Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4/3)-(7/2/1/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/4)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/4)-(5/2)-(8/4/6/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/3/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/3/4/6)-(5/2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2)-(8/4/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(8/4/6/7)-(6/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7/5)-(8/4/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/6/7)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/7)-(6/2)-(8/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/10)-(6/2/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(8/5)-(3/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/7/2)-(8/5/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/5)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/5)-(3/5/7)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/1/2)-(3/5/7/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(1/5)-(3/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/8/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/7)-(3/8/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/7)-(3/8/5/7/2)-(3/8/5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST PENALTY         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 125 5.00 19% 4.30    
2  HONEST ANGUS         (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 25% 3.10    
3  ABBY DABBY Feb05 Nov02 Sep26 Aug29   (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 117 6.00 ★    
4  TWO HANDS FULL Feb26 Feb05 Dec23     (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 117 3.50 6% 14.40    
5  SWEETASBAILY Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 Dec22   (husak j)SMITH R 125 6.00    
6  IDDY BIDDY Feb26 Dec07 Nov08     (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00    
7  WAR ENSIGN Jan16 Mar10 Feb24     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
FG-2   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTANA ROSE Mar05         (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
2  MYSTIC CREED Feb23         (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  CONFLICTING TALES         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 ★    
4  ROSIE'S ANGUS         (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 ★    
5  MY SWEET SUMMER Sep02         (kenneally edd)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  SAN MATEO KAT         (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 ★    
 
FG-3   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COHERE Feb16 Jan08 Dec23 Sep18 Jul24 (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00    
2  FLASHY PREMO Feb18 Jan18 Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 120 15.00    
3  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Mar03 Feb09 Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 120 12.00    
4  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Mar03 Feb09 Jan05 Dec23 Dec03 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
5  HOSTILE AFLEET Feb25 Feb04 Jan26 Jan07 Dec15 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
6  BASEBALL LOVER Feb04 Jan07 Nov30 Nov03 Oct05 (mojica edit)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
7  MY MAN LOUIE Feb25 Feb16 Jan19 Dec07 Oct07 (degeyter ran)BARRERA J 119 4.00 5% 18.80    
8  DIXIE STREET Feb04 Jan15 Dec10 Nov16 Oct13 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
FG-4   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILVER BULL Mar04 Jan21 Dec16     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 5.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of BUNEYA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  CALL ME Q Aug22 Jul29 Jul02     (tracy tann)ALBERT S 112 6.00 18% 4.40    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DES MOINES by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
SCR  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Aug20         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 5.00 8% 11.10    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of NOBLE READY by MORE THAN READY)
4  LITTLE MAN CAN Jan14         (lovell mich)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
5  FLYING CAROLINA         (jeansonne justin)MURRAY M 117 10.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of IVORY MEADOW by MEADOWLAKE)
6  STATE SCHOOL SMART         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 117 1.80 30% 2.30    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CLAIR DE LUNE by REGAL CLASSIC)
SCR  OPALESCENCE         (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of OPAL BLUE by PIVOTAL (GB))
SCR  LIBERTY'S HAULER Dec26 Oct07       (stall m)CULP BRIANNE 117 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of AUGUST SNOW by TAPIT)
SCR  KISLOVODSK Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 Feb02 Jan08 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 4.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of STATISTICS by MUSKET MAN)
10  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Feb11 Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 Oct11 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 8.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
FG-5   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASTNFURIOUS Feb24 Feb03 Jan08 Dec18 Feb17 (tracy tann)ALBERT S 120 3.00    
2  FOWLER CASTLE Feb02 Oct02       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 ★    
3  FOE Feb23 Feb03 Jan06     (rubley kelly)PARKER L 117 6.00    
SCR  ROLL ON OUT Dec01 Jul31 Jun26     (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 5.00 7% 13.60    
5  CAT FIVE Feb24 Dec18 Dec04 Sep24 Aug12 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  RONNIE'S REASONING May27 May07 Apr22     (romero lynn)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00    
7  MIDNIGHT HUNTER Feb23 Jan20 Dec10 Nov25 Jul10 (hernandez leon)GREEN AUBRIE 123 10.00 ★    
8  G'S LAW Feb24 Feb10 Jan20 Sep17 Sep03 (west g)GRAHAM J 117 4.50 64% 0.60    
 
FG-6   03/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTOWN MISSILE Feb24 Jan20 Nov24 Oct28   (asmussen steven)STEVENS C 114 20.00 ★    
2  PRINCELY Nov12 Sep28 Sep15     (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 ★    
3  BISHOPS BAY Feb18         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.20 46% 1.20    
SCR  BUTLER CABIN Mar09 Feb17       (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 119 20.00    
5  FIRST DEFENDER Feb18 Jan21       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.60 22% 3.50    
6  THREE ON THE TREE Jan28 Jan21 Nov03 Oct01 Jul03 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 119 15.00    
7  DEMOLITION DUKE Feb05         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 10% 9.20    
 
FG-7   03/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPTHEDRUM         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by TAPIT out of DRUMETTE by HENNY HUGHES)
2  GETTLEMAN         (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESTELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  MO SATURDAYS Feb02 Oct30 Oct09 Sep01   (stall m)LANERIE J 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of MIGHTY KATHERINE by SEEKING THE DIA)
SCR  HOT CUPPA COFFEE         (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TOPIC by SPEAK)
5  PROMISE ME A RIDE         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MASTERY out of PROMISE ME MORE by MORE PLEASURE)
6  MOESAHANDFUL Feb18         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of TIZAHANDFUL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  THREE ROUGH SHODS         (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ART FAN by LEAR FAN)
8  SCAT DANZ Feb25         (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BACK TO LOVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  TWO RIVERS OVER Feb25 Jan21 Nov25 Oct16 Sep25 (calhoun william )PARKER L 120 6.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of AMERICAN COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  MORE THAN FIVE Feb25 Feb02 Dec26 Dec03 Oct23 (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FIVE STAR MOMMA by FIVE STAR DAY)
SCR  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Feb25 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
  (by KINGMAN out of DECCAN QUEEN by FLATTER)
SCR  SOLOMON VANDY Mar01 Oct15 Sep16 Aug27 Jul30 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of WICHITA by NAEVUS)
SCR  STAYINYOURLANE         (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 4.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
 
FG-8   03/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OVERLY SWEET Mar11 Feb22 Jan19 Jan06 Oct27 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 121 15.00    
2  I DONT KNOW EITHER Mar05 Feb05 Jan15 Dec23 Dec04 (gomez jorge)CULP BRIANNE 121 10.00 ★    
3  START WELL Mar08 Feb15 Jan19 Jan06 Dec20 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 116 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  ZEEROCK Mar05 Feb23 Feb05 Jan27 Jan15 (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
5  CRIDER CHASE Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  STAR'S DREAM Mar05 Feb05 Jan15 Dec23 Dec04 (hargrave kenne)GREEN AUBRIE 121 10.00    
7  ANN'S STORM Feb15 Feb01 Jan06 Dec20 Nov26 (landry ray)STOKES J 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
8  LADY CHURCHILL Dec31 Dec03 Nov19 Jul29 Jul14 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
9  KAITLYN'S COURT Feb15 Feb05 Jan15 Dec23 Dec04 (constant)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.