Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-2   Win (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-3   Win (3/1/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-4   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-5   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-6   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-7   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-8   Win (1/8/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-9   Win (2/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Dec18 Dec01 Jul13 May14 Apr14 (faucheux ron)LANERIE J 121 1.80 53% 0.90    
MYDEALOFTHEDAY Jan26 Dec07 Oct29 Aug27 Aug13 (constantine ca)BARRERA J 116 8.00 13% 6.40    
MISS CHARLIE GRAS Jan21 Nov04 Oct13 Jan01   (larrosa a)VARGAS P 121 4.00    
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN Feb04 Jan06 Dec01 Nov10 Aug13 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50    
LIL ADEAU Feb24 Feb11 Jan21 Dec01 Nov02 (breaux samue)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
SWEET VIDALIA Feb12 Jan14 Dec22 Nov25   (degeyter randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50    
 
FG-2   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY DEAL Feb23 Dec29 Dec19 Nov11 Oct19 (delany sarah)PARKER L 125 3.00    
DEBS PRAYER Feb23 Jan27 Dec01 Feb21 Jan16 (ladner herman)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
GRAEME'S DEAL Feb28 Dec19 Jun25     (johnson b)GRAHAM J 114 8.00    
OVERLY SWEET Feb22 Jan19 Jan06 Oct27 Oct12 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 122 12.00    
GUANAJUATO Feb23 Jan27 Dec18 Dec01 Nov03 (brinkman brett)BARRERA J 117 4.50 11% 8.30    
SHE'S TAKIN OVER Feb02 Jan06 Dec08 Nov18 Nov03 (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 8.00    
MYLIES STAR Feb23 Jan27 Jan19 Jan06 Dec15 (dussette alv)ALBERT S 117 4.50 13% 6.60    
CAJUN ACES Jan19 Jan07 Nov18 Oct12 Sep11 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00 6% 14.40    
 
FG-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULTI PLATINUM Feb26 Jan15 Dec23 Nov11 Oct08 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
TAPIT TO THE LINE Feb02 Jan12 Oct14 Aug13 Jul21 (brown i)STOKES A 122 8.00 6% 15.10    
SPECIAL OPERATOR Feb26 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.00 41% 1.40    
MAJESTIC MANDATE Jan07 Dec02 Nov05 Oct14 Aug13 (gelner j)BARRERA J 117 4.50 8% 10.90    
BELLO CREEDO Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 Dec03 Sep27 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 8.00    
RAMMER JAMMER Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 Dec04 (faucheux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 3.50 7% 12.70    
HOLY CITY Jan27 Dec08 Oct22 Mar25 Mar05 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
 
FG-4   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD FOUR Feb18 Jan28 Dec15 Nov24   (david b)PARKER L 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
GUTZY Feb18 Jan07 Dec11 Aug29 Aug09 (camejo jose)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
HOLY BAYOU Feb18 Jan11 Dec15 Nov09 Oct22 (klanfer alan)ALBERT S 109 8.00    
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Feb18 Jan07 Dec11 Nov24 Oct26 (husak j)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
MR. CROMWELL Feb05 Jan16       (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 114 8.00    
LIL WOADIE Feb18 Jan26 Jan01 Dec11 Nov24 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 8.00    
CUSTOM PRAYER Feb16 Jun25 May26 Apr08 Mar17 (ladner john)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
FG-5   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLICK AND FAST Feb23 Jan28 Jan12 Dec10   (david b)LANERIE J 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Feb23 Feb02 Jan13 Dec01 Nov11 (fuselier jo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
MARVINS' POSSE Feb25 Jan27 Oct20     (gelner j)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
UP N GONE Feb23 Jan12 Nov25     (camejo m)RIQUELME J 120 10.00    
CREEKSIDE Feb10 Jan05       (klanfer alan)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
AMERICAN DOLLARS Feb23 Jan28 Dec04 Oct05 Sep07 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00    
RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Feb10 Dec10 Aug20     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
CUSTOM CADILLAC Feb10 Jan20 Dec26     (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  OWEN THE ICE MAN Feb10 Feb02 Jan07 Dec22 Dec01 (hatcher d)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS Feb10         (faucheux ro)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
 
FG-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINE COTTON Jan16 Dec19 Oct15 Sep25 Jul17 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 4.50    
JUDY'S WAY Jan16 Dec22 Nov12 Oct09 Sep25 (habeeb dona)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00    
ROMANCE NOVEL Feb04 Nov16 Sep23 Aug13 Jul02 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
ZING Feb12 Jan29 Jan16 Nov03 Sep16 (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 6.00    
MYTOWN MYRULES Feb12 Jan12       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
NOT SO CLOSE Feb12 Jul29       (casse w)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
FG-7   03/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON Jan14 Dec26 Nov13 Jun25 May28 (block chris)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY Feb12 Jan08 Jun20 May15 Apr16 (kenneally eddi)CARROLL DECLAN 120 8.00    
AMERICAN HERO Feb11 Jan21 Dec17 Sep30 Sep05 (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
BRITAIN'S KITTEN Feb11 Dec31 Dec11 Nov16 Oct12 (williamson brian)PARKER L 120 3.00    
ROMAN CENTURIAN Feb18 May15       (cox h)LANERIE J 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
OMAHA RED Feb11 Jan16 Dec22 Nov06 Oct15 (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
PORTOS Jan28 Dec17 Nov05 Sep05 Jul28 (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50    
 
FG-8   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Allen Black Cat LaCombe Memori Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOP CHOP Feb18 Jan21 Nov04 Oct07 Sep03 (cox h)LANERIE J 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
BLAME DAY Feb16 Jan14 Dec15 Nov16   (calhoun br)PARKER L 118 8.00    
HANG THE MOON Jan22 Dec26 Oct08 Sep06   (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 9% 10.60    
HAYUNEVANO Feb17 Jan21 Dec26 Dec09 Nov19 (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 8.00 6% 15.40    
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Feb05 Dec09 Aug14     (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
CAMP AKEELA Feb26 Feb09 Nov19 Sep28 Sep05 (amoss thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
BEYOND DOUBT Jan22 Dec02 Sep26     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE Jan16 Oct30 Aug28 Jul31   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
FG-9   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATE CONFIRMATION Jan20 Dec26 Nov17 Oct23 Sep23 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00    
BLUE LIGHT         (asmussen m)LANERIE J 117 3.00 35% 1.90    
KISLOVODSK Feb20 Feb11 Feb02 Jan08 Dec18 (dorochenko genna)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 12.00    
LUCKY SMILE Sep15         (tomlinson mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 24% 3.20    
TIM TAL Feb11 Jan14 Jun24 May15 Apr09 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 6% 16.80    
FOREVER COOL         (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 8.00    
SCR  CLASSIC RUNNER Feb25 Dec02 Nov18 Oct20 Mar19 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
OVERANALYTICAL Feb11 Jan14 Dec18 Jan17   (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 15% 5.70    
EMERGENCY RESPONSE         (calhoun br)PARKER L 125 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.