Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-3   WIN (3/1/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $23.80 $13.80 138%
FG-5   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/5/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-7 $15.30 $7.30 91%
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/5/7/6)-(1/8/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-5 $56.25 $44.25 369%
FG-6   DD (1/8)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $7.20 $1.20 20%
FG-8   WIN (1/8/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $15.40 $5.40 54%
FG-9   DD (1/8/3/4/7)-(2/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-2 $21.20 $1.20 6%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL O'HAIGAIN 1 1 11 1   15 111½ (faucheux ron)LANERIE J 121 1.80 53% 0.90 0.30 W
SWEET VIDALIA 6 5 6 6   4 211½ (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 5.50  
LIL ADEAU 5 6 54 3   35 314½ (breaux sam)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 6.20 S
MYDEALOFTHEDAY 2 2 21 2   25 415 (constantine )BARRERA J 116 8.00 13% 6.40 38.40  
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN 4 3 4 5   6 518½ (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50 16.30  
MISS CHARLIE GRAS 3 4 33 4   5 619¾ (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 4.00 14.50  
 
FG-2   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:15 1:284   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY DEAL 1 5 53 4 4 31 11 (delany sarah)PARKER L 125 3.00 1.60  
DEBS PRAYER 2 4 4 5 32 1½ 21 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 39% 1.60 4.50 P
GRAEME'S DEAL 3 3 2½ 23 2 2½ 3 (johnson b)GRAHAM J 114 8.00 3.30 S
CAJUN ACES 8 1 6 6 6 5 4 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00 6% 14.40 12.70  
MYLIES STAR 7 6 3 33 5 64 56 (dussette a)ALBERT S 117 4.50 13% 6.60 12.50  
GUANAJUATO 5 2 1½ 13 1 43 610½ (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 117 4.50 11% 8.30 4.10  
SHE'S TAKIN OVER 6 8 78 710¼ 7 76 710½ (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 8.00 21.30  
OVERLY SWEET 4 7 8 812¼ 810½ 811 813¾ (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 122 12.00 37.20  
 
FG-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC MANDATE 4 2 5 57   44 1¼ (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 117 4.50 8% 10.90 10.90 W
HOLY CITY 7 6 7 79   6 2¼ (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 4.00 5.60  
MULTI PLATINUM 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 31 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 14% 6.30 3.10 DQ↓4
RAMMER JAMMER 6 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 41 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 3.50 7% 12.70 1.50 S
SPECIAL OPERATOR 3 5 3 3   3 5 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.00 41% 1.40 3.50  
TAPIT TO THE LINE 2 4 4 4   5 6 (brown i)STOKES A 122 8.00 6% 15.10 12.70  
BELLO CREEDO 5 7 6 6   7 710 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 8.00 26.60  
 
FG-4   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:22 :452 :581     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN 4 5 5 5   34 1¾ (husak gary)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 8.00  
GUTZY 2 2 3 23   22 2¾ (camejo jo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 17% 4.80 2.00 P
HOLY BAYOU 3 3 1 13   12 33 (klanfer al)ALBERT S 109 8.00 13.50 S
MR. CROMWELL 5 7 77 7   5 4 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 114 8.00 18.90  
LIL WOADIE 6 1 65 6   4 5 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 8.00 8.30  
HARD FOUR 1 6 44 44   69 618¾ (david b)PARKER L 122 2.00 38% 1.60 1.20  
CUSTOM PRAYER 7 4 2 33   79 722½ (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 17% 4.80 9.30  
 
FG-5   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:251 :52 1:193 1:322   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLICK AND FAST 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 (david b)LANERIE J 120 2.50 51% 1.00 1.40 W
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of CAUSEFORCONFUSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM 7 3 5 54 43 4 2 (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 4.30 P
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CHERUB HEART by DEHERE)
CREEKSIDE 5 6 43 3 32 3 3 (klanfer al)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5.90 S
  (by CONGRATS out of SUNNY ISLES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MARVINS' POSSE 3 1 2 2 2 2 42 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 10.00 32.70  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of POSSE UP by POSSE)
SONYA KNOWS BETTER 2 8 8 8 6 66 5 (fuselier )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 13.30  
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
AMERICAN DOLLARS 6 4 33 4 54 5 6 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00 3.60  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SILKS AND TASSELS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
UP N GONE 4 5 6 6 7 78 711 (camejo m)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 28.20  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZIPPITY GOOMBA by CITY ZIP)
CUSTOM CADILLAC 8 7 7 7 810 814 826½ (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 27% 2.80 7.50  
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LIBERINA by FORESTRY)
SCR  OWEN THE ICE MAN               (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MYKINDALADY by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS               (faucheux )HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FG-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT SO CLOSE 6 1 12 1 1 15 18 (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 35% 1.90 1.60 W
MYTOWN MYRULES 5 3 3 3 3 3 28 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.40 P
ZING 4 6 612½ 610 46 48 3 (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 6.00 12.40 S
FINE COTTON 1 2 22 2 2 25 411¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 4.50 5.40  
JUDY'S WAY 2 4 4 49 57 510½ 518 (habeeb do)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 18.50  
ROMANCE NOVEL 3 5 511 510 68 612½ 621¼ (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 11% 7.80 6.40  
 
FG-7   03/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:134 1:384   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITAIN'S KITTEN 2 3 46 46 4 12 11 (williamson brian)PARKER L 120 3.00 2.30  
OMAHA RED 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 22 21 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 32% 2.10 1.90 P
PORTOS 5 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 4 3 (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 5.20  
ROMAN CENTURIAN 3 5 32 31 32 3 44 (cox h)LANERIE J 120 4.00 12% 7.40 2.30  
AMERICAN HERO 1 4 5 57 56 512½ 544¼ (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 7.70  
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON               (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY               (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 120 8.00    
 
FG-8   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Allen Black Cat LaCombe Memorial Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:25 :511 1:174 1:303   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 8 6 55 54 31 2½ 1nk (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 16% 5.20 6.70 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DYNARAMA by DYNAFORMER)
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 5 8 7 8 8 5 2nk (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 13.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of BAHATI by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
CHOP CHOP 1 7 8 64 5 31 3½ (cox h)LANERIE J 122 1.80 41% 1.40 0.60 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of GRAND SOFIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
HANG THE MOON 3 4 6 4 7 6 4 (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 9% 10.60 3.30  
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOONDANCE by MALIBU MOON)
CAMP AKEELA 6 2 1½ 32 1½ 1½ 5 (amoss thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 35.20  
  (by LAOBAN out of TREE CHOPPER by WOODMAN)
BLAME DAY 2 1 2½ 21 4 41 6 (calhoun william )PARKER L 118 8.00 18.90  
  (by BLAME out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
HAYUNEVANO 4 3 32 11 2½ 7 7 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 8.00 6% 15.40 29.60  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CLASSIC VISION by MUNNINGS)
BEYOND DOUBT 7 5 4 7 64 8 810½ (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
  (by ARROGATE out of STRAWBERRY SENSE by A.P. INDY)
 
FG-9   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:223 :462 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE LIGHT 2 5 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 117 3.00 35% 1.90 1.00 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of IN THE MOONLIGHT by TAPIT)
TIM TAL 5 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 6% 16.80 3.00 P
  (by FAST ANNA out of CRYPTO RISING STAR by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
RATE CONFIRMATION 1 4 6 3   34 3 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00 24.50  
  (by CONNECT out of ECHO DUST by BERNARDINI)
KISLOVODSK 3 1 3 4   4 4 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 12.00 57.90  
  (by GIO PONTI out of STATISTICS by MUSKET MAN)
FOREVER COOL 6 7 8 68   58 512¼ (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 8.00 9.20  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BOY CRAZY by SKY MESA)
OVERANALYTICAL 7 2 5 5   69 612¾ (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 15% 5.70 7.50  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of BOLD KITTEN by JACINTO)
LUCKY SMILE 4 8 42 811   713 720¼ (tomlinson )HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 24% 3.20 7.00  
  (by TAPIT out of LUCKY COPY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
EMERGENCY RESPONSE 8 6 7 710½   813½ 820¾ (calhoun william )PARKER L 125 5.00 11.90  
  (by STREET SENSE out of DIFFER by PULPIT)
SCR  CLASSIC RUNNER               (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ATHENA by STREET SENSE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.