Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/2/4/7)-(6/5/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/6/9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(4/6/9/7)-(7/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/7)-(4/6/9/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/7)-(4/6/9/7/1)-(4/6/9/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/9/7)-(7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9/7)-(7/5/1)-(4/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/6/1/4)-(7/5/6/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(4/9)-(10/4/8/3/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9)-(4/9/6/5)-(4/9/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/9)-(10/4/8/3/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/9)-(10/4/8/3/5)-(4/8/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-5   WIN (10/4/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/8/3/5)-(10/4/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/8/3/5)-(10/4/8/3/5)-(10/4/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/8/3/5)-(4/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PEN-7   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAIR OF THE DOG Nov05 Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 Jul23 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00    
2  COAST TO COAST Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 Oct18 Sep22 (sinnefia pa)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★    
3  HESASMOKIN Nov08 Oct12 Sep01 Aug18 Jul22 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
4  BERHANU Dec27 Dec09 Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 ★    
5  HERE WEGO Nov15 Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 Aug19 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
6  SAN ANTONE Dec18 Dec08 Nov12 Nov02 Oct08 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
7  KITTEN'S MAN Dec01 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Jul21 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  SPECTACULAR KID Oct18 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jul25 (collazo lui)RAMOS C 117 3.00    
9  GEM JUAN Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 Aug31 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 50.00    
 
PEN-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U U STAR Dec02 Nov16 Oct14 Apr06 Mar20 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 ★    
2  LAST MINUTE MARIO Dec18 Nov02 Oct15 Sep19 Sep07 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.00    
3  THE LITTLE SPROUT Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 Oct07 Aug17 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
4  HIGH HEAT Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Sep22 Aug26 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
5  SUIT OF ARMOR Nov18 Oct20 Oct08 Sep11 Aug26 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
6  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Dec02 Nov22 Nov02 Sep12 Aug15 (grusmark karl)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
7  SASSY LAD Dec28 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep07 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 5.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  BUMBLE MONSTER Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
9  SUTTON VALLEY Dec02 Oct13 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 (rodriguez j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 8% 11.10    
 
PEN-3   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN CLASS Oct25 Oct14 Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LAUGH IT OFF Dec13 Nov08 Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
3  YOURINDENIAL Dec13 Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 Sep09 (nicholson jun)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 10.00    
4  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Dec30 Dec14 Dec02 Nov09 Oct26 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 ★    
5  SHEMADEMELUCKY Dec27 Nov05 Oct07 Jan23   (sillaman richa)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 9% 10.70    
6  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Nov29 Nov05 Oct19 Sep02 Aug20 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 ★    
7  BLU SKY SUNRISE Dec01 Nov17 Nov03 Oct15 Sep15 (chircop ste)INIRIO J 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
PEN-4   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARLEY'S CHARLY Nov16 Oct12 Sep12 Aug22   (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of HARLEY GO LIGHTLY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  UPFOR PAROLE Nov23 Nov09       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BILLYGETS ARRESTED by LOUIS QUATORZE)
3  RENEWING VOWS Oct28 Oct06       (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 122 20.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of WHO'S HAPPY by CALLER I. D.)
4  OUT OF STOCK Dec02 Nov09       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 15% 5.90    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of IANTHE by SKY MESA)
5  ON AN ISLAND Dec21 Dec02 Nov09     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  BOOK RUNNER Dec21 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09   (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 ★    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  TEMPO CRESCENDO Dec07         (reed eric)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of R FROSTY ONE by SOUTHERN SUCCESS)
8  BEJUCO Nov29 Nov09       (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
  (by RED VINE out of ROMAN RENEGADE by ROMAN RULER)
9  MOBEER         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by MO TOWN out of RESTLESS ANGEL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
PEN-5   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM PROMISE Dec06 Nov01 Oct04     (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
2  MASKED HEROINE Nov09 Oct11 Jun24 May25 Mar20 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
3  DON'T TALK Dec20 Dec06 Nov01 Jul24 May21 (lucas bon)VARGAS L 124 4.50 9% 10.40    
4  SAKARI Dec27 Dec16 Nov30 Nov09 Oct29 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 16% 5.20    
5  DOWSER Dec28 Nov30 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 8% 11.70    
6  BO RUNKLE Dec16 Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 Aug24 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 15.00    
7  SHOYYOOKH Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 Oct12 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
8  VAN HAVEN Nov16 Oct29 Oct06 Sep15 Aug30 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
9  MIZ THE BEST Jun03 May14 May01 Apr24 Apr08 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 30.00    
10  QUEEN CADENCE Nov27 Nov16 Oct26 Mar18 Feb24 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  ICE COLD GOLD Nov17 Nov10 Oct30 Oct20 Jul04 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
 
PEN-6   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Dec20 Nov29 Sep16 Jul28 Jul07 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
2  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Dec21 Dec07 Nov16 Jun16 Apr27 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
3  PHANCY PHILLY Dec20 Nov29 Oct26 Oct12 Sep07 (houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 ★    
4  ALWAYS MIA Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 May05 Apr14 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
5  COSMOLOGICAL Dec27 Dec14 Nov23 Feb01   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00    
6  NO EASY ANSWER Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 Sep16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  PROTECTTHEWITNESS May17 Apr29 Mar09     (schoenthal )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
8  DWELLER Dec20 Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep08 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 9% 10.60    
SCR  CAUSE I SAID Dec06 Nov21 May25 Apr27 Mar21 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
 
PEN-7   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGGERS DIAMOND Dec14 Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 Sep01 (geist w)BAKER J 124 8.00    
SCR  SEAT OF HONOR Dec21 Nov23 Jul28 Apr04 Feb02 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
3  VISHNU Dec30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct05 Sep22 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00 ★    
4  SMOOTH OPERATION Dec21 Nov07 Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES Jun24 Jun15 May19 Mar30 Mar09 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Dec30 Nov04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00 ★    
7  WEEKEND IN COURT Jan03 Dec21 Nov08 Oct19 Oct11 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 15.00    
8  BAVARIA Dec30 Dec09 Nov30 Nov18 Oct25 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 8.00    
9  PIGGYBANK Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 Oct17 (santaella-caldero)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.