The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 30, 2022

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ASD-1   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
:231 :464 :592     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYE Y'ALL 3 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 1(gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.00 1.20  
ENJAY'S BRASS 1 5 54 5   42(delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 121 12.00 13% 6.50 16.90 P
THRILL'S LEGACY 4 4 32 4   33(ross courtney)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00 5.25 S
LIA'S ON TUNE 2 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 43 (taphorn mike)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.60 28% 2.60 1.00  
LADY SUNSET 5 1 42 3   5513 (stanford maria)NELSON C 121 20.00 11% 8.20 38.40  
 
ASD-2   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
:231 :464 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANNIGAN 1 4 1½ 1   11 1hd (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 5.00 16% 5.20 1.65 W
STRONG ARM 2 5 32 2   21 2hd (duncan murray)CHADEE JR 122 3.00 26% 2.80 2.80 P
DOUGS PAL 5 1 2½ 32   336 (ross courtney)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 11.45  
OUTCOME 3 3 44 44   446 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.00 21% 3.80 1.65  
HOT SOUP 4 2 5 59   58 5(brown jared)CARRENO J 124 10.00 11.10  
SCR  STRIKING OIL               (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 1.00    
 
ASD-3   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
:233 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YODELERS WAY 6 2 31 32   31(gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00 2.25  
BITETHEBULLETBRO 1 4 1½ 11   12 2(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 1.80 3.40 P
PUCKER 5 1 2½ 21   22 33 (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 124 2.50 54% 0.90 2.70 S
CABIN JOHN 2 6 52 44   43 45 (gardipy jr)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.50 9.45  
SENOR BLAIR 3 5 4 5   55(dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00 10% 9.40 8.90  
BLACK OPS 4 3 6 69   68 6(pruitt lise)CARRENO J 124 10.00 10% 9.40 4.50  
 
ASD-4   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
:231 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZL'N MISCHIEF 6 2 5½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 21% 3.80 3.70 W
DIDDLEY 4 3 3.2 3½   2nk 2½ (desjarlais ryan)NELSON C 124 8.00 8.60 P
WARBRIDGE 7 1 63 44   54 32 (gardipy jr)CHADEE JR 122 12.00 18.25  
NOT AFRAID 5 4 4¼ 2nk   3½ 4(taphorn mike)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 12% 7.60 1.35  
FAIR CHALLENGE 3 6 73 5   43 5(nault michael)NELSON TYRONE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
DRIZZY 2 5 1nk 65   66(brown jared)CARRENO J 124 6.00 9.85 DQ↓7
CAPTURE THE GLORY 1 7 2nk 78   710½ 729¾ (gardipy jr)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 34% 2.00 9.05  
 
ASD-5   08/30/2022 4950ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
:243 :49 1:151     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVAGE LOVE 3 3 4 32   11 1(dickey elton)NELSON C 117 5.00 13.65  
DIXIE MO 4 4 2 2½   21 2(nault michael)CARRENO J 123 2.00 0.95  
BLAME IT ON BREW 1 2 7 76   44 3(keshane norbert)BELLE SHAVON 123 10.00 14% 6.00 8.85 S
KIM'S TEXAS BLING 5 5 3 6   66 4(gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 3.00 33% 2.00 2.60  
LIL MISS ZAK 2 1 1 1½   31 510½ (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 123 15.00 12% 7.20 11.60  
THATSALOTOFBLING 6 7 65 5   55 613¼ (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 123 4.00 21.25  
AROUSE N GO 7 6 5 4   78 716¼ (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 123 8.00 8% 11.40 9.00  
 
ASD-6   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
:233 :481 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LOT TO LIKE 3 6 5 2½   2½ 16 (hrymak brent)CHADEE JR 117 1.00 0.80  
HATSHEPSUT 2 7 6 44   35 26 (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 123 4.50 25% 2.90 3.60 P
THE NAKED TRUTH 7 2 12 1½   1½ 3(brown shelley)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 8.00 6.80  
WHITEROSE SPIRIT 5 4 32 34   45 411¾ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 3.50 25% 2.90 4.55  
SPEARS TEE 1 8 7 613   611½ 516¼ (brown allen)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 30.00 65.05  
TEEMANS FLAIR 6 3 22 55   58 617¾ (brown allen)CHOW CHAVION 117 15.00 15% 5.70 38.45  
CAN'T KATZE ME 4 5 8 714   714½ 722¼ (maxwell curtis)CHICKENESS S 117 25.00 44.80  
MOONLIGHTCHARLOTTE 8 1 4 815   820½ 843 (scramstad les)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 9% 10.20 24.25  
 
ASD-7   08/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
:24 :50 1:152 1:282   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARANTEEDDELIVERY 8 4 11 1 1 12 1¾ (anderson carl)CARRENO J 124 8.00 2.80  
BODYMOOR HEATH 5 5 21 42 2 22 2¾ (buffalo marvin)NELSON TYRONE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.55 P
BRO CODE 2 1 32 3 42 34 3(gourneau jerry)ALI RONALD 119 5.00 4.15 S
BEAR ME A MOMENT 7 7 42 2 5 44(brown allen)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 50% 1.00 2.65  
BENROY 6 8 8 8 7 711½ 59 (gittens devon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 7.00 5.15  
CHICAGO ROLL 4 3 7 5 32 511 613 (desjarlais ryan)NELSON C 122 25.00 25.85  
CALL ME CAPTAIN 1 6 5 64 810½ 611 716¼ (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 124 15.00 18.00  
DEVILS TIME 3 2 6 7 6 813½ 818 (thompson steven)BELLE SHAVON 124 20.00 21.35  
SCR  HENRISINCONTROL               (smith h)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.50 17% 4.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.