Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-3   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $32.00 $24.00 300%
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-3 $48.75 $32.75 205%
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4/7)-(3/1/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-3-5 $62.25 $38.25 159%
    SFT (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4/7)-(3/1/5/4/7)-(3/1/5/4/7) 96 $0.10 $9.60  4-3-5-1 $25.40 $15.80 165%
AQU-4   DD (3/1/5/4)-(2/4/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-4 $36.75 $16.75 84%
AQU-5   PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(2/4/1/5/7)-(2/6/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00  4-4-6 $100.75 $20.75 26%
AQU-6   PK4 (3/1/5/4)-(2/4/1/5/7)-(2/6/1/3)-(6/1/7) 240 $0.50 $120  4-4-6-2/3/6 $138.25 $18.25 15%
AQU-8   WIN (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $57.50 $49.50 619%
    EXA (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-5 $70.25 $54.25 339%
    TRI (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1/3)-(6/5/4/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-5-3 $144.00 $120.00 500%
    SFT (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1/3)-(6/5/4/1/3)-(6/5/4/1/3) 96 $0.10 $9.60  1-5-3-6 $54.45 $44.85 467%
AQU-9   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $6.70 $0.70 12%
    SFT (6/5/8)-(6/5/8/1/9)-(6/5/8/1/9)-(6/5/8/1/9) 72 $0.10 $7.20  8-6-1-9 $10.07 $2.87 40%
    DD (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-8 $112.25 $100.25 835%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:123 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROMISEHER AMERICA 1 3 32½ 41½ 2½ 12½ 16¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 4.10  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PROMISEDYOUHEAVEN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  AVANT 5 2 43 31 31 33 26¼ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 ★ 2.65 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENTH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
2  UNDOUBTEDLY 2 4 2nk 1nk 1½ 22½ 37 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 16% 5.20 1.75 S
  (by BLAME out of AND WHY NOT by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  LA GROTTE 4 1 1nk 2nk 44 48½ 420½ (morley thomas)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00 8% 12.00 9.30  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of QUALKRIS by MALIBU MOON)
4  DON'T TELL AMY 3 5 56 55 58½ 515½ 541¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 48% 1.10 2.70  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OH FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 10.00 ★    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SOUND OF THUNDER by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
AQU-2   02/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAN'T BEAT ME 7 3 63¼ 34   23 1¼ (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 7.30  
2  CUMBERLAND BLUES 2 4 2nk 1nk   13 2¼ (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 116 3.50 27% 2.70 2.50 P
1  B C GLORY DAYS 1 5 52¾ 54¾   33½ 35¼ (barrera osca)TORRES A 113 10.00 10% 8.60 18.60 S
4  BOURBON'S HOPE 4 2 31½ 44½   45½ 45¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 13% 6.80 2.60  
3  GOT THE GOLD 3 6 42½ 66¼   57 58¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 15% 5.80 2.40  
6  AVA K'S BOY 6 1 75¼ 78¼   78½ 613½ (martin carlos)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00 32.50  
5  MISBEHAVED 5 7 1nk 2nk   67½ 715½ (engl)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 13% 7.00 6.20  
 
AQU-3   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:131 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUMPSTER 4 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 1nk (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 6.00 8% 11.00 15.00 W
3  WARRIOR IN CHIEF 3 7 41¼ 3.2 1nk 2nk 2nk (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.10 1.65 P
5  ROYAL REALM 5 5 51¾ 51¼ 33 33 33¾ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 11% 8.40 3.65 S
1  GREAT WORKOUT 1 6 62¾ 61¼ 55 68½ 48 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 26% 2.90 1.95  
7  KUMAR 7 2 2nk 4¾ 44 45½ 58½ (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 123 8.00 ★ 7.90  
2  SCOTTY 2 1 72¾ 71½ 67 58 68¾ (diprima )DAVIS A 123 10.00 12.30  
6  AMERICAN LINCOLN 6 4 3.2 2nk 77½ 713½ 717¼ (romero jesus)TORRES A 113 20.00 56.00  
 
AQU-4   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BUSTIN BAY 4 3 21 21   1½ 13½ (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 18% 4.60 0.70 W
7  OK HONEY 7 2 53 32½   31½ 23½ (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 10% 8.60 5.80 P
5  BEAUTIFUL KAREN 5 1 11 11   2½ 34 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 13% 6.60 5.40 S
1  TARA'S TALENT 1 4 31 44   48 410¾ (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00 17% 4.90 12.30  
3  KEEN DANCER 3 6 66 712½   512½ 511¾ (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00 14.50  
6  TRADE SECRET 6 7 76½ 67   713½ 615 (brown r)PENNINGTON F 123 8.00 15.10  
2  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 2 5 41½ 54½   613 715¼ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 20% 3.90 8.00  
 
AQU-5   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:103 1:231   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OVERSTEP 6 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 1½ 1½ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 21% 3.90 1.90 W
1  OUSTER 2 4 41½ 41½ 42 41½ 2½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 19% 4.40 4.70  
4  WHITTINGTON PARK 4 7 75¾ 75¼ 66¼ 64 32¼ (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 18.80  
5  BALDIZAR 5 5 61¾ 51¾ 3½ 31 42¾ (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 ★ 4.70  
2  AWESOME NATIVE 1 3 3½ 2nk 1nk 2½ 54½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 21% 3.70 1.90  
3  HUSH OF A STORM 3 1 51¾ 62¼ 52¼ 53 65½ (morey e)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 15% 5.70 10.60  
7  THE COBBLER 7 6 2½ 3½ 76¾ 711 724¼ (henry nevill)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 50.00 38.50  
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (hennig ma)VARGAS A 123 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-6   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113 1:243   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLLOQUY 3 6 56½ 53¾ 31 11 1¾ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 1.45 W
7  MANDATORY 4 3 1nk 2nk 1½ 21 2¾ (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 12% 7.50 3.00 P
8  NORGAY 6 2 32½ 33 2½ 32 33¾ (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 12.00 ★ 7.20 S
1  ACHILLES HEEL 5 4 45 43¼ 46 44½ 45½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 21% 3.70 4.60  
5  BATTER UP BUD 2 5 67 67¾ 611 512½ 512¼ (taylor joseph)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00 4.60  
4  SALUTE TO AMERICA 1 1 2nk 1nk 59 616½ 623½ (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 13.50  
SCR  LEGENDARY LORE               (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  MAJOR SPIN               (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 4.00 ★    
SCR  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT               (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
 
AQU-7   02/19/2023 6270ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:261 :513 1:153 1:403   1:60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CURLIN'S WISDOM 3 1 31½ 33 31½ 11 11 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00 ★ 7.40  
8  TONAL IMPACT 7 5 74¼ 76½ 74¼ 41¼ 21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 31% 2.30 2.05 P
7  GASOLINE 6 3 11 11½ 1½ 31 31¾ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 34% 1.90 3.70 S
2  NAVAL AVIATOR 2 7 64 55 51¾ 53¾ 42¼ (jones michae)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00 7.70  
6  LOCALLY OWNED 5 2 21 21½ 2½ 21 55½ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★ 7.90  
5  AMATTEROFTIME 4 4 43 44½ 63¾ 710¼ 69¾ (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 120 12.00 47.00  
1  WIN THE DAY 1 6 54 65 41½ 67¼ 712¾ (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 7% 14.00 2.45  
SCR  BE BETTER               (pletch)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
 
AQU-8   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:114 1:244   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO SUGAR 1 6 11 11 1½ 11 11¼ (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 15.00 6% 15.70 27.75 W
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  LES BON TEMPS 5 1 31½ 31½ 41½ 31½ 21¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 8% 11.80 1.10 P
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
3  SWEETEST PRINCESS 3 2 42 41½ 31½ 41½ 33 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 ★ 5.90 S
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 6 3 53 53 56½ 57 44¾ (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80 55% 0.80 2.05  
  (by UNCLE MO out of AVERYMERRYMOMENT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  LUNA LOCA 2 4 21 21 2½ 21 54¾ (duggan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 7.70  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SWEET LOVE by BUILT FOR PLEASURE)
4  STARRY MIDNIGHT 4 5 65 64 68 613½ 626¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 8% 11.90 8.30  
  (by CONNECT out of STREET SINGER by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
AQU-9   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUN DEVIL 7 4 1½ 1nk   21 1¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 8% 12.10 2.35 W
6  TIMED OUT 5 8 2½ 2nk   11 2¼ (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 120 3.00 53% 0.90 1.80 P
1  WICCA WISDOM 1 3 62½ 65   46½ 35¾ (ramirez m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 ★ 3.50 S
9  NEW YORK SUPREME 8 5 31 31   33 46 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 ★ 6.00  
4  APRIL ANTICS 4 2 52 54½   78½ 58 (kantar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 10.80  
7  BRAVO REGINA 6 6 72¾ 75½   67½ 68 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00 40.50  
3  SUPER DUPER FLY 3 1 41 43   57 78 (perez flores)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 30.00 33.00  
2  RICELLE 2 7 86¼ 88½   811½ 813¼ (legall r)DAVIS A 123 20.00 25.50  
SCR  CARBON               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.