The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
PEN-1   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
:224 :464 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHUTUP AND HANG ON 2 6 42½ 41¼   11 14¼ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 4.00 9% 9.90 11.00 W
1  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 1 3 1nk 3.2   21 24¼ (meister willi)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.50 12% 7.30 5.60 P
3  RUNNIN REDBIRD 3 2 53 53¾   54 37¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 6% 17.20 11.60 S
7  HAPPY TAPPY TIM 7 4 3½ 1nk   31½ 47¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 46% 1.20 1.10  
4  RAIN LILLY 4 1 2nk 2nk   42 59¼ (houghton thomas)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 2.00  
6  MIZ THE BEST 6 7 66 65¼   66 610¼ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 23.00  
5  UNCAPTURED GRACE 5 5 77 78¼   710 715½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 ★ 15.00  
 
PEN-2   02/16/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
:24 :484 1:142 1:421   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SKIMBLE SHANKS 3 3 1½ 11½ 13 15 14½ (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 10% 8.70 1.00 W
6  SALTY HEIR 4 4 41 21½ 23 25 24½ (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 9.30  
7  BENCH PRESS 5 5 64 63¾ 510 312 311¼ (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 28% 2.60 3.60 S
1  MR. REDOLFO 1 1 3½ 31½ 37 416 421¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 8.00 9.10  
4  FLAT BUSTED 2 2 2½ 41¾ 49½ 523 538¾ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 ★ 14.20  
8  OATIE 6 6 51½ 51¾ 613 633 649¾ (young f)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 40% 1.50 3.30  
SCR  BRADY               (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 12.00    
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET               (colgan kelly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
:223 :461 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MIZ CHAPLIN 3 1 1½ 12   11½ 15¾ (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 56% 0.80 0.80 W
2  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 2 2 33 22   21½ 25¾ (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 5.20  
1  NEW YORK BANKER 1 3 2½ 34   36 312¼ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00 ★ 1.00 S
SCR  FAIRY DREAMS               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  SHIRLEY GREENE               (canani nick)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  WHO U GONNA CALL               (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-4   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
:222 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PICTOR 3 1 11½ 12   11½ 1nk (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 11% 8.30 0.90 W
2  TRENDING UP 1 5 55½ 55½   44 2nk (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
5  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 2 2 21½ 22   21½ 3¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 12.80  
8  MARVALOUS MIKE 5 4 42½ 45   33½ 4½ (montoya marya)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 17% 4.90 2.40  
7  JUMPMASTER 4 3 31½ 34   55 54½ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 39% 1.50 3.00  
SCR  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN               (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS               (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  TRADERS LUCK               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
 
PEN-5   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
:223 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAGIC SPIN 4 8 83¼ 53¼   41½ 11¼ (albright amy)FLORES E 122 8.00 23% 3.40 9.20 W
3  GANDI 3 1 1nk 1nk   11 21¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 13% 6.80 2.00 P
6  AGGRANDIZE 6 2 2nk 2nk   31 31¾ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 20.90  
10  KEFI 10 7 62¼ 3.2   21 42¾ (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 23% 3.30 6.70  
2  RACING IN THE RAIN 2 10 109¼ 1010¼   66 54¼ (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 8% 11.00 8.80  
5  MARATHONER 5 3 41½ 41¼   52½ 65¼ (montoya marya)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 18.50  
9  YO NESSROUNDONKERN 9 6 95¼ 99¾   911 77½ (ramirez silvi)RAMOS C 115 15.00 7.50  
8  U U STAR 8 5 72¾ 63¼   78 88¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 4.00  
1  MIZZEN MONEY 1 9 31 76¼   810 99¾ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 6.00 34.20  
7  BUSTIN PIETRE 7 4 51¾ 89¼   1013 1013½ (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 7% 14.40 7.80  
SCR  SPOOKY ONE               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
:221 :453 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALL TIME CLASSIC 4 5 32 21   1½ 12 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 12% 7.50 0.50 W
2  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 2 3 56 45   34½ 22 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 14% 6.20 3.10 P
6  MAGNETIC CHARM 6 4 2½ 11   2½ 34¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 12.20  
3  GERONIMO 3 6 610½ 610   512½ 48 (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 ★ 10.10  
1  YANKEE EMPIRE 1 2 44½ 56   613 515½ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.00 44% 1.30 7.40  
5  D'STORM 5 1 1½ 34½   412 616¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 8.00 ★ 24.90  
 
PEN-7   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
:223 :464 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ON THE EDGE 8 2 22½ 1½   13 14¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 46% 1.20 2.70 W
3  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL 3 6 67 45   35 24¼ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 6% 15.80 4.50 P
8  DR GREENTHUMB 7 4 32½ 2½   23 35¼ (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 17% 4.70 2.40 S
7  RIVERBOAT BANDIT 6 7 79 710   411 410 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 8.00 10.90  
6  CAN'T STOP MAXEY 5 8 89½ 810½   511 512½ (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00 5.70  
4  WHISKIED UP 4 5 55½ 58½   613 620¾ (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 117 5.00 ★ 8.50  
2  GREATEST WARRIOR 2 3 44½ 68½   714 724¼ (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 34.00  
1  NEVER TOO MUCH 1 1 12½ 32   815 829¾ (albright r)FLORES E 122 15.00 9.00  
SCR  GRILLO               (carpio erin)VARGAS L 122 15.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF WARRIOR               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.