Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.20 $5.20 87%
DED-4   DD (2/1/4)-(5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $28.70 $16.70 139%
DED-5   PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/3/2/1)-(1/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-3-7 $41.35 $23.35 130%
DED-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $44.50 $32.50 271%
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4/2)-(1/6/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-4-6 $52.15 $34.15 190%
    SFT (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4/2)-(1/6/3/4/2)-(1/6/3/4/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  1-4-6-3 $23.86 $16.66 231%
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:23 :464       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JONATHAN WHO 5 6 41¾ 1nk   1nk 1nk (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 35% 1.90 1.20 W
4  I'LL RAISE YOU 4 2 31½ 3.2   3.2 2nk (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 21% 3.70 2.20 P
6  LION HEART LEGEND 6 3 11½ 4¼   2nk 3¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 7% 14.20 8.20 S
1  YES BAB 1 5 64¼ 53¼   51¾ 41 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 115 1.60 10% 8.80 3.90  
2  I'M A SPECIAL STAR 2 4 21½ 2nk   4¾ 53¾ (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 ★ 8.10  
3  I'M LOOKING UP 3 1 53¾ 64¼   64¾ 65½ (zenon shel)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 12.00 29.30  
 
DED-2   01/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:134     1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SLIM MAN 6 3 2nk 1nk   12 16 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 22% 3.50 0.30 W
8  HERZEN 7 4 41¾ 42   33 26 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.50 13% 6.80 13.30 P
5  MR. B CAUSE 4 6 3.2 31½   44½ 37¾ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 8.00 ★ 17.30 S
2  HONOR MY SPEED 2 2 1nk 2nk   22 48 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 6.00 11.50  
6  SMOKY TOPAZ 5 5 52¼ 52½   65½ 510 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00 32.80  
3  HARDCORE FOLKLORE 3 1 62¾ 63   55 610 (turner patti)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 22% 3.50 6.20  
1  POSEIDON WRATH 1 7 72¾ 73½   713½ 722 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 21% 3.80 10.00  
SCR  POPEYES HEART               (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
 
DED-3   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:221 :471       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TAY TAY'S BABY 4 6 67½ 65   31½ 12¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.50 19% 4.20 4.60 W
5  KNIGHTS SWORD 5 1 31 2½   1½ 22¼ (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 114 10.00 3.40  
3  MY KIKI 3 4 45 44   52½ 36 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 114 1.60 ★ 6.30 S
1  NOT SO SWEET 1 5 11 1½   2½ 47¾ (ramirez eduard)THORNTON G 117 5.00 24% 3.10 3.90  
2  RACHIE RACH 2 3 21 31   42 59 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 25% 3.00 2.40  
6  PRAYERS SAVED 6 2 55½ 54½   62½ 610½ (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 114 8.00 ★ 4.70  
 
DED-4   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:152 1:293   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HIDDEN EXPECTATION 3 1 64½ 810 31½ 2nk 12¼ (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 3.50 17% 4.70 2.50 W
1  MO BELLA 1 5 21 21 1½ 1nk 22¼ (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 12% 7.60 2.00 P
6  SHE'S MY PRIORITY 6 7 31½ 33 2½ 3½ 38¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 4.70  
2  CRIDER CHASE 2 8 75 67½ 43 44½ 48½ (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 4.50 15% 5.70 5.50  
4  APRIORITY LADY 4 6 11 11 53½ 55½ 511¼ (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 15.00 8.80  
5  BOSTON LUCILLE 5 2 53½ 56½ 63½ 66 613 (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 24% 3.20 9.80  
8  GIFTED TALENT 8 3 43 46 77½ 79 717¾ (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 ★ 22.20  
7  CUSTOM MAIDEN 7 4 85 78 89½ 89½ 818¾ (washington richa)STOKES A 120 12.00 36.80  
 
DED-5   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HARD CANDY 7 3 21 1½   1nk 11½ (hernandez l)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 2.00 28% 2.50 1.00 W
  (by CANDY RIDE out of FRIVOLOUS ALEX by AFLEET ALEX)
4  CURIOUS IRISH 4 6 78 43   42 21½ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 5.70  
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of WEATHERFIELD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  EUROBELIEVER 3 1 54½ 54   52½ 32¼ (garza joaqu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 11% 8.10 4.40 S
  (by EUROEARS out of BELIEVE ME by IT'S TRUE)
1  REECEMANIA 1 5 11 2½   2nk 44¼ (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 34% 2.00 2.30  
  (by EL DEAL out of WELL SPOKEN by DUE DATE)
5  ARKANSAS ZONG 5 2 31½ 32   31½ 55¼ (dison m)BOURQUE J 123 10.00 59.90  
  (by ZONG out of DEGENERATE CODE by WOOSTERSHEAR)
2  MCKAY 2 7 66 75   65½ 69¼ (ramirez b)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 ★ 38.50  
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of MCSAINT by LIMEHOUSE)
6  WICKED TOUGH 6 4 42½ 64½   79½ 716¾ (gallaway eddie)THORNTON G 123 8.00 ★ 23.30  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HERMAN'S WILDCAT by EL CORREDOR)
 
DED-6   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:144 1:283   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PAYNTED LOVER 8 5 12 15 13 13 16¼ (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 3.80  
3  IDE LIKE HAWAII 3 3 32 35½ 23 23 26¼ (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 59% 0.70 1.80 P
1  CROOKS REBEL 1 1 810 817 69½ 47½ 37½ (jarvis robert)STOKES J 120 4.50 8% 12.30 3.30 S
6  UNBRIDLED PULPIT 6 6 65 68 58½ 58½ 412½ (west henry)BARRERA J 115 10.00 10.30  
7  JOEY'S LIGHTENING 7 7 54½ 45½ 34 36 513 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 8% 10.90 4.30  
5  MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT 5 8 78 711 813 715½ 619½ (zeno benjamin)BACA L 120 8.00 14.20  
4  SASSI ASPEN 4 4 44 57½ 48 612½ 721 (cox l)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 ★ 14.90  
2  BARNEY'S PASSION 2 2 22 25 712½ 821½ 841¾ (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 120 15.00 ★ 49.30  
 
DED-7   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
See original race card.
:214 :453       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIS GIANT 1 4 11½ 11   1½ 1hd (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 40% 1.50 2.60 W
4  WILSON TO LOCKETT 4 6 610½ 613   45 2hd (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 ★ 25.20 P
6  LAGOON 6 3 31½ 21   2½ 31¾ (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 2.00 19% 4.40 0.80 S
3  PRIDEOFDIXIECREED 3 2 44½ 47   55½ 42 (guillory henry )POMPELL L 117 4.00 18% 4.50 6.20  
5  LUCKY BREAK 5 1 56½ 59   67½ 56¾ (gonzalez v)STOKES J 117 6.00 9.70  
2  STOMPING HOTROD 2 5 21½ 34   34½ 67 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 ★ 7.20  
 
DED-8   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FIESTY FIST 7 2 2nk 1½   11 11¼ (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 15% 5.90 0.60 W
6  FATHER GOOSE 6 4 32 2½   21 21¼ (courville rick)COTTO L 117 8.00 9% 10.60 8.00 P
1  FLASHY PREMO 1 1 69 69   43½ 32½ (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00 28.40  
5  UNFATHOMED 5 5 42½ 42   32½ 45¼ (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.50 19% 4.20 3.10  
2  INTO WISHING 2 6 58½ 58   66 58½ (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 6.70  
4  MAGAWILDTIME 4 3 1nk 31½   55 612¾ (cormier wins)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 ★ 42.80  
3  TOO MUCH CROWN 3 7 710½ 710½   78 712¾ (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 117 8.00 15.00  
SCR  JACK BOB AND LARRY               (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
DED-9   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:52
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:162     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME TO MOVE 1 8 710 64¾   43½ 11 (blanchet chris)BACA L 123 5.00 5.30  
7  MULETRAIN 7 1 31½ 32   32½ 21 (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 16% 5.30 6.60 P
8  DARK MATTER 8 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 32¼ (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 9% 10.70 1.30 S
6  CASTLEBERRY 6 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 45 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00 8% 10.90 3.70  
5  ARCH OF SWORDS 5 6 810½ 811¼   66½ 58¼ (dixon tim)VARGAS P 123 12.00 43.80  
4  WEST TEXAS BOB 4 5 54½ 43½   56½ 612 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00 27% 2.80 7.30  
2  PAC THE PULPIT 2 2 43½ 53¾   711½ 718¼ (zenon shelton)STOKES A 120 5.00 17% 5.00 7.80  
3  SABERMAN 3 7 66 76¼   815½ 821½ (averett ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00 30.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.