Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8/4)-(2/3/1/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/1/8)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/8)-(2/4)-(7/5/3/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1/6/7)-(2/4/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(7/5/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(7/5/3/1)-(9/3/7/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(9/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(9/3/7/2)-(6/1/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-4   WIN (9/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/2)-(9/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/2)-(9/3/7/2)-(9/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/7/2)-(6/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/2)-(6/1/4/8)-(3/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/8)-(3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/8)-(3/6/8)-(5/8/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/2/1)-(3/6/8/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(5/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6/7)-(5/8/2/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Dec20 Nov15 Oct14     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 7% 13.80    
2  LIONESQUE Dec13 Oct23 Oct13 Sep22 Sep05 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  POP POP SUSI Dec30 Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 Oct12 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
4  SUMMER ASH Dec14 Nov16 Oct14 Aug28 Aug20 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 122 6.00 ★    
5  ABHAR Dec14 Jun18 May27 May05 Apr22 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
6  COMMUNICATION FAIL Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
7  KNOCKDOWN KID Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00    
8  BUMBLE MONSTER Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 (grusmark ka)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   01/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLITICAL Nov29 Sep27 Sep19 Aug29 Aug23 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★    
2  VOUCH Nov29 Oct14 Sep08 Aug18 Jul22 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.50 59% 0.70    
3  RELISHMENT Jan09 Dec05 Nov23 Nov16 Oct28 (hogan william)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
4  EDICT (ARG) Dec06 Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Sep29 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 1.60 14% 5.90    
5  UNCLE JEROME Jan11 Jan05 Dec20 Nov26 Oct15 (smith lawren)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
6  MONDAY'S WITH MIKE Nov30 Oct31 Oct07 Sep20 Sep05 (mercedes pedr)PEREZ M 122 15.00 ★    
7  ROLLING PALISADES Dec30 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Aug25 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALCULATED THINKIN Dec21 Oct18 Oct04 Sep07 Aug18 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  TOWN JAK Jan19 Jan04 Nov22 Nov14 Oct31 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
3  MR. PETE Jan12 Dec09 Nov02 Sep08 Aug05 (sells rache)INIRIO J 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  I SEE THE STARS Jan07 Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 Aug31 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
5  HIGH HEAT Jan12 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Sep22 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  BOURBON MISSION Dec21 Nov28 Nov07 Oct22 Oct03 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00    
7  SCARY LARRY Dec09 Nov16 Oct25 Sep02 Aug24 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 18% 4.40    
8  AGAINST THE ODDS Dec13 Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 Aug31 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
9  SHADOW BOAT Dec27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep01 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00    
10  BERHANU Jan12 Dec27 Dec09 Nov04 Oct11 (albright r)LLOYD W 124 6.00    
SCR  KURT'S A KEEPER Nov19 Nov04 Oct20 Sep18 Aug26 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZ HANDSOME Dec09 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 Aug29 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
2  TUCKABUCKAWAY Dec09 Nov16 Aug29 Aug10 Jul25 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  VIOLENT PASS Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct22 Oct06 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
4  WOW RUN Nov29 Nov14 Oct26 Sep10 Aug21 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
5  WINNERS WIN Dec09 Dec02 Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00    
6  SPEED SLOT Jan04 Aug24 Aug10 Jul15   (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 4.00    
7  MYSTIC POINT Dec30 Nov11 Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 10% 8.80    
8  ACT OF VALOR Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 (murtough stephe)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00    
9  KAZTHAROS Dec14 Nov25 Nov09 Oct18 Sep16 (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 122 8.00 11% 7.70    
10  DREAMERS REWARD Dec02 Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 Jul08 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  CALLYOURIGHTBACK Oct14 Sep23 Sep17 Sep05 Aug28 (bobadilla f)FLORES E 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAPING FOR CANDY Dec20 Nov16 Oct12 Sep28 Sep01 (kirby t)BOWMAN ADAM 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
2  SAMETIMENEXTYEAR Dec27 Oct22 Oct06 Sep16   (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
3  LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN Dec27 Nov16 Oct21     (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
4  SCARLET WARRIOR         (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 12% 7.50    
5  OBER DARE Dec07 Nov12 Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
6  DESI'S REWARD Dec02 Nov15 Oct11 Aug22 Aug01 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00 20% 3.90    
7  NOT LIKE MY ROAD Oct21 Aug30       (agnew nao)VARGAS L 122 15.00    
8  ZIV         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  MOONSHINE WARRIOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 12% 7.50    
10  ECENIA Dec07 Oct21 Sep21     (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
11  Z KITTY Dec27         (mick r)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
SCR  CIRCUITT Dec27 Nov12 Oct28 Sep01 Jul23 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 3.00    
 
PEN-6   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M HEADING EAST         (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★    
  (by EASTWOOD out of I'M JUST SAYIN by SEMORAN)
2  LUCKY STROKE Dec14 Nov22       (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 ★    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MY LUCKY STAR by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  MORGANS COVE Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Oct26   (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SILHOUTTE ISLAND by PATTON)
SCR  OUT OF AMMO         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of FINALE RACK by LITE THE FUSE)
5  FREYDIS Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Sep24 Aug22 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of PUNCH MARYLAND by TWO PUNCH)
6  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Dec21 Nov08 Oct24 Sep24   (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 38% 1.70    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARY BERNICE by BERNARDINI)
7  QUICK LORI B Nov22 Nov08 Sep21     (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of DONNATALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  SOCIAL SUCCESS Dec21         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of SCHUYLKILLA by WITH DISTINCTION)
 
PEN-7   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORGANIZED CHAOS Dec14 Oct24 Sep15 Sep01 Jul27 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00    
2  I CAME TO DANCE Dec14 Nov25 Nov08 Oct14   (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 7% 12.50    
3  WAR'S END KISS Dec18 Dec09 Nov10 Oct20 Oct01 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
4  SHARP CATCH Dec14         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
5  LADY LIGHTFEET Dec14         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 39% 1.50    
6  DOCTOR ABBIE Dec27         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BEA BEA KAZ Nov30         (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00 ★    
8  FLAMINGO FAZE Dec17 Oct22 Sep06 Aug15   (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.