Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3/5)-(7/1/2/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/3)-(8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/3)-(8/7/5)-(5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5)-(5)-(7/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(7/8/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5)-(7/8/6/2)-(10/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/2)-(10/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/2)-(10/4/3/2/7)-(1/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-5   WIN (10/4/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/3/2/7)-(10/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/3/2/7)-(10/4/3/2/7)-(10/4/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/3/2/7)-(1/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/4/3/2/7)-(1/2/4)-(10/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(10/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (10/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/8)-(10/8/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (10/8)-(10/8/4)-(10/8/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Jan30 Jan04 Dec20     (meister wil)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
2  SHUTUP AND HANG ON Jan26 Dec30 Nov23 Oct28   (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 4.00 9% 9.90    
3  RUNNIN REDBIRD Jan26 Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 Oct12 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 6% 17.20    
4  RAIN LILLY Feb08 Dec28 Dec02 Nov02 Oct21 (houghton thomas)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
5  UNCAPTURED GRACE Jan27 Nov12 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 ★    
6  MIZ THE BEST Jan26 Jan12 Jun03 May14 May01 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
7  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Jan26 Dec30 Nov30 Nov02   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-2   02/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. REDOLFO Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Sep06 Aug16 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov05 Sep18 (colgan kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  BRADY Sep18         (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 12.00    
4  FLAT BUSTED Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 ★    
5  SKIMBLE SHANKS Feb08 Jan19 Dec09 Sep08 Aug17 (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 10% 8.70    
6  SALTY HEIR Feb01 Jan19 Dec01 Nov11   (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
7  BENCH PRESS Jan13 Jun24 May13 Mar23 Feb16 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  OATIE         (young lesli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-3   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YORK BANKER Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Nov04 Oct09 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00 ★    
2  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Dec07 Nov16 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
SCR  FAIRY DREAMS Jan26 Jan02 Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  WHO U GONNA CALL Nov02 Sep02       (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 ★    
5  MIZ CHAPLIN Jan19 Jul08 Jun17 May05   (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  SHIRLEY GREENE Jan30 Jan04 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 (canani nick)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRADERS LUCK Dec27 Nov30 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
2  TRENDING UP Jan27 Dec27 Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jan26 Dec09 Nov15 Oct25 Aug24 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Dec27 May19 Apr27 Mar02 Jan19 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
5  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Jan26 Dec27 Nov30 Oct26 Oct05 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
6  PICTOR Jan27 Dec13 Aug04 Jul02 Jun17 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
7  JUMPMASTER Jan26 Dec27 Nov30 Nov18 Oct18 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
8  MARVALOUS MIKE Jan30 Jan07 Nov08 Oct20 Sep09 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
PEN-5   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZEN MONEY Jan25 Dec28 Aug11 Aug03 Jul06 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
2  RACING IN THE RAIN Jan18 Dec28 Nov27 Nov18 Oct21 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
3  GANDI Jan25 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
4  MAGIC SPIN Jan25 Dec30 Nov11 Oct16 Sep30 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
5  MARATHONER Jan17 Jan02 Nov15 Oct21 Aug14 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 120 5.00    
6  AGGRANDIZE Jan13 Nov29 Nov18 Nov02 Oct19 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
7  BUSTIN PIETRE Feb02 Jan13 Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 7% 14.40    
8  U U STAR Jan12 Dec02 Nov16 Oct14 Apr06 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
9  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Feb06 Jan17 Jan02 Nov29 Nov15 (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 115 15.00    
10  KEFI Jan25 Oct03 Sep10 Sep03 Aug06 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  SPOOKY ONE Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE EMPIRE Jan11 Dec14 Oct04 Sep07 Aug12 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
2  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov18 Oct09 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
3  GERONIMO (CHI) Feb02 Jan13 Dec09 Jun02   (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  ALL TIME CLASSIC Feb02 Jan19 Dec04 Nov19 Nov05 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 12% 7.50    
5  D'STORM Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov08 Oct14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 8.00 ★    
6  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Feb01 Nov16 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER TOO MUCH Sep24 Sep15       (albright r)FLORES E 122 15.00    
2  GREATEST WARRIOR Jan25         (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
3  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 Jun11 May07 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY null      
4  WHISKIED UP Jan26 Dec21 Oct27     (hendriks ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  GRILLO Jan11         (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 15.00    
6  CAN'T STOP MAXEY Dec21         (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00    
7  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Dec07 Nov23       (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
8  DR GREENTHUMB Jan11 Dec07 Nov06 Oct18 Sep05 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  MISCHIEF WARRIOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
10  ON THE EDGE Jan11 Dec07 Nov18     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.