Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - January 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1/5)-(2/3/6/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(4/3/1)-(6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(6/1/7)-(8/3/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(8/3/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(8/3/9/7)-(7/2/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (8/3/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/7)-(8/3/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/7)-(8/3/9/7)-(8/3/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/9/7)-(7/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/7)-(7/2/3/6)-(3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/6)-(3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/6)-(3)-(6/1/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(6/1/5/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/1/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/10)-(6/1/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/10)-(6/1/5/10)-(6/1/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAVORITE DOLL Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct19 Sep15 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 17.70    
2  DWELLER Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  FAIRY DREAMS Jan02 Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 Aug12 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
4  MELODIA Dec30 Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 Sep21 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
5  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Jan12 Dec21 Dec07 Nov16 Jun16 (zalalas mic)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 ★    
6  RUNNIN REDBIRD Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 Oct12 Sep01 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 9% 9.70    
7  CUENCA Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 Sep25 Sep09 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   01/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D BLACK MAMBA Jan16 Dec12 Nov16 Oct18 Oct03 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SWEEPIN HARD Dec13 Nov04 Oct07 Sep22 Aug17 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
3  PRATT Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Sep22 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
4  BELENTIME Dec20 Nov25 Oct16 Oct02 Sep05 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
5  INNUENDO (IRE) Dec28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct10 Sep27 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Sep14 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  RACING IN THE RAIN Jan18 Dec28 Nov27 Nov18 Oct21 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 27% 2.60    
8  MR BOLDACIOUS Dec28 Dec02 Nov05 Oct22 Sep29 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
 
PEN-3   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. STEVE Jan10 Oct25 Sep29 Aug15   (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  JW'STRICKYMISCHIEF Jan11 Dec21 Dec14 Nov29 Oct25 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00    
SCR  MARVALOUS MIKE Jan07 Nov08 Oct20 Sep09 Aug19 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Dec27 Nov30 Oct26 Oct05 Jul27 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 ★    
5  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Dec09 Nov15 Oct25 Aug24 Aug12 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
6  JUMPMASTER Dec27 Nov30 Nov18 Oct18 Oct04 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
7  LITERALLY Dec27 Dec13       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZINGMAE Dec27 Nov23 Oct11     (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 10.00    
2  SNAPPY RIDE Jan04 Dec20 Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 115 6.00    
3  SPUNKY ZOEY Dec30 Dec09 Nov22 Nov04 Oct05 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  VAN HAVEN Jan12 Nov16 Oct29 Oct06 Sep15 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
5  MIZ THE BEST Jan12 Jun03 May14 May01 Apr24 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  GUSSIE'S NOTION Dec20 Nov18 Apr29 Apr06 Jan28 (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
7  SHUTUP AND HANG ON Dec30 Nov23 Oct28     (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Dec30 Nov30 Nov02     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
9  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Nov30 Oct18 Sep04 Jul10 Jun20 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-5   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASGATA Jan11 Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
2  HIGH CLASS DIVA Dec27 Nov22 Oct21     (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
3  WIN FOR LAILA Jan11 Dec20 Aug17 Aug05 Jul20 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
4  JO AMY Jan11 Dec27 Nov23     (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
SCR  GETAWAY PALACE Dec14 Nov02 May26     (catalano m )NUNEZ Y 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  SANTAFE EXPRESS Jan11 Dec07 Oct26 Oct10 Sep17 (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISCHIEF MELODY Jan11 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 Oct18 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
8  CEREAL I D Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 Oct05 Sep26 (boyer j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00    
9  GOLD DOLL Dec20 Oct21 Oct11 Sep23   (stites w)FLORES E 124 30.00    
10  THATSJUSTLOVELY Dec20 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00    
11  KRONE Dec11 Nov26 Nov02     (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00    
 
PEN-6   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRILLO Jan11         (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 10.00    
SCR  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Dec07 Nov23       (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUCK WILD Jan01 Nov25 Nov11 Sep30 Sep09 (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  BARN SWALLOW Dec02         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  QUINCY ADAMS         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  ON THE EDGE Jan11 Dec07 Nov18     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
7  WHISKIED UP Dec21 Oct27       (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORA RADD Dec16 Aug12 Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
2  SLEEPY N JOYFUL Dec16 Oct05 Sep16 Aug05 Jul01 (harigeorgiou )TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00    
3  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Dec27 Dec07 Oct25 Sep14 Aug26 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124 15.00    
4  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Nov18 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00    
5  RAECHEL'S RISK Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Oct12 Aug31 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  HILL VALLEY Nov18 Nov01 Sep09 Apr29 Apr08 (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  LIMONATA Dec16 Nov18 Nov01 Oct17 Sep29 (boyer jr)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG AL'S GAL Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 Aug30 Jul21 (dunham b)FLORES JR 124 4.00    
SCR  FAIR LASSIE Jan18 Nov16 Oct31 Oct19 Aug29 (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 5.00    
10  STORMY SPELL Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Apr29 Mar16 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 7% 13.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.