Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/6)-(7/1)-(7/2/4/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-2   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/2/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/2/6/5)-(7/1/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1)-(7/2/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(7/2/4/6)-(8/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-3   WIN (7/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6/5)-(7/2/4/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/4/6)-(8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/6)-(8/3/4)-(8/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/1/7)-(8/3/4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(8/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4)-(8/4/3)-(10/6/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/1/7)-(8/4/3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(10/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(10/6/8)-(8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-6   WIN (10/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/8)-(10/6/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/8)-(10/6/8/4/9)-(10/6/8/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/6/8)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8)-(8/6)-(4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-7   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/3/9)-(8/6/3/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/6)-(4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/6)-(4/7)-(12/8/13/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-8   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/7)-(12/8/13/2/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
HOU-9   WIN (12/8/13/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/8/13/2/1)-(12/8/13/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/8/13/2/1)-(12/8/13/2/1)-(12/8/13/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN Jul09 Jun17 May27 Apr29 Mar26 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 0.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  FACESTER Nov04 Oct19 Sep23 Sep07 Jul23 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00 ★    
3  ENFANT DE PACQUE Aug27 Aug13       (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
4  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  WOO HOO Jan08 Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 Oct15 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.50 8% 11.60    
6  IMA SKY TRAVELER Aug19 Jun19 May27 May13 Apr29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 6% 15.30    
 
HOU-2   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY BE GONE Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 Sep03 Jul24 (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by KLIMT out of O'HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  O T C WIZ Dec14 Nov07       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 ★    
  (by WEST COAST out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
3  DIXIE MOONSHINE Dec09 Oct15       (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of CITRON LADY by LEMON DROP KID)
4  MANO DURA Dec16 Nov09 Oct01 Aug20   (a)DE CRUZ 122 3.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
5  FREE MAKER Dec09 Nov03 Oct01     (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 10.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CAMILLI by TAPIT)
6  PRINCE CURLIN         (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00 ★    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MIZ STRAWBERRY DEE by ATTICUS)
7  TAPADINE Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 Jul24   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 43% 1.40    
  (by TAPIT out of ONDINE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
HOU-3   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES ARE GRAY Dec09 Nov07 Sep30 Sep14   (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of QUATRE ROSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  DASHYNS DREAM Dec14 Nov02 Oct12 Sep25 Sep08 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.00 11% 8.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of CALAMARI by BAHRI)
3  WITSEC Dec09 Nov11 Oct12 Sep24 Aug07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of RUN CARRIE RUN by ORIENTATE (GB))
4  MENDI'S GIRL Dec14 Nov02 Sep23 Sep09 Jul23 (young bob)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 8% 11.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MISS DEREK by BROTHER DEREK)
5  PURRFECT MOON Dec14         (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of PURR by THIRTY EIGHT PACES)
6  MIZ CALI Dec14 Nov25 Nov19 Aug28   (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 122 15.00 8% 12.20    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  WILD EXPRESS Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 Sep23 Sep03 (eoff terry)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by BAYERN out of HARD GRACE by HARD SPUN)
 
HOU-4   01/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHA CHA DANCER Dec15 Dec03 Nov12 Nov03 Oct12 (young e)LUZZI J 122 10.00 ★    
2  QUEEN OF BEERS Jul17 May14       (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00    
3  FREE SPIRITED Nov24 Oct16 Sep22 Aug26   (buehrer mar)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  MISSWISH Dec03 Nov12 Sep30 Sep16   (buehr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 14% 6.40    
5  IM THE BIGGER BEAR Nov30 Nov12 Oct19 Sep30 Sep16 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
6  CAMS HOTROD Dec10 Nov30 Nov11 Oct19 Oct07 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.50    
7  CHAPARRITA Dec08 Nov25 Nov19 Sep15 Aug28 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 ★    
8  CRIMSON LADY Dec10 Nov03 Sep09     (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
 
HOU-5   01/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Nov14 May30 Apr29 Apr02 Mar04 (willis )GONCALVES R 123 20.00 ★    
2  CATO'S LADY Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 Aug26 (whitelaw micha)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
3  TUDELA Jul08 Jun10 May21 May07 Apr30 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00 8% 11.20    
4  AUNT GEM Oct26 Oct06 Jul21 Jun25 May20 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  SWEET PERFECTION Jul23 Jun18 Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
6  XCARET Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 Sep26 Aug08 (g)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
7  MALIBU MIDNIGHT Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 Jul08 Jun10 (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 ★    
8  GURKHA GOLD (IRE) Dec15 Nov15 Oct22 Oct07 Sep15 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  BRIGHTSIDEOFLIFE Sep10 Aug18 Jul26 Jul13 Jun02 (c)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
SCR  DADDY HEY DADDY Dec09 Oct13 Aug29 Aug02 Jul16 (garcia lui)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
 
HOU-6   01/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOAN'S JUNIOR Dec03 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 10.00    
2  EUROEAST Dec17 Dec03 Nov05 Sep10 Sep03 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00    
3  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jul21 Jun24 May14 Apr30 Apr01 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
4  DARE TO BE WILD Dec16 Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 Jun26 (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50 ★    
5  SCARYATCANTERBURY Dec02 Nov19 Nov07 Oct07 Sep17 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 123 12.00    
6  VAPORIZED Dec06 Jul11 Jun22     (montano wilfrid)BENAVIDES D 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
7  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Oct20 Sep12 Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
8  WEIRD YEAR Nov19 Nov07 Sep29 Sep08 Jun16 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 20.00 9% 10.10    
9  PRIME CODE Dec08 Nov30 Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 ★    
10  DIRECTIONAL Dec02 Nov19 Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 39% 1.50    
11  SECRET SURVIVOR Dec02 Nov18 Oct14 Oct01 Sep02 (triana juan)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00    
 
HOU-7   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNA S Nov07 Oct19 Oct01 Sep08 Jul03 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 123 12.00    
2  QUEEN OF MAGNOLIA Dec07 Nov22 Oct26 Sep24 Sep05 (hurley tina )ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
3  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Dec09 Nov14 Nov02 Oct06 Sep08 (craddock ka)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 ★    
4  DREAM TOWN May28 May06 Apr15 Feb25 Feb04 (rangel raul)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
5  MAZI Dec15 Nov22 Nov04 Oct01 Sep01 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
6  PAYDIEM Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 Apr29 Mar17 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  DANZIG UP A STORM Nov14 Nov02 Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 ★    
8  JIBE Dec03 Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 Jul22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
9  MIGHTY HAPPY Nov18 Nov05 Oct19 Jul24 Jun11 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 ★    
 
HOU-8   01/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAHITIAN BREEZE Aug21 Jul21 Jun19 May21 May12 (h)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
2  GET SERIOUS Oct19 Apr24 Mar12     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.50 ★    
3  MINNESOTA NICE Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 Sep15 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
4  ROSIE JANE Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 Jun17 May06 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
5  MISS M J Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00    
6  CHATON ROUGE Dec10 Nov25 Oct27 Sep25 Sep03 (glover tracey)DIEGO V 123 4.50    
7  CONSTITUTION LADY Dec01 Oct22 Oct06 Sep02 Jul09 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 24% 3.10    
8  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Nov14 Oct01 Sep14 Aug26 Jul02 (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
SCR  HUSHED COURT ROOM Nov07 Oct22 Oct08 Sep19 Sep10 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  FEELING HAPPY Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 Jun03 May06 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 1.00 ★    
 
HOU-9   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST GOLD Mar26 Mar03 Jan27     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 15.00 7% 13.20    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
2  CANATLAN         (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00 10% 9.40    
  (by FIFTEEN LOVE out of THUNDEROUSLY by WILD AGAIN)
3  RED BIRD'S STORM Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 Sep22 Sep01 (c)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SILVER AKANTHA by SILVER CITY)
4  DADA BOOM RIDGE Jul21 Jun04 Mar03 Jan15   (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LADY ELAGENCE by BARBERSTOWN)
5  VALDINA DREAMS Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep26 Jul02 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  TITO Jul22         (chaparro gayla)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
7  TEXAS HOLDEM Oct22         (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of LIL SWEET SEA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
8  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug01 Jul09 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by PICK SIX out of DELLA FOX LADY by EASTERN ECHO)
9  GOLD CAPO Jul09 Jun18 Jun10     (echeverria )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
10  UNCLE BUFF Nov01 Oct03 Jun08 May30 Apr01 (love alan)ALVAREZ L 123 10.00    
  (by HAKASSAN (CHI) out of SANTERRA by TEJABO)
11  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Dec02 Sep26 Aug16 Jul21 Jun19 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
12  HEDARESTHEDEVIL Dec15 Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 Jul09 (dodwell caroli)LUZZI J 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of QUEEN CUMULUS by SKY MESA)
13  MOROLICIOUS Sep30 Sep21 Sep02 Aug20 Jul23 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 13% 6.40    
  (by MORO TAP out of GORGELICIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.