Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-5   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-8 $58.20 $34.20 143%
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/2/9)-(4/6/8/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00  4-8-6 $70.10 $34.10 95%
    SFT (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/2/9)-(4/6/8/2/9)-(4/6/8/2/9) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-8-6-2 $39.98 $32.78 455%
PEN-6   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $15.80 $7.80 98%
    DD (4/6/8)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-4 $266.80 $242.80 1012%
PEN-7   PK3 (4/6/8)-(7/4/1/3)-(1/8/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-4-8 $136.60 $112.60 469%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLE SOUVENIR   (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 17% 4.80 2.50 W
DENALI RAE   (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 8.00 18.00  
RUN LAURA RUN   (king lawrence)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 27% 2.70 4.40 S
PAYNT BY NUMBER   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 1.40  
HIGHWAY QUEEN   (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 8% 11.50 3.00  
UNION RALLY   (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 11% 7.90 29.10  
SCR  BLIND SIGHT   (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
PEN-2   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z'S SO GOOD   (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 W
ON THE EDGE   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 17.20  
DR GREENTHUMB   (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 7% 12.50 1.40 S
MR. JEKYLL   (geist w)BAKER J 122 12.00 38.90  
ROUND ROBIN   (hendriks ri)INIRIO J 117 4.00 22% 3.60 3.50  
GRILLO   (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 15.00 6% 14.80 23.70  
SCR  CAN'T STOP MAXEY   (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
SCR  RIVERBOAT BANDIT   (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
SCR  TONE OF GENIUS   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   01/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTOTUM   (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 1.30  
CAIRO BOOGIE   (demario charle)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 4.10 P
HE CAME TRUE   (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 7.50  
SIMILAR TASTE   (gladden damon)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 7.40  
ADY'S MUNNY   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 6.10  
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE   (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 12.20  
YANKEE EMPIRE   (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 3.50 65% 0.50 6.10  
 
PEN-4   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIKES SHIRL   (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 10.60  
GRAB THE GOLD   (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 4.50 4.00  
TURNPIKE BOB   (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00 44% 1.30 2.70 S
ROCKET BLAST   (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 4.90  
READY AND RICH   (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
HASHTAG WINNING   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
STRIKING MOON   (mileni nick)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 20% 3.90 2.30  
SCR  TRADERS LUCK   (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
 
PEN-5   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CONVEYOR   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 50% 1.00 3.70 W
MISCHIEF MELODY   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 5% 19.00 2.50 P
ELEGANT TASTE   (sells rache)INIRIO J 124 3.50 25% 2.90 2.60 S
WIN FOR LAILA   (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 12.00  
ASGATA   (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00 13.70  
CRIMSON LILLE   (deiter ke)VARGAS L 124 12.00 43.20  
SKIPOVER   (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 20.90  
JO AMY   (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00 17.30  
SANTAFE EXPRESS   (fields kevin)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5.20  
10  AWESOME TAP   (nunley randy)FLORES E 124 30.00 73.60  
SCR  ALL THE WAY MAE   (deiter kelly)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
SCR  LET UR LIGHT SHINE   (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00    
 
PEN-6   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRA LAD   (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 14% 6.00 6.90 W
10  ROMANTIC GAMBLE   (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 15.30  
CEES GET DEGREES   (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 56% 0.80 0.20 S
CONDITION ONE   (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 19.60  
GRAND WISER   (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 28.30  
BOURBON CURRENCY   (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 51.90  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER   (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 5% 18.30 11.80  
NORTHERN SPY   (agnew naois)INIRIO J 120 12.00 71.10  
SCR  KHAKI JACK   (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  MOJAC KAT   (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
 
PEN-7   01/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLK HERO   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.60 1.30 W
CAR LADY   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 P
WICKED T   (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 25.90  
SWITCHRATTLENROLL   (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 20.00  
SERENE WARRIOR   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.20  
MIKEY'S JEWEL   (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 36.30  
PERKEO   (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 11% 7.70 6.10  
HOLMDEL PARK   (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 16.90  
TEACHER DRAMA   (sells rache)INIRIO J 122 15.00 19.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.