Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 0 $10.20  
PEN-2   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 2.20
PEN-3   Win (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
PEN-4   Win (6/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
PEN-5   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
PEN-6   Win (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
PEN-7   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR MARK STEVEN 8 3 4 42   24 1hd (houghton th)VARGAS L 122 5.00 4.10  
ZEALOUS LEGACY 3 5 31 1   14 2hd (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 27% 2.70 1.30 P
SHY DA RUNNER 2 6 6 6   3 3 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 4.60 S
ITCHY PALMS 7 7 7 7   57 4 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 51% 1.00 6.70  
QUINCY ADAMS 5 8 8 810¾   69 56 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 32.00  
10  LUCKY LEWIS 9 4 5 54   4 6 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 24.30  
DON'T QUESTION ME 1 9 9 910¾   7 77 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 12.00 48.20  
BARN SWALLOW 4 2 2½ 3   810 814 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 6.30  
J W RUNTOTHEBANK 6 1 1½ 2   910½ 914½ (cifarelli frank)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 17.40  
SCR  BUBBY PAPERMAKER               (whylie herold )HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
 
PEN-2   02/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:122 1:39   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUSH IT 7 3 44 33 3.2 12 1 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 46% 1.20 2.10 W
SPEIGHTSTER RED 2 2 3 22 2nk 22 2 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 1.30 P
MIAMI MUMBLES 5 5 5 54 4 3 3 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 25% 3.00 9.50 S
JUST NOD AND SMILE 1 4 2 43 5 58 4 (bedard ala)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00 3.80  
TRUE GOLD 4 1 1 12 1nk 4 5 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 11.40  
THE GREAT CASBY 6 6 6 6 6 69 6 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 80.10  
O K GAME ON 3 7 7 7 7 7 7 (dukes harris )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 13.50  
 
PEN-3   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAWAKENED 2 1 11 1   1 1¾ (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 10% 9.10 3.60 W
GREAT BARONESS 4 3 21 2   2 2¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 12% 7.60 0.90 P
HIGHWAY QUEEN 6 2 4 4   4 3 (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 47% 1.10 2.30 S
FALSE RULING 3 4 3 32   3 4 (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 44.70  
ESTA CHUCK 5 5 6 5   59 5 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 120 12.00 62.80  
MISS ALEX 1 6 5 69   6 6 (chacon gust)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00 5.50  
SCR  SHASHKA               (albright geor)INIRIO J 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
 
PEN-4   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :454 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE CANNONBALL 8 1 2½ 1½   14 1 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 27% 2.70 5.90 W
GERONIMO (CHI) 5 3 34 37   24 2 (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 67.90  
FRANCIS X. 1 7 66 610   3 3 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 20.60  
COMMUNICATION FAIL 2 8 911½ 916½   78 43 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 7.20  
SUMMER ASH 9 9 78 4   45 5 (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 122 3.00 6% 15.20 1.50  
SCYNTZ 7 5 5 5   55 6 (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 122 20.00 90.90  
I'M NOT SLOW 3 6 8 815½   811 78 (gonzalez cl)HERNANDEZ F 122 6.00 6.00  
SHARDIAL 6 4 1½ 2½   6 843½ (geist david)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 41% 1.40 3.50  
BUMBLE MONSTER 4 2 4 713½   931 9100 (grusmark karl)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
 
PEN-5   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN ANTONE 5 6 6 4   21 1 (graci a)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.00 47% 1.10 1.80 W
11  KIKKERLAND 9 3 2½ 1nk   11 2 (bravo-estra)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 5.40  
COAST TO COAST 7 4 32 3   32 34 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 6.30  
DEVIOUS BANKER 8 5 7 8   7 4 (grusmark karl)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 20.90  
AGAINST THE ODDS 2 8 8 6   6 5 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 5% 19.00 2.80  
HAIR OF THE DOG 6 2 1½ 2nk   4 6 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 18.80  
SCREEN STAR 3 7 5 54   5 7 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 6.00 15.30  
12  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN 10 1 4 7   812½ 811 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00 16.50  
BOX OF JOE 1 9 10 913¾   917½ 916½ (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 53.90  
FAST CASH 4 10 9 1015¼   1024½ 1027½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 25% 3.00 13.60  
SCR  HESASMOKIN               (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
SCR  TOMASCO               (farley j)FLORES E 122 20.00    
 
PEN-6   02/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
1:483         1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL TAKE ROSES 8 2 3½ 3½ 1½ 1 1 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 11% 8.30 0.30 W
MIKEY'S JEWEL 3 6 6 5 5 45 2 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 30.00 54.00  
LAUGH IT OFF 1 3 42 42 32 3 3 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 4.80 S
SERENE WARRIOR 2 4 1½ 1nk 2½ 2 4 (jacklin s)LLOYD W 122 4.50 45% 1.20 19.30  
WICKED T 4 5 56 7 6 59 55 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 48.20  
CAR LADY 6 8 7 8 7 614 611 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 21% 3.80 6.20  
TEACHER DRAMA 5 7 8 66 810 818½ 718½ (sells rachel)INIRIO J 122 20.00 85.30  
WHATRUWAITINGFOR 7 1 2½ 2nk 43 715½ 820¾ (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 19.00  
 
PEN-7   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :47 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL TIME CLASSIC 3 5 4 31   2½ 11 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 22% 3.60 0.80 W
ASK THE UMPIRE 4 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 21 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 51% 1.00 2.20 P
SIR STEELE 5 7 55 42   4 3 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 124 4.00 11.20 S
CUP MATCH 7 4 31 2nk   3 48 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 12.00 22.80  
MISTER ARANGUIZ 1 6 7 67   514½ 519 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 96.40  
COMMANDING 6 2 2½ 5   615 621 (rodriguez frankli)RODRIGUEZ E 124 3.50 3.90  
FINNOGGINDUDE 2 3 65 710   725 737¼ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 30.00 71.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.