Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/2)-(1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/3)-(7/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(7/8/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/8/6/4)-(4/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/4)-(4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/4)-(4/8/5)-(5/4/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(5/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5)-(5/4/7/8)-(2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/8)-(2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/8)-(2/6)-(6/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLCE SERA Feb24 Jan15 Dec18 Dec11 Sep23 (delauro edw)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PROMPTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  RANDOMIZED Jul24         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of FRENCH PASSPORT by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE         (bond harold )TORRES A 111 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of AURORA'S RIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  ACCEL ROSE Mar04         (atras rob)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of UNFORGIVING by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  AVANT Feb19 Jan15 Nov04 Sep04   (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 13% 6.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENTH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
6  GIFTED Mar04 Feb05 Nov25 Aug07   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by TAPIT out of WITH HONORS by WAR FRONT)
 
AQU-2   03/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN BALLET Dec30         (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 10.00    
2  MY INNER VOICE Feb17         (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 32% 2.20    
3  AERON WARRIOR Mar03 Feb11 Jan12     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  UKRAINIAN PRINCESS Feb26 Jan27 Dec18     (levi)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 15% 5.50    
5  STRANGE FRUIT Jan20         (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  SUPER PRINCESS Mar12         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 10.00    
7  BABI DREAMS         (sells rachel)HARKIE K 125 15.00    
 
AQU-3   03/31/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK POINT Feb10 Jan20 Nov13 Oct29 Oct02 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
2  MAGIA NERA Feb11 Jan13 Jul02 Jun24 May15 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
3  EXIT RIGHT Mar07 Feb14 Jan17 Jan02 Oct14 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 9% 10.00    
4  COMPLETE AGENDA Feb17 Jan14 Jan07 Dec09 Nov19 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL TRYST Mar25 Mar04 Feb25 Feb11 Jan14 (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 10.00 ★    
6  CURBSTONE Feb26 Jan28 Dec09 Nov19 Jul27 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60    
 
AQU-4   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRINGOTTS Feb17 Dec30 Dec04 Nov04 Oct09 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 12.00    
2  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Feb18 Jan06 Dec15 Nov16 Nov04 (falcone robe)TORRES A 113 4.00    
3  KEEN DANCER Mar24 Feb19 Feb09 Jan22 Jan15 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
4  ITS COLD IN DEHERE Mar24 Feb17 Feb10 Dec30 Dec11 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GAGLIANO Feb20 Jan29 Jan13 Dec10 Oct28 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
6  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Feb19 Nov10 Oct28 Jul03 Jun02 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 8% 12.00    
7  OK HONEY Feb19 Oct14 Aug18 Jul15 Jun02 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
8  INDIAN BELLA Feb17 Jan15 Oct11 Aug05 Jun25 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
 
AQU-5   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFTY DEVIL Mar05 Feb12 Jan01 Dec11 Nov19 (gorham michael )CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 ★    
2  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct27   (hennig mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
3  SOUNDS SPOOKY Mar11 Mar05 Feb17 Dec30 Nov27 (jones eduardo )BROWN DALTON 120 30.00    
4  BAD WATER Jan04         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
5  CAMM' DUKE Mar05 Feb11 Jan21 Dec17 Nov27 (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 3.50 11% 8.00    
6  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Mar05 Jan29 Nov27 Oct22 Jul29 (noda orlando)TORRES A 113 20.00    
7  PAROS Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 Nov19 Oct22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60    
8  LITTLE LUCA Mar11 Dec10 Jun24     (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
AQU-6   03/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHING ON A STAR Mar05 Jan18 Sep25 Aug20 Jul10 (de ho)VARGAS A 122 6.00    
2  TRUE EMPRESS Feb20 Feb09 Jan28 Dec17 Dec02 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 10.00    
3  CAPTIVATING CARA Mar12 Feb11 Jan06 Oct01 Aug26 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
4  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Mar11 Aug11 Jul17 Jun12 May15 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 11% 8.50    
5  CADENCIA Jun04 Apr15 Mar11 Feb10   (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  GAME THEORY Mar18 Mar11 Feb20 Feb09 Jan28 (jones eduar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
7  CUPIDS GIRL Mar11 Feb09 Jan28 Dec02 Oct06 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
8  VODKATINI Jan20 Dec03 Nov04 Sep10 Aug24 (gorham micha)TORRES A 115 6.00 8% 11.10    
 
AQU-7   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ROD LINCOLN Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Sep22 Sep04 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 50.00    
2  NINETEEN OYSTERS Feb24         (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 1.00 41% 1.40    
3  KERNESS Mar10 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec10 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
4  MIGHTY ATLAS Oct27 Sep29       (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 ★    
5  DR. KRAFT Feb25 Jan26 Dec31 Nov26 Oct09 (englehar)DAVIS A 120 3.50 ★    
6  VICTORY MONEY Feb26 Nov26       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  AMERICAN GRANT Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10   (brown bruce)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTURBED Feb17 Jan19 Dec01 Nov06 Oct28 (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00    
2  WARRIOR RICHARD Mar12 Feb09 Jan13 Dec29 Dec02 (falcone robe)TORRES A 111 4.50 15% 5.50    
3  STEADY PROGRESS Mar12 Feb17 Feb02 Jan19 Jan13 (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00    
4  GHOSTSTRYDER Feb24 Dec02 Sep28 Aug28   (morey willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 ★    
5  PROVEN HOPE Mar12 Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 Oct20 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.00 23% 3.40    
6  OLD POINT Mar12 Feb25 Jan19 Nov13 Oct08 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80 37% 1.70    
7  WEALLLIKEDHIM Mar10 Dec29 Dec09     (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 126 30.00    
8  ETERNAL GLORY Mar11 Feb25 Jan06     (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.