Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BYE Y'ALL 3 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 11½ (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.00 ★ 1.20  
1  ENJAY'S BRASS 1 5 54 56¼   42¾ 21½ (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 121 12.00 13% 6.50 16.90 P
4  THRILL'S LEGACY 4 4 32 41¾   32½ 32¼ (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00 ★ 5.25 S
2  LIA'S ON TUNE 2 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 43 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.60 28% 2.60 1.00  
5  LADY SUNSET 5 1 42 31½   55¾ 513 (stanford maria)NELSON C 121 20.00 11% 8.20 38.40  
 
ASD-2   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:231 :464 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HANNIGAN 1 4 1½ 11½   11 1hd (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 5.00 16% 5.20 1.65 W
3  STRONG ARM 2 5 32 21½   21 2hd (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 3.00 26% 2.80 2.80 P
6  DOUGS PAL 5 1 2½ 32   33½ 36 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 11.45  
4  OUTCOME 3 3 44 44   45½ 46 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.00 21% 3.80 1.65  
5  HOT SOUP 4 2 56½ 59   58 58¾ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 10.00 ★ 11.10  
SCR  STRIKING OIL               (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 1.00 ★    
 
ASD-3   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
See original race card.
:233 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YODELERS WAY 6 2 31 32   32½ 11¼ (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00 2.25  
1  BITETHEBULLETBRO 1 4 1½ 11   12 21¼ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 1.80 ★ 3.40 P
5  PUCKER 5 1 2½ 21   22 33 (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 124 2.50 54% 0.90 2.70 S
2  CABIN JOHN 2 6 52 44   43 45 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.50 ★ 9.45  
3  SENOR BLAIR 3 5 41½ 55½   55½ 57¼ (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00 10% 9.40 8.90  
4  BLACK OPS 4 3 62½ 69   68 69¼ (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 124 10.00 10% 9.40 4.50  
 
ASD-4   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF 6 2 5½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 21% 3.80 3.70 W
4  DIDDLEY 4 3 3.2 3½   2nk 2½ (desjarlais ryan)NELSON C 124 8.00 ★ 8.60 P
7  WARBRIDGE 7 1 63 44   54 32 (gardipy t)CHADEE JR 122 12.00 18.25  
5  NOT AFRAID 5 4 4¼ 2nk   3½ 42¾ (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 12% 7.60 1.35  
3  FAIR CHALLENGE 3 6 73 54½   43 54½ (nault michael)NELSON TYRONE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
2  DRIZZY 2 5 1nk 65   66½ 65¼ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 6.00 9.85 DQ↓7
1  CAPTURE THE GLORY 1 7 2nk 78   710½ 729¾ (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 34% 2.00 9.05  
 
ASD-5   08/30/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:151     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SAVAGE LOVE 3 3 44½ 32   11 12¼ (dickey elton)NELSON C 117 5.00 13.65  
4  DIXIE MO 4 4 21½ 2½   21 22¼ (nault michael)CARRENO J 123 2.00 0.95  
1  BLAME IT ON BREW 1 2 75½ 76   44 34¼ (keshane norber)BELLE SHAVON 123 10.00 14% 6.00 8.85 S
5  KIM'S TEXAS BLING 5 5 32½ 64½   66 44¼ (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 3.00 33% 2.00 2.60  
2  LIL MISS ZAK 2 1 11½ 1½   31 510½ (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 123 15.00 12% 7.20 11.60  
6  THATSALOTOFBLING 6 7 65 54½   55 613¼ (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 123 4.00 ★ 21.25  
7  AROUSE N GO 7 6 54½ 42½   78 716¼ (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 123 8.00 8% 11.40 9.00  
 
ASD-6   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  A LOT TO LIKE 3 6 53½ 2½   2½ 16 (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 117 1.00 ★ 0.80  
2  HATSHEPSUT 2 7 66½ 44   35 26 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 123 4.50 25% 2.90 3.60 P
7  THE NAKED TRUTH 7 2 12 1½   1½ 36¾ (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 8.00 6.80  
5  WHITEROSE SPIRIT 5 4 32 34   45 411¾ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 3.50 25% 2.90 4.55  
1  SPEARS TEE 1 8 78½ 613   611½ 516¼ (brown allen)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 30.00 65.05  
6  TEEMANS FLAIR 6 3 22 55   58 617¾ (brown allen)CHOW CHAVION 117 15.00 15% 5.70 38.45  
4  CAN'T KATZE ME 4 5 88¾ 714   714½ 722¼ (maxwell curtis)CHICKENESS S 117 25.00 44.80  
8  MOONLIGHTCHARLOTTE 8 1 42½ 815   820½ 843 (scramsta)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 9% 10.20 24.25  
 
ASD-7   08/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
See original race card.
:24 :50 1:152 1:282   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GUARANTEEDDELIVERY 8 4 11 11½ 11½ 12 1¾ (anderson carl)CARRENO J 124 8.00 2.80  
6  BODYMOOR HEATH 5 5 21 42 21½ 22 2¾ (buffalo marvi)NELSON TYRONE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.55 P
2  BRO CODE 2 1 32 31½ 42 34 32¼ (gourneau jerry)ALI RONALD 119 5.00 ★ 4.15 S
8  BEAR ME A MOMENT 7 7 42 21½ 56½ 44½ 47¾ (brown all)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 50% 1.00 2.65  
7  BENROY 6 8 84¾ 88¼ 79½ 711½ 59 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 7.00 ★ 5.15  
4  CHICAGO ROLL 4 3 73¼ 53½ 32 511 613 (desjarlais ryan)NELSON C 122 25.00 25.85  
1  CALL ME CAPTAIN 1 6 52¼ 64 810½ 611 716¼ (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 124 15.00 18.00  
3  DEVILS TIME 3 2 63¼ 74¼ 68½ 813½ 818 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 20.00 21.35  
SCR  HENRISINCONTROL               (smith robert )CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.50 17% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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