Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/6/3)-(1/4/5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/6/3/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(1/6/3/5/2)-(4/2/6/5/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/6/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/5/2)-(1/6/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/5/2)-(1/6/3/5/2)-(1/6/3/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/3/5/2)-(4/2/6/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/5/2)-(4/2/6/5/3)-(6/5) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/2/6/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/5/3)-(4/2/6/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/5/3)-(4/2/6/5/3)-(4/2/6/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/6/5/3)-(6/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/5/3)-(6/5)-(1/8/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/4/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/4/1/2)-(6/5/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(1/8/2)-(3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/2/5/3)-(1/8/2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(3/6)-(4/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/4/5/2)-(3/6/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(4/7/5)-(4/1/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(4/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/10)-(4/1/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/10)-(4/1/10)-(4/1/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Jan27 Jan05 Nov11 Oct07 Sep23 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  CONNECT THE BROCKS Jan08 Dec10 Nov02     (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 8.00    
3  BEAR'S CORRECT Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 Dec10 Nov20 (jones edua)BONILLA CRISTINA 118 30.00 ★    
4  WEST STAR Jan29 Jan21 Dec30 Nov17 Sep29 (skel)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  WONKER WARRIOR Feb25         (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 3.00 12% 7.40    
6  INCANTATION Jan28 Dec17       (bond harold )TORRES A 111 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   03/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR SPIN Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 1.40 22% 3.60    
1A  GHOSTLYPRINCE Jan29 Jan01 Dec15 Dec02 Sep22 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.40    
2  SEMPER FIDELIS Jan10 Dec03 Nov16 Jan26   (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 7% 12.90    
3  JET SPEED Feb09 Dec31 Dec16 Oct23 Oct02 (thompson)DAVIS A 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  MOONSHININGBRIGHT Jan08 Nov12 Sep18 Jul24 Jul03 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00    
5  JOHN'S PROTEGE Jan15 Dec29 Dec09 Apr24 Mar12 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 12% 7.20    
6  CHEEKY TICO Jan27 Jan08 Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-3   03/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE CAPELLA Oct09         (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of T'AS D'BEAUX YEUX by DESERT PARTY)
2  D HOPPER         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.50 11% 8.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of K J WARRIOR by TAPIT)
3  PREDICTED Feb02 Dec15 May15 Apr21 Apr09 (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 7% 14.20    
  (by TAPIT out of ITHINKISAWAPUDYCAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  OPPORTUNITY SET Dec15 Nov11       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
5  MAGICAL WAYS Jan08 Dec15 Nov11     (mott w)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 2.50 10% 9.40    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of YOU MAKE LUVIN FUN by A.P. INDY)
6  BATTUTA D'ORO Feb18 Jan25 Nov06 Oct18 Sep24 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 8.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHRISTINA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
AQU-4   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINFULL Feb05 Jan13 Dec16 Nov17 Sep17 (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 8.00 ★    
2  CURLY GIRL Dec29 Dec11 Nov02 Jul25 Jul04 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 20.00 ★    
3  CARAMOCHA Feb05 Jan19 Jan08 Dec15 Nov04 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 118 15.00    
4  BUSTIN BAY Feb19 Jan19 Dec29 Dec01 Oct23 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 4.50 ★    
5  TOUGH STREET Jan22 Dec30 Nov11 Oct13 Sep04 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 32% 2.20    
6  STONE CREATOR Feb09 May27 Apr29 Mar27 Feb21 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.20 39% 1.50    
 
AQU-5   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIAROSSA Jan26 Jan01 Sep04 Aug05   (bond j)OLVER MADISON 118 2.00    
1A  FULIGNI Feb17 Jan01 Dec08 Nov12 Sep03 (bond harold )TORRES A 118 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  FOLLOW THE FED Feb17 Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 Oct23 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 8.00 7% 13.00    
3  BUSTINROXY Jan14         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 ★    
4  MY GORGEOUS Feb18 Jan27 Jan12 Oct23 Sep25 (reynolds)DAVIS A 118 15.00    
5  MAGNOLIA WIND Jan20         (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 ★    
6  AERON WARRIOR Feb11 Jan12       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50    
7  FOUR QUARTZ Feb18 Dec18       (rodriguez rud)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00    
8  MRS BELL Feb17 Jan27 Dec27 Dec14 May12 (luc)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-6   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL BE FAMOUS Feb09 Jan12 Dec06 Oct22 Oct08 (brown bruce )TORRES A 113 6.00    
2  GRACE AND CHARM Jan21 Jan01 Nov06 Oct08 Sep11 (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 ★    
3  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Jan12         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  SICILIAN GRANDMA Jan26 Dec18 Sep26 Aug21 Aug04 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 ★    
5  LADY SHYLOCK Feb02 Nov27       (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 ★    
6  CURLINS CHOIR Jan26 Dec10       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  LOCKBOX Feb17 Jan22 Dec04 Nov08   (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00    
 
AQU-7   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Feb19 Jan29 Jan15 Dec03 Oct23 (toscano )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 ★    
2  QUALITY STONES Feb05 Dec03 Nov20 Oct14 Sep18 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 8.00    
3  SPIN A YARN Jan08 Dec11 Nov08 Jul11   (progno c)DAVIS A 118 12.00    
4  KHALI MAGIC Feb05 Dec29 Dec11 Oct23 Sep25 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 43% 1.30    
5  DIVA BANKER Jan27 Jan08 Dec03 Nov05 Sep02 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 111 6.00 9% 9.60    
6  PATRIA Jan08 Nov19 Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 (salazar marco)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
7  BACKED BY GOLD Jan28 Jan13 Dec18 Nov02 Oct10 (qui)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.00 14% 6.00    
8  RUVIES IN TIME Feb11 Jan29 Dec09 Nov20 Nov13 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 ★    
9  EARLY EDITION Feb07 Dec07 Nov23 Oct18 Sep28 (mcmullin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERTZ Feb09 Jan22 Jan13 Nov08 Sep28 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  F F ROCKET Feb12 Jan19 Dec08 Nov26 Nov05 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
3  POPPY'S PRIDE Feb09 Jan21 Jan12 Dec10 Oct21 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
4  HEIR PORT Feb10 Dec06 Nov20 Oct22 Oct11 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  JUMPMASTER Feb16 Jan26 Dec27 Nov30 Nov18 (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 5% 18.60    
6  GANDY DANCING Feb11 Jan05 Dec02 Oct16 Aug26 (barrera osca)TORRES A 116 10.00    
7  MIDNIGHTCHARLY Feb25 Oct11 Sep10 Aug22 Jul19 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
8  STRIKING SPEED Feb12 Feb02 Jan19 Jan01 Oct07 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00    
SCR  QUICK TEMPO Feb11 Jan20 Dec31 Dec04 Oct15 (magee kieron)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
10  DEE BO Jan08 Dec10 Nov22 Oct24 Sep20 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.