The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Thursday - January 12, 2023

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PEN-1   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
:221 :453 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN'S MAN 7 5 7 7   71½ (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 4.20  
SAN ANTONE 6 3 41 5   52½ (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00 39% 1.60 4.00 P
HESASMOKIN 3 7 5 4   431 (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 8.10  
BERHANU 4 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 4(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 1.90  
COAST TO COAST 2 8 6 6   65(sinnefia paulina)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 7.50  
HAIR OF THE DOG 1 4 1nk 3.2   2½ 6(rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00 27.90  
HERE WEGO 5 1 3½ 2nk   31 74 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 36% 1.80 4.00  
GEM JUAN 8 6 8 811¼   810¾ 818¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 50.00 83.40  
SCR  SPECTACULAR KID               (collazo daniel)RAMOS C 117 3.00    
 
PEN-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH HEAT 4 3 31 21   1nk 1¼ (chircop steven)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 47% 1.10 1.20 W
U U STAR 1 5 42 3   3½ 2¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9.00 P
SUTTON VALLEY 8 2 1½ 11   2nk 32 (rodriguez s)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 8% 11.10 4.40 S
THE LITTLE SPROUT 3 6 8 57   54 4(ferreira fernando)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 13.90  
SUIT OF ARMOR 5 8 53 4   45(lucas bonnie)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 17.00  
SASSY LAD 7 1 64 810½   8610 (houghton thomas)INIRIO J 122 5.00 6% 15.80 8.00  
LAST MINUTE MARIO 2 4 2½ 79   7710½ (catalano l)RAMOS C 113 4.00 6.20  
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 6 7 74 68   68 810½ (grusmark karl)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 15% 5.60 9.20  
SCR  BUMBLE MONSTER               (grusmark karl)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
 
PEN-3   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
:24 :48 1:134 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEMADEMELUCKY 5 7 65 33 1nk 12 13 (sillaman p)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 9% 10.70 5.10 W
LAUGH IT OFF 2 1 53 43 52 43 23 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 2.20  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 4 4 7 65 4 33 33 (ferreira fernando)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 3.20 S
BLU SKY SUNRISE 7 5 22 22 3½ 22 4(chircop steven)INIRIO J 120 2.50 53% 0.90 2.70  
YOURINDENIAL 3 2 12 12 2nk 559 (nicholson w)FLORES E 120 10.00 28.00  
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT 6 6 43 5 68 612¼ 614 (lucas bonnie)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 4.80  
SMOKIN CLASS 1 3 3 7 7 712¼ 714¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
 
PEN-4   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.6K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
:222 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENEWING VOWS 2 8 8 7   44 11 (bennett juanita)CEDENO CAROL 122 20.00 10.40  
MOBEER 8 2 11 1   121 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 14% 6.10 2.20 P
ON AN ISLAND 4 1 21 42   23(kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 12.40 S
UPFOR PAROLE 1 4 4 5   33 4(kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 5.00  
TEMPO CRESCENDO 6 3 31 2   55(reed r)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 8.20  
BEJUCO 7 5 5 32   66(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 10.80  
BOOK RUNNER 5 7 7 8   711½ 713 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 58.60  
OUT OF STOCK 3 6 6 6   822½ 837½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 15% 5.90 1.70  
SCR  HARLEY'S CHARLY               (coletti j)NUNEZ Y 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
PEN-5   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
:22 :453 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWSER 5 9 912 8   51(kreiser c)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 8% 11.70 2.30 W
PLATINUM PROMISE 1 3 1 1   12 2(salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 8.90  
VAN HAVEN 8 2 2 2   22 33 (beattie m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 15% 5.50 5.60 S
10  QUEEN CADENCE 10 4 5 5   46 4(gonzalez a)HERNANDEZ F 122 3.50 25% 3.00 1.40  
MIZ THE BEST 9 10 1015½ 1011¼   85(synnefias a)HERNANDEZ A 122 30.00 53.30  
SAKARI 4 7 810 79   66(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 16% 5.20 41.30  
DON'T TALK 3 6 6 66   79 75 (lucas bonnie)VARGAS L 124 4.50 9% 10.40 7.90  
SHOYYOOKH 7 1 4 33   34 8(carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 6.00 18.10  
BO RUNKLE 6 8 7 9   912 910½ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 ######  
MASKED HEROINE 2 5 32 4   1014½ 1019 (synnefias a)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 28.10  
SCR  ICE COLD GOLD               (jacobson david)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
 
PEN-6   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
:231 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLIPTICALS SARAH 1 4 1½ 1½   12 1(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 8.00  
PHANCY PHILLY 3 5 5 63   52(houghton thomas)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 9.30 P
TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 2 7 7 7   63(zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 12.90  
DWELLER 7 3 4¾ 2½   22 46 (kulp l)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 9% 10.60 1.70  
COSMOLOGICAL 5 1 3½ 41   44 5(albright r)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 17.80  
NO EASY ANSWER 6 2 2½ 3½   34 611¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 7% 13.90 7.30  
ALWAYS MIA 4 6 6 52   7712¼ (gonzalez a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.00 55% 0.80 1.50  
SCR  CAUSE I SAID               (brown r)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  PROTECTTHEWITNESS               (schoenthal phil)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
 
PEN-7   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
:23 :473 1:13 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAVARIA 5 1 1½ 1 1 15 1(rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 8.00 6.00  
WEEKEND IN COURT 4 6 618½ 615 6 48 2(aristone t)DE KEMICH 117 15.00 1.90  
VISHNU 2 3 3 2 2 25 3(beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00 2.80 S
PIGGYBANK 6 4 5 45 3 37 410 (santaella-calderon m)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 6.90  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 1 5 4 55 5 513 518¾ (geist w)BAKER J 124 8.00 7.90  
SMOOTH OPERATION 3 2 2½ 3 4 620 634 (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.50 3.20  
SCR  ALWAYS FORGIVEN               (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES               (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  SEAT OF HONOR               (pattershall a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.