Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-2   WIN (2/3/6/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $17.60 $7.60 76%
    EXA (2/3/6/4/5)-(2/3/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-4 $37.50 $17.50 88%
    TRI (2/3/6/4/5)-(2/3/6/4/5)-(2/3/6/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-4-2 $72.37 $42.37 141%
    SFT (2/3/6/4/5)-(2/3/6/4/5)-(2/3/6/4/5)-(2/3/6/4/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-4-2-3 $38.00 $26.00 217%
AQU-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.10 $1.10 28%
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/3/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-1 $9.70 $1.70 21%
    DD (2/3/6/4/5)-(6/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00  6-5 $17.50 $7.50 75%
AQU-5   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $19.60 $11.60 145%
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-1 $48.50 $32.50 203%
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-1-2 $99.37 $75.37 314%
    SFT (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-1-2-7 $68.30 $58.70 611%
AQU-6   TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/2/1)-(7/3/4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-1-2 $20.75 $2.75 15%
    DD (2/6/3/1)-(7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $42.75 $30.75 256%
AQU-7   WIN (7/4/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $10.60 $0.60 6%
    PK3 (2/6/3/1)-(7/3/4)-(7/4/3/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  3-7-5 $217.75 $157.75 263%
AQU-10   TRI (10/6/2/1)-(10/6/2/1/3)-(10/6/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-2-3 $26.62 $2.62 11%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARMAN ROAD   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 1.85  
  (by UNIFIED out of GREAT HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
RIDE UP   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 66% 0.50 1.20 P
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
GLOBAL IMAGE   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 10% 9.00 1.80 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CLASS INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
SWAY'SINMYDNA   (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 21.90  
  (by CONNECT out of ALONG CAME POLLY by JUDPOT)
SCR  LOGIN REQUIRED   (camejo m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
SCR  NIEUWENDYK   (begg jame)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CRUZIN ON IN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  ONE BITE   (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of STAR IN THE CORNER by HOLY BULL)
 
AQU-2   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GANDY DANCING   (barrera osca)TORRES A 113 6.00 16% 5.20 7.80 W
VICTORY BUILT   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 3.50 14% 6.30 2.80 P
BRONX BOMBER   (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 22% 3.60 3.10 S
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 16% 5.20 2.10  
UNO   (delauro edward )CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 6.10  
DOUBLE SHOT   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 11% 7.90 7.90  
 
AQU-3   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKED AND FAMOUS   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.55 W
BREW PUB   (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.50 2.50 P
TURNSANDCONDITIONS   (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 28.50  
JOEY LOOSE LIPS   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 115 3.00 3.70  
COUSIN ANDREW   (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 40% 1.50 4.30  
CUT THE CORD   (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00 10.80  
 
AQU-4   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC RETURN   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5.70  
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of MAJESTIC MIST by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
DANSEUR D'ORO   (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 25% 3.00 1.35 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MISS CENTERFOLD by TIZNOW)
SHAMAN PRINCESS   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 23% 3.40 2.60 S
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of STORIED LADY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
BE BEST   (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 27% 2.70 2.95  
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVELY ISLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
CHARISSE   (hennig ma)VARGAS A 120 10.00 18.50  
  (by STREET SENSE out of MAXIMOVA by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
DEBBIE DARLING   (abreu jorge )SAMUEL L 120 12.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
SCR  RUN CHATA   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DIAMOND DONA by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-5   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADERO   (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 5.00 7% 14.20 8.80 W
WINNING CONNECTION   (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 7% 14.30 5.00 P
ARREBATO   (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 44% 1.30 7.40 S
MAMA'S GOLD   (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 1.80 1.60  
EMPIRE RIDE   (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 7.00  
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 10% 9.00 2.75  
SOUNDS SPOOKY   (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 28.25  
 
AQU-6   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFTER FIVE   (falcone robe)TORRES A 115 2.00 27% 2.70 2.20 W
DOCTOR LOVE (FR)   (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 1.90 P
BRUNATE   (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5.70 S
CAN'T BEAT ME   (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 11.80  
CATCHING CUPID   (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 25.25  
JOKEMEISTER   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 23% 3.40 2.60  
SCR  EXXTOP   (thompson mar)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER   (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-7   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE   (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 4.50 12% 7.50 4.30 W
TRY IT AGAIN   (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00 10.30  
BELLA PRINCIPESSA   (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 12% 7.40 7.70 S
CHARLEY RUDE   (mccarthy mich)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 12% 7.20 1.20  
CUPIDS GIRL   (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 26% 2.90 3.15  
GAME THEORY   (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00 41.75  
J D ADVANTAGE   (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 8.00 10.30  
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA   (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
SCR  REIGNING CHICK   (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
AQU-8   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL MOON   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 4.00  
MAJORITY PARTNER   (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 5% 18.90 5.10 P
PATIENT CAPITAL   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 28% 2.60 2.45 S
LUNI SIMA   (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 9.00  
RESERVE CURRENCY   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 30% 2.40 3.20  
SIX PERCENT   (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 11% 8.00 8.10  
SHIPSATIONAL   (barker edwa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
SCR  JUMPSTER   (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00    
SCR  THREE JOKERS   (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
 
AQU-9   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Correction Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSSA VELOCE   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 50% 1.00 0.45 W
  (by GIROLAMO out of SPUNTASTIC by HARD SPUN)
PRODIGY DOLL   (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 7.80 P
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of HI LILI by SILVER DEPUTY)
FOUETTE   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 7% 13.60 6.40 S
  (by NYQUIST out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
EASY TO BLESS   (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 6.00 7.50  
  (by FLAT OUT out of ARBEKA by MR. GREELEY)
I'M BUZZY   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 27.50  
  (by LONG ISLAND SOUND out of MERRY MERRY BEE by PURIM)
SECRET LOVE (ARG)   (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 11% 7.80 10.20  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of EXOTIC DESIGN by A.P. INDY)
BIG TENTATIONS   (avila carl)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 37.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISSISSIPPI QUEEN by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  SELF ISOLATION   (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
 
AQU-10   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE LUCA   (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 10% 8.70 2.10 W
MAKART   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 10% 8.90 4.40 P
HELICOPTER MONEY   (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 4.80 S
ESCAPE MISSION   (handal ra)VARGAS A 125 6.00 13.50  
ETERNAL GLORY   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 37.00  
10  CENTRAL LOVE   (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 3.50 50% 1.00 4.20  
IMPULSIVE SPENDING   (morey wi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 9% 10.80 6.30  
MR. BUSTA   (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 125 50.00 89.75  
EXCALIBRATE   (chichakly am)SAMUEL L 118 30.00 ######  
METAMORPHOSES   (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 20.00 44.50  
11  FOURFAITH   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 111 15.00 18.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.