Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/3/5)-(6/1/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(3/4/5)-(1/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/1/2)-(3/4/5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/10)-(2/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-3   WIN (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/10)-(1/10/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/10)-(1/10/3)-(1/10/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/10)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/10)-(2/4/7)-(5/2/9/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-4   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(5/2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(5/2/9/1)-(8/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/1)-(5/2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/1)-(5/2/9/1)-(5/2/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/9/1)-(8/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/1)-(8/7/1/6)-(1/4/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (8/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/2/6)-(8/7/1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/1/6)-(1/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/6)-(1/4/3/5)-(4/2/8/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5/6)-(1/4/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/3/5)-(4/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/5)-(4/2/8/1)-(8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/1)-(4/2/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/1)-(4/2/8/1/3)-(4/2/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/8/1)-(8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
DED-9   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/1/5/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (8)-(8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A BIRD Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 Oct19 (ali anc)COLON H 117 5.00 12% 7.40    
2  HEATHER'S REQUEST Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Aug20 Jun27 (nelson r)HERNANDEZ V 117 8.00    
3  J C'S IN TOWN Jan06 Dec17 Nov19 Oct28 Oct08 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 1.80 ★    
4  TIN DELAY Dec17 Nov09 Oct22 Aug10 Jul13 (bruno rolan)LEDET THEODRICK 117 15.00 8% 10.90    
5  G'S STORM Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Nov11 Oct19 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 ★    
6  HENNING Dec14 Sep11 Aug16 Jun16 May14 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 54% 0.80    
7  JUSTA BUSTER Dec27 Nov30 Nov17 Nov04 Aug03 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 112 6.00    
 
DED-2   01/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET AS MIDNIGHT Dec07 Oct06       (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 5.00 ★    
2  REAL ACTION Oct08 Jun04 May19     (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 114 5.00 ★    
3  SHEER ELEMENT Nov22 Oct21 Sep17     (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 117 1.60 30% 2.30    
4  LITTLE ROCKY Dec20 Nov25 Sep27     (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  UNITEDAPPEAL Dec09         (nelson eric)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
DED-3   01/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST NATIVE CAT May14 Apr22 Feb18     (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  GENES FEATHER Dec20 Oct27 Oct07 Aug25 Aug13 (zenon shelton)BACA L 123 6.00 ★    
3  ISLE CALL U LATER Jan04 Dec15 Dec01 Nov18 Oct19 (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 6.00 ★    
4  SMOOTH CUSTOM Nov02 Oct07 Mar17     (ali anc)COLON H 123 20.00    
5  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Dec20 Nov17 Oct29 Oct19 Oct05 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00    
SCR  CHELSEA'S GLORY Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 Oct19 Oct07 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 123 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  CUSTOM DANCER Dec14 Nov22 Nov12     (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
8  AMANDAS NEW MAN Oct19 Mar03 Jan26 Jan13   (west henry)DAVID J 123 20.00    
9  CHECKULATER Jan12 Jun11 May06 Apr08 Mar13 (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 6.00    
10  WAR KING Dec20 Sep26 Sep11     (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 123 10.00 8% 12.10    
 
DED-4   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Jan08 Dec09 Nov23 Oct19 Aug28 (richard russell )STOKES A 117 8.00 ★    
2  WHITAKER Dec15 Nov10 Sep10 Aug20 Aug07 (fogarty desmond)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  UNIFIED ASSETS Dec15 Nov19 Oct15 Sep04 Aug16 (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 ★    
4  CHICKEN TRUCK Nov30 Nov12 Oct21 Sep24 Sep14 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 12% 7.20    
5  CATINANDSCATIN Jan08 Dec19 Nov23 Nov12 Oct19 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 10.00    
6  PAPIRINGO Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Aug29 Jun18 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
7  COASTAL CHAOS Dec18 Nov25 Oct27 Oct12 Sep29 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 12% 7.20    
 
DED-5   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ROJO Dec16 Nov05 Sep27 Sep06 Aug20 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 5% 17.30    
2  MR. SNOWFLAKE Oct21 Aug13 Jul02 Jun08 Apr15 (breaux samuel)BACA L 120 5.00 8% 11.00    
3  MARVINS GOLD Nov19 Oct20 Oct05 Aug25 Jul29 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 118 12.00    
4  MO VODKA Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 Nov10 Sep12 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00    
5  MICHAEL'S BAD BOY Jan05 Dec08 Nov19 Nov02 Oct07 (cormier houst)VARGAS P 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
6  CONFESS Jan05 Dec20 Dec08 Nov25 Nov10 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50    
7  TOOCAN DANCE Jan06 Sep10 Aug27 Jul18 Jul02 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
SCR  BORK Dec20 Dec01 Nov04 Sep24 Aug22 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
9  WAR REPORTER Dec20 Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 Oct12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.50 6% 16.40    
 
DED-6   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM GUITAR Dec29 Dec07 Oct29 Oct14 Aug10 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 11% 7.90    
2  SUGAR STAR Dec29 Dec15 Nov16 Oct29 Oct14 (culotta ray)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 ★    
3  MISS CHARLIE GRAS Nov04 Oct13 Jan01     (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 6.00    
4  LIL ADEAU Dec01 Nov02 Jul08 Jun03 May21 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 114 3.50    
5  ATOMIC ROSE Jan06 Dec14 Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50    
6  US SECOND CUTE PIE Nov03 Oct05 Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 (zeno benjamin)BACA L 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CASHEW Dec19 Oct14 Jun25 May28   (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
8  EL CALIENTE LADY Dec20 Dec07 Nov22 Nov03 Sep12 (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
DED-7   01/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAAHERS BULLY Jan04 Nov19 Oct28 Oct02 Sep18 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 ★    
1A  WHENTHEDOVESCRY Dec28 Dec15 Oct14 Jul30 Jul21 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 48% 1.10    
2  KENSLEY'S HIPPIE Jan04 Dec07 Apr21 Feb24 Jan29 (segura kearney)STOKES J 114 15.00    
3  GOLDEN PASSAGE Dec14 Jul25 Jul03 Jun04 Apr14 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 6% 15.20    
4  CURTIN'S UP Jan04 Dec02 Nov12 Aug17 Jul30 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.50 25% 2.90    
5  FLUFFPOINT Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 Oct29 Aug24 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 109 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GETTINHOT'NHERE Dec07 Nov19 Nov10 Oct21 Sep16 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 ★    
7  LUCKY PROMISE Dec07 Nov05 Oct14 Sep18 Aug17 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00    
8  MOVE IT Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 Oct21 Jul29 (cox l)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
 
DED-8   01/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN NATALIE RUN Jan04 Dec19 Nov10 Jul11 Jun03 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  CUTE DINERO QUEEN Dec28 Nov26 Oct27 Aug07 Jul24 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  TOLATETOOWAIT Jan07 Dec08       (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 6.00 ★    
4  CUSTOM FOR TINA Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 Oct26 Oct05 (johnson henry )COTTO L 117 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  LOVERS NEVER SAY Nov26 Oct28       (mojica a)BIRZER E 117 15.00    
6  MOLLI WAY Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 Feb10 (romero john )BARRERA J 112 10.00    
7  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Jan04 Dec08 Oct26 Sep19 Aug30 (antwine michae)BACA L 117 8.00    
8  ARMS APRIORITY Dec19 Dec10 Nov18 Jul18 Jun13 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 6% 15.10    
 
DED-9   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILU ROCKET Dec21 Jun07 May22 May06 Apr24 (clark casey)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  RUN TIL DAWN         (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  PENNIE'S MAGIC Jan07 Dec19 Nov18 Oct19 Sep06 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
4  CALIFORNIA CALI Jan07 Dec21 Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 10.00    
5  GOTTEMINABIND Dec21 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 (baker cebur)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 2.50 ★    
6  GEAUX VOTE Dec20 Dec08 Jul06 May19   (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 115 4.50 ★    
7  WHY KENZLY Jan07 Dec09 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 (godfrey edmon)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 12.00    
8  MORO DANDY Jan07         (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 5.00 48% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.