Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $24.00 $24.00 16.00
PEN-2   Win (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
PEN-3   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 1.60
PEN-4   Win (7/8/6/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
PEN-5   Win (10/4/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $20.40 $20.40 10.40
PEN-6   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
PEN-7   Win (10/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUTUP AND HANG ON 2 6 4 4   11 1 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 4.00 9% 9.90 11.00 W
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 1 3 1nk 3.2   21 2 (meister willi)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.50 12% 7.30 5.60 P
RUNNIN REDBIRD 3 2 53 5   54 3 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 6% 17.20 11.60 S
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 7 4 3½ 1nk   3 4 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 46% 1.20 1.10  
RAIN LILLY 4 1 2nk 2nk   42 5 (houghton thomas)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 2.00  
MIZ THE BEST 6 7 66 6   66 610¼ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 23.00  
UNCAPTURED GRACE 5 5 77 7   710 715½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 15.00  
 
PEN-2   02/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:142 1:421   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIMBLE SHANKS 3 3 1½ 1 13 15 1 (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 10% 8.70 1.00 W
SALTY HEIR 4 4 41 2 23 25 2 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 9.30  
BENCH PRESS 5 5 64 6 510 312 311¼ (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 28% 2.60 3.60 S
MR. REDOLFO 1 1 3½ 3 37 416 421¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 8.00 9.10  
FLAT BUSTED 2 2 2½ 4 4 523 538¾ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 14.20  
OATIE 6 6 5 5 613 633 649¾ (young f)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 40% 1.50 3.30  
SCR  BRADY               (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 12.00    
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET               (colgan kelly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 5.00    
 
PEN-3   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ CHAPLIN 3 1 1½ 12   1 1 (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 56% 0.80 0.80 W
TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 2 2 33 22   2 2 (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 5.20  
NEW YORK BANKER 1 3 2½ 34   36 312¼ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00 1.00 S
SCR  FAIRY DREAMS               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50    
SCR  SHIRLEY GREENE               (canani nick)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00    
SCR  WHO U GONNA CALL               (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50    
 
PEN-4   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTOR 3 1 1 12   1 1nk (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 11% 8.30 0.90 W
TRENDING UP 1 5 5 5   44 2nk (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 2 2 2 22   2 3¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 12.80  
MARVALOUS MIKE 5 4 4 45   3 4½ (montoya marya)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 17% 4.90 2.40  
JUMPMASTER 4 3 3 34   55 5 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 39% 1.50 3.00  
SCR  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN               (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS               (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  TRADERS LUCK               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
 
PEN-5   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC SPIN 4 8 8 5   4 1 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 8.00 23% 3.40 9.20 W
GANDI 3 1 1nk 1nk   11 2 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 13% 6.80 2.00 P
AGGRANDIZE 6 2 2nk 2nk   31 3 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 20.90  
10  KEFI 10 7 6 3.2   21 4 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 23% 3.30 6.70  
RACING IN THE RAIN 2 10 10 1010¼   66 5 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 8% 11.00 8.80  
MARATHONER 5 3 4 4   5 6 (montoya marya)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 18.50  
YO NESSROUNDONKERN 9 6 9 9   911 7 (ramirez silvi)RAMOS C 115 15.00 7.50  
U U STAR 8 5 7 6   78 8 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 4.00  
MIZZEN MONEY 1 9 31 7   810 9 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 6.00 34.20  
BUSTIN PIETRE 7 4 5 8   1013 1013½ (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 7% 14.40 7.80  
SCR  SPOOKY ONE               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:221 :453 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL TIME CLASSIC 4 5 32 21   1½ 12 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 12% 7.50 0.50 W
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 2 3 56 45   3 22 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 14% 6.20 3.10 P
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 6 4 2½ 11   2½ 3 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 12.20  
GERONIMO (CHI) 3 6 610½ 610   512½ 48 (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 10.10  
YANKEE EMPIRE 1 2 4 56   613 515½ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.00 44% 1.30 7.40  
D'STORM 5 1 1½ 3   412 616¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 8.00 24.90  
 
PEN-7   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ON THE EDGE 8 2 2 1½   13 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 46% 1.20 2.70 W
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 3 6 67 45   35 2 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY null   4.50  
DR GREENTHUMB 7 4 3 2½   23 3 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 17% 4.70 2.40 S
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 6 7 79 710   411 410 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 8.00 10.90  
CAN'T STOP MAXEY 5 8 8 810½   511 512½ (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00 5.70  
WHISKIED UP 4 5 5 5   613 620¾ (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 117 5.00 8.50  
GREATEST WARRIOR 2 3 4 6   714 724¼ (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 34.00  
NEVER TOO MUCH 1 1 1 32   815 829¾ (albright r)FLORES E 122 15.00 9.00  
SCR  GRILLO               (carpio erin)VARGAS L 122 15.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF WARRIOR               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.