Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - January 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $19.80  
PEN-2   Win (4/7/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
PEN-3   Win (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
PEN-4   Win (8/4/3/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $35.60  
PEN-5   Win (5/7/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-6   Win (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
PEN-7   Win (6/1/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:132 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELODIA 4 6 67 6 45 32 12 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 8.90  
DWELLER 2 3 13 12 1 1nk 22 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 41% 1.40 2.20 P
FAVORITE DOLL 1 5 3 32 3 2nk 3 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 17.70 7.70 S
CUENCA 7 4 5 5 66 5 4 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 3.00  
TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 5 7 710½ 7 79 68 5 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 16.40  
FAIRY DREAMS 3 1 4 22 2 47 613¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 19% 4.20 2.50  
RUNNIN REDBIRD 6 2 23 4 5 711 719¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 9% 9.70 9.10  
 
PEN-2   01/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:142 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELENTIME 4 1 1½ 1 1 14 1 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 28% 2.50 0.80 W
SWEEPIN HARD 2 6 6 5 3 45 2 (jacklin theodo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 30.80  
PRATT 3 5 5 6 45 3 3 (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 10% 8.70 4.20 S
INNUENDO (IRE) 5 2 2½ 2 2 24 4 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 4.30  
MR BOLDACIOUS 6 3 4¾ 4 67 5 5 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 6.60  
D BLACK MAMBA 1 4 3½ 32 5 69 613 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
SCR  RACING IN THE RAIN               (chircop ste)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 7% 14.30    
 
PEN-3   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPMASTER 4 4 32 2   21 11 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 29% 2.40 3.20 W
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 3 1 12 1   11 21 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 0.80  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 2 2 4 43   3 3 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 7.10 S
DR. STEVE 1 3 5 33   4 4 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 21% 3.90 3.20  
LITERALLY 5 5 22 58   519½ 539¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
SCR  JW'STRICKYMISCHIEF               (guerrero gu)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00    
SCR  MARVALOUS MIKE               (montoya mary)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-4   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAPPY RIDE 2 5 5 3   3 1nk (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 115 6.00 16.80  
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 7 1 11 1   1 2nk (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 16% 5.20 3.50 P
SHUTUP AND HANG ON 5 3 44 56   5 3 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.80 S
MIZ THE BEST 4 6 7 78   67 4 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 29.40  
AMAZINGMAE 1 7 6 6   4 5 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 35.80  
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 6 4 21 2   2 6 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 22% 3.50 0.40  
SPUNKY ZOEY 3 2 3 45   7 7 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 19% 4.30 9.20  
SCR  GUSSIE'S NOTION               (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
SCR  VAN HAVEN               (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
 
PEN-5   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:001     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF MELODY 6 6 8 5   23 1¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 22% 3.50 1.20 W
ASGATA 1 1 1nk 13   13 2¼ (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 11.10  
WIN FOR LAILA 3 10 10 6   4 3 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 10% 9.40 6.80 S
11  KRONE 10 9 6 7   56 4 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 3.90  
CEREAL I D 7 8 7 4   35 5 (boyer jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00 19.40  
SANTAFE EXPRESS 5 7 9 10   813½ 6 (fields kevin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 31.70  
HIGH CLASS DIVA 2 2 2nk 23   69 711¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00 17% 4.90 3.70  
JO AMY 4 4 3 8   713 815¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 12.00 38.20  
GOLD DOLL 8 5 5 9   913½ 918¼ (stites w)FLORES E 124 30.00 40.20  
10  THATSJUSTLOVELY 9 3 42 3   1015 1021¼ (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00 89.80  
SCR  GETAWAY PALACE               (catalano l)NUNEZ Y 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-6   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCK WILD 1 2 12 1   1 1 (crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 12% 7.10 0.30 W
WHISKIED UP 2 1 22 2   2 2 (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 1.00  
SCR  ON THE EDGE               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  QUINCY ADAMS               (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  RIVERBOAT BANDIT               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BARN SWALLOW               (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  GRILLO               (carpio erin)VARGAS L 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAECHEL'S RISK 5 7 6 63   2 1¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 20% 4.00 2.00 W
HILL VALLEY 6 2 23 1½   1 2¼ (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 3.00 23% 3.40 3.70 P
10  STORMY SPELL 8 6 7 7   34 3 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 7% 13.00 3.80 S
SLEEPY N JOYFUL 2 3 5 52   4 4 (harigeorgiou ko)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 27.40  
ORIGINALY FROM DOT 4 5 3 3   56 5 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00 14.00  
PRIDE IN THE BIZ 3 8 812½ 8   813½ 6 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124 15.00 43.30  
BIG AL'S GAL 7 4 4 42   610 710¼ (dunham ber)FLORES JR 124 4.00 6.00  
NORA RADD 1 1 13 2½   712 818 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 20% 4.00 4.10  
SCR  FAIR LASSIE               (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 124 5.00    
SCR  LIMONATA               (boyer jr)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.