The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Sunday - February 19, 2023

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AQU-1   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
:23 :47 1:123 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMISEHER AMERICA 1 3 3 4 2½ 11(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 4.10  
AVANT 5 2 43 31 31 33 2(pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 2.65 P
UNDOUBTEDLY 2 4 2nk 1nk 1½ 237 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 16% 5.20 1.75 S
LA GROTTE 4 1 1nk 2nk 44 4420½ (morley thomas)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00 8% 12.00 9.30  
DON'T TELL AMY 3 5 56 55 5 515½ 541¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 48% 1.10 2.70  
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
 
AQU-2   02/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
:231 :462 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T BEAT ME 7 3 6 34   23 1¼ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 7.30  
CUMBERLAND BLUES 2 4 2nk 1nk   13 2¼ (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 116 3.50 27% 2.70 2.50 P
B C GLORY DAYS 1 5 5 5   33(barrera oscar )TORRES A 113 10.00 10% 8.60 18.60 S
BOURBON'S HOPE 4 2 3 4   44(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 13% 6.80 2.60  
GOT THE GOLD 3 6 4 6   57 5(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 15% 5.80 2.40  
AVA K'S BOY 6 1 7 7   7613½ (martin f)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00 32.50  
MISBEHAVED 5 7 1nk 2nk   6715½ (engleh)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 13% 7.00 6.20  
 
AQU-3   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
:242 :481 1:131 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPSTER 4 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 1nk (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 6.00 8% 11.00 15.00 W
WARRIOR IN CHIEF 3 7 4 3.2 1nk 2nk 2nk (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.10 1.65 P
ROYAL REALM 5 5 5 5 33 33 3(engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 11% 8.40 3.65 S
GREAT WORKOUT 1 6 6 6 55 648 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 26% 2.90 1.95  
KUMAR 7 2 2nk 4¾ 44 45(barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 123 8.00 7.90  
SCOTTY 2 1 7 7 67 58 6(diprima gr)DAVIS A 123 10.00 12.30  
AMERICAN LINCOLN 6 4 3.2 2nk 7 713½ 717¼ (romero jesus)TORRES A 113 20.00 56.00  
 
AQU-4   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
:232 :463 1:114     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN BAY 4 3 21 21   1½ 1(arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 18% 4.60 0.70 W
OK HONEY 7 2 53 3   32(rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 10% 8.60 5.80 P
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 5 1 11 11   2½ 34 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 13% 6.60 5.40 S
TARA'S TALENT 1 4 31 44   48 410¾ (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00 17% 4.90 12.30  
KEEN DANCER 3 6 66 712½   512½ 511¾ (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00 14.50  
TRADE SECRET 6 7 7 67   713½ 615 (brown r)PENNINGTON F 123 8.00 15.10  
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 2 5 4 5   613 715¼ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 20% 3.90 8.00  
 
AQU-5   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
:233 :464 1:103 1:231   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERSTEP 6 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 1½ 1½ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 21% 3.90 1.90 W
OUSTER 2 4 4 4 42 42½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 19% 4.40 4.70  
WHITTINGTON PARK 4 7 7 7 6 64 3(englehart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 18.80  
BALDIZAR 5 5 6 5 3½ 31 4(bond jame)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 4.70  
AWESOME NATIVE 1 3 3½ 2nk 1nk 2½ 5(abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 21% 3.70 1.90  
HUSH OF A STORM 3 1 5 6 5 53 6(morey e)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 15% 5.70 10.60  
THE COBBLER 7 6 2½ 3½ 7 711 724¼ (henry neville)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 50.00 38.50  
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (hennig mark)VARGAS A 123 2.50    
 
AQU-6   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
:232 :464 1:113 1:243   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLOQUY 3 6 5 5 31 11 1¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 1.45 W
MANDATORY 4 3 1nk 2nk 1½ 21 2¾ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 12% 7.50 3.00 P
NORGAY 6 2 3 33 2½ 32 3(arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 12.00 7.20 S
ACHILLES HEEL 5 4 45 4 46 44(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 21% 3.70 4.60  
BATTER UP BUD 2 5 67 6 611 512½ 512¼ (taylor joseph)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00 4.60  
SALUTE TO AMERICA 1 1 2nk 1nk 59 616½ 623½ (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 13.50  
SCR  LEGENDARY LORE               (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  MAJOR SPIN               (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 4.00    
SCR  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT               (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
 
AQU-7   02/19/2023 6270ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
:261 :513 1:153 1:403   1:60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S WISDOM 3 1 3 33 3 11 11 (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00 7.40  
TONAL IMPACT 7 5 7 7 7 421 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 31% 2.30 2.05 P
GASOLINE 6 3 11 1 1½ 31 3(pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 34% 1.90 3.70 S
NAVAL AVIATOR 2 7 64 55 5 54(jones michael )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00 7.70  
LOCALLY OWNED 5 2 21 2 2½ 21 5(morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 7.90  
AMATTEROFTIME 4 4 43 4 6 710¼ 6(ramirez silvino)OCASIO M 120 12.00 47.00  
WIN THE DAY 1 6 54 65 4 6712¾ (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 7% 14.00 2.45  
SCR  BE BETTER               (pletcher)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
 
AQU-8   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:26
:233 :472 1:114 1:244   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO SUGAR 1 6 11 11 1½ 11 1(bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 15.00 6% 15.70 27.75 W
LES BON TEMPS 5 1 3 3 4 32(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 8% 11.80 1.10 P
SWEETEST PRINCESS 3 2 42 4 3 433 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 5.90 S
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 6 3 53 53 5 57 4(mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80 55% 0.80 2.05  
LUNA LOCA 2 4 21 21 2½ 21 5(duggan dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 7.70  
STARRY MIDNIGHT 4 5 65 64 68 613½ 626¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 8% 11.90 8.30  
 
AQU-9   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
:232 :464 1:112     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN DEVIL 7 4 1½ 1nk   21 1¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 8% 12.10 2.35 W
TIMED OUT 5 8 2½ 2nk   11 2¼ (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 120 3.00 53% 0.90 1.80 P
WICCA WISDOM 1 3 6 65   43(ramirez m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 3.50 S
NEW YORK SUPREME 8 5 31 31   33 46 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 6.00  
APRIL ANTICS 4 2 52 5   758 (kantarma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 10.80  
BRAVO REGINA 6 6 7 7   668 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00 40.50  
SUPER DUPER FLY 3 1 41 43   57 78 (perez t)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 30.00 33.00  
RICELLE 2 7 8 8   811½ 813¼ (legall ric)DAVIS A 123 20.00 25.50  
SCR  CARBON               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 15% 5.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.