The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Friday - March 03, 2023
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AQU-1   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer  ($40 Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:232 :464 1:12 1:252   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INCANTATION 6 4 3½ 1nk 1nk 1½ 11½ (bond ja)TORRES A 111 3.00 ★ 5.20  
1  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS 1 1 41 41 2nk 2½ 21½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 37% 1.70 1.55 P
4  WEST STAR 4 6 53 53½ 45 38½ 310 (skelto)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 2.50 28% 2.60 2.05 S
5  WONKER WARRIOR 5 5 64½ 66 68½ 59 410¼ (donk david)VARGAS A 118 3.00 12% 7.40 7.10  
2  CONNECT THE BROCKS 2 2 2nk 3½ 55½ 48½ 511¾ (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 8.00 4.90  
3  BEAR'S CORRECT 3 3 1nk 2nk 34 610 617¾ (jones eduard)BONILLA CRISTINA 118 30.00 ★ 41.75  
 
AQU-2   03/03/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming  ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
:23 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR SPIN 1 1 11 11   12 15 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 1.40 22% 3.60 1.35 W
5  JOHN'S PROTEGE 6 7 43 33   22 25 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 12% 7.20 6.40 P
6  CHEEKY TICO 7 2 31½ 43½   35 38¾ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 21% 3.80 1.60 S
2  SEMPER FIDELIS 2 3 75½ 710   69½ 49 (reid rober)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 7% 12.90 10.80  
1A  GHOSTLYPRINCE 3 6 63½ 57   57½ 59¼ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.40 1.35  
4  MOONSHININGBRIGHT 5 5 21 21   45½ 612 (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 21.60  
3  JET SPEED 4 4 53½ 68½   712 719¼ (thompson m)DAVIS A 120 5.00 18% 4.60 6.80  
 
AQU-3   03/03/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:231 :463 1:113     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  D HOPPER 2 1 1½ 11   11½ 11½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.50 11% 8.20 1.95 DQ↓2
6  BATTUTA D'ORO 6 5 58 55½   21½ 21½ (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 8.80 10.40 W
3  PREDICTED 3 2 42½ 32   33 32 (dutrow ant)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 7% 14.20 7.70 S
5  MAGICAL WAYS 5 3 2½ 21   44 48 (mott wil)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 2.50 10% 9.40 4.30  
4  OPPORTUNITY SET 4 4 32 42½   59 513¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 43% 1.30 1.35  
1  CARPE CAPELLA 1 6 69½ 612½   617 624 (shivma)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 20.00 19.70  
 
AQU-4   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm  ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
:234 :47 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TOUGH STREET 5 1 32 21 2nk 1½ 13½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 32% 2.20 1.70 W
6  STONE CREATOR 6 5 11½ 11 1nk 2½ 23½ (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.20 39% 1.50 1.45 P
4  BUSTIN BAY 4 2 21½ 31½ 33 34 34¾ (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 111 4.50 ★ 3.30 S
2  CURLY GIRL 2 6 65 64½ 69½ 69½ 411¼ (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 20.00 ★ 40.50  
3  CARAMOCHA 3 4 53½ 54½ 59 49 513¼ (friedman mitc)MARTINEZ R 118 15.00 23.60  
1  SHINFULL 1 3 43 42 48 59 616¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 118 8.00 ★ 7.00  
 
AQU-5   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer  ($25 Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
:224 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FULIGNI 4 4 1½ 11   13 11¼ (bond ja)TORRES A 118 2.00 50% 1.00 0.80 W
6  AERON WARRIOR 7 1 42 44   23 21¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 8.70  
8  MRS BELL 9 5 63½ 65½   55¼ 33¾ (lucas)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 6.00 20% 4.00 4.90 S
3  BUSTINROXY 2 7 31 31½   43¼ 43¾ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 ★ 5.40  
5  MAGNOLIA WIND 6 8 2½ 21   33 53¾ (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 ★ 7.70  
4  MY GORGEOUS 5 9 96 87½   86¼ 64½ (reynolds p)DAVIS A 118 15.00 38.00  
2  FOLLOW THE FED 1 2 74 55   65¾ 75¼ (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 8.00 7% 13.00 13.20  
1  CAIAROSSA 3 3 84 76½   75¾ 85½ (bond jam)OLVER MADISON 118 2.00 0.80  
7  FOUR QUARTZ 8 6 52½ 99½   915¼ 926¾ (rodriguez rudy )CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 68.75  
 
AQU-6   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming  ( Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:57
:221 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW 3 4 33 23½   11½ 12 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 51% 1.00 1.05 W
5  LADY SHYLOCK 5 5 22 34½   21½ 22 (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 ★ 11.00 P
6  CURLINS CHOIR 6 1 44 58   43½ 32¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 23% 3.40 3.40 S
7  LOCKBOX 7 2 76½ 79¼   53½ 42¾ (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 10.10  
4  SICILIAN GRANDMA 4 6 65 48   64½ 55 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 ★ 6.40  
1  WILL BE FAMOUS 1 3 12 13½   33 66 (brown r)TORRES A 113 6.00 8.80  
2  GRACE AND CHARM 2 7 55 69   79 714¾ (russell britt)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 ★ 12.10  
 
AQU-7   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm  ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  EARLY EDITION 8 7 86¾ 75¾   2½ 12¼ (mcmullin s)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00 9.40  
4  KHALI MAGIC 3 6 64¼ 65½   62¼ 22¼ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 43% 1.30 2.15 P
5  DIVA BANKER 4 8 75¼ 54½   31 33¼ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 111 6.00 9% 9.60 7.10 S
2  QUALITY STONES 1 3 12½ 12   1½ 44 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 8.00 10.90  
3  SPIN A YARN 2 2 33 32   42 57¼ (progno chr)DAVIS A 118 12.00 16.20  
6  PATRIA 5 1 22½ 22   52 67¼ (salazar marco)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 36.75  
8  RUVIES IN TIME 7 4 43 44   74¼ 77¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 ★ 2.70  
7  BACKED BY GOLD 6 5 53¼ 8100   8100 8100 (quick)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.00 14% 6.00 3.50  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (toscano jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
:221 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STRIKING SPEED 6 6 43½ 41½   11 12¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00 5.40  
3  POPPY'S PRIDE 2 2 1½ 2½   31 22¼ (sciacc)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 14.10  
7  MIDNIGHTCHARLY 5 3 77½ 79¼   56 35 (arriaga an)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 15.70  
6  GANDY DANCING 4 5 67½ 58½   67 45¼ (barrera oscar )TORRES A 116 10.00 11.60  
4  HEIR PORT 3 1 2½ 1½   21 55½ (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 6% 16.20 1.65  
10  DEE BO 7 7 33 31½   43 66¾ (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.05  
1  ZERTZ 1 4 55½ 69   77¼ 78½ (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 6% 16.90 3.75  
SCR  F F ROCKET               (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
SCR  JUMPMASTER               (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  QUICK TEMPO               (magee kieron)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.