Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-5   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $20.00 $14.00 233%
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $44.00 $32.00 267%
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/1/7)-(8/4/3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-4-1 $95.00 $77.00 428%
    PK3 (7/2/4/6)-(8/3/4)-(8/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-ALL-3 $499.50 $463.50 1288%
HOU-6   PK3 (8/3/4)-(8/4/3)-(10/6/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00  5-3-ALL $54.90 $27.90 103%
    PK3 (8/3/4)-(8/4/3)-(10/6/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00  ALL-3-9 $54.90 $27.90 103%
HOU-7   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $6.20 $2.20 55%
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/3/7/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00  6-3 $15.90 $7.90 99%
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/3/7/9)-(8/6/3/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-3-8 $13.65 $1.65 14%
HOU-8   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $14.00 $10.00 250%
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/9/2/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-4 $31.30 $23.30 291%
    DD (8/6)-(4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-7 $48.60 $44.60 1115%
    PK3 (10/6/8)-(8/6)-(4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-6-ALL $40.80 $28.80 240%
    PK3 (10/6/8)-(8/6)-(4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-ALL-7 $40.80 $28.80 240%
    PK3 (10/6/8)-(8/6)-(4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  ALL-6-7 $142.80 $130.80 1090%
HOU-9   WIN (12/8/13/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $14.80 $4.80 48%
    DD (4/7)-(12/8/13/2/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00  7-12 $54.70 $44.70 447%
    PK3 (8/6)-(4/7)-(12/8/13/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-7-12 $325.60 $305.60 1528%
    PK4 (10/6/8)-(8/6)-(4/7)-(12/8/13/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-6/7-7-12 $42.15 $12.15 41%
    PK5 (8/4/3)-(10/6/8)-(8/6)-(4/7)-(12/8/13/2/1) 180 $0.50 $90.00  3-9-6/7-7-12 $191.25 $101.25 113%
    PK6 (8/3/4)-(8/4/3)-(10/6/8)-(8/6)-(4/7)-(12/8/13/2/1) 540 $0.50 $270  5-3-9-6/7-7-12 $302.40 $32.40 12%

Simulator Race results

 
HOU-1   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN 1 5 11 1½   11 1¾ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 0.80 41% 1.40 0.70 W
IMA SKY TRAVELER 5 1 31 3½   21 2¾ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 6% 15.30 6.60 P
KIM'S TEXAS BLING 3 3 5 4   48 38 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.00 23% 3.30 7.00 S
WOO HOO 4 2 21 2½   34 4 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.50 8% 11.60 2.10  
ENFANT DE PACQUE 2 4 42 5   513 524¾ (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00 10.40  
SCR  FACESTER               (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
 
HOU-2   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:16 1:291   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANO DURA 4 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 (a)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 5.00  
  (by KEEN ICE out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
TAPADINE 7 4 53 41 3.2 2nk 21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 43% 1.40 0.80 P
  (by TAPIT out of ONDINE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
FREE MAKER 5 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 3.2 3 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 10.00 11.10 S
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CAMILLI by TAPIT)
O T C WIZ 2 1 4 5 4 4 47 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 21.20  
  (by WEST COAST out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
DIXIE MOONSHINE 3 2 7 7 6 5 518½ (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00 2.70  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of CITRON LADY by LEMON DROP KID)
BAY BE GONE 1 7 64 6 7 6 620½ (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 33% 2.00 16.70  
  (by KLIMT out of O'HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
PRINCE CURLIN 6 6 3 31 5 7 724½ (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00 13.20  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MIZ STRAWBERRY DEE by ATTICUS)
 
HOU-3   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:16 1:293   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSES ARE GRAY 1 7 77 74 64 1nk 1 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 8.00 12.40  
  (by TAPWRIT out of QUATRE ROSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MIZ CALI 6 3 11 1 12 2nk 2 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 122 15.00 8% 12.20 19.40 P
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
DASHYNS DREAM 2 5 3 2 32 31 37 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.00 11% 8.00 5.70 S
  (by TU BRUTUS out of CALAMARI by BAHRI)
MENDI'S GIRL 4 1 4 63 7 6 410½ (young bob)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 8% 11.50 8.10  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MISS DEREK by BROTHER DEREK)
WITSEC 3 6 6 53 5 5 511¼ (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 2.80  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of RUN CARRIE RUN by ORIENTATE (GB))
PURRFECT MOON 5 2 21 4 22 4 611¼ (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 9.10  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of PURR by THIRTY EIGHT PACES)
WILD EXPRESS 7 4 54 32 43 7 720¾ (eoff terry)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.00  
  (by BAYERN out of HARD GRACE by HARD SPUN)
 
HOU-4   01/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IM THE BIGGER BEAR 5 1 21 2½   1nk 13 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 10.00 15.10  
CRIMSON LADY 8 6 11 1½   2nk 23 (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 1.20 32% 2.10 1.60 P
CHA CHA DANCER 1 2 32 42   4 3 (young e)LUZZI J 122 10.00 14.20 S
CAMS HOTROD 6 7 5 32   35 4 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.50 4.00  
MISSWISH 4 5 7 7   510¼ 515 (buehr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 14% 6.40 15.80  
CHAPARRITA 7 8 42 53   610¼ 615½ (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 15.50  
FREE SPIRITED 3 3 8 8   813¼ 724 (buehrer mar)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.50 29% 2.50 3.60  
QUEEN OF BEERS 2 4 6 6   711¾ 825 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 4.60  
 
HOU-5   01/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:224 :481 1:134 1:26   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUDELA 3 6 5 42 3 2 1¼ (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00 8% 11.20 9.00 W
AUNT GEM 4 7 7 7 6 4 2¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 19% 4.20 3.30 P
AUSTIN CITY GIRL 1 2 11 11 1½ 1 3 (willis )GONCALVES R 123 20.00 5.10 S
SWEET PERFECTION 5 1 21 21 2½ 33 4 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 20.00 4.90  
MALIBU MIDNIGHT 7 8 8 8 7 65 5 (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 7.90  
GURKHA GOLD (IRE) 8 4 32 32 4 5 6 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 47% 1.10 2.20  
XCARET 6 5 6 5 5 77 712 (g)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 18.30  
CATO'S LADY 2 3 42 6 8 8 812¼ (whitelaw micha)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00 10.00  
SCR  BRIGHTSIDEOFLIFE               (c)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
SCR  DADDY HEY DADDY               (garcia lui)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
 
HOU-6   01/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIME CODE 9 1 21 2nk   1nk 1 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 4.00  
10  DIRECTIONAL 10 11 8 4   4 2 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 39% 1.50 1.60 P
VAPORIZED 6 4 31 3.2   3.2 34 (montano wilfrid)BENAVIDES D 123 6.00 26% 2.80 15.50 S
BEHIND THE CURTAIN 3 3 11 1nk   2nk 4 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 19.90  
EUROEAST 2 9 116 10   7 58 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00 19.00  
DARE TO BE WILD 4 8 104 9   86 6 (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50 3.70  
WEIRD YEAR 8 6 7 5   5 7 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 20.00 9% 10.10 17.70  
SCARYATCANTERBURY 5 2 5 8   9 812½ (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 123 12.00 14.20  
JOAN'S JUNIOR 1 10 4 6   6 913¼ (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 10.00 15.00  
JUST HANGIN RIDGE 7 5 9 11   1112½ 1017¾ (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00 40.20  
11  SECRET SURVIVOR 11 7 6 7   1010 1118 (triana juan)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00 12.60  
 
HOU-7   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYDIEM 6 1 43 2   11 1 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.50 31% 2.20 2.10 W
CLAY'S OPAL INDY 3 5 53 5   21 2 (craddock ka)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 4.40 P
JIBE 7 4 32 4   3 34 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 33% 2.00 4.70 S
MAZI 5 2 7 66   7 4 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 5.70  
LUNA S 1 6 11 1   4 5 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 123 12.00 11.70  
DREAM TOWN 4 7 21 3   5 610 (rangel raul)DIEGO V 123 8.00 8.10  
QUEEN OF MAGNOLIA 2 8 8 89   6 712¾ (hurley tina )ALVAREZ L 123 20.00 16.50  
MIGHTY HAPPY 8 3 6 77   811¾ 840½ (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 5.80  
SCR  DANZIG UP A STORM               (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50    
 
HOU-8   01/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:144 1:263   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTION LADY 7 6 2nk 2½ 1nk 1nk 1 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 24% 3.10 6.00 W
ROSIE JANE 4 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 2nk 2 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 3.00 48% 1.10 2.30 P
MINNESOTA NICE 3 3 6 62 6 4 3 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 15.00 8.90  
GET SERIOUS 2 5 31 5 31 33 4 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.50 3.00  
TAHITIAN BREEZE 1 4 83 83 8 6 5 (h)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 14.30  
BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT 8 7 5 4 5 5 6 (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 4.40  
CHATON ROUGE 6 8 7 7 7 7 710½ (glover tracey)DIEGO V 123 4.50 12.20  
MISS M J 5 2 4 31 4 8 817¾ (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00 8.20  
SCR  FEELING HAPPY               (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 1.00    
SCR  HUSHED COURT ROOM               (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.50    
 
HOU-9   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  HEDARESTHEDEVIL 12 1 42 31   21 1¾ (dodwell caroli)LUZZI J 123 4.50 28% 2.60 6.40 W
  (by TAPITURE out of QUEEN CUMULUS by SKY MESA)
VALDINA DREAMS 5 6 21 2nk   11 2¾ (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00 3.20  
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
ASTA LAVISTA HONEY 8 2 7 6   44 3 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 6.00 19% 4.40 6.80 S
  (by PICK SIX out of DELLA FOX LADY by EASTERN ECHO)
10  UNCLE BUFF 10 4 32 4   5 4 (love alan)ALVAREZ L 123 10.00 15.50  
  (by HAKASSAN (CHI) out of SANTERRA by TEJABO)
TEXAS HOLDEM 7 9 11 106   7 5 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 5.80  
  (by RACE DAY out of LIL SWEET SEA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
13  MOROLICIOUS 13 10 9 7   86 64 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 13% 6.40 5.90  
  (by MORO TAP out of GORGELICIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
CANATLAN 2 13 10 117   65 7 (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00 10% 9.40 29.20  
  (by FIFTEEN LOVE out of THUNDEROUSLY by WILD AGAIN)
RED BIRD'S STORM 3 5 11 1nk   31 8 (c)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 14.40  
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SILVER AKANTHA by SILVER CITY)
11  KING ARTHUR RIDGE 11 7 127 12   12 910 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00 45.90  
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
TITO 6 11 8 96   10 1012 (chaparro gayla)MONTALVO C 123 15.00 25.90  
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
LOST GOLD 1 8 6 5   98 1114½ (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 15.00 7% 13.20 5.80  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
GOLD CAPO 9 3 5 8   11 1215 (echeverria )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00 20.50  
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
DADA BOOM RIDGE 4 12 1314 1314½   1314¼ 1319½ ( )GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 123 30.00 44.50  
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LADY ELAGENCE by BARBERSTOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.