Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3/4)-(1/5/2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(3/5/6/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(3/5/6/2/1)-(1/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/5/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/2/1)-(3/5/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/2/1)-(3/5/6/2/1)-(3/5/6/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/6/2/1)-(1/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/2/1)-(1/4/2)-(4/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/3/5)-(1/4/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/6/3)-(1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(1)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/7/5/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/4)-(2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2)-(3/1/6/2/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (2)-(3/1/6/2/4) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/1/6/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/2/4)-(3/1/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/2/4)-(3/1/6/2/4)-(3/1/6/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGS LIKE EAGLES Jan15 Dec18 Nov17 Sep10 Jul23 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by GET STORMY out of MY DARLING DEBBIE by DEBONAIR ROGER)
2  SOURCING NETWORK Jan15 Dec18       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 14% 6.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CONQUEST SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  CHARGING LADY Jan15 Dec11 Nov17 Oct07 Aug19 (pletcher )VARGAS A 122 4.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of I'LL TAKE CHARGE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  DOLCE SERA Jan15 Dec18 Dec11 Sep23 Aug12 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of PROMPTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  SHE'S MO BUBBLY Jan21         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MICHELLE D'ORO by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-2   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SPLENDID ONE Jan19 Dec16 Nov04 Sep22 Aug24 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 120 3.50 9% 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
2  LAVON Jan19 Dec16 Oct30 Sep02   (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 4.00 14% 6.40    
  (by PAYNTER out of LEGALLY BAY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
3  GRACEFULNESS Jan27         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BAY ISLAND by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Jan14         (de horacio)PENNINGTON F 120 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  LA CONQUISTADORA Dec16 Oct30 Sep22     (breen j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  SNOWY EVENING Jan27 Jul28 Jul04     (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
  (by FROSTED out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
 
AQU-3   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEELOO Jan27 Dec09 Oct30 Sep25 Aug26 (duggan p)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Jan26 Dec30 Nov13 Sep17 Aug14 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 12% 7.60    
3  IMPAZIBLE DONNA Dec04 Sep02 Aug06 Apr23 Mar25 (levine bruce)TORRES A 113 4.00 ★    
4  LET HER INSPIRE U Jan26 Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 Aug26 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 23% 3.40    
5  MON PETIT CHOU Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Sep02 Aug04 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 12.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WRITE THIS DOWN Feb11 Dec29 Nov06 Aug15 Jun17 (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
2  SWEET SENSATION Feb05 Jan20 Dec09 Nov25 Nov05 (sells )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 ★    
3  MIDMON Feb11 Jan21 May23 May09 Apr22 (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 15.00 5% 17.30    
4  BRISKY FROLIC Jan13 Dec10 Oct14 Apr09 Feb13 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 123 0.80 35% 1.80    
5  PREDETERMINED Feb11 Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 Oct13 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00    
6  FREUDIAN Jan20 Dec18 Oct13 Aug20 Jul15 (falcone robe)TORRES A 113 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
AQU-5   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAY'SINMYDNA Jan20 Jan14       (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00    
1A  ARREBATO Feb12         (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  GHOSTSTRYDER Dec02 Sep28 Aug28     (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★    
3  BOUNTY KILLAH Jan13 Jan07 Dec14     (richards marv)FUENTES ERICK 105 20.00    
SCR  EXCESS DEMAND         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  NIEUWENDYK Jan19 Dec29 Dec01 Nov11 Aug31 (begg jame)VARGAS A 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  CLOUD MUSIC Feb11         (chapman jame)TORRES A 113 4.00    
7  SIXWILLBERICH Dec10 Nov06       (morley thomas)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORMSTOWN         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 6.00 ★    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SANDRA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  LAUNCH CONTROL Jan26         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by FREUD out of MIGHTY GOOD by GOOD AND TOUGH)
3  CHALKY CAT Jan26         (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of FOLLOW THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  ELECTRIC STUFF Jan26         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FIRST CHARMER by SMART STRIKE)
5  NINETEEN OYSTERS         (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PLATINUM SONG by MY GOLDEN SONG)
6  MUDVILLE NINE         (trombetta mich)PENNINGTON F 120 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FANFIRE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  MAKAR Nov17 Oct21 Aug10 Jul08   (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 15.00 9% 10.40    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of KATAMA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
AQU-7   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SA FORADADA Jan13 Dec10 Nov11 Aug29 Jun26 (jones michae)TORRES A 113 2.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  UGHROUDA Jan11 Dec11 Oct19 Sep14 Jan30 (jones michae)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 2.50    
2  SAVE GRACE Nov23 Oct19 Jul30     (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 61% 0.70    
3  DANCING SOPHIA Jan13 Dec10 Nov17 Oct15 Sep17 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 ★    
4  JUST A NYQUIST Feb02 Jan22 Jun16 May21 May04 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 ★    
SCR  VODKATINI Jan20 Dec03 Nov04 Sep10 Aug24 (gorham michael )CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 8% 12.30    
6  SEAHORSE D'ORO Dec21 Nov30 Oct05 Jul12 Feb12 (servis tyle)OCASIO M 120 10.00    
 
AQU-8   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOWSITY Jan28 Dec18 Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  DAME CINCO Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 Oct06 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 5% 18.50    
3  SPIKED Jan12 Nov25 Oct02 Jul29 Jun09 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Jul23 (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  VEGAS WEEKEND Jan15 Jan05 Nov10 Oct28 Oct01 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 30.00    
6  PHAROAH'S HEART Dec09 Jun02 Apr02 Feb12   (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
7  INTO HAPPINESS Jan12 Dec11 Sep23 Jan14   (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 123 30.00    
8  KINGDOM QUEEN Jan18 Dec21 Dec06 Nov15 Sep13 (mc john)BISONO J 120 50.00    
9  CHAMPAGNE POETRY Jan29 May28 Apr02 Feb06 Jan13 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
10  BABY MAN Jan12 Dec30 Nov12 Sep22 Aug12 (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
11  LIAM'S KISS Jan28 Dec14 Mar03 Jan22   (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
12  TONED UP Jan28 Dec30 Dec01 Oct28 Sep05 (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.