Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/3/6/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/1/8)-(4/3/6/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/1/8)-(4/3/6/1/8)-(4/3/6/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/6/1/8)-(1/3/7/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/1/8)-(1/3/7/2/8)-(6/1/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-2   WIN (1/3/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2/8)-(1/3/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2/8)-(1/3/7/2/8)-(1/3/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2/8)-(6/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/2/8)-(6/1/5)-(8/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/4/3)-(6/1/5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(8/7/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(8/7/9/2)-(8/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (8/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/2)-(8/7/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/2)-(8/7/9/2)-(8/7/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/9/2)-(8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/2)-(8/1/2)-(7/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2/5/4)-(8/1/2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/2)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2)-(7/3/6)-(5/8/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/4/5)-(7/3/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(5/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(5/8/3/4)-(2/10/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/4)-(2/10/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (2/10/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/7/6)-(2/10/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/7/6)-(2/10/9/7/6)-(2/10/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY SEASON Jan08         (zenon charles)MURRAY M 125 8.00 9% 9.60    
2  INSPECTOR ED Feb05 Jan12 Dec31     (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00    
3  REECEMANIA Jan18         (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 20% 3.90    
4  CUSTOM PRAYER Jun25 May26 Apr08 Mar17   (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  VALID EARLY         (camejo m)RIQUELME J 117 6.00    
6  ROYAL UNLIMITED Jan01 Jul22       (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 16% 5.20    
7  GOT ME A CHRYSLER         (david b)CULP BRIANNE 112 6.00    
8  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR Jan15 Dec31 Nov25     (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00 8% 11.30    
 
FG-2   02/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAP ROCK MINER Jan26 Dec15 Nov24 Sep18 Aug30 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 38% 1.60    
2  TRIVISTA Jan29 Jan15 Dec17 Aug03 Jul09 (landry jac)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 6% 15.40    
3  CABERTOSS Jul28 Jul24 Jul19 Jun30 May27 (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  TIO BLAS Jan05 Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 Aug24 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50    
5  THE GRAY BLUR Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Dec02 Sep03 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00    
6  COLOR FAST Jan26 Sep20 Sep03 Aug01 Jul17 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 5.00    
7  BLURT Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 Nov25 Oct15 (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 6% 14.90    
8  PLEMMONSTON Jan01 Dec11 Nov17 Oct02 Sep16 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   02/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY WITH A CAUSE Jan20 Dec31 Nov24     (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 2.00 13% 6.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PUNCHIN' CHUDY by TWO PUNCH)
2  INTERNET GIRL Jan20 Dec09       (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEAVINGISWINNING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  BELLA PALOMA Jan28 Jan14 Oct12 Sep14 Aug23 (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 5.00 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of STRAWBERRY TEQUILA by DAAHER)
4  JAYLA Jan20 Sep05 Aug15 Jun28   (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 120 8.00 ★    
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  MISCHIEVOUS GAL Nov24 Oct22       (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENOUGH by ARCH)
6  BLAME DAY Jan14 Dec15 Nov16     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.40 55% 0.80    
  (by BLAME out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
 
FG-4   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRONMAN RICHIE Jan27 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 10.00    
2  DIALED A DAME Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Nov16 Oct26 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 5% 18.50    
3  SCARYATCANTERBURY Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 Nov07 Oct07 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 15.00    
SCR  GROOM LAKE Oct11 Sep28 Aug27 Jun22 Feb20 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
5  MASQUERADE BALL Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 Dec08 Nov25 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 12.00    
SCR  WHISKEY GENT Nov04 Oct12 Aug11 Jun15 May26 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PLANTERS PUNCH Jan27 Dec23 Jan22     (bourgeois )ALBERT S 117 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  STEALING APRIORITY Feb03 Jan06 Dec16 Aug28 Aug13 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
9  MESABI Jan07 Dec02 Aug08 Jun21 May29 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 8% 11.60    
 
FG-5   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANETS JAY JAY Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Oct13 Aug21 (alonzo howard)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  AVAILABLE STAR Feb02 Jan13 Dec16 Nov21 Oct01 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
3  BINDING AGREEMENT Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Aug17 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
4  COHERE Jan08 Dec23 Sep18 Jul24 Jul03 (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 ★    
5  SCHNELL Dec15 Nov24 Oct08 Sep05 Aug20 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 ★    
6  OUR FREDDIE MAC Jan08 Feb28 Jan16     (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
SCR  MR. UNIVERSE Sep13 Aug17 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 12.00    
8  G'WILDCAT Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 Sep18 Aug12 (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
FG-6   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE FAIRY Jan16 Dec19 Nov27 Sep17 Aug21 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of SPACE BOAT by LAWYER RON)
SCR  GYURZA Sep17 Aug21       (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of CATHEDRA by RUNAWAY GROOM)
2  CRIMALDI Nov18         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 125 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
3  CATWINGS Jan19 Jun23 May19 Apr23 Mar09 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CUPID out of CATTICUS by ATTICUS)
4  LADY HUXLEY Jan19         (ortiz alexa)PARKER L 125 8.00 ★    
  (by TOURIST out of HUXLEY WINNER by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  MAD CAPER         (bauer phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 5.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
6  PLEASE BE KIND Jan19 Dec22 Nov09 Sep28 Sep17 (mcgee paul)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 7% 13.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of INCLUDE ME OUT by INCLUDE)
7  BEAUXS ARTES Apr28 Mar27       (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by MASTERY out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
FG-7   02/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CECILITA May28 Apr28 Mar12 Jan15   (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
2  WAYWARDNESS Jan19 Dec22 Nov18 Oct14 Sep25 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
3  WORLD WAR Jun04 May12 Mar20 Feb11   (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.00 15% 5.60    
4  BLISSFUL Dec31 Oct13 Jul30 Jun22   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 11% 8.40    
5  LOLLOPING Jan19 Jun23 May18 Apr14 Mar12 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  LIVY B Jan19 Oct14 Jul24 Jul13 Jun22 (leonard i)PARKER L 120 10.00    
7  LADY EMILY Jan19 Oct09 Sep01 Jul30 Jul08 (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
8  AIN'T BROKE Dec22 Nov27 Oct15 Mar09 Feb10 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  COLONEL ABY B Nov08 Oct13 Aug29 Aug06 Jun30 (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAT TIP Oct10 Aug08 Jul08 May12 Apr20 (williamso)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE Nov19 Oct12 Sep16 Aug17 Jul28 (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SCR  DUXONTHEPOND Feb05 Jan16 Feb06     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNWANTED INTRUDER Jan29 Dec18 Nov27 Aug25 Jun18 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
2  MY GUITAR Jan08 Dec18 Aug06 Jul23 Jul06 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Jan12 Dec19 Dec02 Aug12 May07 (richards cor)CARROLL DECLAN 121 20.00    
4  ADIEU LE CHAT Jan29 Jan01 Dec02 Aug05 Jul16 (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
5  LOUISIANA MOON Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 Aug20 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
6  SHAE'S DAY Jan19 Jun10 Apr09 Feb26   (senegal j)RIQUELME J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  C'MON VE Jan29 Jan12 Jan01 Dec19 Dec02 (landry jaco)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 12.00 7% 12.80    
8  I'M D'CAT Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 Oct05 Sep20 (brinkman b)ALBERT S 116 5.00    
9  PRAY IDE SING Jan08 Dec19 Sep26 Sep18 Sep04 (williams kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 9% 9.60    
10  GALLANT STAR Jan29 Jan01 Dec19 Nov13 Nov02 (husak j)MURRAY M 121 4.00 11% 7.80    
11  DONNA'S COURT Feb03 Jan01 Dec18 Dec03 Oct29 (singh s)SINGH R 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.