Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
PEN-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
PEN-3   Win (7/5/3/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $15.80 $15.80 5.80
PEN-4   Win (1/9/3/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $28.00  
PEN-5   Win (6/1/8/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $20.00  
PEN-6   Win (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
PEN-7   Win (5/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $10.80  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 1 4 4 3½   15 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 7% 13.80 5.90 W
SUMMER ASH 4 8 811¼ 7   36 2 (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 122 6.00 3.10 P
COMMUNICATION FAIL 6 7 7 6   25 36 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 10.30  
KNOCKDOWN KID 7 1 3 42   48 414¼ (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 58.00  
BUMBLE MONSTER 8 5 5 5   6 515¾ (grusmark karl)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
ABHAR 5 3 2nk 1nk   58 618½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 20.30  
LIONESQUE 2 6 6 89   715¼ 729¼ (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 36% 1.80 2.80  
POP POP SUSI 3 2 1nk 2nk   8100 8100 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 29% 2.40 2.00  
 
PEN-2   01/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:112 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOUCH 2 1 1½ 11 12 12 12 (beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.50 59% 0.70 0.80 W
EDICT (ARG) 4 4 33 32 3 22 22 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 1.60 14% 5.90 1.90 P
POLITICAL 1 5 69 611½ 5 36 3 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 6.40 S
RELISHMENT 3 3 5 5 4 49 48 (hogan j)OCASIO M 122 8.00 12.50  
ROLLING PALISADES 7 2 2½ 21 22 510½ 517½ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 19.20  
UNCLE JEROME 5 6 7 712½ 712 721½ 622¾ (smith lawrence )DIAZ VLADIMIR 117 15.00 29.50  
MONDAY'S WITH MIKE 6 7 4 4 67 618½ 726½ (mercedes pedro)PANAIJO JORGE 122 15.00 34.10  
 
PEN-3   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. PETE 2 7 5 5¾   3.2 1 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 120 4.50 14% 6.20 6.90 W
CALCULATED THINKIN 1 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 2 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 11% 8.30 17.90 P
I SEE THE STARS 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 9.10  
AGAINST THE ODDS 7 6 8 72   5 4 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 15.30  
BOURBON MISSION 5 8 7 84   8 5 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00 19.10  
SCARY LARRY 6 5 6 6   6 6 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 18% 4.40 5.90  
HIGH HEAT 4 3 3½ 3.2   4 7 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 18% 4.50 0.80  
10  BERHANU 9 1 4¾ 4¼   7 88 (albright r)LLOYD W 124 6.00 6.90  
SHADOW BOAT 8 9 9 9   9 910 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 ######  
SCR  KURT'S A KEEPER               (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00    
SCR  TOWN JAK               (albright amy)FLORES E 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
 
PEN-4   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACT OF VALOR 7 2 1 1   1 1 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 13.00  
VIOLENT PASS 2 6 3 2   2 2 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 11% 8.40 3.10 P
TUCKABUCKAWAY 1 8 8 7   69 3 (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 59.60 S
10  DREAMERS REWARD 9 1 6 6   5 48 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5.00  
MYSTIC POINT 6 4 4 32   3 5 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 10% 8.80 1.50  
KAZTHAROS 8 3 5 43   48 611 (synnefias dimit)PANAIJO JORGE 122 8.00 11% 7.70 3.90  
WINNERS WIN 4 7 7 8   814 713¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 84.00  
WOW RUN 3 5 2 53   711 815 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 19.10  
SPEED SLOT 5 9 911¼ 924¼   938 946 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 18.90  
SCR  CALLYOURIGHTBACK               (bobadilla f)FLORES E 120 8.00    
SCR  TIZ HANDSOME               (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-5   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 2 4 5 3   2 11 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 9.00  
DESI'S REWARD 6 5 3½ 2   1 21 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00 20% 3.90 0.60 P
LEAPING FOR CANDY 1 10 9 8   610½ 37 (kirby t)BOWMAN ADAM 122 5.00 15% 5.60 4.70 S
SCARLET WARRIOR 4 9 7 79   710½ 4 (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 12% 7.50 6.00  
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 3 2 2½ 55   4 59 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 24.60  
11  Z KITTY 10 8 8 68   810¾ 610½ (mick r)LLOYD W 122 20.00 64.10  
OBER DARE 5 3 4¾ 4   510 712 (crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 25.30  
10  ECENIA 9 1 1½ 1   3 812¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 21.10  
NOT LIKE MY ROAD 7 7 10 1014   1018¼ 930 (agnew naoise)INIRIO J 122 15.00 ######  
ZIV 8 6 6 912½   918¼ 1036 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 12% 7.50 20.70  
SCR  CIRCUITT               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 3.00    
SCR  MOONSHINE WARRIOR               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 12% 7.50    
 
PEN-6   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL SUCCESS 7 7 6 3   2 11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
FREYDIS 4 5 21 1nk   1 21 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50 4.40  
I'M HEADING EAST 1 1 11 2nk   33 3 (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 5.00 S
MORGANS COVE 3 4 42 44   4 49 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 38% 1.60 1.40  
LUCKY STROKE 2 3 3 65   5 511 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 7.00  
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE 5 6 52 5   6 612¾ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 38% 1.70 15.70  
QUICK LORI B 6 2 73 7   714½ 718½ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 8.00 27.60  
SCR  OUT OF AMMO               (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORGANIZED CHAOS 1 1 1 12   13 1 (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 4.40  
LADY LIGHTFEET 5 5 4 22   23 2 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 39% 1.50 2.10 P
I CAME TO DANCE 2 7 66 59   49 3 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 7% 12.50 3.60 S
WAR'S END KISS 3 4 33 45   3 411 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 9.00  
BEA BEA KAZ 7 3 2 3   5 512½ (synnefias dimit)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00 13.40  
SHARP CATCH 4 2 54 610   616½ 620¼ (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 43.80  
FLAMINGO FAZE 8 6 79 714   725½ 735½ (schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 27% 2.70 3.30  
DOCTOR ABBIE 6 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.