Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/2)-(7/8/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/2)-(7/8/2/6)-(1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/6)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/6)-(1)-(2/5/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/5/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/5/4/3)-(1/6/5/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(2/5/8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/5/8/6)-(4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/6)-(4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/6)-(4/6/8)-(7/4/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/2/9)-(4/6/8/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(7/4/1/3)-(1/8/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3/9)-(7/4/1/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/7/6)-(1/8/2/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION RALLY Jul01 Jun11 May20 May05 Mar18 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 11% 7.90    
2  HIGHWAY QUEEN Dec16 Dec02 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
3  PAYNT BY NUMBER Dec02 Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 Mar26 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50    
4  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Dec21 Dec11 Nov24 Nov11 Oct13 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  RUN LAURA RUN Dec16 Nov30 Nov02 Jan28 Jan07 (king lawrence)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  DENALI RAE Dec30 Nov22 Oct26 Oct12 Sep23 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
SCR  BLIND SIGHT Dec21 Nov05 Sep11 Aug13 Jul23 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
PEN-2   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Dec07 Nov23       (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 5.00 ★    
2  DR GREENTHUMB Dec07 Nov06 Oct18 Sep05   (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 7% 12.50    
3  ON THE EDGE Dec07 Nov18       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
SCR  CAN'T STOP MAXEY Dec21         (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
SCR  TONE OF GENIUS Nov23         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
6  GRILLO         (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 15.00 6% 14.80    
7  Z'S SO GOOD Dec13 Nov23 Nov04 Oct20 Sep10 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
8  ROUND ROBIN Dec07 Nov18 Oct28     (hendriks ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00 22% 3.60    
9  MR. JEKYLL Nov30 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep06 (geist w)BAKER J 122 12.00    
 
PEN-3   01/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE EMPIRE Dec14 Oct04 Sep07 Aug12 Jul21 (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 3.50 65% 0.50    
2  HE CAME TRUE Dec20 Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
3  CAIRO BOOGIE Dec14 Dec02 Nov11 Oct18 Sep11 (demario char)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00 ★    
4  ADY'S MUNNY Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep20 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 ★    
5  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Dec07 Nov18 Oct09 Sep15 Aug31 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 ★    
6  FACTOTUM Dec20 Dec08 Oct30 Oct14 Sep04 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
7  SIMILAR TASTE Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 (gladden damon)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRADERS LUCK Dec27 Nov30 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 6.00 ★    
2  TURNPIKE BOB Nov15 Oct27 Oct01 Sep09 Jul22 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  GRAB THE GOLD Dec13 Nov25 Oct18 Sep16 Aug05 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 4.50    
4  SPIKES SHIRL Dec30 Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 Sep15 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
5  STRIKING MOON Oct24 Sep13 Aug23 Jul28 Jun27 (mileni nick)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
6  HASHTAG WINNING Dec27 Dec06 Nov18 Oct25 Oct04 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROCKET BLAST Dec16 Nov23 Oct25 Sep23 Aug10 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
8  READY AND RICH Dec09 Nov18 Oct11 Sep15 Aug26 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIPOVER Dec27 Nov05 Oct22 Sep22 Sep09 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00    
2  WIN FOR LAILA Dec20 Aug17 Aug05 Jul20   (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 ★    
3  ASGATA Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Aug31 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
4  MISS CONVEYOR Dec20         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 50% 1.00    
5  CRIMSON LILLE Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 Aug31 Jul01 (deiter ke)VARGAS L 124 12.00    
6  ELEGANT TASTE Dec27 Nov21       (sells rache)INIRIO J 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
7  JO AMY Dec27 Nov23       (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00    
8  MISCHIEF MELODY Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 Oct18 Oct04 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
9  SANTAFE EXPRESS Dec07 Oct26 Oct10 Sep17 Sep06 (fields kevin)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 ★    
10  AWESOME TAP Nov01 Jun09 May21 May11 Apr21 (nunley randy)FLORES E 124 30.00    
SCR  ALL THE WAY MAE Nov04 Oct21 Aug24 Aug12 Jun24 (deiter kelly)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
SCR  LET UR LIGHT SHINE Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Sep04   (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00    
 
PEN-6   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Dec16 Nov16 Oct25 Oct07 Sep02 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 5% 18.30    
2  NORTHERN SPY         (agnew naois)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
3  BOURBON CURRENCY Dec21 Dec06 Nov04 Oct11 Sep25 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRA LAD Dec09 Nov13 Oct11 Sep16   (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  MOJAC KAT Dec18 Dec04 Oct15 Sep23 Sep03 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
6  GRAND WISER Dec09 Nov15 Nov04 Oct15 Oct08 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
7  CEES GET DEGREES Dec16 Nov16 Oct28 Sep18 Aug25 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  KHAKI JACK Dec09 Nov16 Nov01 Oct07 Sep07 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
9  CONDITION ONE Dec07 Aug22 Aug05     (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 ★    
10  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Dec09 Nov27 Oct23 Oct07 Jul17 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00    
 
PEN-7   01/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENE WARRIOR Dec13 Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  PERKEO Dec16 Nov15 Oct15 Sep24 Jul13 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 11% 7.70    
3  MIKEY'S JEWEL Dec16 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct14 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00    
4  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Nov22 Oct28 Sep08 Aug31 Jul28 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
5  WICKED T Dec16 Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep16 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
6  CAR LADY Dec14 Nov22 Oct05 Sep16 Aug20 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOLMDEL PARK Dec16 Nov22 Nov01 Oct14 Sep19 (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 ★    
8  FOLK HERO Dec13 Nov29 Nov16 Oct26 Sep23 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
9  TEACHER DRAMA Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Sep28 Sep08 (sells rache)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.