The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Friday - January 20, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
PEN-1   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
:222 :46 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING IT COUNTRY 1 4 41¾ 3½   15 14¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 7% 13.80 5.90 W
4  SUMMER ASH 4 8 811¼ 78½   36 24¼ (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 122 6.00 ★ 3.10 P
6  COMMUNICATION FAIL 6 7 77¼ 65½   25 36 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 10.30  
7  KNOCKDOWN KID 7 1 31½ 42   48 414¼ (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 58.00  
8  BUMBLE MONSTER 8 5 54¼ 54½   68¼ 515¾ (grusmark karl)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
5  ABHAR 5 3 2nk 1nk   58 618½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 20.30  
2  LIONESQUE 2 6 67¼ 89   715¼ 729¼ (chircop steven)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 36% 1.80 2.80  
3  POP POP SUSI 3 2 1nk 2nk   8100 8100 (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 29% 2.40 2.00  
 
PEN-2   01/20/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
:222 :46 1:112 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VOUCH 2 1 1½ 11 12 12 12 (beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.50 59% 0.70 0.80 W
4  EDICT 4 4 33 32 32½ 22 22 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 1.60 14% 5.90 1.90 P
1  POLITICAL 1 5 69 611½ 56½ 36 32¾ (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★ 6.40 S
3  RELISHMENT 3 3 57½ 56½ 45½ 49 48 (hogan j)OCASIO M 122 8.00 12.50  
7  ROLLING PALISADES 7 2 2½ 21 22 510½ 517½ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 ★ 19.20  
5  UNCLE JEROME 5 6 79½ 712½ 712 721½ 622¾ (smith m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 117 15.00 29.50  
6  MONDAY'S WITH MIKE 6 7 43½ 42½ 67 618½ 726½ (mercedes pedro)PANAIJO JORGE 122 15.00 ★ 34.10  
 
PEN-3   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
:222 :454 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MR. PETE 2 7 51¼ 5¾   3.2 12¾ (sells rachel)INIRIO J 120 4.50 14% 6.20 6.90 W
1  CALCULATED THINKIN 1 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 22¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 11% 8.30 17.90 P
4  I SEE THE STARS 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 33¼ (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 9.10  
8  AGAINST THE ODDS 7 6 82¾ 72   51¾ 43¾ (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 15.30  
6  BOURBON MISSION 5 8 72¼ 84   83½ 55½ (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00 19.10  
7  SCARY LARRY 6 5 61¾ 61¾   63¼ 66½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 18% 4.40 5.90  
5  HIGH HEAT 4 3 3½ 3.2   41¾ 77¾ (chircop steven)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 18% 4.50 0.80  
10  BERHANU 9 1 4¾ 4¼   73½ 88 (albright r)LLOYD W 124 6.00 6.90  
9  SHADOW BOAT 8 9 96¼ 94½   95½ 910 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 ######  
SCR  KURT'S A KEEPER               (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00    
SCR  TOWN JAK               (albright amy)FLORES E 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
 
PEN-4   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
:223 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ACT OF VALOR 7 2 11½ 11½   11½ 12¼ (murtough b)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 13.00  
3  VIOLENT PASS 2 6 31½ 21½   21½ 22¼ (lucas bonnie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 11% 8.40 3.10 P
2  TUCKABUCKAWAY 1 8 84¾ 75¾   69 37¾ (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 59.60 S
10  DREAMERS REWARD 9 1 62¼ 65½   58½ 48 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5.00  
7  MYSTIC POINT 6 4 41¾ 32   37½ 58¾ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 10% 8.80 1.50  
9  KAZTHAROS 8 3 51¾ 43   48 611 (synnefias dimitrios)PANAIJO JORGE 122 8.00 11% 7.70 3.90  
5  WINNERS WIN 4 7 74¼ 86¼   814 713¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 84.00  
4  WOW RUN 3 5 21½ 53   711 815 (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 19.10  
6  SPEED SLOT 5 9 911¼ 924¼   938 946 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 18.90  
SCR  CALLYOURIGHTBACK               (bobadilla f)FLORES E 120 8.00    
SCR  TIZ HANDSOME               (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-5   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:49
:23 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 2 4 53¾ 33½   22½ 11 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 9.00  
6  DESI'S REWARD 6 5 3½ 21½   12½ 21 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00 20% 3.90 0.60 P
1  LEAPING FOR CANDY 1 10 97¼ 89½   610½ 37 (kirby t)BOWMAN ADAM 122 5.00 15% 5.60 4.70 S
4  SCARLET WARRIOR 4 9 75¾ 79   710½ 48¾ (kulp l)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 12% 7.50 6.00  
3  LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 3 2 2½ 55   49½ 59 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 24.60  
11  Z KITTY 10 8 86¼ 68   810¾ 610½ (mick r)LLOYD W 122 20.00 64.10  
5  OBER DARE 5 3 4¾ 43½   510 712 (crane clovis)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 25.30  
10  ECENIA 9 1 1½ 11½   34½ 812¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 21.10  
7  NOT LIKE MY ROAD 7 7 108¼ 1014   1018¼ 930 (agnew naoise)INIRIO J 122 15.00 ######  
8  ZIV 8 6 65¾ 912½   918¼ 1036 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 12% 7.50 20.70  
SCR  CIRCUITT               (houghton thomas)INIRIO J 122 3.00    
SCR  MOONSHINE WARRIOR               (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 12% 7.50    
 
PEN-6   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.6K) 3 F PT- 8:16
:223 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SOCIAL SUCCESS 7 7 62½ 31½   21½ 11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
5  FREYDIS 4 5 21 1nk   11½ 21 (albright r)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50 4.40  
1  I'M HEADING EAST 1 1 11 2nk   33 37¾ (beattie m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★ 5.00 S
3  MORGANS COVE 3 4 42 44   46½ 49 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 38% 1.60 1.40  
2  LUCKY STROKE 2 3 31½ 65   59½ 511 (zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 ★ 7.00  
6  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE 5 6 52 54½   69½ 612¾ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 38% 1.70 15.70  
7  QUICK LORI B 6 2 73 78½   714½ 718½ (houghton thomas)INIRIO J 122 8.00 27.60  
SCR  OUT OF AMMO               (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 8:43
:221 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORGANIZED CHAOS 1 1 12½ 12   13 15¾ (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 4.40  
5  LADY LIGHTFEET 5 5 43½ 22   23 25¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 39% 1.50 2.10 P
2  I CAME TO DANCE 2 7 66 59   49 37¾ (zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 7% 12.50 3.60 S
3  WAR'S END KISS 3 4 33 45   36½ 411 (chircop steven)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 9.00  
7  BEA BEA KAZ 7 3 22½ 34½   59½ 512½ (synnefias dimitrios)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00 ★ 13.40  
4  SHARP CATCH 4 2 54 610   616½ 620¼ (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 43.80  
8  FLAMINGO FAZE 8 6 79 714   725½ 735½ (schoenthal phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 27% 2.70 3.30  
6  DOCTOR ABBIE 6 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.