Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.30 $1.30 22%
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $48.25 $36.25 302%
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3/4)-(1/5/2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-4-3 $64.37 $46.37 258%
    SFT (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3/4)-(1/5/2/3/4)-(1/5/2/3/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  1-4-3-5 $24.77 $17.57 244%
AQU-2   WIN (3/5/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $11.20 $1.20 12%
AQU-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $8.30 $4.30 108%
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/7/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-5 $11.00 $3.00 38%
    DD (4/6/3)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $7.10 $1.10 18%
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/6/3)-(4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-4-1 $18.60 $0.60 3%
    PK5 (1/5/2)-(3/5/6/2/1)-(1/4/2)-(4/6/3)-(4/1) 270 $0.50 $135  1-2-4-1/4-1 $147.00 $12.00 9%
AQU-8   WIN (3/1/6/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $13.00 $3.00 30%
    EXA (3/1/6/2/4)-(3/1/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-1 $35.25 $15.25 76%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINGS LIKE EAGLES 1 5 11 13   1 1 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.65 W
  (by GET STORMY out of MY DARLING DEBBIE by DEBONAIR ROGER)
DOLCE SERA 4 2 5 510½   3 2 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00 41.00 P
  (by RACE DAY out of PROMPTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
CHARGING LADY 3 4 42 4   57 35 (pletcher )VARGAS A 122 4.00 6.10 S
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of I'LL TAKE CHARGE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SHE'S MO BUBBLY 5 1 31 23   2 45 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 28% 2.60 0.80  
  (by UNCLE MO out of MICHELLE D'ORO by BERNARDINI)
SOURCING NETWORK 2 3 21 33   47 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 14% 6.00 3.65  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CONQUEST SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
AQU-2   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:144 1:28   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAVON 2 1 5 31 2nk 1½ 1 (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 4.00 14% 6.40 4.60 W
  (by PAYNTER out of LEGALLY BAY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
THE SPLENDID ONE 1 2 2 2½ 1nk 2½ 2 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 120 3.50 9% 10.00 2.30 P
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
LA CONQUISTADORA 5 3 1 1½ 32 34 3 (breen j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 16% 5.20 2.20 S
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SNOWY EVENING 6 6 6 65 612 612 412¼ (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 5.00 15% 5.70 9.10  
  (by FROSTED out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
GRACEFULNESS 3 4 42 42 4 48 512¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.35  
  (by TAPWRIT out of BAY ISLAND by BLUEGRASS CAT)
PINSTRIPEPIZZO 4 5 32 5 58 510 614¼ (de horacio)PENNINGTON F 120 6.00 11.60  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
AQU-3   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:122     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET HER INSPIRE U 4 1 31 2nk   1 1 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 23% 3.40 1.00 W
LEELOO 1 4 1½ 3½   2 2 (duggan p)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 35% 1.90 1.75 P
UNSOLVED MYSTERY 2 5 2½ 1nk   3 3 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 12% 7.60 5.30 S
MON PETIT CHOU 5 2 5 5   47 4 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 12.00 25.00  
IMPAZIBLE DONNA 3 3 4 4   5 57 (levine bruce)TORRES A 113 4.00 6.30  
 
AQU-4   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:144     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRISKY FROLIC 3 2 1 1   1 15 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 123 0.80 35% 1.80 0.60 W
FREUDIAN 5 3 2 2   2 25 (falcone robe)TORRES A 113 2.50 27% 2.70 2.10 P
PREDETERMINED 4 1 35 3   37 3 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 17.90  
SWEET SENSATION 1 5 4 412½   414 416¼ (sells )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5.10  
MIDMON 2 4 5 514   528 552 (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 15.00 5% 17.30 31.00  
SCR  WRITE THIS DOWN               (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
 
AQU-5   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:151 1:28   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ARREBATO 4 2 3 32 21 11 1 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 4.00 33% 2.00 3.15 W
NIEUWENDYK 5 1 11 1½ 11 21 2 (begg jame)VARGAS A 120 3.00 2.40 P
SIXWILLBERICH 6 3 21 2½ 4 44 3 (morley thomas)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00 4.20 S
SWAY'SINMYDNA 2 4 5 42 31 3 413 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 3.15  
GHOSTSTRYDER 1 5 44 5 55 5 515 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 1.25  
BOUNTY KILLAH 3 6 612½ 6 66 611 617 (richards marv)OLVER MADISON 105 20.00 26.50  
SCR  CLOUD MUSIC               (chapman jame)TORRES A 113 4.00    
SCR  EXCESS DEMAND               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-6   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:124     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINETEEN OYSTERS 5 4 4 3   12 1 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 7.40  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PLATINUM SONG by MY GOLDEN SONG)
ELECTRIC STUFF 4 2 1nk 1nk   22 2 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 21% 3.70 2.95 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of FIRST CHARMER by SMART STRIKE)
MUDVILLE NINE 6 5 5 5   45 310¼ (trombetta mich)PENNINGTON F 120 10.00 24.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FANFIRE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
CHALKY CAT 3 6 67 65   35 411 (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 4.10  
  (by RACE DAY out of FOLLOW THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
ORMSTOWN 1 3 34 43   6 514¾ (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 6.00 13.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SANDRA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
LAUNCH CONTROL 2 1 2nk 2nk   5 617¼ (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 48% 1.10 0.90  
  (by FREUD out of MIGHTY GOOD by GOOD AND TOUGH)
SCR  MAKAR               (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 15.00 9% 10.40    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of KATAMA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
AQU-7   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:132 1:26   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING SOPHIA 2 4 4 32 1½ 17 1 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 1.50  
SEAHORSE D'ORO 4 2 2nk 2 3 27 2 (servis tyle)OCASIO M 120 10.00 6.10  
SAVE GRACE 1 1 1nk 1 2½ 37 312½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 61% 0.70 0.80 S
JUST A NYQUIST 3 3 3½ 4 47 410 413¼ (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 7.70  
SCR  SA FORADADA               (jones michae)TORRES A 113 2.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  UGHROUDA               (jones michae)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 2.50    
SCR  VODKATINI               (gorham michael )CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 8% 12.30    
 
AQU-8   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:12 1:244   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHAROAH'S HEART 6 3 2nk 1½ 12 13 1 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 17% 4.90 5.50 W
GLOWSITY 1 10 7 6 44 35 2 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 3.50 23% 3.30 1.95 P
12  TONED UP 12 8 10 10 87 4 3 (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 20.00  
SPIKED 3 1 9 8 7 57 4 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 28% 2.60 3.75  
DAME CINCO 2 9 5 5 22 23 5 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 5% 18.50 9.60  
INTO HAPPINESS 7 12 1113¼ 1110¼ 10 9 6 (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 123 30.00 46.50  
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 4 11 1214¼ 1214¾ 1213½ 1012¾ 78 (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
KINGDOM QUEEN 8 2 3.2 41 65 67 88 (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 120 50.00 64.75  
11  LIAM'S KISS 11 7 8 7 5 78 910½ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 8.70  
10  BABY MAN 10 6 4¾ 3½ 3 8 1015¼ (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 10.10  
CHAMPAGNE POETRY 9 5 1nk 2½ 9 1113¼ 1115½ (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 46.00  
VEGAS WEEKEND 5 4 6 9 1110 1213¾ 1219½ (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 30.00 41.25  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.