Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
AQU-2   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.00  
AQU-3   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $3.50  
AQU-4   Win (7/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 6.80
AQU-5   Win (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $19.20  
AQU-6   Win (5/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.90 $8.90 0.90
AQU-7   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $16.40  
AQU-8   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.50 $9.50 3.50
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:104 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RANDOMIZED 2 1 1½ 1½ 11 13½ 15½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 27% 2.70 1.55 W
6  GIFTED 6 4 2½ 2½ 21 23½ 25½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 33% 2.00 1.25 P
5  AVANT 5 5 32 32½ 37½ 313½ 318½ (pletcher todd)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 13% 6.60 5.70 S
1  DOLCE SERA 1 2 52½ 64 48 416 425¼ (delauro edwar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00 7.80  
4  ACCEL ROSE 4 3 42 53½ 612 620 528¾ (atras rob)VARGAS A 118 10.00 22.30  
3  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE 3 6 64½ 43 511½ 520 632½ (bond ja)TORRES A 111 10.00 17.30  
 
AQU-2   03/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:132     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AERON WARRIOR 3 1 3½ 11½   16 110½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 ★ 1.50  
7  BABI DREAMS 6 3 2nk 21½   26 210½ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 125 15.00 15.40  
5  STRANGE FRUIT 4 6 54 44½   37 311¾ (reynolds patrick )DAVIS KATIE 118 2.00 32% 2.10 1.75 S
2  MY INNER VOICE 2 4 64½ 69½   514 418¾ (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 32% 2.20 5.00  
1  NORTHERN BALLET 1 5 43 54½   413½ 524¾ (davis robb)DAVIS A 118 10.00 11.50  
6  SUPER PRINCESS 5 2 1nk 32½   617½ 631 (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 10.00 7.00  
SCR  UKRAINIAN PRINCESS               (levine)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
AQU-3   03/31/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:122 1:374   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CURBSTONE 5 3 31 31 2nk 11 14¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 0.75  
4  COMPLETE AGENDA 4 4 55 59 58 56½ 24¼ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 8.80  
3  EXIT RIGHT 3 2 1½ 2nk 31½ 33 34½ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 9% 10.00 5.60 S
1  MONTAUK POINT 1 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 21 45¼ (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 67% 0.50 2.00  
2  MAGIA NERA 2 5 42½ 42 43½ 45 57 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 20.00  
SCR  ROYAL TRYST               (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:122 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ITS COLD IN DEHERE 4 4 41 51½ 34 32½ 1½ (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.40 W
7  OK HONEY 7 2 52 31 1½ 1nk 2½ (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 53% 0.90 1.50 P
2  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 2 5 1½ 1½ 2½ 2nk 32 (falcone robert)TORRES A 113 4.00 2.65  
3  KEEN DANCER 3 7 711 710 68 47½ 44½ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 13.20  
5  GAGLIANO 5 8 813½ 811 89½ 59 56¾ (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 8.10  
8  INDIAN BELLA 8 1 2½ 2½ 46 69¼ 612½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 8% 11.30 16.20  
6  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 6 3 68 64½ 57½ 710¼ 713½ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 8% 12.00 6.60  
1  GRINGOTTS 1 6 31 41½ 78½ 812¼ 815½ (younghans will)HARKIE K 120 12.00 54.25  
 
AQU-5   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFTY DEVIL 1 2 41 42   3½ 11¾ (gorham e)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 ★ 8.60  
5  CAMM' DUKE 5 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 21¾ (ryerso)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 3.50 11% 8.00 5.60 P
7  PAROS 7 6 31 3½   1nk 34½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 0.95  
2  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 2 7 62¾ 67½   66½ 46½ (hennig mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 11.90  
8  LITTLE LUCA 8 1 1½ 1nk   42½ 510¼ (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 27% 2.70 6.40  
4  BAD WATER 4 4 51¼ 56   55½ 610¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 33% 2.00 4.30  
6  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 6 5 73¾ 711½   710½ 713 (noda orlando)TORRES A 113 20.00 39.00  
3  SOUNDS SPOOKY 3 8 810¼ 817   814½ 814¼ (jones e)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00 81.25  
 
AQU-6   03/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CUPIDS GIRL 7 5 52¾ 35½   12½ 16¾ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 9% 10.10 3.45 W
8  VODKATINI 8 1 1nk 1nk   34½ 26¾ (gorham michael)TORRES A 115 6.00 8% 11.10 5.40 P
4  BELLA PRINCIPESSA 4 7 74¼ 56¼   46½ 37½ (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 11% 8.50 2.35 S
2  TRUE EMPRESS 2 8 86¼ 78¼   58 49¾ (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 10.00 21.60  
1  WISHING ON A STAR 1 6 64¼ 810¾   79½ 511½ (de hora)VARGAS A 122 6.00 9.00  
5  CADENCIA 5 3 2nk 2nk   22½ 611½ (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 49% 1.00 3.85  
3  CAPTIVATING CARA 3 4 42½ 67¾   69 714 (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 9.50  
6  GAME THEORY 6 2 31½ 45¾   815 821¼ (jones eduardo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 12.90  
 
AQU-7   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:113 1:25   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KERNESS 3 1 11 11½ 11½ 11½ 12¼ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 7.20  
5  DR. KRAFT 5 5 69 68½ 34½ 33½ 22¼ (englehart )DAVIS A 120 3.50 ★ 3.35 P
4  MIGHTY ATLAS 4 7 79½ 78¾ 56½ 45 32¼ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 ★ 20.90 S
6  VICTORY MONEY 6 4 31½ 31½ 21½ 21½ 42½ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 31% 2.20 3.65  
7  AMERICAN GRANT 7 6 43½ 42½ 66½ 56½ 58 (brown r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 61.75  
2  NINETEEN OYSTERS 2 3 53½ 56½ 710 711 610½ (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 1.00 41% 1.40 0.80  
1  HOT ROD LINCOLN 1 2 21 21½ 45 69 714 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 50.00 49.50  
 
AQU-8   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:121 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WARRIOR RICHARD 2 4 42½ 52 41 21 1hd (falcone robert)TORRES A 111 4.50 15% 5.50 3.75 W
5  PROVEN HOPE 5 5 52½ 3½ 1½ 11 2hd (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.00 23% 3.40 1.80 P
3  STEADY PROGRESS 3 6 21 2½ 2½ 31½ 35¼ (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00 25.25  
6  OLD POINT 6 7 85¾ 62½ 52½ 44½ 48 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80 37% 1.70 1.55  
4  GHOSTSTRYDER 4 3 73¾ 75 713 713½ 514 (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 ★ 7.10  
7  WEALLLIKEDHIM 7 2 11 1½ 3½ 58½ 614½ (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 126 30.00 59.00  
8  ETERNAL GLORY 8 1 32 41½ 66½ 612 719¼ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 36.00  
1  DISTURBED 1 8 63½ 85½ 813½ 818½ 824¼ (ryerso)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 29.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.