9  AMEN SYLVIA Dec28 Dec02 Nov22 Oct26 Jul01 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
 
PEN-3   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  D'LUCCI BOY Jan09 Dec09 Nov09 Sep27   (dunham b)FLORES JR 124 8.00    
2  ASK THE UMPIRE Dec28 Dec13 Nov25 Nov09 Oct25 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  REIGNING CHAMPION         (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 6.00 ★    
4  LET'S GET CRAZY         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00 11% 8.20    
5  MISTER ARANGUIZ Dec28 Dec09 Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00    
6  FIFTH ELEMENT Nov25 Oct25 Oct12 Sep07 Aug25 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 30.00    
7  TIKI TOO Dec13         (sarson al)VARGAS L 124 30.00    
SCR  CUP MATCH Nov27 Nov05 Sep05 Aug17 Jul20 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00    
9  ALL TIME CLASSIC Dec04 Nov19 Nov05 Oct14 Sep30 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 31% 2.30    
10  JEALOUS RED Dec13         (cifarelli f)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 30.00    
11  SALTY HEIR Dec01 Nov11       (allen ferri)ALVELO C 124 15.00    
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Dec16 Nov29 Nov07 Oct07 Sep05 (zerpa gilberto)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLUBMAN Dec18 Nov30 Nov08 Oct22 Sep15 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 ★    
2  A T M AWESOME Dec21 Nov30 Nov02 Oct11 Sep15 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00    
3  HOLD THE IRISH Dec20 Nov25 Oct11 May19 Apr20 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU Jan07 Oct21 Sep16 Sep05 Aug22 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
5  UNCLE YUDI Dec13 Nov22 Oct28 Oct11 Sep22 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 30.00    
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW Dec27 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 Aug27 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 15.00 6% 14.90    
7  LORD WINSALOT Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  COUSTEAU Dec20 Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 Jun04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
9  COLONEL MOORHEAD Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
10  EVENT PARTY Nov25 Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug06 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00    
SCR  MY MAN POTS N PANS Dec18 Nov11 Oct12 Sep29 Jun15 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DEVILS CHILD Dec30 Nov23 Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 (moreno-barban)TUNON JORDANO 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
2  TORAZO Dec27 Dec09 Oct28 Oct05 Sep15 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  PECOS BILL Dec27 Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 May25 (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
4  WOLFINBARGER Dec27 Dec09 Nov16 Oct14 Sep23 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  POCOPSON STATION Aug11 Jul28 May26 Mar11 Mar01 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
6  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Dec21 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 Aug26 (pessanha ney)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 15.00    
7  DROSSELMOON Dec13 Nov15 Oct19 Aug31 Jul22 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
SCR  I'M BLAMING YOU Jan09 Jan02 Dec06 Nov15 Nov07 (castillo sanc)MILAN GERARDO 124 12.00    
9  KEEPING THE PEACE Jan09 Dec12 Aug04 Jul11 Jun25 (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 3.50    
10  DEVIOUS MO Nov30 Nov16 Nov05 Oct05 May31 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 10% 9.10    
11  TOWN JAK Jan04 Nov22 Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
 
PEN-6   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS Dec07 Oct21 Feb01     (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 2.50 ★    
2  SHARDIAL Sep23 Aug18       (geist dav)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 ★    
3  ROCKIN THE PALACE Dec13 Oct26 Aug25 Jul28 Jun23 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
4  RISEN SAVIOR Jul01 Jun01 May11 Feb16 Feb01 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
5  ON THE RIM Dec30 Dec09 Oct26 Aug04 Jun29 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 5.00 ★    
6  LILTONYTWOPHONES Dec21 Dec06 Oct22 Oct06 Sep24 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-7   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARABLE Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 Sep23 Sep08 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00    
2  MEEMOO Dec06 Nov09 Oct11 Sep23 Jun23 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  SIMPLE JUSTICE Dec06 Nov09 Oct11 Sep23 Aug19 (mick r)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
4  FUELED UP Nov30 Nov16 Oct28 Aug31 Jul27 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00    
SCR  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Dec02 Oct25 Oct10 Sep23 Aug18 (ferreira f)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 30.00    
6  FULL OF ATTITUDE Nov26 Jun11       (zerpa gil)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 71% 0.40    
SCR  DARE TO BE GREAT Dec02 Oct18 Aug15 Jul25 Jun29 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 3.50 ★    
8  BOHEMIA BABE Dec13 Nov08 Sep27 Sep05 Aug26 (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 15.00    
9  HIDDEN SPRINGS Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 Oct01 Aug09 (bentley fennek)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 ★    
10  DAYS REMEMBERED Dec31 Nov23 Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 (salvaggio ma)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.