Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6/2)-(5/4/1/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/1/6)-(3/7/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/6)-(3/7/1/8)-(2/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8/5)-(3/7/1/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/1/8)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/8)-(2/1/4)-(5/3/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/3/6)-(2/1/4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/3/2/1)-(1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/2/1)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/1)-(1/7/3)-(3/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/6/2)-(1/7/3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(3/7/1)-(1/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/4/2)-(3/7/1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(1/6/3)-(5/8/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4/2)-(1/6/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/8/6)-(4/2/7/8/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/6/4)-(5/8/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/6)-(4/2/7/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-9   WIN (4/2/7/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/8/6)-(4/2/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/8/6)-(4/2/7/8/6)-(4/2/7/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES BAB Dec15 Nov16 Oct26 Aug24 Jul22 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 115 1.60 10% 8.80    
2  I'M A SPECIAL STAR Jan04 Dec17 Oct29 Jun23 Apr16 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 ★    
3  I'M LOOKING UP Jan04 Dec21 Nov22 Nov12 Jun09 (zenon shel)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 12.00    
4  I'LL RAISE YOU Dec19 Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 Oct05 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  JONATHAN WHO Jan04 Nov12 Jun23 Jun09 May12 (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  LION HEART LEGEND Dec28 Nov30 Nov10 Oct29 Oct05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
 
DED-2   01/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDON WRATH Dec15 Oct13 Sep11 Aug20 Jul27 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  HONOR MY SPEED Dec28 Dec17 Nov09 Oct27 Oct13 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
3  HARDCORE FOLKLORE Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 Oct14 Aug08 (turner patti)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  POPEYES HEART Dec22 Nov19 Oct15 Sep18 Aug27 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
5  MR. B CAUSE Dec22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 8.00 ★    
6  SMOKY TOPAZ Dec27 Nov09 Oct15 Oct06 Aug19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
7  SLIM MAN Dec11 Nov16 Sep29 Jul31 Mar13 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 22% 3.50    
8  HERZEN Dec15 Nov17 Oct22 Sep23 Aug27 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
DED-3   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT SO SWEET Dec28 Dec02 Nov16 Oct08 Aug25 (ramirez eduard)THORNTON G 117 5.00 24% 3.10    
2  RACHIE RACH Dec10 Nov16 Oct29 Oct13 Sep20 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  MY KIKI Jul18 Jun17 May21 Apr12 Mar22 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 114 1.60 ★    
4  TAY TAY'S BABY Dec10 Nov23 Nov12 Oct19 Oct08 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.50 19% 4.20    
5  KNIGHTS SWORD Dec27 Oct27 Oct06 Jul02 Jun24 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 114 10.00    
6  PRAYERS SAVED Dec10 Dec01 Nov11 Oct29 Oct06 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 114 8.00 ★    
 
DED-4   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO BELLA Dec07 Nov03 Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 12% 7.60    
2  CRIDER CHASE Jan04 Dec20 Nov22 Nov03 Oct05 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  HIDDEN EXPECTATION Dec15 Nov18 Sep25 May31 Mar02 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
4  APRIORITY LADY Dec07 Jul30 Jul03 Jun08 Mar09 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
5  BOSTON LUCILLE Dec16 Dec01 Oct27 Oct07 Jul23 (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Jan04 Dec16 Nov26 Nov05 Oct19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
7  CUSTOM MAIDEN Dec16 Nov30 Sep10 Aug18 Jul30 (washington richa)STOKES A 120 12.00    
8  GIFTED TALENT Jan04 Nov30 Nov03 Oct21 Aug07 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 ★    
 
DED-5   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REECEMANIA         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of WELL SPOKEN by DUE DATE)
2  MCKAY Dec28 Aug28 Aug14 Jan21 Jan06 (ramirez b)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 ★    
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of MCSAINT by LIMEHOUSE)
3  EUROBELIEVER Dec17 Dec02 Nov18 Nov04   (garza joaqu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 11% 8.10    
  (by EUROEARS out of BELIEVE ME by IT'S TRUE)
4  CURIOUS IRISH Nov25         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of WEATHERFIELD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  ARKANSAS ZONG Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Jul03 May29 (dison m)BOURQUE J 123 10.00    
  (by ZONG out of DEGENERATE CODE by WOOSTERSHEAR)
6  WICKED TOUGH Dec20 Dec08 Sep14 Aug28   (gallaway eddie)THORNTON G 123 8.00 ★    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HERMAN'S WILDCAT by EL CORREDOR)
7  HARD CANDY Dec17 Nov11 Jul23 Jun18 Jun05 (hernandez l)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of FRIVOLOUS ALEX by AFLEET ALEX)
 
DED-6   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROOKS REBEL Jan05 Sep24 Aug30 Aug15   (jarvis robert)STOKES J 120 4.50 8% 12.30    
2  BARNEY'S PASSION Jan05 Dec20 Nov18 Oct07 Aug26 (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 120 15.00 ★    
3  IDE LIKE HAWAII Jan06 Dec22 Nov10 Oct27 Oct12 (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  SASSI ASPEN Jan05 Dec22 Nov19 Nov02 Sep05 (cox l)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 ★    
5  MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT Jan06 Dec19 Nov09 Oct20 Sep12 (zeno b)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 8.00    
6  UNBRIDLED PULPIT Dec28 Dec16 Nov19 Nov02 Aug25 (west henry)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
7  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Jan06 Nov22 Nov02 Aug26 Aug17 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 8% 10.90    
8  PAYNTED LOVER Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 Sep24 Aug27 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
 
DED-7   01/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIS GIANT Jan04 Nov19 Oct22 Sep11 Aug27 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  STOMPING HOTROD Feb26 Jan28 Jan15     (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 ★    
3  PRIDEOFDIXIECREED Dec21 Nov18 Oct29 Oct02 Sep18 (guillory henry )POMPELL L 117 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  WILSON TO LOCKETT Dec28 Nov23 Oct28 Oct14 Aug17 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 ★    
5  LUCKY BREAK Dec21 Dec08 Nov19 Nov04 Oct20 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 117 6.00    
6  LAGOON Jan07 Dec02 Oct29 Oct05 Mar26 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
DED-8   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY PREMO Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 Oct20 Aug24 (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00    
2  INTO WISHING Jan08 Nov16 Oct13 Sep12 Aug29 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00    
3  TOO MUCH CROWN Dec21 Nov30 Nov11 Oct20 Aug13 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 117 8.00    
4  MAGAWILDTIME Dec22 Nov05 Aug12 Jul14 May22 (cormier wins)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 ★    
5  UNFATHOMED Dec27 Dec10 Nov03 Oct13 Jun01 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  FATHER GOOSE Jul22 Jun15 May28 May07 Apr22 (courville rick)COTTO L 117 8.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  JACK BOB AND LARRY Dec22 Nov17 May08 Mar26 Mar06 (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 4.00 35% 1.80    
8  FIESTY FIST Dec29 Dec10 Dec01 Nov16 Jul28 (flint steve)MAGNON H 123 2.50 15% 5.90    
 
DED-9   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME TO MOVE Dec22 Nov22 Nov12 Aug27 Aug04 (blanchet chris)BACA L 123 5.00    
2  PAC THE PULPIT Dec20 Nov22 Oct22 Sep26 Aug26 (zenon shelton)STOKES A 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
3  SABERMAN Jan04 Dec20 Nov10 Oct12   (averett ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00    
4  WEST TEXAS BOB Jan04 Dec20 Dec08 Nov23 Oct07 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00 27% 2.80    
5  ARCH OF SWORDS Nov05 Oct20 Sep24 May10   (dixon tim)VARGAS P 123 12.00    
6  CASTLEBERRY Dec11 Nov22 Oct21 Oct07 Sep11 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00 8% 10.90    
7  MULETRAIN Jan07 Dec28 Dec15 Oct26 Oct18 (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
8  DARK MATTER Jan07 Dec22 Dec10 Oct22 Sep26 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 9% 10.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.