The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Delta Downs
Wednesday - January 18, 2023

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DED-1   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
:23 :464       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JONATHAN WHO 5 6 4 1nk   1nk 1nk (rubin donald)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 35% 1.90 1.20 W
I'LL RAISE YOU 4 2 3 3.2   3.2 2nk (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 21% 3.70 2.20 P
LION HEART LEGEND 6 3 1 4¼   2nk 3¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 7% 14.20 8.20 S
YES BAB 1 5 6 5   541 (breaux samuel)BARRERA J 115 1.60 10% 8.80 3.90  
I'M A SPECIAL STAR 2 4 2 2nk   4¾ 5(ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 8.10  
I'M LOOKING UP 3 1 5 6   66(zenon shelton)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 12.00 29.30  
 
DED-2   01/18/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
:233 :481 1:134     1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIM MAN 6 3 2nk 1nk   12 16 (amoss m)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 22% 3.50 0.30 W
HERZEN 7 4 4 42   33 26 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.50 13% 6.80 13.30 P
MR. B CAUSE 4 6 3.2 3   43(ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 8.00 17.30 S
HONOR MY SPEED 2 2 1nk 2nk   22 48 (landry ray)THORNTON G 117 6.00 11.50  
SMOKY TOPAZ 5 5 5 5   6510 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00 32.80  
HARDCORE FOLKLORE 3 1 6 63   55 610 (turner patti)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 22% 3.50 6.20  
POSEIDON WRATH 1 7 7 7   713½ 722 (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 21% 3.80 10.00  
SCR  POPEYES HEART               (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
 
DED-3   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
:221 :471       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAY TAY'S BABY 4 6 6 65   31(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.50 19% 4.20 4.60 W
KNIGHTS SWORD 5 1 31 2½   1½ 2(roberts kenneth)VARGAS P 114 10.00 3.40  
MY KIKI 3 4 45 44   536 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 114 1.60 6.30 S
NOT SO SWEET 1 5 11 1½   2½ 4(ramirez eduardo)THORNTON G 117 5.00 24% 3.10 3.90  
RACHIE RACH 2 3 21 31   42 59 (dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 25% 3.00 2.40  
PRAYERS SAVED 6 2 5 5   6610½ (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 114 8.00 4.70  
 
DED-4   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
:24 :491 1:152 1:293   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN EXPECTATION 3 1 6 810 3 2nk 1(ramirez e)VARGAS P 120 3.50 17% 4.70 2.50 W
MO BELLA 1 5 21 21 1½ 1nk 2(turner patti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 12% 7.60 2.00 P
SHE'S MY PRIORITY 6 7 3 33 2½ 3½ 3(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 4.70  
CRIDER CHASE 2 8 75 6 43 44(zenon shelton)BARRERA J 115 4.50 15% 5.70 5.50  
APRIORITY LADY 4 6 11 11 5 5511¼ (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 15.00 8.80  
BOSTON LUCILLE 5 2 5 5 6 66 613 (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 24% 3.20 9.80  
GIFTED TALENT 8 3 43 46 7 79 717¾ (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 22.20  
CUSTOM MAIDEN 7 4 85 78 8 8818¾ (washington richard)STOKES A 120 12.00 36.80  
 
DED-5   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
:223 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD CANDY 7 3 21 1½   1nk 1(hernandez leonel)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 2.00 28% 2.50 1.00 W
CURIOUS IRISH 4 6 78 43   42 2(dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 5.70  
EUROBELIEVER 3 1 5 54   53(garza e)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 11% 8.10 4.40 S
REECEMANIA 1 5 11 2½   2nk 4(landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 34% 2.00 2.30  
ARKANSAS ZONG 5 2 3 32   35(dison mark)BOURQUE J 123 10.00 59.90  
MCKAY 2 7 66 75   66(ramirez b)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 38.50  
WICKED TOUGH 6 4 4 6   7716¾ (gallaway eddie)THORNTON G 123 8.00 23.30  
 
DED-6   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
:24 :49 1:144 1:283   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTED LOVER 8 5 12 15 13 13 1(beavin judy)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 3.80  
IDE LIKE HAWAII 3 3 32 3 23 23 2(zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 59% 0.70 1.80 P
CROOKS REBEL 1 1 810 817 6 43(jarvis robert)STOKES J 120 4.50 8% 12.30 3.30 S
UNBRIDLED PULPIT 6 6 65 68 5 5412½ (west henry)BARRERA J 115 10.00 10.30  
JOEY'S LIGHTENING 7 7 5 4 34 36 513 (averett ronnie)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 8% 10.90 4.30  
MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT 5 8 78 711 813 715½ 619½ (zeno benjamin)BACA L 120 8.00 14.20  
SASSI ASPEN 4 4 44 5 48 612½ 721 (cox l)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 14.90  
BARNEY'S PASSION 2 2 22 25 712½ 821½ 841¾ (charles jonathan)BOURQUE J 120 15.00 49.30  
 
DED-7   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
:214 :453       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS GIANT 1 4 1 11   1½ 1hd (gonzalez v)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 40% 1.50 2.60 W
WILSON TO LOCKETT 4 6 610½ 613   45 2hd (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 25.20 P
LAGOON 6 3 3 21   2½ 3(ali ancil)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 2.00 19% 4.40 0.80 S
PRIDEOFDIXIECREED 3 2 4 47   542 (guillory jr)POMPELL L 117 4.00 18% 4.50 6.20  
LUCKY BREAK 5 1 5 59   65(gonzalez v)STOKES J 117 6.00 9.70  
STOMPING HOTROD 2 5 2 34   367 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 7.20  
 
DED-8   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
:233 :473 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIESTY FIST 7 2 2nk 1½   11 1(flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 15% 5.90 0.60 W
FATHER GOOSE 6 4 32 2½   21 2(courville ricky)COTTO L 117 8.00 9% 10.60 8.00 P
FLASHY PREMO 1 1 69 69   43(morrell cynthia)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00 28.40  
UNFATHOMED 5 5 4 42   34(landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.50 19% 4.20 3.10  
INTO WISHING 2 6 5 58   66 5(turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 6.70  
MAGAWILDTIME 4 3 1nk 3   55 612¾ (cormier winston)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 42.80  
TOO MUCH CROWN 3 7 710½ 710½   78 712¾ (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 117 8.00 15.00  
SCR  JACK BOB AND LARRY               (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
DED-9   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:52
:243 :491 1:162     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO MOVE 1 8 710 6   411 (blanchet chris)BACA L 123 5.00 5.30  
MULETRAIN 7 1 3 32   321 (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 16% 5.30 6.60 P
DARK MATTER 8 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 3(silva walter)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 9% 10.70 1.30 S
CASTLEBERRY 6 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 45 (dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00 8% 10.90 3.70  
ARCH OF SWORDS 5 6 810½ 811¼   65(dixon tim)VARGAS P 123 12.00 43.80  
WEST TEXAS BOB 4 5 5 4   5612 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00 27% 2.80 7.30  
PAC THE PULPIT 2 2 4 5   711½ 718¼ (zenon shelton)STOKES A 120 5.00 17% 5.00 7.80  
SABERMAN 3 7 66 7   815½ 821½ (averett ronnie)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00 30.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.