Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-2   EXA (4/6/9/7)-(4/6/9/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-1 $35.80 $3.80 12%
    TRI (4/6/9/7)-(4/6/9/7/1)-(4/6/9/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00  4-1-9 $69.50 $21.50 45%
PEN-3   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    DD (4/6/9/7)-(7/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $52.80 $28.80 120%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KITTEN'S MAN 7 5 73¾ 75¾   72¾ 1½ (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★ 4.20  
6  SAN ANTONE 6 3 41 52¼   51½ 2½ (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00 39% 1.60 4.00 P
3  HESASMOKIN 3 7 51½ 41¾   41½ 31 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 8.10  
4  BERHANU 4 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 41¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 ★ 1.90  
2  COAST TO COAST 2 8 63½ 63¾   61¾ 51¼ (sinnefia pa)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★ 7.50  
1  HAIR OF THE DOG 1 4 1nk 3.2   2½ 63½ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00 27.90  
5  HERE WEGO 5 1 3½ 2nk   31 74 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 36% 1.80 4.00  
9  GEM JUAN 8 6 86¼ 811¼   810¾ 818¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 50.00 83.40  
SCR  SPECTACULAR KID               (collazo lui)RAMOS C 117 3.00    
 
PEN-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIGH HEAT 4 3 31 21   1nk 1¼ (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 47% 1.10 1.20 W
1  U U STAR 1 5 42 32½   3½ 2¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 ★ 9.00 P
9  SUTTON VALLEY 8 2 1½ 11   2nk 32 (rodriguez j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 8% 11.10 4.40 S
3  THE LITTLE SPROUT 3 6 84½ 57   54 46¼ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 13.90  
5  SUIT OF ARMOR 5 8 53 43½   42½ 58½ (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 17.00  
7  SASSY LAD 7 1 64 810½   89½ 610 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 5.00 6% 15.80 8.00  
2  LAST MINUTE MARIO 2 4 2½ 79   78½ 710½ (catalano m )RAMOS C 113 4.00 6.20  
6  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 6 7 74 68   68 810½ (grusmark karl)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 15% 5.60 9.20  
SCR  BUMBLE MONSTER               (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
 
PEN-3   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:134 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHEMADEMELUCKY 5 7 65 33 1nk 12 13 (sillaman richa)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 9% 10.70 5.10 W
2  LAUGH IT OFF 2 1 53 43 52 43 23 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 2.20  
4  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 4 4 75¼ 65 41½ 33 33 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 ★ 3.20 S
7  BLU SKY SUNRISE 7 5 22 22 3½ 22 43¼ (chircop ste)INIRIO J 120 2.50 53% 0.90 2.70  
3  YOURINDENIAL 3 2 12 12 2nk 53¼ 59 (nicholson w)FLORES E 120 10.00 28.00  
6  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT 6 6 43 54½ 68 612¼ 614 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 ★ 4.80  
1  SMOKIN CLASS 1 3 32½ 75½ 78¼ 712¼ 714¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
 
PEN-4   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RENEWING VOWS 2 8 86¼ 75¾   44 11 (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 122 20.00 10.40  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of WHO'S HAPPY by CALLER I. D.)
9  MOBEER 8 2 11 11½   11½ 21 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 14% 6.10 2.20 P
  (by MO TOWN out of RESTLESS ANGEL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  ON AN ISLAND 4 1 21 42   21½ 33¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★ 12.40 S
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
2  UPFOR PAROLE 1 4 42½ 53½   33 43½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 5.00  
  (by WEIGELIA out of BILLYGETS ARRESTED by LOUIS QUATORZE)
7  TEMPO CRESCENDO 6 3 31 21½   55½ 57½ (reed eric)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 8.20  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of R FROSTY ONE by SOUTHERN SUCCESS)
8  BEJUCO 7 5 52¾ 32   65½ 68½ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 10.80  
  (by RED VINE out of ROMAN RENEGADE by ROMAN RULER)
6  BOOK RUNNER 5 7 75¾ 86¼   711½ 713 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 ★ 58.60  
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  OUT OF STOCK 3 6 63¾ 65½   822½ 837½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 15% 5.90 1.70  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of IANTHE by SKY MESA)
SCR  HARLEY'S CHARLY               (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of HARLEY GO LIGHTLY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
PEN-5   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :453 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DOWSER 5 9 912 89½   56½ 11¼ (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 8% 11.70 2.30 W
1  PLATINUM PROMISE 1 3 11½ 11½   12 21¼ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 8.90  
8  VAN HAVEN 8 2 21½ 21½   22 33 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 15% 5.50 5.60 S
10  QUEEN CADENCE 10 4 56½ 54½   46 43¾ (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 122 3.50 25% 3.00 1.40  
9  MIZ THE BEST 9 10 1015½ 1011¼   89½ 54¼ (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 30.00 53.30  
4  SAKARI 4 7 810 79   68½ 64¾ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 16% 5.20 41.30  
3  DON'T TALK 3 6 67½ 66   79 75 (lucas bon)VARGAS L 124 4.50 9% 10.40 7.90  
7  SHOYYOOKH 7 1 43½ 33   34 85¾ (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 6.00 18.10  
6  BO RUNKLE 6 8 79½ 99¾   912 910½ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 ######  
2  MASKED HEROINE 2 5 32 44½   1014½ 1019 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 28.10  
SCR  ICE COLD GOLD               (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
 
PEN-6   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:231 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECLIPTICALS SARAH 1 4 1½ 1½   12 14½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 8.00  
3  PHANCY PHILLY 3 5 54¾ 63   54¼ 24½ (houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 ★ 9.30 P
2  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 2 7 79¼ 77½   66¾ 35½ (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 12.90  
8  DWELLER 7 3 4¾ 2½   22 46 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 9% 10.60 1.70  
5  COSMOLOGICAL 5 1 3½ 41   44 59¼ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 17.80  
6  NO EASY ANSWER 6 2 2½ 3½   34 611¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 7% 13.90 7.30  
4  ALWAYS MIA 4 6 65¼ 52   76¾ 712¼ (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.00 55% 0.80 1.50  
SCR  CAUSE I SAID               (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  PROTECTTHEWITNESS               (schoenthal )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
 
PEN-7   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:13 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BAVARIA 5 1 1½ 11½ 11½ 15 15½ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 8.00 6.00  
7  WEEKEND IN COURT 4 6 618½ 615 69½ 48 25½ (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 15.00 1.90  
3  VISHNU 2 3 31½ 21½ 21½ 25 36¼ (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00 ★ 2.80 S
9  PIGGYBANK 6 4 56½ 45 35½ 37 410 (santaella-caldero)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 6.90  
1  DIGGERS DIAMOND 1 5 46½ 55 58½ 513 518¾ (geist w)BAKER J 124 8.00 7.90  
4  SMOOTH OPERATION 3 2 2½ 33½ 46½ 620 634 (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.50 ★ 3.20  
SCR  ALWAYS FORGIVEN               (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES               (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  SEAT OF HONOR               (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.