Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-4   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $13.20 $7.20 120%
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $16.60 $4.60 38%
DED-5   EXA (8/5/2/9/1)-(8/5/2/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-5 $100.00 $80.00 400%
    DD (2/4/7)-(8/5/2/9/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-1 $33.90 $18.90 126%
DED-7   WIN (1/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $8.80 $0.80 10%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:15     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J C'S IN TOWN 3 2 22 2   23 1¼ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 1.80 1.20  
G'S STORM 5 3 12 1   13 2¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 4.80 P
JUSTA BUSTER 7 4 34 3   37 36 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 112 6.00 7.70  
IT'S A BIRD 1 1 45 4   410 4 (ali anc)COLON H 117 5.00 12% 7.40 5.90  
TIN DELAY 4 5 6 56   511½ 511¼ (bruno rolan)LEDET THEODRICK 117 15.00 8% 10.90 10.00  
HENNING 6 6 56 68   615½ 621 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 54% 0.80 3.70  
HEATHER'S REQUEST 2 7 716½ 720   723½ 722 (nelson r)HERNANDEZ V 117 8.00 32.70  
 
DED-2   01/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:162     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL ACTION 2 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 1 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 114 5.00 3.90  
QUIET AS MIDNIGHT 1 4 57 5   2nk 2 (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 5.00 5.80 P
LITTLE ROCKY 4 1 43 42   32 3 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 2.00 24% 3.10 1.40 S
SHEER ELEMENT 3 5 32 3   45 414½ (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 117 1.60 30% 2.30 2.00  
UNITEDAPPEAL 5 3 2½ 2nk   5 519 (nelson eric)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 4.50 20% 3.90 7.30  
 
DED-3   01/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:224 :474       1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COTTONCLUB SOLDIER 4 5 1½ 1nk   13 1 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 5.60  
CHECKULATER 6 4 4 33   34 2 (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 6.00 0.70  
ISLE CALL U LATER 2 3 31 44   4 3 (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 6.00 12.40 S
SMOOTH CUSTOM 3 6 68 610   512½ 48 (ali anc)COLON H 123 20.00 39.40  
LAST NATIVE CAT 1 2 2½ 2nk   23 58 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 53% 0.90 5.30  
10  WAR KING 7 1 52 56   614½ 620 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 123 10.00 8% 12.10 3.90  
AMANDAS NEW MAN 5 7 728 735   739½ 738¼ (west henry)DAVID J 123 20.00 66.70  
SCR  CHELSEA'S GLORY               (magnon jason)MAGNON H 123 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  CUSTOM DANCER               (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
SCR  GENES FEATHER               (zenon shelton)BACA L 123 6.00    
 
DED-4   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:142 1:281   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITAKER 2 5 510½ 5 4 11 1 (fogarty desmond)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 43% 1.30 5.60 W
COASTAL CHAOS 6 1 4 44 2nk 3 2 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 12% 7.20 0.70 P
CHICKEN TRUCK 3 3 3 32 3½ 21 310½ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 12% 7.20 2.10 S
PAPIRINGO 5 4 22 2½ 1nk 43 414¾ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 14.10  
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN 1 6 613½ 67 5 59 518¼ (richard russell )STOKES A 117 8.00 25.20  
CATINANDSCATIN 4 2 12 1½ 615½ 624 6100 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 10.00 20.80  
SCR  UNIFIED ASSETS               (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00    
 
DED-5   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:161     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ROJO 1 5 35 3   2nk 1 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 5% 17.30 3.50 W
MICHAEL'S BAD BOY 5 7 815 820   6 2 (cormier houst)VARGAS P 123 8.00 21% 3.70 14.80 P
CONFESS 6 3 21 2   3.2 35 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 2.90  
WAR REPORTER 8 1 57 613   5 4 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.50 6% 16.40 3.70  
MO VODKA 4 6 6 4   4 57 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00 4.20  
MARVINS GOLD 3 8 711½ 718   7 6 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 118 12.00 60.00  
MR. SNOWFLAKE 2 2 11 1   1nk 78 (breaux samuel)BACA L 120 5.00 8% 11.00 3.20  
TOOCAN DANCE 7 4 45 510½   8 816¾ (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 50.40  
SCR  BORK               (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
DED-6   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:20
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC ROSE 5 1 1 1nk   1½ 13 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 6.00  
LIL ADEAU 4 3 2 2nk   2½ 23 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 114 3.50 2.00  
MISS CHARLIE GRAS 3 2 3 3   3 3 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 6.00 6.60  
EL CALIENTE LADY 8 5 7 4   54 4 (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.50 28% 2.60 3.90  
CASHEW 7 8 8 54   6 5 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 6.00 20% 4.10 2.40  
US SECOND CUTE PIE 6 6 54 75   4 6 (zeno benjamin)BACA L 117 10.00 5% 19.00 30.20  
SUGAR STAR 2 4 4 88   7 716¼ (culotta ray)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 29.30  
CUSTOM GUITAR 1 7 66 6   8 821¼ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 11% 7.90 21.40  
 
DED-7   01/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
See original race card.
:221 :464       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PROMISE 8 5 54 33   2nk 1nk (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 15.10 DQ↓2
GOLDEN PASSAGE 4 6 4 4   3.2 2nk (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 6% 15.20 3.40 W
1A  WHENTHEDOVESCRY 2 9 916½ 9   8 3 (broberg karl)COLON H 117 3.50 48% 1.10 5.10  
FLUFFPOINT 6 8 810½ 8   6 4 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 109 10.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
MOVE IT 9 2 7 6   5 52 (cox l)THORNTON G 117 6.00 8.10  
CURTIN'S UP 5 3 12 13   1nk 64 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.50 25% 2.90 1.40  
DAAHERS BULLY 1 7 68 7   73 7 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 5.10  
GETTINHOT'NHERE 7 1 3 23   4 8 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 6.40  
KENSLEY'S HIPPIE 3 4 22 5   9 911½ (segura kearney)STOKES J 114 15.00 31.50  
 
DED-8   01/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:20
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:154     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTE DINERO QUEEN 2 4 2nk 1½   1nk 1 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 5.00 16% 5.30 1.30 DQ↓4
LOVERS NEVER SAY 5 2 4 3   3 2 (mojica a)BIRZER E 117 15.00 45.20  
TOLATETOOWAIT 3 7 5 65   6 3 (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 6.00 33.10 P
ARMS APRIORITY 8 6 1nk 2½   2nk 43 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 6% 15.10 6.60 S
EAGLEOVERTHEMOON 7 8 810½ 87   7 5 (antwine michae)BACA L 117 8.00 18.60  
MOLLI WAY 6 1 6 7   4 67 (romero john )BARRERA J 112 10.00 12.70  
CUSTOM FOR TINA 4 3 34 43   54 710½ (johnson henry )COTTO L 117 2.00 52% 0.90 1.70  
RUN NATALIE RUN 1 5 7 5   811¼ 814½ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 4.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
 
DED-9   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:52
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:171     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEAUX VOTE 5 3 3 3   1 1 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 115 4.50 1.90  
MORO DANDY 7 5 6 69   55 2 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 5.00 48% 1.10 3.40 P
PENNIE'S MAGIC 2 6 5 55   32 3 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 7.80  
GOTTEMINABIND 4 1 2½ 2½   2 4 (baker cebur)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 2.50 3.40  
WHY KENZLY 6 7 715½ 710½   6 5 (godfrey edmon)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 12.00 24.70  
CALIFORNIA CALI 3 4 1½ 1½   43 6 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 10.00 5.60  
MILU ROCKET 1 2 4 43   712½ 720 (clark casey)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 8.60  
SCR  RUN TIL DAWN               (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.