Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
FG-2   Win (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $5.20  
FG-3   Win (3/1/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $23.80 $23.80 13.80
FG-4   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $18.00  
FG-5   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 0.80
FG-6   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
FG-7   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.60  
FG-8   Win (1/8/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 5.40
FG-9   Win (2/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL O'HAIGAIN 1 1 11 1   15 111½ (faucheux ron)LANERIE J 121 1.80 53% 0.90 0.30 W
SWEET VIDALIA 6 5 6 6   4 211½ (degeyter randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 5.50  
LIL ADEAU 5 6 54 3   35 314½ (breaux samue)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 6.20 S
MYDEALOFTHEDAY 2 2 21 2   25 415 (constantine ca)BARRERA J 116 8.00 13% 6.40 38.40  
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN 4 3 4 5   6 518½ (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50 16.30  
MISS CHARLIE GRAS 3 4 33 4   5 619¾ (larrosa a)VARGAS P 121 4.00 14.50  
 
FG-2   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:15 1:284   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY DEAL 1 5 53 4 4 31 11 (delany sarah)PARKER L 125 3.00 1.60  
DEBS PRAYER 2 4 4 5 32 1½ 21 (ladner herman)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 39% 1.60 4.50 P
GRAEME'S DEAL 3 3 2½ 23 2 2½ 3 (johnson b)GRAHAM J 114 8.00 3.30 S
CAJUN ACES 8 1 6 6 6 5 4 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00 6% 14.40 12.70  
MYLIES STAR 7 6 3 33 5 64 56 (dussette alv)ALBERT S 117 4.50 13% 6.60 12.50  
GUANAJUATO 5 2 1½ 13 1 43 610½ (brinkman brett)BARRERA J 117 4.50 11% 8.30 4.10  
SHE'S TAKIN OVER 6 8 78 710¼ 7 76 710½ (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 8.00 21.30  
OVERLY SWEET 4 7 8 812¼ 810½ 811 813¾ (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 122 12.00 37.20  
 
FG-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC MANDATE 4 2 5 57   44 1¼ (gelner j)BARRERA J 117 4.50 8% 10.90 10.90 W
HOLY CITY 7 6 7 79   6 2¼ (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 4.00 5.60  
MULTI PLATINUM 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 31 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 14% 6.30 3.10 DQ↓4
RAMMER JAMMER 6 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 41 (faucheux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 3.50 7% 12.70 1.50 S
SPECIAL OPERATOR 3 5 3 3   3 5 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.00 41% 1.40 3.50  
TAPIT TO THE LINE 2 4 4 4   5 6 (brown i)STOKES A 122 8.00 6% 15.10 12.70  
BELLO CREEDO 5 7 6 6   7 710 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 8.00 26.60  
 
FG-4   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:22 :452 :581     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN 4 5 5 5   34 1¾ (husak j)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 8.00  
GUTZY 2 2 3 23   22 2¾ (camejo jose)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 17% 4.80 2.00 P
HOLY BAYOU 3 3 1 13   12 33 (klanfer alan)ALBERT S 109 8.00 13.50 S
MR. CROMWELL 5 7 77 7   5 4 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 114 8.00 18.90  
LIL WOADIE 6 1 65 6   4 5 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 8.00 8.30  
HARD FOUR 1 6 44 44   69 618¾ (david b)PARKER L 122 2.00 38% 1.60 1.20  
CUSTOM PRAYER 7 4 2 33   79 722½ (ladner john)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 17% 4.80 9.30  
 
FG-5   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:251 :52 1:193 1:322   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLICK AND FAST 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 (david b)LANERIE J 120 2.50 51% 1.00 1.40 W
RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM 7 3 5 54 43 4 2 (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 4.30 P
CREEKSIDE 5 6 43 3 32 3 3 (klanfer alan)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5.90 S
MARVINS' POSSE 3 1 2 2 2 2 42 (gelner j)BARRERA J 115 10.00 32.70  
SONYA KNOWS BETTER 2 8 8 8 6 66 5 (fuselier jo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 13.30  
AMERICAN DOLLARS 6 4 33 4 54 5 6 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00 3.60  
UP N GONE 4 5 6 6 7 78 711 (camejo m)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 28.20  
CUSTOM CADILLAC 8 7 7 7 810 814 826½ (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 27% 2.80 7.50  
SCR  OWEN THE ICE MAN               (hatcher d)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS               (faucheux ro)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
 
FG-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT SO CLOSE 6 1 12 1 1 15 18 (casse w)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 35% 1.90 1.60 W
MYTOWN MYRULES 5 3 3 3 3 3 28 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.40 P
ZING 4 6 612½ 610 46 48 3 (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 6.00 12.40 S
FINE COTTON 1 2 22 2 2 25 411¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 4.50 5.40  
JUDY'S WAY 2 4 4 49 57 510½ 518 (habeeb dona)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 18.50  
ROMANCE NOVEL 3 5 511 510 68 612½ 621¼ (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 11% 7.80 6.40  
 
FG-7   03/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:134 1:384   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITAIN'S KITTEN 2 3 46 46 4 12 11 (williamson brian)PARKER L 120 3.00 2.30  
OMAHA RED 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 22 21 (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 32% 2.10 1.90 P
PORTOS 5 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 4 3 (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 5.20  
ROMAN CENTURIAN 3 5 32 31 32 3 44 (cox h)LANERIE J 120 4.00 12% 7.40 2.30  
AMERICAN HERO 1 4 5 57 56 512½ 544¼ (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 7.70  
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON               (block chris)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY               (kenneally eddi)CARROLL DECLAN 120 8.00    
 
FG-8   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Allen Black Cat LaCombe Memori Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:25 :511 1:174 1:303   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 8 6 55 54 31 2½ 1nk (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 16% 5.20 6.70 W
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 5 8 7 8 8 5 2nk (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 13.80  
CHOP CHOP 1 7 8 64 5 31 3½ (cox h)LANERIE J 122 1.80 41% 1.40 0.60 S
HANG THE MOON 3 4 6 4 7 6 4 (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 9% 10.60 3.30  
CAMP AKEELA 6 2 1½ 32 1½ 1½ 5 (amoss thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 35.20  
BLAME DAY 2 1 2½ 21 4 41 6 (calhoun br)PARKER L 118 8.00 18.90  
HAYUNEVANO 4 3 32 11 2½ 7 7 (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 8.00 6% 15.40 29.60  
BEYOND DOUBT 7 5 4 7 64 8 810½ (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
 
FG-9   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:223 :462 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE LIGHT 2 5 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (asmussen m)LANERIE J 117 3.00 35% 1.90 1.00 W
TIM TAL 5 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 6% 16.80 3.00 P
RATE CONFIRMATION 1 4 6 3   34 3 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00 24.50  
KISLOVODSK 3 1 3 4   4 4 (dorochenko genna)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 12.00 57.90  
FOREVER COOL 6 7 8 68   58 512¼ (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 8.00 9.20  
OVERANALYTICAL 7 2 5 5   69 612¾ (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 15% 5.70 7.50  
LUCKY SMILE 4 8 42 811   713 720¼ (tomlinson mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 24% 3.20 7.00  
EMERGENCY RESPONSE 8 6 7 710½   813½ 820¾ (calhoun br)PARKER L 125 5.00 11.90  
SCR  CLASSIC RUNNER               (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.