The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fair Grounds
Sunday - March 19, 2023

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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FG-1   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:231 :474 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR ENSIGN 7 1 21 2nk   1½ 11 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 30% 2.30 1.30 W
TWO HANDS FULL 4 4 5 4   2½ 21 (duhon o)MORALES EDGAR 117 3.50 6% 14.40 2.50 P
LAST PENALTY 1 5 32 3   32 33 (larrosa a)VARGAS P 125 5.00 19% 4.30 3.90 S
SWEETASBAILY 5 7 79 6   54(husak j)SMITH R 125 6.00 17.40  
HONEST ANGUS 2 2 11 1nk   459 (breaux samu)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 25% 3.10 9.90  
IDDY BIDDY 6 3 42 5   6613¼ (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00 26.80  
ABBY DABBY 3 6 6 7   711½ 714¾ (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 117 6.00 7.50  
 
FG-2   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:45
:224 :471 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SWEET SUMMER 5 2 2½ 2½   2½ 1½ (kenneally eddie)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.70 W
MYSTIC CREED 2 6 1½ 1½   1½ 2½ (faucheux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 1.80 37% 1.70 0.70 P
CONFLICTING TALES 3 4 5 3   33 3(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 4.10 S
ROSIE'S ANGUS 4 5 63 42   44(breaux samu)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 30.20  
SAN MATEO KAT 6 1 31 67   69 5(calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 9.80  
MONTANA ROSE 1 3 4 5   5610 (rubley kelly)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 17.60  
 
FG-3   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
:23 :463 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY 4 2 42 2   1½ 1(broberg kar)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 30% 2.30 0.90 W
HOSTILE AFLEET 5 8 5 66   42(larrosa ju)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 50.80 P
MY MAN LOUIE 7 5 2 1   2½ 3(degeyter randy)BARRERA J 119 4.00 5% 18.80 7.90 S
DIXIE STREET 8 1 3 3   32 4(alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.50  
COHERE 1 6 7 7   67 5(meaux h)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 28.60  
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT 3 4 64 54   55 6(pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 120 12.00 56.20  
FLASHY PREMO 2 7 8 810   810 711¾ (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 120 15.00 ######  
BASEBALL LOVER 6 3 1 42   78 821¾ (mojica edith )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 11% 7.90 9.00  
 
FG-4   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
:23 :46 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME Q 1 2 1½ 12   16 111¾ (tracy tanner)ALBERT S 112 6.00 18% 4.40 2.40 W
10  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 5 1 2½ 22   26 211¾ (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 1.90 P
LITTLE MAN CAN 2 3 4 44   3314½ (lovell michel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00 20.60  
STATE SCHOOL SMART 4 4 3 32   49 418¾ (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 117 1.80 30% 2.30 1.00  
FLYING CAROLINA 3 5 55 5   511½ 518¾ (jeansonne justin)MURRAY M 117 10.00 19.10  
SCR  KISLOVODSK               (dorochenko genna)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 4.00    
SCR  LIBERTY'S HAULER               (stall m)CULP BRIANNE 117 15.00    
SCR  OPALESCENCE               (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  PROFESSOR HIGGINS               (roussel loui)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 5.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  SILVER BULL               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 5.00    
 
FG-5   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:224 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT FIVE 4 4 5 4   23 12 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 5% 19.00 2.80 W
FASTNFURIOUS 1 3 11 14   13 22 (tracy tanner)ALBERT S 120 3.00 0.80  
FOE 3 2 3 56   33(rubley kelly)PARKER L 117 6.00 25.90  
MIDNIGHT HUNTER 6 1 4 24   446 (hernandez leonel)GREEN AUBRIE 123 10.00 25.90  
G'S LAW 7 5 76 6   58 56 (west g)GRAHAM J 117 4.50 64% 0.60 4.60  
FOWLER CASTLE 2 7 21 3   6619 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 6.40  
RONNIE'S REASONING 5 6 64 7   712 720 (romero lynn)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00 88.00  
SCR  ROLL ON OUT               (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 5.00 7% 13.60    
 
FG-6   03/19/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
:243 :503 1:151 1:40   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISHOPS BAY 3 3 21 21 2nk 1nk 1¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.20 46% 1.20 0.40 W
DEMOLITION DUKE 6 5 4 4 3 32¼ (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 10% 9.20 6.20 P
FIRST DEFENDER 4 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 34 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.60 22% 3.50 2.70 S
PRINCELY 2 4 6 6 5 510 413½ (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 27.50  
MOTOWN MISSILE 1 2 3 32 4 4514¼ (asmussen m)STEVENS C 114 20.00 19.70  
THREE ON THE TREE 5 6 5 5 67 614 625¼ (lovell michelle)PARKER L 119 15.00 49.90  
SCR  BUTLER CABIN               (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 119 20.00    
 
FG-7   03/19/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
:24 :481 1:132 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMISE ME A RIDE 3 2 2 2½ 11 14 1(cox h)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 17% 5.00 1.90 W
TAPTHEDRUM 1 4 4 4 21 24 2(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 19% 4.40 1.10 P
GETTLEMAN 2 5 56 55 3 34 3(walsh brendan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 8.90  
MOESAHANDFUL 4 1 3 32 4 44(pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 11.10  
SCAT DANZ 5 3 1 1½ 55 526½ 590 (casse w)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 3.70  
SCR  STAYINYOURLANE               (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 4.50    
SCR  THREE ROUGH SHODS               (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
SCR  SOLOMON VANDY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MORE THAN FIVE               (calhoun willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
SCR  MO SATURDAYS               (stall m)LANERIE J 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  TWO RIVERS OVER               (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 6.00    
SCR  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE)               (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
SCR  HOT CUPPA COFFEE               (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   03/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
:25 :494 1:153 1:29   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANN'S STORM 6 4 3 43 3 2nk 1(landry ray)STOKES J 121 5.00 12% 7.30 4.40 W
LADY CHURCHILL 7 1 2½ 2nk 1 1nk 2(ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 19% 4.20 1.90 P
CRIDER CHASE 4 3 1½ 1nk 2 33(zenon shelton)VARGAS P 121 6.00 18% 4.60 9.70 S
STAR'S DREAM 5 2 4 31 44 43 4(hargrave kenneth)GREEN AUBRIE 121 10.00 18.00  
START WELL 2 8 6 6 69 56 5(larrosa a)BARRERA J 116 3.00 30% 2.30 1.30  
ZEEROCK 3 7 811 813 814½ 76(carter angelle)RIQUELME J 121 12.00 42.80  
KAITLYN'S COURT 8 6 5 5 58 67(constantin)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00 25.80  
I DONT KNOW EITHER 1 5 7 7 711½ 88(gomez jorge)CULP BRIANNE 121 10.00 24.10  
SCR  OVERLY SWEET               (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.