Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/9/3)-(8/4/9/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/4)-(7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(7/5)-(7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/2/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/2/4/3)-(7/5/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(7/5/3)-(6/8/9/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2)-(7/5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(6/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(6/8/9/4)-(5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/4)-(6/8/9/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/4)-(6/8/9/4/2)-(6/8/9/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/9/4)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/4)-(5/4/2)-(2/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/12)-(5/4/2/12) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/6/8)-(4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/1/4)-(2/6/8/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/6/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/6/5/1)-(4/3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUBBY PAPERMAKER         (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00 ★    
2  DON'T QUESTION ME Jan25 Dec21       (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 12.00    
3  SHY DA RUNNER         (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 ★    
4  ZEALOUS LEGACY         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  BARN SWALLOW Dec02         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
6  QUINCY ADAMS         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00    
7  J W RUNTOTHEBANK         (cifarelli frank)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
8  ITCHY PALMS Jan14         (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 51% 1.00    
9  OUR MARK STEVEN Dec21         (houghton )VARGAS L 122 5.00 ★    
10  LUCKY LEWIS         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
 
PEN-2   02/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST NOD AND SMILE Jan16 Dec20 Nov30 Nov02 Oct12 (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00    
2  SPEIGHTSTER RED Jan09 Dec20 Oct17 Oct01 Sep15 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 ★    
3  O K GAME ON Jan18 Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 (dukes harri)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 ★    
4  TRUE GOLD Jan18 Dec09 Nov22 Nov14 Oct31 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 ★    
5  MIAMI MUMBLES Jun24 Jun15 May19 Mar30 Mar09 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  THE GREAT CASBY Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Nov04 Oct11 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
7  CRUSH IT Jan08 Nov02 Oct06 Jul15 Jun24 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-3   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHASHKA Jan18 Dec27 Dec16 Apr20 Mar11 (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
2  MISS ALEX Jan25 Jan03 Dec19 Dec07 Nov28 (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00 ★    
3  REAWAKENED Jan18 Dec14 Sep17 Sep02 Jul16 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 10% 9.10    
4  FALSE RULING Jan18 Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00    
5  GREAT BARONESS Dec30 Dec07 Nov23 Oct21 Sep16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 12% 7.60    
6  ESTA CHUCK Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Oct19 Sep02 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 120 12.00    
7  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct25 Oct10 (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
PEN-4   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANCIS X. Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 May13 Feb20 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
2  COMMUNICATION FAIL Jan20 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Nov16 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 ★    
3  I'M NOT SLOW Dec29 Oct27 Oct06 Sep11 Sep03 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 122 6.00    
4  BUMBLE MONSTER Jan20 Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GERONIMO (CHI) Jan13 Dec09 Jun02     (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
6  SHARDIAL Jan19 Sep23 Aug18     (geist dav)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  SCYNTZ Dec30 Nov29 Nov02 Oct19 Sep02 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 122 20.00    
8  DIXIE CANNONBALL Jan13 Sep19 Aug04 May26 Apr08 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
9  SUMMER ASH Jan20 Dec14 Nov16 Oct14 Aug28 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 122 3.00 6% 15.20    
 
PEN-5   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOX OF JOE Jan25 Nov20 Oct27 Oct01 Jun17 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
2  AGAINST THE ODDS Jan20 Dec13 Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  SCREEN STAR Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 Jun29 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
4  FAST CASH Dec09 Oct01 Sep08 Aug20 Jul30 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
5  SAN ANTONE Jan12 Dec18 Dec08 Nov12 Nov02 (graci kimberly)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
6  HAIR OF THE DOG Jan12 Nov05 Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
7  COAST TO COAST Jan12 Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 Oct18 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
8  DEVIOUS BANKER Jan13 Nov21 Oct31 Oct19 Sep14 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
SCR  HESASMOKIN Jan12 Nov08 Oct12 Sep01 Aug18 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  TOMASCO Jan18 Dec09 Aug25 Jul20 Jul07 (farley j)FLORES E 122 20.00    
11  KIKKERLAND Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 Oct12 Sep06 (bravo-est)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
12  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN Dec30 Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 Aug30 (o'callahan carl)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   02/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGH IT OFF Jan12 Dec13 Nov08 Oct05 Sep14 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 ★    
2  SERENE WARRIOR Jan11 Dec13 Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
3  MIKEY'S JEWEL Jan11 Dec16 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 30.00    
4  WICKED T Jan11 Dec16 Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 ★    
5  TEACHER DRAMA Jan11 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Sep28 (sells rache)INIRIO J 122 20.00    
6  CAR LADY Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 Oct05 Sep16 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Oct28 Oct04 Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00    
8  WILL TAKE ROSES Dec28 Oct19 Oct05 Sep15 Aug31 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 11% 8.30    
 
PEN-7   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER ARANGUIZ Jan19 Dec28 Dec09 Nov09 Oct25 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 ★    
2  FINNOGGINDUDE Jan13 Dec19 Nov22 Nov08   (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 30.00    
3  ALL TIME CLASSIC Jan19 Dec04 Nov19 Nov05 Oct14 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 22% 3.60    
4  ASK THE UMPIRE Jan19 Dec28 Dec13 Nov25 Nov09 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  SIR STEELE Dec09 Nov08 Sep21 Aug18 Jul27 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 124 4.00 ★    
6  COMMANDING Dec13 Nov09       (rodriguez frank)RODRIGUEZ E 124 3.50 ★    
7  CUP MATCH Nov27 Nov05 Sep05 Aug17 Jul20 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.