Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/4/7/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
PEN-2   Win (7/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
PEN-3   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 0 $4.60  
PEN-4   Win (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $23.20  
PEN-5   Win (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
PEN-6   Win (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $15.80 $15.80 7.80
PEN-7   Win (1/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 4 4 3 2½   1 1 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 17% 4.80 2.50 W
DENALI RAE 6 2 5 4   34 2 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 8.00 18.00  
RUN LAURA RUN 5 1 2nk 1½   2 3 (king c)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 27% 2.70 4.40 S
PAYNT BY NUMBER 3 3 1nk 3½   4 4 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 1.40  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 6 6 66   68 5 (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 8% 11.50 3.00  
UNION RALLY 1 5 44 53   56 6 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 11% 7.90 29.10  
SCR  BLIND SIGHT               (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
PEN-2   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :471 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z'S SO GOOD 4 4 21 11   15 1 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 W
ON THE EDGE 2 3 4 32   25 2 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 17.20  
DR GREENTHUMB 1 5 3 42   37 310 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 7% 12.50 1.40 S
MR. JEKYLL 6 1 5 5   411 413¼ (geist w)BAKER J 122 12.00 38.90  
ROUND ROBIN 5 6 68 611½   617 522¼ (hendriks rich)INIRIO J 117 4.00 22% 3.60 3.50  
GRILLO 3 2 11 21   512 623 (carpio erin)VARGAS L 122 15.00 6% 14.80 23.70  
SCR  CAN'T STOP MAXEY               (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
SCR  RIVERBOAT BANDIT               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
SCR  TONE OF GENIUS               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   01/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:133 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTOTUM 6 2 1½ 1½ 12 1 18 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 1.30  
CAIRO BOOGIE 3 7 7 66 22 2 28 (demario charles )TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 4.10 P
HE CAME TRUE 2 5 6 5 3 311½ 318¾ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 7.50  
SIMILAR TASTE 7 6 55 78 5 512½ 428¼ (gladden damon)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 7.40  
ADY'S MUNNY 4 3 32 33 45 412 531 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 6.10  
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 5 1 4 45 66 614½ 632½ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 12.20  
YANKEE EMPIRE 1 4 2½ 2½ 78 718 741¾ (carpio erin)VARGAS L 122 3.50 65% 0.50 6.10  
 
PEN-4   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIKES SHIRL 3 2 2½ 1   1 13 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 10.60  
GRAB THE GOLD 2 5 4 4   3 23 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 4.50 4.00  
TURNPIKE BOB 1 1 1½ 2   2 3 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00 44% 1.30 2.70 S
ROCKET BLAST 6 3 52 6   5 46 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 4.90  
READY AND RICH 7 4 31 3   4 5 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
HASHTAG WINNING 5 7 79 7   7 6 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
STRIKING MOON 4 6 64 5   6 7 (mileni nick)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 20% 3.90 2.30  
SCR  TRADERS LUCK               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
 
PEN-5   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CONVEYOR 4 3 3½ 2½   11 1 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 50% 1.00 3.70 W
MISCHIEF MELODY 8 1 1½ 1½   21 2 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 5% 19.00 2.50 P
ELEGANT TASTE 6 5 63 55   35 3 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 124 3.50 25% 2.90 2.60 S
WIN FOR LAILA 2 9 5 6   47 411¾ (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 12.00  
ASGATA 3 2 2½ 3   57 513½ (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00 13.70  
CRIMSON LILLE 5 4 7 7   7 613½ (deiter kell)VARGAS L 124 12.00 43.20  
SKIPOVER 1 10 9 910¼   812¾ 714 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 20.90  
JO AMY 7 6 42 4   6 817 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00 17.30  
SANTAFE EXPRESS 9 8 8 8   914¼ 920½ (fields kevin)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5.20  
10  AWESOME TAP 10 7 10 1011¼   1014¾ 1020¾ (nunley randy)FLORES E 124 30.00 73.60  
SCR  ALL THE WAY MAE               (deiter l)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
SCR  LET UR LIGHT SHINE               (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00    
 
PEN-6   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRA LAD 4 6 6 5   5 1½ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 14% 6.00 6.90 W
10  ROMANTIC GAMBLE 8 4 31 1nk   1nk 2½ (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 15.30  
CEES GET DEGREES 6 2 1nk 3.2   2nk 3 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 56% 0.80 0.20 S
CONDITION ONE 7 1 2nk 2nk   3.2 4 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 19.60  
GRAND WISER 5 5 5 4   4 5 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 28.30  
BOURBON CURRENCY 3 8 8 8   7 6 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 51.90  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 1 7 7 7   8 7 (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 5% 18.30 11.80  
NORTHERN SPY 2 3 4 6   6 810¾ (agnew naoise)INIRIO J 120 12.00 71.10  
SCR  KHAKI JACK               (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  MOJAC KAT               (walters henry)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
 
PEN-7   01/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLK HERO 8 4 2nk 2½ 1 14 17 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.60 1.30 W
CAR LADY 6 8 8 8 7 4 27 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 P
WICKED T 5 6 911¼ 910½ 8 6 3 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 25.90  
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 4 9 7 7 6 38 4 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 20.00  
SERENE WARRIOR 1 2 31 3 2 24 510 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.20  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 3 7 6 6 55 710 612 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 36.30  
PERKEO 2 3 5 4 3 59 712¾ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 11% 7.70 6.10  
HOLMDEL PARK 7 1 1nk 1½ 4 811 813¾ (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 16.90  
TEACHER DRAMA 9 5 4 53 910¼ 915 920½ (sells rachel)INIRIO J 122 15.00 19.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.