Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-6   EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $13.20 $1.20 10%
    SFT (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/4/5)-(7/3/6/4/5)-(7/3/6/4/5) 72 $0.10 $7.20  7-5-6-4 $19.32 $12.12 168%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   02/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:224 :471 :594     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM PRAYER 4 1 1nk 11   13 1 (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 26% 2.90 2.20 W
GOT ME A CHRYSLER 7 8 7 7   44 2 (david b)CULP BRIANNE 112 6.00 19.50  
HAPPY SEASON 1 4 4 42   33 3 (zenon charles)MURRAY M 125 8.00 9% 9.60 16.80 S
INSPECTOR ED 2 5 5 5   56 4 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00 12.40  
REECEMANIA 3 2 2nk 21   23 5 (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 20% 3.90 2.00  
BUCK DOLL TAYLOR 8 6 6 6   711 612¾ (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00 8% 11.30 7.40  
VALID EARLY 5 7 810¾ 810¼   813 713¼ (camejo m)RIQUELME J 117 6.00 21.90  
ROYAL UNLIMITED 6 3 31 31   69 818½ (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 16% 5.20 3.30  
 
FG-2   02/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:142 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR FAST 6 7 8 8 8 44 1¼ (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 5.00 3.60  
CABERTOSS 3 5 42 32 2½ 1 2¼ (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 16% 5.40 6.50 P
TRIVISTA 2 2 52 4 4 32 3 (landry jac)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 6% 15.40 2.60 S
TIO BLAS 4 6 6 6 6 55 4 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 4.10  
THE GRAY BLUR 5 3 2½ 1 1½ 2 54 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00 22.70  
PLEMMONSTON 8 8 7 7 7 711½ 616½ (leonard i)PARKER L 121 3.50 5% 19.00 6.10  
CAP ROCK MINER 1 1 1½ 2 5 610 734 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 38% 1.60 6.80  
BLURT 7 4 31 5 3 814½ 861¼ (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 6% 14.90 11.10  
 
FG-3   02/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144 1:402   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME DAY 6 1 11 11 1½ 14 1 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.40 55% 0.80 0.50 W
  (by BLAME out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
LADY WITH A CAUSE 1 2 65 6 56 36 2 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 2.00 13% 6.50 3.10 P
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PUNCHIN' CHUDY by TWO PUNCH)
MISCHIEVOUS GAL 5 5 21 21 2½ 24 3 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 10% 9.40 4.60 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENOUGH by ARCH)
JAYLA 4 4 32 32 3 4 4 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 120 8.00 17.90  
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BELLA PALOMA 3 6 5 5 45 512½ 516½ (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 5.00 10.70  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of STRAWBERRY TEQUILA by DAAHER)
INTERNET GIRL 2 3 4 44 618 6100 6100 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 55.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEAVINGISWINNING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
FG-4   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALING APRIORITY 6 1 32 33   31 1¾ (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.70 W
DIALED A DAME 2 7 711 5   46 2¾ (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 5% 18.50 3.30 P
IRONMAN RICHIE 1 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 3 (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 10.00 10.90  
PLANTERS PUNCH 5 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 45 (bourgeois )ALBERT S 117 2.50 24% 3.20 1.30  
MASQUERADE BALL 4 6 610 711¾   612 512 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 12.00 60.30  
MESABI 7 5 54 4   712½ 614½ (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 8% 11.60 6.20  
SCARYATCANTERBURY 3 4 4 6   510½ 717¾ (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 15.00 28.50  
SCR  GROOM LAKE               (barnett c)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
SCR  WHISKEY GENT               (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR FREDDIE MAC 6 2 12 1   1 1 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 9.20  
G'WILDCAT 7 1 22 2   2 2 (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 33% 2.00 1.10 P
AVAILABLE STAR 2 4 6 5   6 35 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 12% 7.10 2.40 S
COHERE 4 7 710¼ 6   3 46 (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 24.60  
BINDING AGREEMENT 3 5 54 4   5 5 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00 11.20  
JANETS JAY JAY 1 3 33 3   4 612½ (alonzo howard)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 24% 3.20 9.20  
SCHNELL 5 6 44 711½   717¼ 740 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 6.40  
SCR  MR. UNIVERSE               (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 12.00    
 
FG-6   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUXS ARTES 7 3 2½ 1½   2½ 1½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 125 2.50 48% 1.10 1.60 W
  (by MASTERY out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
MAD CAPER 5 7 3 31   1½ 2½ (bauer phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 5.00 2.50 P
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
PLEASE BE KIND 6 1 4 4   3 3 (mcgee paul)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 7% 13.90 5.10 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of INCLUDE ME OUT by INCLUDE)
LADY HUXLEY 4 5 5 54   53 4 (ortiz alexa)PARKER L 125 8.00 34.80  
  (by TOURIST out of HUXLEY WINNER by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
CRIMALDI 2 6 6 6   6 5 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 7.60  
  (by OUTWORK out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
CATWINGS 3 2 1½ 2½   42 6 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 3.00 24% 3.20 3.30  
  (by CUPID out of CATTICUS by ATTICUS)
LITTLE FAIRY 1 4 7 714½   716½ 724½ (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00 75.90  
  (by GIO PONTI out of SPACE BOAT by LAWYER RON)
SCR  GYURZA               (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of CATHEDRA by RUNAWAY GROOM)
 
FG-7   02/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:234 :503 1:164 1:43   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLISSFUL 4 5 45 3 3 2½ 1 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 11% 8.40 1.10 W
AIN'T BROKE 8 4 22 2½ 2 1½ 2 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 120 4.00 18% 4.40 4.00 P
CECILITA 1 6 6 5 54 4 32 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00 57.90  
LOLLOPING 5 3 3 4 4 5 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 32% 2.10 3.20  
WAYWARDNESS 2 1 12 6 65 64 57 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 16.00  
LIVY B 6 8 812 8 77 7 6 (leonard i)PARKER L 120 10.00 33.10  
WORLD WAR 3 2 55 1½ 1 33 710 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.00 15% 5.60 5.90  
LADY EMILY 7 7 7 7 87 811½ 815¾ (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 13.50  
SCR  COLONEL ABY B               (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DUXONTHEPOND               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE               (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SCR  HAT TIP               (williamso)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:142 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNWANTED INTRUDER 1 7 7 64 5 22 12 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 2.60  
C'MON VE 7 1 1 12 1nk 12 22 (landry jaco)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 12.00 7% 12.80 3.10 P
MY GUITAR 2 6 64 3 3 4 3 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.00 40% 1.50 4.30 S
10  GALLANT STAR 10 5 4 5 43 5 4 (husak j)MURRAY M 121 4.00 11% 7.80 5.50  
PRAY IDE SING 9 3 2 22 2nk 32 59 (williams kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 9% 9.60 14.20  
LOUISIANA MOON 5 9 9 97 64 6 614 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 8.30  
I'M D'CAT 8 10 10 1011 912½ 912¾ 719¼ (brinkman b)ALBERT S 116 5.00 11.90  
ADIEU LE CHAT 4 8 85 8 8 812¼ 819½ (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00 42.40  
SHAE'S DAY 6 11 1117½ 1119 1117 1014¾ 919½ (senegal j)RIQUELME J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 68.50  
LOVEU AND PROUDOFU 3 2 3 4 77 7 1021½ (richards cor)CARROLL DECLAN 121 20.00 21.50  
11  DONNA'S COURT 11 4 53 7 1013 1120¾ 1135¾ (singh s)SINGH R 121 20.00 45.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.